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Economy

Hensarling, Chamber Of Commerce Claim CFPA Will Cause Credit Squeeze — But It Didn’t In Canada

This was a busy week for discussion regarding the Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) that has been proposed as a key part of Congress’ regulatory reform effort. On Wednesday, consumer advocates, the banking industry, and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce presented their perspectives on the new agency before the House Financial Services Committee, and Thursday Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke followed suit.

When it hasn’t been trying to rewrite history regarding its position on global warming, the Chamber has been one of the organizations leading the charge against the CFPA. To that end, it released a report claiming that a serious (though unquantifiable) amount of job loss would result if the CFPA were to come into existence:

The CFPA would likely reduce an important source of credit to small businesses. This induced credit squeeze comes at a time when it is likely that small business credit will be already highly restricted as the lending industry digs out of the current financial crisis. The CFPA credit squeeze would likely result in business closures, fewer startups, and slower growth. Overall, this would cost a significant number of jobs that would either be lost or not created.

Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX), who has been one of the top crusaders against the CFPA, cited the Chamber’s work, in an attempt to get Bernanke to agree with the notion that the CFPA would cause a credit squeeze, and thus job loss. Watch it:

This all sounds terrible, doesn’t it? A lack of credit causing businesses to downsize, resulting in hoards of job loss, all because of stifling regulation! There’s just one problem with the theory. In 2001, Canada created a consumer protection agency, the Financial Consumer Agency of Canada (FCAC) and, well, none of that happened. As McClatchy reported:

Republicans, backed by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and bank lobbyists, warn that such an agency would bring punishing costs to consumers and small businesses and could regulate all forms of credit, even tabs at the bar or butcher shop. Canada’s experience suggests otherwise. “I certainly have not seen anything that shows that we are vastly different from the United States in terms of access to credit,” said John Rossi, who heads compliance and enforcement efforts for the Financial Consumer Agency of Canada.

The vice-president of policy at the Canadian Bankers Association did gripe to McClatchy about the fees that the consumer agency imposes on banks, but he “didn’t say these costs were onerous…nor did he suggest that the FCAC has hurt lending, questions that were put to him directly.” And as for job loss, when the agency was created in 2001, the Canadian unemployment rate was 6.9 percent. It was the same rate in 2005, on its way to a low of 5.8 percent before the global economic crisis hit. Not exactly a terrifying jobs record.

Yglesias

Education in Sweden

The world standard for measuring educational achievement is the OECD’s PISA scores which reveal that Sweden does worse than world leaders like Finland, the Netherlands, and South Korea but better than the United States:

1-better-pisa-scores 1

Nordic countries are often said to be highly homogeneous, which is true of Finland, but Sweden has more immigrants than the United States though of course much less poverty and inequality.

The most noteworthy aspect of Swedish education is a fairly robust school choice system. This is often described in the Anglophone press as involving “vouchers” in that any Swedish parent is entitled to take his or her children out of the state-run schools and put into another school, with the new school assigned the same level of per-pupil funding as a municipal school would have gotten. But these schools are more like what we call “charter schools”—they can’t have exclusive admissions policies and they can’t charge tuition above the value of the per pupil allotment.

The big difference is that many Swedish charters are run by for-profit firms. We’ve had some experiments with that in the U.S. and it hasn’t worked very well. Nobody’s really found a great way of making consistent profits running K-12 schools in America.

childpoverty

It’s not really clear to me, however, if Swedish schools are actually performing at a higher level than ours. If our child poverty level were where Sweden’s is, our kids’ test scores would be way higher. By contrast, in the Netherlands the child poverty rate is much higher than in Sweden—though of course much lower than in the United States—and the test scores are substantially better.

Politics

Beck: ‘Lindsey Graham hating my guts is probably the highest honor I’ve ever received.’

On Thursday, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) mocked Glenn Beck, stating that “only in America can you make that much money crying.” Graham added that Beck is “not aligned with any party as far as I can tell. He’s aligned with cynicism. And there’s always been a market for cynicism.” On his radio show yesterday, Beck responded to Graham, saying that Graham’s disdain was “a badge of honor”:

BECK: And yet Lindsey Graham comes out and Lindsey Graham gives a talk yesterday to, I guess this is a bunch of Republicans he’s speaking to? There are a lot of things I’ll wear as a badge of honor. Lindsey Graham hating my guts is probably the highest honor I’ve ever received. Judge me by my friends and judge me by my enemies. Thank you, Lindsey Graham.

Listen here:

Yglesias

Doing it With Tax Increases

Writing for CAP, Michael Ettlinger and Michael Linden say that achieved a balanced budget by 2014 solely through higher taxes “is not a likely or necessarily desirable policy.” Still, as they say it’s certainly a feasible policy:

Much is said about the economic effect of tax increases, but it is worth noting that there is little risk of the United States becoming economically disadvantaged relative to other advanced economic nations by raising its aggregate tax levels. We have the fifth lowest taxes as a share of GDP among economically developed nations (counting all federal, state, and local taxes). If we raised taxes in aggregate to a level that would safely balance the budget, the United States would still be in the bottom 10 out of 30.

taxrates 1

Obviously that’s not a politically kosher solution. But on the merits I think the case for doing this almost entirely through tax side measures is pretty strong. Higher taxes on the scale under consideration would simply leave the United States with the kind of tax levels found in Australia and Canada, exactly the kind of countries you would expect to be similar to America.

The larger issue is that no matter what happens in 2014 as long as the US is committed to providing health care to senior citizens and the cost of health care grows faster than GDP, over the long run taxes as a percent of GDP will need to consistently rise. And as far as I can tell Republicans aren’t prepared to break that commitment to providing health care to senior citizens and Democrats aren’t prepared to back continually higher taxes. Across some margin of time you can fudge this by messing with defense and domestic discretionary spending but ultimately the choice will have to be made.

Climate Progress

Chamber of Overstated Horrors

IT IS refreshing to see three energy companies — the nuclear power operator Exelon; Pacific Gas and Electric; and New Mexico’s largest electricity provider, PNM — quitting the US Chamber of Commerce over that organization’s increasingly shrill, doom-saying opposition to climate change legislation in Washington. The chamber claims that limits on greenhouse gas emissions by Congress or the Environmental Protection Agency would be “a job killer,” would “completely shut the country down,” or, even worse, “virtually destroy the United States.”

chamber-of-horrorsSo begins a great Boston Globe editorial, “Chamber of overstated horrors.”  These resignations really brought home the message of the Chamber’s extremism to the broader media in a tangible way (see Chamber of Horrors: The incredible, shrinking industry group falsely claims “We’ve never questioned the science behind global warming”).

The rest of editorial makes clear just how much the Chamber brought this on themselves with its Luddite call for “the Scopes monkey trial of the 21st century” on global warming:

Read more

Climate Progress

Arts and Crafts go Green

Durham, North Carolina-based The Scrap Exchange (above) is “a sustainable art supply store that takes unwanted materials and resells them as arts and crafts supplies,” as explained in this CAP repost.

Is one person’s trash really another’s treasure? According to a Durham, North Carolina-based arts and crafts store it is.

The Scrap Exchange lets people explore their creativity while helping out the environment. The Scrap Exchange was founded in 1991 as a sustainable art supply store that takes unwanted materials from businesses and community members and resells them as arts and crafts supplies. Materials sell for 50 to 70 percent off their retail prices, and popular items include paper, fabric, office supplies, marble scraps, and CD cases. The idea is to promote environmental awareness and creativity by providing high-quality, low-cost materials for artists.

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