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Yglesias

The Public Wants Good Outcomes, Elites and Institutions Should Try to Deliver Them

Jacob Weisberg’s article blaming “the childish, ignorant American public—not politicians—for our political and economic crisis” makes fun reading for anyone who follows politics professionally, but it’s fundamentally misguided. The fact that the public, in response to opinion polls, delivers contradictory desires about the details of public policy just shows that most people have a second-order desire to not invest their time learning the answers to these questions. If you tried to decide how to build highway overpasses by polling people, you’d have (a) paralysis, (b) shitty highways, (c) snarky articles about how public ignorance rather than bad engineering was to blame. But the reality is that that would be a dumb way to build overpasses.

At the end of the day, I don’t think public opinion about policy is all that hard to figure out. People like conditions in the country to be good, and they get upset when conditions are not good. Effective politicians deliver good outcomes, and effective political institutions create incentives for those with power to do their best to deliver good outcomes. Right now, the outcomes being delivered by the Obama administration are not that good. But the nature of our political institutions is that these outcomes don’t represent the Obama administration’s best effort to deliver good outcomes. Instead, you get a weird mishmash of administration ideas, opposition obstructionism, “centrist” preening, liberal whining, etc., etc., etc.

Politics

Marco Rubio faces criticism over opposition to including immigrants in the Census.

Charlie Crist and Marco Rubio This week, Republican Florida U.S. Senate candidate Marco Rubio accused his opponent, Gov. Charlie Crist, of trying to “dilute the voting power of every American citizen” through his support of including immigrants in this year’s Census count. However, the Sarasota Herald Tribune reports that Rubio took a much softer stance as little as a week ago:

When asked whether illegal immigrants should count on things like the number of seats that Florida should have in Congress, Rubio initially said last week that he was not sure and that he wanted to “research it more.”

“I think there’s good arguments on both sides of it,” said Rubio, a former House speaker and Republican from Miami. Rubio, however, also said that the census should have an “accurate count” in order to know how “bad of an immigration problem we have.”

Crist has remarked that Rubio’s “notion that you wouldn’t want to accept federal funding to make a political point is absurd.” Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-FL) stated, “It [not counting undocumented immigrants] would be pretty damaging to Florida. … Pretending they’re not there, not counting them, doesn’t make them go away.” State Rep. Dean Cannon commented that “it’s just important that the count be accurate regardless of their [immigrant] status.” Even Rubio supporter State Rep. Esteban Bovo (R) said, “So much funding is tied to the Census, and to be undercounted could have devastating effects down the line. … I really don’t want our community to get shortchanged.” Rubio later backtracked on his remarks to clarify that he was only referring to undocumented immigrants, not green card-holders like his Cuban immigrant parents once were.

More at the Wonk Room.

Climate Progress

At Behest Of King Coal And Big Ag, Ike Skelton And Collin Peterson Try To Outlaw Global Warming

Ike SkeltonSpeaking before a gathering of coal-powered executives, Rep. Ike Skelton (D-MO) announced Tuesday that he, Rep. Collin Peterson (D-MN), and Rep. Jo Ann Emerson (R-MO) were introducing yet another piece of legislation to roll back Clean Air Act action on global warming pollution. Skelton’s Dirty Air Act comes on the heels of similar legislation by Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK), Rep. Jerry Moran (R-KS), and Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-ND). At the Missouri Rural Electric Cooperative State Legislative Conference, Skelton argued that because Congressional action on climate has “stalled” in the Senate, he “cannot tolerate turning over the regulation of greenhouse gas emissions to unelected bureaucrats” at the Environmental Protection Agency:

Simply put, we cannot tolerate turning over the regulation of greenhouse gas emissions to unelected bureaucrats at EPA. America’s energy and environmental policies should be set by Congress. It appears the clean energy bill moving through Congress is stalled. Let us set that bill aside and pass this scaled-back energy legislation. This bill, which represents a responsible way to move forward on energy legislation, gets the EPA under control, provides good things for American farmers, and builds upon bipartisan objectives that will help curb climate change and make our nation more energy independent.

The attacks on “unelected bureaucrats” are nonsense — the mandate to declare global warming emissions air pollutants came from the U.S. Supreme Court, the finding that global warming threatens the health and welfare of Americans came from independent scientists, and the plans for action have been approved by the Senate-confirmed EPA administrator Lisa Jackson and the duly-elected President of the United States, Barack Obama.

Critically, Skelton’s legislation would forbid defining any greenhouse gas as an “air pollutant” on the “basis of its effect on global climate change,” and prevent the consideration of the effect of ethanol production on land use.

Just as the coal industry has been warring against the science of global warming, the corn ethanol industry has been attacking the science of indirect land use change, which finds that a massive increase in biofuel production can cause farmers around the world to change how they plant crops and encourages the destruction of forests — leading to increased global warming pollution. These secondary effects can lessen or swamp out the global warming benefits of switching from fossil fuels to biofuels. Climate denier Peterson, who inserted pro-ethanol language in the Waxman-Markey American Clean Energy and Security Act for the agriculture industry last year in exchange for his vote, has announced he won’t support climate legislation again if it came up for a new vote. Amidst this political morass, the EPA this week incorporated land use effects into its biofuels mandate.

Skelton’s crusade against reality is putting his constituents at deadly risk. Skelton is ignoring the recent series of deadly floods, catastrophic ice storms, killer tornadoes, dangerous heat waves, and drought that have harmed the fourth congressional district of Missouri — all of which will worsen if global warming isn’t held back.

The rural electric cooperatives, though nominally publicly owned, are part of a nationwide network of climate-denying coal-powered companies, who are fighting climate legislation, even though it would lower their customers’ bills and stabilize energy prices. The National Rural Electric Cooperative Association is a top donor to Skelton, giving him $57,100. Peterson’s top donors include coal-powered American Crystal Sugar, at $84,585 among the $1,745,973 Peterson has received from agribusiness.

Yglesias

Money for Nothing and Yuan Appreciation for Free

printing-money 1

I’m perennially baffled by the occasional phenomenon of American officials publicly complaining about China’s currency policy. After all, what kind of a world are we living in when a great nation can’t think of a way to devalue its own money? Larry Summers is a brilliant economist, but he can’t think up a better way of making this happen then asking the Chinese nicely (or not-so-nicely) then maybe he ought to step aside and let someone stupid take the helm. Maybe it’s just that I have no idea what I’m talking about, but I actually feel confident that if Barack Obama put someone who doesn’t know what he’s talking about (me, say) in charge and give me a mandate to devalue the dollar I could get the job done.

To just name some crude measures, you could start musing allowed about how many we just won’t pay the Chinese the money we owe them. Or you could reflect on the fact that if the People Bank of China is determined to buy bonds and prevent the dollar from falling at all costs, then we may as well totally forget about the short-term deficit and just not collect any taxes at all for the rest of FY 2010. Probably something more subtle would work. But the point is that we’re still the only superpower on the block, and if we want the world to lose confidence in the soundness of our money we ought to be able to get the job done all on our own no matter what the Chinese say. They can take our pandas, but they can’t stop us from printing money.

The thing is that when the Obama administration isn’t specifically talking about Chinese exchange rate policy, it acts like it has the reverse problem—like we’re a small open economy that’s very worried about an imminent collapse in investor faith in the soundness of our monetary/budget situation. But there’s no evidence that this is a real problem. And insisting that China alter the exchange rate situation while we undergo simultaneously fiscal and monetary retrenchment amounts to demand massive retrenchment by the Chinese government. But why should they do that? And why should we want them to?

Politics

Utah state representative claims climate change is a ‘conspiracy’ aimed at population control.

On Thursday, the Utah House Natural Resources Committee passed a resolution expressing the legislature’s belief that “climate alarmists’ carbon dioxide-related global warming hypothesis is unable to account for the current downturn in global temperatures.” The resolution, which now goes to the full House for a vote, urges the EPA to not regulate pollution blamed for climate change “until a full and independent investigation of the climate data conspiracy and global warming science can be substantiated.” When some members of the committee questioned the “conspiracy” wording as “pretty inflammatory,” Rep. Mike Noel (R) claimed that climate change is “in fact a conspiracy to limit population not only in this country but across the globe”:

But Noel defended the “conspiracy” wording, pointing to an out-of-print textbook, Ecoscience: Population, Resources, Environment , written in the 1970s by biologist Paul Ehrlich, Ehrlich’s wife, Anne, and physicist John Holdren about the potential hazards of unchecked population.

The Kanab Republican, referring to Holdren as the Obama administration’s “energy czar,” read from passages of the 1,000-plus-page tome about population-control alternatives that included abortion and forced sterilization. He did not share the authors’ conclusion: that voluntary population-limiting methods are “a far better choice.”

“Now, if you can’t see a connection [of a conspiracy] to that,” the legislator said, “you’re absolutely blind to what is going on. This is absolutely — in my mind, this is in fact a conspiracy to limit population not only in this country but across the globe.”

Discussing the resolution yesterday, Noel said that “sometimes when we don’t have all the answers, we need to have the courage to do nothing.”

Yglesias

Saving Money vs Spending Less Money

When talking about the household budget, I think it’s commonplace to draw a distinction between a claim like “you could save money by bringing Diet Coke from the store into the office rather than using the soda machine” and a claim like “you could save money by buying Popov instead of Grey Goose” or “you could save money by never drinking anything other than tap water.” These are on a spectrum, basically, between the idea of getting the same stuff in a cheaper way and spending less money by buying less stuff.

Unfortunately, we don’t do a good job of drawing these distinctions in the public sector. I was on the radio yesterday, for example, with a woman who said that the GOP’s Medicare privatization plan would save money by giving people vouchers to buy private insurance. That makes it sound like the Diet Coke case. But what Ryan’s plan actually does is first privatize/vouchers Medicare, and then “save money” by arbitrarily mandating that the cost of the vouchers have to grow slower than the cost of health care. In other words, with every passing year Ryancare vouchers get smaller and smaller relative to the cost of medicine. That’s just “saving” money by buying less. It’s like saying the police department could save money by not replacing officers who retire. It reduces expenditures, but not by exploiting any exciting efficiencies.

Politics

Steele: ‘Trust Me, After Taxes, A Million Dollars Is Not A Lot Of Money’

zSteele3RNC Chairman Michael Steele and former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D-TN) held a joint appearance Thursday night at the University of Arkansas at Little Rock. When the debate turned to President Obama’s plan to let the Bush tax cuts expire on families making over $250,000, Steele “joke[d]” that that wasn’t very much money:

The two often traded jokes, especially when Steele panned President Barack Obama’s long-stated plan to let income tax rates return to higher levels for families making more than $250,000 a year.

Trust me, after taxes, a million dollars is not a lot of money,” Steele said.

Ford later asked the audience of mostly college students, “Who in here makes a million dollars a year?”

“How many of you want to make a million dollars a year?” Steele quickly responded when no hands were raised.

Of course, to most Americans, $250,000 — let alone a million — is “a lot of money.” The median household income is about $52,000 and only two percent of Americans make $250,000 or more. Fewer than half-a-percent make more than a million dollars. “After taxes,” someone making a million dollars can still expect to keep about $675,000.

Yet Steele is not alone in his out-of-touch assertion. Hate radio host Rush Limbaugh — who reportedly makes about $50 million a year — also recently argued that “$250,000 is not wealthy.” And like Limbaugh, we can “trust” Steele about high income. In addition to his $223,500-a-year RNC post, Steele charges between $8,000 and $20,000 for personal speaking engagements. Indeed, the University paid Steele and Ford a combined $40,000 for Thursday’s event.

Steele’s claim reflects a larger conservative attempt to falsely claim that tax hikes for the very wealth will hurt the middle class.

Security

Charlie Crist Slams Marco Rubio’s Opposition To Including Immigrants In Census

rubioEarlier this week, Florida U.S. Senate candidate Marco Rubio (R) accused opponent, Gov. Charlie Crist (R), of trying to “dilute the voting power of every American citizen” through his support of including immigrants in this year’s Census count. According to Rubio, “the Census should count legal American citizens only.” Rubio later edited his remarks to clarify that he was only referring to undocumented immigrants, not green card-holders like his mother and father once were. Meanwhile, Crist and many Florida Republicans have accused Rubio of simply trying to score cheap political points and putting Florida’s best interests at stake while doing so.

Crist remarks that Rubio’s “notion that you wouldn’t want to accept federal funding to make a political point is absurd.” A post on Crist’s website points out that, when asked about undocumented immigrants and the Census, Rubio initially said last week that “there’s good arguments on both sides of it,” and that he was not sure and needed to “research it more.” Rubio also allegedly stated that the census should have an “accurate count” in order to know how “bad of an immigration problem we have.” According to Crist’s Senate campaign, Rubio’s change of heart is indicative of a broader flip-flop on the immigration issue.

Crist isn’t the only one attacking Rubio’s position, several Florida Republicans and Latino activists have denounced his remarks. Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-FL) stated, “It [not counting undocumented immigrants] would be pretty damaging to Florida. The reality is, whether you like it or not, there are undocumented, illegal people in the state. Pretending they’re not there, not counting them, doesn’t make them go away.” State Rep. Dean Cannon commented that “it’s just important that the count be accurate regardless of their [immigrant] status.” Even Marco Rubio supporter State Rep. Esteban Bovo (R) said, “So much funding is tied to the Census, and to be undercounted could have devastating effects down the line…I really don’t want our community to get shortchanged.”

A 2009 report by the Drum Major Institute (DMI) shows that not counting undocumented immigrants would lead to inaccurate demographic information and result in costly mistakes in infrastructure, education, and healthcare planning. DMI points out that businesses also rely on accurate social, economic and demographic census information so they can make smart investment decisions. DMI further argues that “leaving out undocumented immigrants deprives citizens of political power and political voice.”

Yglesias

The CAP/Dwell Connection

Penelope Green reports for the New York Times about the vast cultural influence of my twitter feed:

The earnestly modern habitats extolled in Dwell magazine, which celebrates its 10th birthday this year, veered into parody last week, pushed there by a mischievous blog called Unhappy Hipsters (unhappyhipsters.tumblr.com). With its deadpan captions (example below), it ricocheted in the blogosphere like a shuttlecock, as Twitterers like Matthew Yglesias, a political blogger, Andrew Sullivan of The Atlantic and Michele Posner, Dwell’s own managing editor, thwacked it onward and upward. Original Dwell cast members gleefully sent it back and forth. “We did brand the dispassionate hipster, didn’t we?” wrote Maren Levinson, a former photo editor, to Karrie Jacobs, the departed founding editor.

Dwell and The New Yorker are the only magazines I subscribe to, so I was happy to find the site. But yesterday someone pointed out to me that the CAP/Dwell nexus goes deeper than I’d realized, as my colleague Nina Hachigian has been featured in the magazine:

I would write an amusing caption, but that's someone else's blog concept

I would write an amusing caption, but that's someone else's blog concept

I think the internet has basically supplanted print as a way to convey information about news and politics, but architecture photography still works much better in a magazine.

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