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Yglesias

2012 Primary Talk is Silly

I think Matt Bai makes some good points about the difference between saying that Barack Obama’s political opinions aren’t substantively left-of-center and saying that Obama doesn’t adopt a populist rhetorical style. But the piece goes a bit off the rails when it starts talking about the possibility of a from-the-left primary challenge to Obama.

Thanks to a much-changed media landscape over the past ten years, you now see a reasonable amount of somewhat high-profile from-the-left criticism of Obama. You’ve got Paul Krugman on the op-ed page, Keith Olbermann and Rachel Maddow on MSNBC prime time, you’ve got the activist blogosphere, and you’ve got reporters like Bai paying some attention to these critics. And I think that’s all a good thing. But one should always keep in mind that the whole “Obama isn’t liberal enough” concept is very much a niche idea. In mid-December, CNN polled on this question:

“Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?” If disapprove: “Do you disapprove because you think his policies and actions since he became president have been too liberal, or because you think his policies and actions have not been liberal enough?

Obama

Among self-identified Democrats, about eighty percent say they approve of the job Obama is doing. There’s just no way a primary challenge could get off the ground.

Politics

McCaskill tells Demint his hold on TSA nominee is ‘nuts’.

Despite the attempted Christmas day airplane bombing, Sen. Jim DeMint (R-SC) has continued to hold up the confirmation of President Obama’s nominee for the head of the Transportation Security Administration (TSA), which handles airport security. Former FBI agent Erroll Southers was nominated for the position in September and has been approved by two Senate committees, but DeMint continues to obstruct the nomination because he wants Southers “to clarify his stand on unionizing the TSA.” Today, on CNN’s State of the Union, DeMint said that confirming Southers would “bring the security concerns of TSA under the authority of union bosses.” Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) responded, “with all due respect, this is nuts”:

With all due respect, this is nuts, holding him up over whether or not somebody’s going to be able to bargain for a better benefit.…This man will get confirmed and he’ll get confirmed by a wide margin. And playing games with the process, all it’s doing is hurting the traveling public because the most important frontline agency to protect Americans right now on flights is being held up over political stuff.

Watch it:

As Michael Whitney pointed out at Work In Progress, “is there any evidence that allowing TSA employees to bargain for better wages and workplace conditions would have caught or stopped Abdulmutallab? No. Would AFGE, the union that would represent the 50,000 TSA employees, ever consider vetoing or delaying security measures at airports? No. Does any of that stop DeMint from being a blowhard and saying this anyway? No.”

Politics

Brennan responds to Cheney: He’s either ‘willfully mischaracterized’ Obama or is ‘ignorant of the facts.’

Earlier this week, former Vice President Dick Cheney joined the GOP’s hypocritical attacks against President Obama’s response to the attempted Christmas day terror attack, claiming that ” it is clear once again that President Obama is trying to pretend we are not at war.” White House Communications Director Dan Pfeiffer responded by pointing out Obama’s numerous “public statements that explicitly state we are at war,” adding that unlike the Bush administration, Obama “doesn’t need to beat his chest to prove it.” On Fox News Sunday today, White House Homeland Security and Counterterrorism Adviser John Brennan said that either the “vice president or others have wilfully mischaracterized President Obama’s position and actions or they’re just ignorant of the facts“:

BRENNAN: It’s disappointing to me that either the vice president or others have willfully mischaracterized President Obama’s position and actions or they’re just ignorant of the facts. I think in either case, it doesn’t speak well to sort of the reasons why they sort of went out and said these things. I came back into government for the express purpose of making sure that we can make this country safer than its ever been in the past. I have worked with the president over the past 12 months now and he is as determined as anybody I’ve worked with. I’m neither Republican nor Democrat. I’ve worked with the previous five administrations and this president is determined. And I think he has demonstrated in his language. He says we’re at war with al Qaeda. Were going to destroy al Qaeda the organization and we’re going to demonstrate through our actions, whether it be in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen and other places that al Qaeda might be able to run, but they’re not going to be able to hide.

Watch it:

Yglesias

What Business is The Washington Post In?

If you sent your kid to the bookstore to get some SAT prep materials, and he came back with a Kaplan book that said there was no need to study math because the SAT doesn’t cover math anymore, two things might happen. One, you might immediately recognize that Kaplan was selling a product that contains serious errors. Alternatively—and worse—you and your son might decide that Kaplan was a trustworthy source of information about the SAT and prepare for it wrong. Either result would, of course, be devastating to Kaplan’s reputation and thus to a revenue model that depends on students and their parents having confidence that its materials contain accurate information about standardized tests.

The National Review, meanwhile, is in the business of representing the ideas of the conservative movement. If what the conservative movement wants to do is lie to people about Barack Obama, then The National Review will lie to people about Barack Obama. That’s understandable enough. I’m not one of those so naive as to pretend to be shocked, shocked to discover that there’s lying happening in politics.

But what about the Washington Post? If Charles Krauthammer wants to write a column in which he lies about Barack Obama, why would the Post print it? I mean, here’s Krauthammer on January 1:

And just to make sure even the dimmest understand, Obama banishes the term “war on terror.” It’s over — that is, if it ever existed.

Obama may have declared the war over. Unfortunately, al-Qaeda has not. Which gives new meaning to the term “asymmetric warfare.”

And here’s Obama giving an address in May about his policies on al-Qaeda: “we are indeed at war with al Qaeda and its affiliates.”

Or as John Brennan spelled out in some detail in August:

This leads directly to the second element of the President’s approach—a clear, more precise definition of this challenge. This is critically important. How you define a problem shapes how you address it. As many have noted, the President does not describe this as a “war on terrorism.” That is because “terrorism” is but a tactic—a means to an end, which in al Qaeda’s case is global domination by an Islamic caliphate. Confusing ends and means is dangerous, because by focusing on the tactic, we risk floundering among the terrorist trees while missing the growth of the extremist forest. And ultimately, confusing ends and means is self-defeating, because you can never fully defeat a tactic like terrorism any more than you can defeat the tactic of war itself.

[...]

Instead, as the President has made clear, we are at war with al Qaeda, which attacked us on 9/11 and killed 3,000 people. We are at war with its violent extremist allies who seek to carry on al Qaeda’s murderous agenda. These are the terrorists we will destroy. These are the extremists we will defeat.

It makes you wonder what the Post’s owners and editors think the purpose of the product they’re putting out is. Is it supposed to convey accurate information to readers? If that’s what it’s supposed to be doing, they’re not doing a very good job of it. But what’s more, they don’t even seem to be trying.

Yglesias

The Right’s Growth Record

rightgrowth

Neil Irwin’s piece on the lost decade of jobs and GDP growth is well worth reading. I thought, however, that I might pinch this table to make another point.

The modern version of the conservative movement has been with us for decades, and it’s been an influential force in American politics going all the way back to Joe McCarthy calling Dean Acheson a Communist as John Foster Dulles advocated “rollback” of the Soviet Union. But it’s really only in the forms of Ronald Reagan and George W Bush that we’ve seen efforts to put its economic policies into action. Dwight Eisenhower, Gerald Ford, and George HW Bush were budget-balancers and Richard Nixon doesn’t appear to have cared about economic policy at all. And the Reagan and Dubya presidencies are, whether coincidentally or not, associated with the worst economic performance we’ve had. What’s more, in general economic performance has clearly been worse since the country took its right turn around 1970.

This is similar to, though obviously somewhat different than, Larry Bartels’ observation that the rich do well under Republican presidents but everyone else fairs better under the Democrats.

I think this is all the more striking when you consider that if you judge people based on what they say they’re doing, it’s conservatives who tend to emphasize growth uber alles whereas liberals are seen as balancing growth against other considerations about fairness, equality, ecological sustainability, etc.

Climate Progress

With science journalism “basically going out of existence,” how should climate scientists deal with well-funded, anti-science disinformation campaign?

The central lesson of Climategate is not that climate science is corrupt. The leaked e-mails do nothing to disprove the scientific consensus on global warming. Instead, the controversy highlights that in a world of blogs, cable news and talk radio, scientists are poorly equipped to communicate their knowledge and, especially, to respond when science comes under attack.

A few scientists answered the Climategate charges almost instantly. Michael Mann of Pennsylvania State University, whose e-mails were among those made public, made a number of television and radio appearances. A blog to which Mann contributes, RealClimate.org, also launched a quick response showing that the e-mails had been taken out of context. But they were largely alone. “I haven’t had all that many other scientists helping in that effort,” Mann told me recently.

So writes Chris Mooney in his must-read op-ed opinion piece in the Washington Post, “On issues like global warming and evolution, scientists need to speak up.”  It looks like the Post is feeling just a tad guilty over the travesty of the Sarah Palin op-ed, having now published three responses, though only one was on the op-ed page.  Mooney is on the second page of the Outlook section, which probably gets much fewer readers than the op-ed page now residing in the paper’s front section.

I certainly can’t disagree with Mooney’s core argument, since I have been making a similar point for a while (see Why scientists aren’t more persuasive, Part 1).  Indeed, Physics World published a piece of mine on this very subject last year (see “Publicize or perish: The scientific community is failing miserably in communicating the potential catastrophe of climate change).

I was so frustrated that scientists were not communicating with the media in a media-friendly way on Climategate/Swifthack that, after waiting several days for the scientific community to put together a media call, I did so myself (see Exclusive audio of press call today with Michael Mann, Gavin Schmidt, and Michael Oppenheimer on “Climate Science: Setting the Record Straight”).  I was also very critical of the scientist at the center of the maelstrom for adopting the Tiger Woods approach to media relations (see “Phil Jones has today announced that he will stand aside as Director of the Climatic Research Unit until the completion of an independent Review”).  Jones’ failure to speak up, failure to make himself available to the press the way Mann did, helped this story blow up.

BUT I can’t really agree that scientists haven’t responded.  Here’s but a short list of the many leading scientific institutions and hundreds of scientists who have:

Read more

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