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Economy

Shell Provides Evidence That ‘Say On Pay’ Can Alter Bonus Structures

Last week, in the same interview that produced his cringe-worthy assessment of Wall Street executives as “savvy businessmen,” President Obama responded to outsized bank bonuses by pushing for “say on pay,” which would institutionalize shareholder votes on compensation packages. “I guess the main principle we want to promote is a simple principle of ‘say on pay,’ that shareholders have a chance to actually scrutinize what CEOs are getting paid,” Obama said. “And I think that serves as a restraint and helps align performance with pay.”

Today, Royal Dutch Shell provided some evidence that this approach might work. After the oil giant missed performance targets in 2008, but still saw fit to award performance-based bonuses, the company’s shareholders rejected its compensation plans in what the Wall Street Journal called a “stunning rebuke.” And Shell seems to have gotten the message, as its 2009 compensation plan has some major structural changes, including a bigger emphasis on long-term incentives:

The proposals constitute a significant step toward greater pay restraint at one of the world’s largest companies at a time when excessive awards to executives, particularly at banks, are a political hot potato. The salaries of Shell Chief Executive Peter Voser and Finance Chief Simon Henry will be 20% lower than those paid to their predecessors and will be frozen from July 2009 until January next year, according to proposals outlined in a letter from the chairman of Shell’s remuneration committee, Hans Wijers. However, the maximum shares the CEO could be awarded under the performance-related long-term incentive program would be increased from two times to three times salary.

While the overall pay level may not change, the emphasis is on a longer-term window for determining success, and bonuses can now be clawed back even after they’ve been awarded. The chairman of Shell’s remuneration committee said that the goal was “greater alignment with shareholders’ interests.”

For an example of a company that could use some reining in in terms of compensation, look at Citigroup, which literally paid so much to its employees that it “wiped out every penny of profit.” Other Wall Street banks are paying 80 or 90 cents out of every dollar they earn in employee compensation. “It’s not a fair shake,” said John Hill, chairman of the trustees at Putnam Funds, a mutual fund company. “I think the shareholders who paid for building that franchise should be getting a bigger share of the franchise’s profits.”

Some Wall Street banks, including JP Morgan Chase and Bank of America have voluntarily implemented shareholder votes on compensation. But the wider business community, led by the Chamber of Commerce, opposes mandating the measure, even though, in terms of instituting these sorts of shareholder rights, the U.S. is lagging behind other nations. For instance, Great Britain and Australia both mandate say on pay, and CEO compensation there “grew 2.4 percent and 25.3 percent, respectively, from 2002 through 2006, while pay in the United States soared 59.9 percent in the same period.”

It makes sense that more accountability to shareholders would lead to pay packages that are better aligned with the interests of the company, instead of the interest’s of management’s personal bank accounts. Say on pay won’t solve all of the problems that we are seeing in terms of executive compensation, but it is one small step that, as Shell’s experience reveals, can make a difference.

Politics

Despite His Stimulus Bashing, Almost A Third Of Pawlenty’s Budget Relies On Stimulus Money

Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty laughsIn December, Fox News’ Eric Bolling presented Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty as an example of a conservative politician making tough choices to balance his state’s budget. “A big hole and a simple plan to dig out of it, stop spending,” said Bolling while introducing Pawlenty. “Sounds simple enough. Hold the line on taxes, live within your means. That is how my next guest aims to close his state`s billion-dollar-plus projected budget gap.”

During the interview, Bolling asked Pawlenty about whether he would seek federal stimulus funds to help close his budget gaps. Pawlenty criticzied the idea, claiming that it would “delay the inevitable” by “just sending some cash out as a Band-Aid“:

BOLLING: Governor, what about tapping the federal government? What about tapping the administration, saying, hey, you know, there`s $550 billion in stimulus there we could sure use, about a billion now, to close that budget gap?

PAWLENTY: All that does is delay the inevitable for most states. Forty-eight of 50 states are in the red. Only North Dakota and Montana are escaping for the moment.

Just like the federal government, most states have these structural spending commitments that are not justified by the revenues. It`s just like General Motors. The management and the labor ran up the costs over time to unsustainable levels. The revenues don’t justify it, and the model is broken. And so the model has to be adjusted. It has to be reformed.

And just sending some cash out as a Band-Aid is not going to solve the problem. You are seeing that in California. What you`re seeing in California now and New York, it`s a preview of coming attractions for many states if they don`t change their ways.

Yesterday, Pawlenty revealed his proposal to balance Minnesota’s budget. The proposal would cut “$250 million from aid to cities and counties and $347 million from health and human services programs” while lowering taxes for businesses. The Minneapolis Star Tribune notes that “nearly one-third of the governor’s budget fix would rely on $387 million in federal stimulus money. That money isn’t yet in the bank and, if it doesn’t come through, the cuts could be far deeper.”

This isn’t the first time that Pawlenty’s actions have contradicted his words regarding the stimulus. Last August, Pawlenty told Bloomberg’s Al Hunt that most of the stimulus money was “misdirected” and “largely wasted” on projects that won’t create jobs. But weeks before Pawlenty’s comments, his own economic development director went on a 10 city road show titled “Advancing Economic Prosperity” touting the benefits of the stimulus. “Communities and job-seekers throughout Minnesota are seeing tangible results from this funding,” said Dan McElroy, Pawlenty’s “point man on jobs and economic development.”

Yglesias

The Shroud of Torino

Royal Palace gardens, Turin, Italy (cc photo by dalbera)

Royal Palace gardens, Turin, Italy (cc photo by dalbera)

Watching the Olympics this time around, I’m re-annoyed by the decision to refer to the 2006 Winter Games as having been played in “Torino,” something NBC personnel are apparently sticking to whenever they make reference to what happened last time around. I think it would be fine if the convention in English were to refer to European place names by some approximation of their native-language names, but the fact of the matter is that it isn’t. When I went to Italy, I visited Rome, Florence, Venice, and Milan not Roma, Firenze, Venezia, and Milano. We didn’t have Munchen games in 1972 and the US didn’t boycott the Moskva Olympics of 1980.

That’s just the way it is, you can’t make a one-off exception for one random Olympics. Turin is Turin, and calling it “Torino” is only confusing.

Update

Apparently in the local dialect Turin is “Turin” making this “Torino” business even odder.

Yglesias

Is The Universe a Hologram? Should We Care?

Hologram art, MIT

Hologram art, MIT

Tom Lee wonders what I think about this story:

If this doesn’t blow your socks off, then Hogan, who has just been appointed director of Fermilab’s Center for Particle Astrophysics, has an even bigger shock in store: “If the GEO600 result is what I suspect it is, then we are all living in a giant cosmic hologram.” [...]

The holograms you find on credit cards and banknotes are etched on two-dimensional plastic films. When light bounces off them, it recreates the appearance of a 3D image. In the 1990s physicists Leonard Susskind and Nobel prizewinner Gerard ‘t Hooft suggested that the same principle might apply to the universe as a whole. Our everyday experience might itself be a holographic projection of physical processes that take place on a distant, 2D surface.

I think the best thing to read on the general kinds of issues this raises is David Chalmers’ paper “The Matrix as Metaphysics”. The key takeaway point is that various hypotheses (maybe the world is a holograph, maybe the world is a computer-simulation, maybe the world is someone’s hallucination) are often presented as skeptical hypotheses when we should probably think of them as metaphysical instead. In other words, instead of saying “everything we thought we knew about the world is wrong and it’s all fake!” we could just say “aha, this is an interesting new fact.” After all, at one point it was determined that what we thought we knew about solid objects was all wrong. Solid objects, it turned out, aren’t actually solid at all—they’re made up of atoms, and the atoms are composed of protons and neutrons and electrons and are actually mostly empty space.

But people didn’t run around freaking out at the discovery that the world is fake and actually it’s all just a bunch of empty space. Instead, we learned that molecules are made of atoms and atoms are made of protons and neutrons and electrons. Further discoveries about the nature of sub-atomic particles are, similarly, interesting and important scientific discoveries but they’re not taken to somehow debunk our previous knowledge of the existence of macroscopic objects. Similarly, if subatomic particles are “really” a reflection from a different 2D surface I think the important thing is to take the revelation in stride, as we have a whole series of scientific revelations about the nature of matter.

Alyssa

In 3D For the Money

That’s where Roland Emmerich is taking Foundation, apparently, saying:

Avatar has] just shown that if you do a movie in 3-D, you can ask for more money and that’s the trick. I think now everybody who does bigger movies has to shoot them in 3-D. I think there’s no way around it. I was on the set of ‘Avatar’ and I saw how it worked and I really thought, ‘That’s the ultimate way of making movies.’

I feel fairly ambivalent about a film version of Foundation, but that Emmerich is making it, and his attitude towards it, don’t encourage me.   I doubt any director could do the full scope of the novels justice, even in a trilogy.  The scope of time is so huge, the concepts so theoretical and so critical to the books.  The cast of characters is big.  If it succeeds and paves the way for a big-screen adaptation of something like the Mars trilogy, I might be more forgiving.  I do like me some epic.  But I’m not sure I can see that happening.  Fully absorbing something like Foundation requires, I think, the sustained experience of reading and concentration that would be interrupted by a multi-year gap between films.  Perhaps I’m a pessimist and a provincialist, mired in the land of books on this one.  But while in Avatar, James Cameron may have figured out a new way to spend money, he didn’t figure out a new way to tell stories.

Politics

Donald Trump: Take Al Gore’s Nobel Prize away because of ‘coldest winter ever recorded.’

Donald TrumpBeauty pageant and casino owner Donald Trump has joined the parade of conservatives citing recent snowstorms to deny the reality of global warming. He called into question the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize awarded to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and former Vice President Al Gore for their work in communicating the threat of manmade climate change. Speaking to the 500 members of the Trump National Golf Club in Westchester County, New York, Trump said that the Nobel Prize committee should “take the Nobel Prize back from Al Gore”:

With the coldest winter ever recorded, with snow setting record levels up and down the coast, the Nobel committee should take the Nobel Prize back from Al Gore. Gore wants us to clean up our factories and plants in order to protect us from global warming, when China and other countries couldn’t care less. It would make us totally noncompetitive in the manufacturing world, and China, Japan and India are laughing at America’s stupidity.

In reality, China, Japan, and India have all submitted greenhouse gas emissions targets under the Copenhagen Accord, and are leading the United States in the race to build the clean-energy technologies of the future. Furthermore, the unprecedented weather patterns that have brought snowfall to every state in the continental United States are the product of a record-hot planet. Following the hottest decade on record, we are now in the hottest winter in the satellite record, and this past January was one of the hottest Januaries on record for the planet. (H/T EcoPolitology)

Yglesias

What Do Liberals Want?

One annoying recurring feature of talk about the present political situation is the presumption on the part of the centrist members of congress who’ve been driving the legislative agenda that the left has, in fact, been driving the legislative agenda. It’s worth reviewing the mainstream liberal policy agenda for the 111th Senate:

— A $1.2 trillion stimulus.
— The forcible breakup of large banks.
— Universal health care with a public option linked to Medicare rates.
— An economy-wide cap on carbon emissions, with the permits auctioned.
— Repeal of Don’t Ask Don’t Tell.
— A path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants.
— An exit strategy from Afghanistan.
— An end to special exemption of military spending from fiscal discipline.
— An independent Consumer Financial Protection Agency.
— The Employee Free Choice Act.

None of these things have happened. And it’s worth emphasizing that the White House hasn’t even seriously attempted to do the vast majority of these things. I, personally, am a Great Big Sellout and think that it’s generally made sense for the White House not to expend much time or energy on futile fights. But the fact is that the fights could have been picked, and weren’t. Had the fights been picked, you could reasonably blame “the base” for whatever problems ensued. Had the agenda been enacted, you could reasonably blame “the base” for whatever backlash ensued. But the White House hasn’t been doing this. Instead, with the exception of the CFPA and not much else, they’ve been fighting for what they regard as a more feasible agenda that comes pre-trimmed to suit the demands of centrist legislators.

Economy

Senate Republicans Oppose Increasing Capital Requirements For ‘Too Big To Fail’ Banks

Publicly, Republicans are hinging their opposition to financial regulatory reform on their adamant refusal to create a new Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPA) or to implement a tax on the biggest banks, aimed at recouping money lost on the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). But the Financial Times reported that, in private, Republican senators are also opposed to one of the more basic facets of the reform effort — strengthening capital standards for banks that are “too big to fail”:

Senate Republicans are resisting a fundamental tenet of the Obama administration’s financial regulatory reforms in another obstacle for the stalled legislative process. Several aides from both parties involved in reform negotiations told the Financial Times that Republicans had opposed in private a plan to impose tougher capital and liquidity requirements on companies that posed a risk to the financial system.

Capital requirements stipulate the amount of money that banks need to have on reserve against losses, and are calculated according to the riskiness of a particular bank’s assets. The administration has proposed hiking the requirements significantly for “Tier 1″ companies, which are, for all intents and purposes, the very biggest banks that are “too big to fail.”

The administration’s plan is really a no-brainer. As Elizabeth Warren’s Congressional Oversight Panel has pointed out, “one of the key lessons that has emerged from this crisis is that our financial institutions did not have adequate capital reserves to weather the turmoil in the housing market,” as current capital rules “are out of date, subject to manipulation, and do not accurately reflect the risks associated with lending activities.” Even conservative economists like Gary Becker support increasing capital requirements for the largest firms, as it would make those firms “better prepared to deal with aggregate shocks to the financial system than they were during this crisis.”

And it’s not as if the administration is proposing particularly onerous new standards. Currently, banks have to have Tier 1 capital amounting to 4 percent of their assets, which the administration wants to double to 8 percent. For some perspective, Swiss regulators are pushing their banks into double-digit capital levels.

So what do Republicans gain by opposing these proposals? Well, it could be part of their rush “to capitalize on what they call Wall Street’s ‘buyer’s remorse’ with the Democrats.” Republicans are actively courting Wall Street donors, by promising to oppose financial reform. And if the latest lobbying reports are any indication, banks are ready and willing to spend. According to data compiled by the LA Times, “lobbying expenditures jumped 12% from 2008 to $29.8 million last year among the eight banks and private equity firms that spent the most to influence legislation,” with much of the increase coming in the last three months of the year as Congress considered regulatory reform.

Climate Progress

BBC asks CRU’s Phil Jones the climate version of “When did you stop beating your wife.”

The general meltdown of the media on the climate story continues with the BBC’s “interview” of Dr. Phil Jones, the climate scientist at the center of the hacked e-mail scandal.

Many of the question were spoon-fed from the anti-science crowd:  “The BBC’s environment analyst Roger Harrabin put questions to Professor Jones, including several gathered from climate sceptics.”

The interview reveals Jones is not terribly adept at answering questions, particularly the inane trick-questions from the disinformers.  Like many climate scientists, he issues very carefully worded statements in his own area of expertise and isn’t anywhere near as familiar as he should be on the literature outside of his expertise.  Of course, even the most careful wording can’t stop you from being mugged by the Daily Mail.

The interview is equally revealing of the BBC reporter, who is almost shilling for the disinformers here, asking some questions that go far beyond merely uninformed.  I’m so glad someone else thought that “several of the [BBC] questions were geared to get the answers the interviewer wanted to get, on the order of “do you still beat your wife’.”

This interview just about guarantees scientists and others will hear these questions again.  So let’s try to understand what’s the underlying purpose of some of these questions and look at some potentially clearer answers:

Read more

Politics

Nashville residents of all faiths pledge support for local Muslims after hate crime vandalism.

Clean-up at Nashville mosque Last week, the Al-Farooq Islamic Center in Nashville, TN was vandalized with anti-Muslim graffiti. Members of the mostly Somali congregation also found a handwritten note “taped to the outside of their youth training building a few blocks away,” with the words “The Enemy Is Islam” underlined at the top. The hate crime came after a local news station aired a controversial, inflammatory report about another local Muslim community. Since the hate crime at Al-Farooq, however, there has been “outpouring of neighborly support” for the mosque, with neighbors helping to clean up the graffiti. “It made me sick to my stomach, because I don’t expect this in Nashville,” said resident John Tighe. At least 150 people — “including spiritual leaders from several faiths” — also went to an open house at the Islamic Center of Nashville on Saturday to learn more about the Islamic faith and pledge “support for local Muslims in the wake of last week’s defacement” of Al-Farooq.

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