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Boehner claims he doesn’t know doctors who support House health bill.

Yesterday, House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) denied that doctors supported the health care bill now moving through the House and attacked the American Medical Association for endorsing the legislation:

REPORTER: What is your reaction to the AMA’s endorsement of Obama’s plan?

BOEHNER: I have yet to talk to a doctor who is supporting the plan that is moving through the House. And for the American Medical Association to come out in support of this plan, even though I would think a great majority of their doctors are opposed to it, strikes me as inconsistent at best.

Watch it:

If Boehner hasn’t “talk[ed] to a doctor who is supporting the plan that is moving through the House,” then he isn’t getting out much. In fact, the grassroots doctors organization Doctors For America has 360 members in Boehner’s home-state of Ohio, and 13,642 doctors nationwide who support the major tenets of the House bill. The Wonk Room has more on why doctors support the House bill.

Yglesias

Tall People Are Happy

Alex Tabarrok links to some new research further establishing the conclusion that being tall makes people happy:

According to the Gallup-Healthways Well-Being Index daily poll of the US population, taller people live better lives, at least on average. They evaluate their lives more favorably, and they are more likely to report a range of positive emotions such as enjoyment and happiness. They are also less likely to report a range of negative experiences, like sadness, and physical pain, though they are more likely to experience stress and anger, and if they are women, to worry. These findings cannot be attributed to different demographic or ethnic characteristics of taller people, but are almost entirely explained by the positive association between height and both income and education, both of which are positively linked to better lives.

Burkhard Bilger’s excellent 2004 New Yorker article persuasively argued that the growing stature gap between Americans and northern Europeans is largely explained by the United States’ high level of inequality and child poverty. Consider it another reason to belief that using a surtax on high earners to finance generous health care for the poor and lower-middle class would be welfare enhancing.

Politics

Twitter blocked on White House computers.

The Obama White House has an active Twitter feed, with more than 763,000 followers. However, not all administration staffers have access to the service. Press Secretary Robert Gibbs told C-Span this morning that “Twitter is blocked on White House computers”:

CSPAN: By the way, are you personally twittering?

GIBBS: No, for some reason, Twitter is blocked on White House computers, so — I have to say, I’m on camera enough that I think people have a decent sense of what I’m doing minus twittering.

Watch it:

Carl Malamud, President of Public.Resource.org, wrote on Twitter, “Disabling twitter in Obama whitehouse.gov like disabling telegraph in Lincoln whitehouse.gov, rotary phone in Bush. Need to stay current!” Last month, Mother Jones’ David Corn reported that “White House aides working on new media do have access to Twitter on their office computers,” but for security reasons, other staffers are blocked.

If you’re not currently sitting in the White House, please follow ThinkProgress on Twitter.

Security

Special Relationship Vs. Special Privileging

bibi-obamaObserving the tension between the U.S. and Israel over the issue of settlements over the last few months, and the debate here in the U.S. over the wisdom of Obama’s approach, a real point of division between the conservative pro-Israel community and the progressive pro-Israel community, in which I include myself, is that the former seem to believe that the U.S.-Israel special relationship, in addition to involving close economic, cultural and military ties, should also require the special privileging of Israeli national-historical claims over Palestinian claims.

The discord over Israeli settlements in East Jerusalem has revealed this divide pretty starkly. To state the obvious, Jerusalem is a hugely sensitive issue. Both Israelis and Palestinians have strong historical ties to the city, and both claim it as their capital. Many Israelis have memories of when Jews were denied access to their holy sites by the 1948-1967 Jordanian occupation, and understandably react strongly against any hint that the city might again be divided.

In this article in the Jewish Week describing how Netanyahu is appealing to the American Jewish community to oppose the U.S. pressure on Jerusalem settlements, the ADL’s Abe Foxman, while acknowledging that Obama’s approach is “not a departure, policy-wise,” said:

What troubles many in the Jewish community isn’t that the U.S. is raising the issue of settlements, but that it looks like Washington is negotiating with Israel on behalf of the Palestinians — and that part of that involves the central issue of Jerusalem. So in a way, it looks like the U.S. is basically predetermining final-status issues in those negotiations.

It’s pretty clear that Israel is actually the party who, by continuing to build up the Jewish presence in Jerusalem’s Arab neighborhoods while tightly constraining Arab growth, is trying to predetermine the final status of Jerusalem. The U.S. is simply asking Israel to stop this until Jerusalem’s status can be decided through negotiations — which has been U.S. policy since 1967, and is the reason why the U.S. Embassy remains in Tel Aviv. Foxman’s claim really doesn’t make much sense unless one is working from the assumption that treating Israeli and Palestinian claims equally is inherently unfair to Israel.

But, as President Obama made clear in his Cairo speech, he does treat Israeli and Palestinian claims equally. This was hugely significant, something that has been recognized in the Middle East far more than here in the U.S. By holding up Palestinian nationalism as co-equal with Israeli nationalism and treating Palestinians as deserving of statehood in their own right, not merely as some sort of consolation prize or as a secondary plot in a Jewish national redemption story, Obama became the first president to really explicitly recognize “two states for two peoples” as more than just a slogan.

As significant a shift as this was, though, it doesn’t necessarily means that the U.S.-Israel relationship must become weaker, or any less special, and I don’t think it should. If anything, that outcome would be a result of continuing Israeli intransigence on necessary steps toward two states, such as ceasing building on land it has previously committed to negotiating over. I do think, however, that President Obama could do a better job communicating this distinction to the American and Israeli people.

Yglesias

“Race to the Top” Funds Structured to Encourage States to Drop Restrictions on Performance Data

Albuquerque High School (cc photo by cjc4454)

Albuquerque High School (cc photo by cjc4454)

The extent to which American schools perform well is a legitimate topic of national concern. But education policy is largely set at the state level in this country. Which means that in terms of federal policy there’s a premium on finding clever ways to nudge state governments toward dropping misguided policies. Dana Goldstein reports on one such clever initiative:

The complicated dance between Secretary of Education Arne Duncan and the national teachers’ unions continued today. On a conference call to officially roll-out the $4.35 billion “Race to the Top” education reform competition, Duncan said states are “ineligible” for the grants if they have laws on the books prohibiting student performance from affecting teacher assessment. New York and Wisconsin are two such states, and teachers’ unions have long lobbied for such laws. In an attempt to encourage states to overturn these prohibitions, the Department of Education will be handing out Race to the Top grants in two phases over the next two years, allowing state legislatures time to revisit issues of teacher compensation.

The New York version of this rule, at a minimum, was snuck onto the books with no debate or public awareness and it’s bad news. You certainly could imagine a scheme to use student performance data in compensation or tenure decisions that wasn’t a good idea. But the idea that all such schemes should be categorically prohibited is nuts. The research is pretty unambiguous that some teachers produce much better students achievement than others. Insofar as schools are able to find ways to identify the highly effective teachers and give them incentive to stay, while declining to tenure the ineffective teachers, the quality of school performance should get substantially better over time.

Unfortunately, developing good systems for gathering and analyzing data isn’t all that easy. But we desperately need to be working on ways to do that job better, not throwing new roadblocks in the way.

Yglesias

The House That Rove Built

Washington Post’s “reliable source” blog reports that Karl Rove wants to sell a house:

Five bedrooms, four-and-a-half baths, brick-and-stone exterior, built 1968. Real estate photos show sunny kitchen, big entertaining spaces, pleasant yard, lots of bookshelves, one wall-mounted deer head.

I suppose it’s an interesting sign of the times in the United States that Rove believes a house he paid $799,000 for in 2001 ought to fetch $1.585 million in 2009. Here’s the Case-Shiller index for the Washington, DC metro area:

case-shiller-dc

The price increase Rove is looking for is larger than the average one across the metro area. Of course some people’s houses should experience a higher-than-average price increase if, for example, the neighborhood in which it’s located has become objectively more desirable. When I first moved to town I rented a basement apartment in a nice townhouse on Harvard Street between 13th and 14th. That’s a much better place to live in 2009 than it was in 2003, and even in 2003 it was a much better place to live than it was back in 1998 when the owner originally bought it. But I don’t really think you could make that kind of claim for Kent where the Rove house is. That’s a nice upscale neighborhood, but it’s always been a nice upscale neighborhood.

Politics

Steele says he fears health reform because it could be like the GOP’s intervention in Terri Schiavo’s case.

In 2005, President Bush, along with congressional Republicans, decided they could use the tragic case of Terri Schiavo — a severely brain-damaged woman who had been incapacitated for the past 15 years — as a “great political issue” to get the pro-life base “excited.” Congressional Republicans forced both chambers into a special session with four days of extended debate to craft legislation that instructed doctors to reinsert Schiavo’s feeding tube. They also took the “extraordinary step” of subpoenaing Schiavo to testify before Congress. Yesterday morning on Washington Times radio, RNC Chairman Michael Steele said health reform would be “socialism,” and he held up the GOP’s handling of the Schiavo case as an example of what he fears:

STEELE: That’s the mood the administration is beginning to take. You understand what the underlying principle of socialism is. It is government control of the means of production. In this case, it is the government controlling the means of providing health care to the American people. It is inserting itself into the very fabric of the decisions that you make, have to make every single day. It’ll make the Terry Schiavo case look like a walk in the park. You know, you’re going to have meetings and committees, government agencies and bureaucrats making decisions on what kind of health care you get.

Listen here:

Although Steele is quick to hold up Schiavo as an example of the wrong type of reform, the Republican leaders who are crafting the GOP’s reform proposals are the same legislators who demanded that Congress intervene into the Schiavo case. Rep. Roy Blunt (R-MO), chairman of the Republican “Health Care Solutions Group,” demanded that members to return to Washington for the Schiavo special session. Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK), who introduced the GOP’s alternative health plan in the Senate, joined with Sen. Bill Frist (R-TN) to intervene in the Schiavo issue.

Climate Progress

Science stunner: “Clouds Appear to Be Big, Bad Player in Global Warming” — an amplifying feedback (sorry Lindzen and fellow deniers)

The best evidence is that the climate is now being driven by amplifying feedbacks (see Study: Water-vapor feedback is “strong and positive,” so we face “warming of several degrees Celsius”), most notably:

In spite of all evidence to the contrary, the deniers/delayers/inactivists, led by MIT’s Richard Lindzen, have argued that negative feedbacks dominate the climate system.  In particular, they have asserted that clouds are a negative feedback.  A major new study in Science from  “Observational and Model Evidence for Positive Low-Level Cloud Feedback” (subs. req’d) is thus a potentially huge — and worrisome — piece of research.

I’m in an all-day meeting, so I’m mainly going to reprint the study abstract, the accompanying Science news story, “Clouds Appear to Be Big, Bad Player in Global Warming” (subs. req’d), and the press release from the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, who led the study (with the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, my old stomping ground snorkeling reef).

It is worth noting that the one climate model the researchers found was “particularly realistic” in modeling the cloud feedback, the Hadley Center’s HadGEM1, finds, “When carbon dioxide is doubled, the model warms the world by 4.4°C; the median of the models for a doubling is 3.1°C.”  Considering that we are headed toward more than a tripling of CO2 concentrations this century, that is very, very worrisome.

Figure 1

FIGURE: Leaky clouds. Decades-long records show that when sea surface temperature (SST) warms, cloud cover””especially from low clouds (bottom)””decreases (blues, top), letting in more sunlight.

Let’s start with the PR:

Strong Evidence That Cloud Changes May Exacerbate Global Warming

Read more

Economy

Fox News Fearmongers About Minimum Wage Increase: ‘The Hike Will Hurt’

foxminwageedit1Today, Fox News ran a segment on today’s minimum wage increase — which raises the minimum wage from $6.55 to $7.25 an hour — accompanied by a chyron stating “How The Hike Will Hurt.”

While not as egregious as Fox News, most media outlets today are presenting the minimum wage hike in a he said/she said manner, with workers happy to see an increase pitted against claims that the increase will result in lost jobs and higher unemployment.

For instance, USA Today wrote that “many already-struggling businesses face the burden of increased payroll costs,” while the Washington Post aired the grievances of the National Small Business Organization, which said that businesses will “have to make the difficult choice of going under or laying people off.”

But as Dean Baker pointed out, “there is little reason to believe that [the increase] will result in substantial job loss”:

The impact of a rise in the minimum wage on employment is one of the most heavily researched topics in economics. Virtually all of this research shows that it will have little or no impact on employment. It would have been useful if the news reports had mentioned this research instead of treating this topic as a he said/she said, implying that those who claim that it will lead to large rises in unemployment are on an equal footing with those who emphasize the benefits to low wage earners.

Indeed, those claiming that the increase will cost jobs are looking at the situation only from the supply side — higher costs to business inevitably means job loss. However, the minimum wage increase is going to provide vitally needed stimulus in a weak economy, putting money directly into the pockets of low-wage workers most apt to spend it, causing increased demand, which is good for business.

The wage increase will amount to $28 per week for a full time minimum wage worker, and will affect about 2.8 million workers. Due to the increase, there will be “a $5.5 billion increase in spending at home — money that will increase business income and create new jobs.”

It would actually take a minimum wage of $9.92 to match the buying power of the minimum wage in 1968. As McClatchy’s Holly Sklar pointed out, “in today’s dollars, the 1968 hourly minimum wage adds up to $20,634 a year working full time. The new federal minimum wage of $7.25 comes to just $15,080. That’s $5,554 in lost wages.” And the first federal minimum wage was actually enacted in 1938, when one in five workers was unemployed (compared to today’s 9.5 percent unemployment rate).

Many business owners from across the country actually support the increase. As Richard Ketring, president of VHS Cleaning Services in Ashland, WI said, “when we raise the incomes of the lowest paid employees the money is immediately spent and flows instantly into the economy…I support the minimum wage increase not only because it is the right thing to do, but it is good for business.”

Yglesias

House Democrats Contemplate Putting National Interest Ahead of Blind Devotion to Procedure

Rep John Larson (D-CT)

Rep John Larson (D-CT)

The draft health care legislation in the US House of Representatives has majority support on the Education & Labor Committee and it has majority support on the Ways & Means Committee and it’s very close to having majority support in the House as a whole. If you brought the bill to the floor, you could almost certainly round up the needed votes. But thus far, the presence of a small number of Blue Dog holdouts on the House Energy & Commerce Committee are holding it up. Under the circumstances, I’m both thrilled and surprised to see Jared Allen report in The Hill that Democratic leaders are considering the obvious solution to this problem:

House Democrats, still searching for a way to pass their healthcare bill before August, are considering bypassing the Energy and Commerce committee altogether, where the bill has stalled, and proceeding right to the floor.

“The preferable course would be to go through the committee,” Democratic Caucus Chairman John Larson (D-Conn.) said Thursday night. “But all options will be on the table.”

Personally, I have absolutely no idea what would be “preferable” about going through the ordinary committee process. My life would be positively impacted by a good health care bill. It would be negatively impacted by a bad health care bill. It would also be negatively impacted by indefinite continuation of the status quo. Congressional procedure matters to me, like to all normal people, only insofar as it impacts the course of legislation. The “preferable” process is the process that results in good legislation.

Something a lot of progressive legislative leaders seem to have forgotten until this Congress actually got under way is that historically congressional procedure is a challenge to be surmounted when you want big change to happen. It’s not actually a fixed feature of the landscape that people “have to” accommodate themselves to. For years you couldn’t get a decent Civil Rights bill because segregationists controlled the Judiciary Committee that had jurisdiction. This problem was “solved” by just deciding to bypass the Judiciary Committee. When you decide you want to get things done, you find a way to get them done. Even the allegedly sacrosanct filibuster rule has been changed repeatedly over the years. The law is the law and the constitution is the constitution, but the rules of congressional procedure are not law. They’re internally made rules, they’re subject to change, and the criteria for a good set of rules is that you want rules that produce good legislation and good governance.

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