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Maldives cabinet to hold climate meeting underwater.

This Saturday, the president of Maldives “is set to chair an underwater Cabinet meeting” in order to “highlight the threat global warming and rising sea levels pose to his low-lying nation.” The governments of the world are now negotiating a successor to the global-warming reduction treaty known as the Kyoto Protocol, which will expire in 2012. Maldives President Mohamed Nasheed and his 14-member cabinet “will don scuba gear and descend to a table 20 feet (6 meters) underwater”:

To prepare, the ministers have been learning the basics of scuba diving on the weekends. Nasheed already is a certified diver. At the meeting, Cabinet members will communicate using hand gestures. The president will ratify a pledge calling on other countries to slash greenhouse emissions ahead of a U.N. climate summit in Copenhagen, Denmark, in December.

The Maldives, a nation of 1,200 coral islands southwest of India, “lies just 4.9 feet (1.5 meters) above sea level.” Sea levels have already risen by 0.2 meters (8 inches) in the past century due to thermal expansion and ice melt caused by global warming. In 2008, scientists warned that the best estimate for sea level rise by 2100 “lies between 0.8 and 2.0 meters” (2.5 to 6.6 feet).

Update

The Divers Association of the Maldives is calling for an agreement to reduce carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere to 350 parts per million in a novel and striking television ad:

Yglesias

Planning in the Climate Bill

Elana Schor has a helpful roundup of a recent Brookings event on improving federal support for Metropolitan Planning Organizations and, even more important, improving the extent to which the federal relationship with MPOs actually supports good planning. This is an important element of dealing with the climate issue. The built environment evolves slowly over time so it’s difficult to get large short-term emissions reductions through better land use, but by the same token it’s absolutely essential to meeting long-term targets in an economically viable way.

SDC10070

Michael McKeever, executive director of the SACOG, and Peter McLaughlin, a commissioner of Minnesota’s Hennepin County, agreed that the upcoming congressional climate change bill is essential to achieving land use reform.

If the climate bill “does some fairly simple things and requires … high quality [MPO planning] to be done as a pre-condition of getting federal funds,” local development can become a more transparent and rational process, McKeever said.

Legislators, recognizing this, included language to that effect in the original Waxman-Markey bill. But it wound up getting stripped out. Now it’s back in the Kerry-Boxer draft, but the U.S. Senate is generally less friendly than the House to sound urban planning and land use policy so one should be nervous that it will be removed again. However, with these kind of relatively low-profile issues things like preference intensity make a great deal of difference. If Senators get word that their offices are being contacted by people who are interested in something as obscure as MPO planning, that would get noticed. Of course as a DC resident I’m not allowed to be represented in the governing bodies of the United States of America so I can’t contact anyone.

Security

FBI Threatens Muslim Man With Deportation For Refusing To Become An Informant

3955852.47After turning down an offer from the FBI to become a secret informant, a Muslim doctoral student at Florida International University, Imam Foad Farahi, has been allegedly dealt an ultimatum: leave the country voluntarily, or be charged as a terrorist. Farahi underwent a three-year training course to become a designated leader, or imam, at the Shamsuddin Islamic Center in North Miami Beach and is unwilling to spy on members of his mosque.

In 2002, Jose Padilla — one of two South Florida men linked to the Al-Qaeda network– was convicted on terrorist charges. The FBI could not track down the other alleged Al-Qaeda member, Adnan El Shukrijumah. Padilla happened to pray at Farahi’s mosque, but Farahi told FBI agents that he hadn’t had any contact with him since 1998. When federal authorities urged Farahi to start working with them as an informant, Farahi explained to them that he was more than willing to help, but that the relationship would have to be public. Shortly thereafter, immigration authorities informed him that he would be charged as a terrorist if he did not leave the country voluntarily. Farahi is convinced that the FBI is bluffing about the evidence it claims to have that he is a terrorist, and his lawyer has petitioned the US Court of Appeals in Atlanta to reopen his asylum case and let him stay in the US. Currently he’s a man without a country. The US wants to kick him out and, by applying for political asylum, he has rejected his Iranian citizenship.

The right-wing website Pipelinenews.org adamantly claims that Farahi is a “radical Muslim cleric” who has been designated as a Level 3 threat by DHS. But the FBI won’t comment on Farahi’s case and has provided no evidence that connects Farahi with terrorist activities. If anything, Farahi seems like the sort of Muslim leader that should be awarded praise, not deportation orders. Farahi attended a private Catholic college in Florida and participated in its interfaith committee. He was a teacher at the university’s peace forum and regularly put together interfaith dinners.

Leila Fadel of the McClatchy News Service writes that “the government’s search for the enemy within is threatening to divide and destroy America’s Muslim communities.” According to Fadel, most Muslims believe their mosques are full of FBI informants and that the government presumes all Muslims are guilty, rather than innocent. Meanwhile, when it comes to the FBI using deportation or criminal charges to coerce Muslims to spy on one another, the Miami New Times reports that the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) suspects there are hundreds of cases similar to Farahi’s. The attorney of Tarek Mehanna, a 26-year-old US citizen who was charged by the government for giving a “false statement,” claims that the charges are a “form of revenge for Mehanna’s unwillingness to be an informant.” Ahmadullah Sais Niazi, a naturalized U.S. citizen from Afghanistan, alleges that he was arrested and indicted of making a false statement to obtain citizenship because he also did not want to be an informant. Meanwhile, Yassine Ouassif, a 24-year-old Moroccan with a green card was given the same ultimatum as Farahi, but won his deportation case with the help of the National Legal Sanctuary for Community Advancement.

A recent poll conducted by the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life found that most Americans think Muslims face more discrimination than any other minority group in the US.

Politics

After Previously Blaming Obama For Slumping Markets, Boehner Now Downplays Surging Dow

BoehnerwebToday on Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed above 10,000 for the first time this year as “U.S. stocks approached their highest levels since Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s bankruptcy sent the global economy into a tailspin.” In fact, the index is up 13 percent since the start of the year.

When asked about the surging markets, House Minority Leader John Boehner grumbled at the news. “[You're] certainly not talking to the American people,” if you’re placing any significance on the 10,000 mark, Boehner contended:

“The American people understand that unemployment is almost at 10 percent, they understand that they might be next so there are concerns about the economy,” Boehner said. [...]

Boehner said the stock market’s rebound is a reaction to the extreme shock from earlier this year, but it says little more than that.

At the end of the day, the American people aren’t looking at the stock market in terms of putting food on the table,” Boehner said. “They want jobs, and they want them now.”

But Boehner hasn’t always been so dismissive of the stock market’s significance. In search of an attack line on the newly-inaugurated President Obama back in March, the GOP leader thought that the dismal numbers coming from Wall Street represented the public’s dissatisfaction with Obama’s policies:

“The president certainly remains popular, but his policies are becoming less and less popular,” Boehner said, citing the continuing slide in the financial markets. “Certainly the stock market hasn’t acted very well” since Obama’s inauguration.

As the markets continue to falter, Republicans are becoming more confident in their criticisms of the president — some have already taken to using the phrase “the Obama economy.”

But Boehner has also used the markets to tout the leadership of the Republican Party. At a rally just before the GOP got its “thumpin’” in the 2006 mid-term elections, then Majority Leader Boehner argued that his party would best handle the economy reportedly by “point[ing] to a hot stock market.”

Yglesias

Christina Romer vs Political Reality

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I’ve seen a fair amount of commentary on the part of Ryan Lizza’s profile of the Obama economic team where Christina Romer recommends a $1.2 trillion stimulus proposal and they wind up with just a bit more than half of that out of deference to the tender sensibilities of the United States Senate. I’ve seen less commentary on this other part, where basically the same thing happen on financial system policy:

Romer believed that the banks wouldn’t lend again until they were well capitalized. For banks in severe stress, she favored creating a government-backed “bad bank” to take the toxic assets off the banks’ books and then recapitalize them with government funds—essentially a version of nationalization, and what the Swedish government had done during that nation’s financial crisis of the early nineties. This argument was quickly rendered moot because of the cost. There wasn’t much money left in the TARP kitty, and any chance of getting more from Congress had ended with that morning’s news: A.I.G., which had received a hundred and seventy billion dollars in federal money, had handed out multimillion-dollar bonuses to the executives responsible for the company’s demise. Axelrod said, “The one thing that was absolutely clear was, we were not in a position to go back to Congress.”

Axelrod’s argument seems absolutely sound. And Rahm Emannuel’s argument on the stimulus that congress wouldn’t appropriate $1.2 trillion also seems absolutely sound. But of course Romer’s arguments weren’t arguments about feasible legislative strategies. Of all the senior members of the Obama administration, Romer has by far the least experience with practical legislative politics and also has the job that’s the least concerned with practical legislative politics. And I think that it was in a lot of ways a masterstroke to appoint a very policy-focused academic with no practical legislative experience to the CEA job. When people work too long in Washington, their notions of what would be good policy in principle tend to become unduly corrupted by their knowledge of what’s possible in practice.

But what Lizza is telling us is that on the two biggest pieces of macroeconomic management, the Obama administration is pursuing policies that its in-house expert on macroeconomic crisis management believed were far too timid. He’s also telling us that this was done primarily not because people disagreed with her analysis, but because they felt it wasn’t possible, legislatively speaking, to do what was objectively necessary. It’s a bit of a scary situation.

Politics

Republicans tout discredited insurance industry study.

Several Republicans have embraced the discredited insurance industry-funded study which claims premiums would increase dramatically under the Senate Finance Committee’s health bill. While careful to avoid mentioning the study’s connection to the insurance industry, Republicans cite the study’s claim that premiums will increase by $4,000 and disingenuously argue that the Congressional Budget Office agrees with the insurance industry’s conclusions. Watch it:

The industry’s very selective analysis undermines its conclusions and exposes the study as an industry attempt to protect the bottom line. An actual analysis of Congressional Budget Office data has concluded that premiums in the exchange would be lower than they are in the none group market today. The Wonk Room has more.

Yglesias

You Could Have It So Much Worse

New Daily Beast column from yours truly takes a look at health care in Sweden and Denmark to put the Obama proposals in perspective and remind the interest groups looking to block reform that they’re actually turning down a very generous offer:

Whether reform passes this year or not, the status quo really is untenable. Something will have to change someday. And what Obama and Baucus are proposing is close to the minimum amount of change conceivable. If insurance-industry groups succeed in killing the bill, the lesson will be that appeasement hasn’t worked. And that may mean that next time around, reformers will start thinking big and try to put health care under democratic control and financed on the basis of solidarity. Industry may vehemently oppose even modest reforms, maybe trying to kill it off entirely. That would be an ugly fight that would mean years of delay in providing help to people who urgently need it. But unless insurers can recognize how much the powers that be are bending over backward to be nice to them, it might be the only way forward in the long run.

Here’s my earlier post on health care in Denmark and here’s health care in Sweden. The systems are similar, though I’d say Sweden’s is marginally better. The Swedish government’s English-language description of their system also includes my new favorite health policy catchphrase: “Swedish health and medical care is based on the principles that care should be provided on equal terms and according to need, that is should be under democratic control and financed on the basis of solidarity.”

Climate Progress

Saudis redefine chutzpah: After decades of overpricing, and with trillions of dollars in future revenues, they want aid if world cuts oil use in climate deal

http://blogs.e-rockford.com/applesauce/files/2008/04/300_bush-saudi.jpg

Let’s call it The Audacity of hOPEC.  AP reported last week:

Saudi Arabia has led a quiet campaign during these and other negotiations “” demanding behind closed doors that oil-producing nations get special financial assistance if a new climate pact calls for substantial reductions in the use of fossil fuels.

That campaign comes despite an International Energy Agency report released this week showing that OPEC revenues would still increase $23 trillion between 2008 and 2030 “” a fourfold increase compared to the period from 1985 to 2007 “” if countries agree to significantly slash emissions and thereby cut their use of oil.

The hypocritical chutzpah is staggering.  The head of the Saudi delegation Mohammad S. Al Sabban said:

We are among the economically vulnerable countries….

Many politicians in the Western world think these climate change negotiations and the new agreement will provide them with a golden opportunity to reduce their dependence on imported oil….  That means you will transfer the burden to developing countries, especially to those highly dependent on the exploitation of oil.

First off, for decades now, Saudi Arabia has led the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in using monopoly practices to keep oil prices higher than they would have been under strict market economics.  This caused pain for developed countries like ours, but hardly as much, relatively speaking, as that suffered by the non-oil-producing developing (i.e. poor) countries.  I don’t remember Saudi Arabia commenting on the burden that cartel-driven oil prices created for other developing countries.

Second, the Saudi logic about the future impact of a climate deal is exactly backwards from the broad perspective of the burden of all developing countries.  If the rich countries reduce their oil consumption, that will necessarily reduce the price of oil compared to what it would have otherwise been. Read more

Climate Progress

Entergy CEO Warns Of Humanity’s Extinction If Climate Legislation Not Passed

Last week, over a hundred CEOs of American companies broke with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to lobby Congress to “pass comprehensive climate change and energy policy legislation this year.” The U.S. Senate is now considering the Kerry-Boxer Clean Energy Jobs and American Power Act, which would set a market-based limit on global warming pollution. Participants in a Clean Energy Economy Forum at the White House included J. Wayne Leonard, the Chairman and CEO of Entergy Corporation, the utility giant based in New Orleans, Louisiana. Speaking at the White House event, Leonard called for action on climate change and clean energy not just for economic reasons but starkly moral ones:

We are virtually certain that climate change is occurring, and occurring because of man’s activities. We’re virtually certain the probability distribution curve is all bad. There’s no good things that’s going to come of this. But what’s uncertain is exactly which one of those things are going to occur and in what time frame. In the probability distribution curve is about a 50% probability that about half of all species will become extinct or be subject to extinction over this period of time. What we will never know on an ex ante basis is whether or not man be one of those casualties or not.

We condemn Wall Street for taking risks with our economy — risks that all of you are trying very hard to reverse — but at the same time we’re taking exactly the same kind of risks, with no upside whatsoever, with regard to our climate, failing to practice even the basic risk management techniques in terms of climate change reduction.

Watch it:

In a powerful speech, Leonard called a national system to cap carbon pollution “an investment that by all facts, figures and analysis pays back many times over,” and warned that “history will judge us if we don’t pass comprehensive climate and energy reform now” for “cheating [our children] out of their future.”

Entergy serves “two-and-a-half million customers in the mid-South and the Gulf South portion of the country, some of the poorest people in the country,” Leonard noted. These customers already suffered the devastation of Hurricane Katrina, which global warming likely fueled.

Although Entergy’s website warns that the “ramifications of global climate change, while uncertain, paint a devastating portrait of an unsustainable world” and that what “the United States does now is critical to eliminating or at least reducing the possibility of catastrophic outcomes for future generations,” the corporation is a member of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which is spending millions of dollars to fight the regulation of climate pollution. Entergy plans to remain in the climate-denial organization in an attempt to “convince other members to agree to emissions limits.”

Transcript: Read more

Politics

Steele: I’m The ‘Cow On The Tracks’ Trying To Block The Health Care Train

Today on Fox News, RNC Chairman Michael Steele railed against Democratic efforts to reform health care and said how proud he was that Republicans have stalled action. “They told us in June that there would be a health care bill on the President’s desk on Aug. 1,” he boasted. “I think our efforts helped change that dynamic.”

But with Republican Sen. Olympia Snowe (ME) supporting the passage of the Senate Finance Committee health bill — and with news that Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) may be willing to break from GOP ranks to support legislation — the Fox News host asked Steele whether the health care “train” had left the station without Republicans on board. Steele then compared himself to a cow:

HOST: Very quickly, Chairman Steele. The feeling in some circles is that this health care train has left the station with President at the wheel, and Republicans better jump on board.

STEELE: Well, I’m the cow on the tracks, and you’re going to have to stop that train to get this cow off the tracks and move forward.

Later during an interview with Sen. Jim Bunning (R-KY), another Fox News host laughed about Steele’s analogy, pointing out, “If you look at that analogy, the cow is not much of a match for that train.” Watch it:

Of course, trains often run over cows. If the cow is able to derail the train, a lot of people may get hurt as a trade-off — a fitting metaphor for what will happen if Republicans block health care reform.

Also during the interview, Steele blasted Democrats’ lack of “bipartisanship” and insisted that he isn’t trying to be an “obstructionist.” “To the contrary, I’m saying, can we all get in a room and have a Rodney King moment and work toward something that addresses the common-sense bottom-up approach voters and certainly the voters of our country — you, me, and others — want to be done,” he added. TPM points out that he appeared to be referring to “King’s famous ‘Can we all get along?‘ line following the 1992 Los Angeles race riots sparked by the acquittal of the police officers who beat King.”

(HT: DailyKos)

Transcript: Read more

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