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Fiorina Brushes Off Concerns That Her Immigration Stance Will Bother Latino Voters

This weekend, on Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace, California senatorial candidate Carly Fiorina indicated that she’s not very worried about the effect that her support of Arizona’s immigration law, SB-1070, will have on her relationship with Latino voters. Fiorina instead pointed out that she has received a “large number” of endorsements from the Latino community and that the Latinos she has talked to have suggested that the immigration debate boils down to “criminals crossing the border”:

WALLACE: On illegal immigration, you support the Arizona crackdown — the new law in Arizona. What do you say to those Latino voters — and that’s a big voting bloc in California who say this is going to lead to racial profiling?

FIORINA: I am very proud of the large number of Hispanic endorsements I’ve received. When I talk with member of the Latino community…what they say to me is, you know what, this is a question of criminals crossing the border. The truth is this: the federal government isn’t doing its job. It’s the federal goverment’s job to secure the border. The Obama administration has defunded securing the border. And while Barbara Boxer stands up and challenges the constitutionality of the Arizona law and villifies the people of Arizona, what she should be doing — what I’d be doing — is figuratively standing on the President’s desk and saying “Mr. President, the federal government needs to do its job and secure the border.”

Watch it:

However, now that the GOP primaries are over, Fiorina may want to take a closer look. While the nation as a whole is largely divided on SB-1070, Latino voters overwhelmingly oppose it. Polling by the Associated Press and Univision revealed that 66 percent of Latino voters think the Arizona law “goes too far in dealing with the issue of undocumented immigrants” and 73 percent think it should be a minor offense, rather than a serious criminal offense, to enter and remain in the United States without proper documentation. Meanwhile, 86 percent favor providing undocumented immigrants with a path to legalization. Fiorina has stated that “[i]t isn’t time to have that conversation” on legalizing immigrants through comprehensive immigration reform.

Fiorina has instead maintained that “You don’t need comprehensive immigration reform to secure the border.” Yet, contrary to what she suggested on Fox News Sunday, the Obama administration has actually spent more on immigration enforcement and border security than the previous administration. Spending for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) increased from fiscal year 2002, at almost $7.5 billion, to fiscal year 2010 over $17 billion. Even during a year of cutbacks, the San Francisco Chronicle reported that “DHS escaped the budgeting process unscathed” in 2011. In February, the Department of Homeland Security unveiled a $56.3 billion budget for 2011 for which immigration enforcement and securing the southwest border are two of the its main components. Given that crime statistics reveal that the border is already reportedly “safer now than it’s ever been,” Fiorina would probably “figuratively” look a little silly standing on President Obama’s desk screaming about it.

In terms of the “large number of Hispanic endorsements” that Fiorina boasts of, Wonk Room could only identify one Latino group on her website, Hispanic 100, and less than a handful of Latino local elected officials who have come out in support of her candidacy. Her opponent, Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), has so far been endorsed by the United Farm Workers of America (UFW), the Mexican American Bar Association (MABA), and the Chicano Democratic Association (San Diego), along with several Latino officials on the local and state level.

Yglesias

A Chinese Perspective on China’s Currency

The Economist had the crazy idea of inviting Chinese economist Yang Yao to offer a view on Chinese currency valuation, and I think what he says is quite sensible:

However, China should allow the yuan to rise, purely from its own needs. China’s current policy aiming at a stable value of the yuan, stable domestic prices, and stable asset values, is being proven mission impossible. To maintain the yuan-dollar peg, the Chinese central bank has to buy all the foreign currencies earned from exports, pumping money into the economy. The result is high inflationary pressure and a high risk of asset bubbles. The central bank tries to issue sterilising bonds to get money back, but there is a limit to its success, especially if the US continues to pursue a weak dollar policy.

Then why hasn’t the Chinese government begun to allow the yuan to rise? The answer is interest group politics. While the central bank may want the yuan to rise, exporters, likely to be backed by the Ministry of Commerce, are against it and seem to have won the battle up to now.

It’s very clear if you look even casually at the debate in Chinese circles, that revaluation will need to be seen as happening at China’s behest and for Chinese reasons rather than in response to American pressure. At the same time, I think some level of pressure can help counteract the interest group issues inside the PRC. It’s probably good that the Obama administration isn’t “getting tough” and it’s probably also good that congress is pressing them to “get tough.”

Politics

E-mail from BP engineer called Deepwater Horizon rig a ‘nightmare well’ six days before explosion.

Tomorrow, the chief executives of the five big oil companies — including BP’s Tony Hayward — are going to testify before the House Energy and Commerce Committee. According to an e-mail released by that Committee today, a BP drilling engineer warned that the Deepwater Horizon oil rig was a “nightmare well” that had caused the company problems in the past. The e-mail came just six days before the well exploded:

wellcomment

More than five weeks before the disaster, the Deepwater rig was hit by several sudden pulsations of gas called “kicks” and a pipe had become stuck in the well. In fact, the well had to be shut down because of “one intense kick of natural gas.” The blowout preventer was discovered to be leaking fluid three separate times. “As early as June 2009, BP engineers had expressed concerns in internal documents about using certain casings for the well because they violated the company’s safety and design guidelines.”

Security

McCain and Washington Post Call For Foreign Policy Of Empty Rhetoric Toward Iran

McCain_BushOn Saturday, the Washington Post editorial board echoed the sentiments of speech given by John McCain that called on Obama to essentially say meaner things to the Iranians. The Post’s editorial headline leadingly asked the question: “What if the Obama administration fully sided with Iran’s Green Movement?

The least surprising thing about the Washington Post’s editorial was that it never answers its own question, because the answer is, well, clear: not much if anything would change, in fact there could be some seriously negative blowback.

While there has been legitimate criticism that the Obama administration should have over the last year spoken more forcefully for human rights in Iran, the basic problem with “fully embracing” the green movement is that doing so hurts the green movement. Following last year’s June 12th election the Iranian regime desperately sought to portray the green movement as a western-inspired plot, not an indigenous movement. Stating explicitly that it is US policy to support the green movement is handing a gift to the Iranian regime.

But even if that weren’t the case, what exactly are McCain and the Washington Post’s editorial page editor Fred Hiatt advocating? McCain talks about deploying “moral power” to undercut Iranian legitimacy domestically and in the region. McCain never says what he means by that and how that would differ from what the President has done with his Nowruz message, his statement on human rights abuses, and his speech to the Muslim world – all acts that conservatives on the right have derided. While “moral power” is a good rhetorical phrase, it would also be helpful if US moral authority wasn’t still being eroded in the Middle East by the fact that, among other things, that Guantanamo bay is still open.

The Washington Post got a little more specific, by suggesting the administration do some “internet firewall-busting.” Additionally, others have noted that the US should work to expand Iranians access to email and the internet and others note that some sanctions should be removed to allow Iranians greater access. These ideas may have some merit – but basing US foreign policy toward Iran on the assumption that President Obama can somehow will the green movement to topple an entrenched regime is silly.

Furthermore, McCain and Hiatt both say the President should mobilize like-minded countries against Iran. But isn’t this exactly what the administration has done by getting UN sanctions and by pushing the Europeans to take stronger action?

Instead, what McCain and Hiatt are advocating is the exact same failed bluster-based foreign policy that was pursued by the Bush administration, which enabled Iran to develop its nuclear program unimpeded.

Yglesias

AIDS in DC

By Ryan McNeely

At the D.C. gay pride festival this past weekend, I heard a lot of anti-Fenty rhetoric regarding the mayor’s supposed lack of attention to the HIV/AIDS crisis. Having been a D.C. resident for only a week or so, I’ll defer to others on Fenty’s performance, though there is some evidence that he has on at least one occasion inappropriately used the issue as a bargaining chip in his battles with the City Council. But Fenty has dealt with some of the most severe failings of the District’s AIDS Office since his term began and called HIV/AIDS one of “most serious problems” facing the city. And he’s right.

At least 3% of D.C. residents have HIV or AIDS, and officials believe that figure significantly underestimates the true number of those affected, as the estimate is based only on those who have been tested. For purposes of comparison, the CDC characterizes a population with a 1% incidence of HIV as experiencing a “generalized and severe” epidemic, and Shannon L. Hader, director of the District’s HIV/AIDS Administration, notes that the District’s HIV rate is “on par with Uganda.” The most recent data shows HIV/AIDS is on the rise throughout the U.S., but the District has the highest AIDS case rate in the country and new AIDS diagnoses are twice as high in D.C. than in New York and five times higher than Detroit.

There are many sobering figures contained in the report, but perhaps the most striking is that 7% of black male residents have HIV or AIDS, and, somewhat surprisingly, heterosexual sex is the primary mode of transmission for blacks — not gay sex or drug use as is the case for whites.

I wonder if Americans realize that one out of every thirteen black men in the U.S. capital has HIV/AIDS. Given the decline in the amount people are hearing about the subject, the answer is probably no:

americansaids

Aside from the obvious suffering involved, the saddest aspect of this tragedy is that it’s preventable. We know how HIV is transmitted and we know how to prevent its spread. 14,110 Americans died of AIDS in 2007, which is far more than the zero who died due to terrorism and about half of those dying in car wrecks. And yet nationally we spend less than $600 million annually on domestic HIV prevention services, a figure that has remained flat even as the CDC announced in 2008 that new cases of HIV are actually 40% higher than previously believed. HIV prevention programs work and are extremely cost-effective. When less than 5% of AIDS-related spending goes to prevention even though HIV/AIDS costs us about $40 billion every year in total, we need to take a fresh look at our priorities.

Update

Apparently Shannon Hader, Director of the District’s HIV/AIDS Administration (quoted above), resigned just last week under somewhat strange circumstances. Hopefully her successor will be up to the enormous challenge.

Alyssa

Three Crazy Nights

Get Him to the Greek is no masterpiece. There are too many shots of Jonah Hill vomiting, two too many jokes about Jonah Hill getting violated (by which I mean both of them are gratuitous and tasteless), one too many episodes of Hill being sent to buy heroin, a chemistryless relationship between Jonah Hill and Elizabeth Moss, and a reference to Forgetting Sarah Marshall that would be fine except for the fact that it makes us remember that Hill plays two different characters in that movie and this, making true continuity impossible.

But there’s much more about the movie that’s good than that’s bad, and despite its occasional discomforts, it’s well worth a watch. Given much more room to build a character, and as promising a character as Aldous Snow, Brand is just wonderful. He’s a plausible object of Hill’s worship and sacrifice, a man whose charisma, newly rediscovered for a Today Show audience, or fully on display for a stadium audience, outweighs his sometimes loathsome behavior. He’s struggling to be a good father despite having a fairly miserable one himself (an everything-goes-wrong-at-once sequence featuring the two of them, Hill, and Diddy is a debauched high point of the movie). He may be having as much sex as possible, but he seems to be a reasonably considerate lover, and to have been genuinely attached to his long-time girlfriend. I really want to see Brand in a fully-realized role outside this one. Because while he’s clearly drawing on his own wild past here, he puts a lot into individual scenes and individual moments, and I think he’s capable of building roles without personal resonance.

But then, we already knew that Brand had potential. Far and away the surprise of the movie is Sean Combs. Who knew that the way for the dude to establish himself as a serious acting talent was to embrace patent ridiculousness? He’s consistently hilarious riffing on his own outsized personality throughout the movie, but he’s good enough to invest a scene about searching for string cheese while preparing to watch Biggest Loser with his kids with humor I certainly would never have found in it on my own. I really hope he takes the lesson from this, and does more comedy, as opposed to say, moving from A Raisin in the Sun into August Wilson adaptations, or something. That’d be upsetting.

In contrast, the movie did nothing to lessen my discomfort about Jonah Hill. It’s yet another role for him where he’s playing basically a weak personality, someone who lets himself be lead along because he has no actual ideas for how he ought to be living his own life. He and Moss have absolutely no sexual chemistry, and it’s not remotely clear what ever bound their relationship together in the first place. By the end of the movie, he’s moved to Seattle for her career, perhaps the only time an Apatowian hero has made that much of a sacrifice for a woman, although he gets to be a rock star’s producer in exchange, so it’s not really a sacrifice.  I sometimes feel it’s fruitless to keep focusing on the rank sexism that infects the Apatow universe and its offshoots, because there’s no indication that a) it’ll ever change, or b) there’s any disincentive for the folks working in that universe to move beyond it. But there’s no question that the women in these movies deserve more in ever conceivable way: better writing, better plotlines, better partners.

Politics

Despite Hitting Critics Who Didn’t Read SB-1070, Palin Condemns Newsweek Story Without Even Seeing It

Newsweek’s new cover features former Alaska governor Sarah Palin with a halo around her head and the words “Saint Sarah.” The accompanying article by Lisa Miller explores Palin’s popularity with the religious right, especially Christian women. While Miller notes the feminist criticisms directed at Palin and wonders about her “real motivations,” the article is certainly not a hit piece. “With her new faith-based message, Palin gathers up the Christian women that traditional feminism has left behind,” writes Miller.

But Palin wouldn’t know all this, because she hasn’t read the article. Nevertheless, on Friday, she went on the Fox News show of her good friend Greta Van Susteren and slammed it:

VAN SUSTEREN: Well, who could forget that infamous Newsweek cover? It shows Governor Sarah Palin in short shorts, running shorts. Well, check out Newsweek’s latest Palin cover. Things are a little different this time. It shows Governor Palin with a halo over her head. The headline, “Saint Sarah.” Now, the article’s about Governor Palin’s appeal to conservative Christian women.

Governor Palin is back with us. Governor, what do you make of the new cover? Now it’s Saint Sarah?

PALIN: Haven’t seen it, but if the title and what I hear about the content is any indication of where Newsweek is going, it’s no wonder that Newsweek is doing so poorly. People are not reading that stuff. It’s not relevant. It’s not interesting stuff that they’re making up and writing. And that’s why they’re going down.

Watch it:

On Twitter, the Washington Post’s Howard Kurtz criticized Palin for mocking it before reading it. “My point on Palin is, read the Newsweek piece and then rip it,” he wrote. “Rip Newsweek too, fair game. Cover WAS mocking. But engage on the substance.”

What makes Palin’s criticism even more ridiculous is that she has sharply reprimanded critics of Arizona’s anti-immigration law who haven’t read the full legislation. From her Facebook page on May 18:

On Fox News this morning, State Department Spokesman P.J. Crowley became the third Obama administration official in short succession to admit that he hadn’t actually bothered to read Arizona’s 10-page long “secure the border” bill before condemning it and criticizing Americans who support Arizona’s necessary efforts to do the job the Obama Administration should be doing. Crowley’s statement follows similar admissions from Attorney General Eric Holder and Secretary of Homeland Security Janet Napolitano.

At first blush this revelation seemed unbelievable, but maybe I shouldn’t be surprised. This now seems “the Washington way” of doing things. If the party in power tells us they have to pass bills in order to find out what’s actually in them, they can also criticize bills (and divide the country with ensuing rhetoric) without actually reading them.

Maybe she didn’t get a chance to see the story because she’s too busy reading every single newspaper in the world.

Yglesias

The Biotech Bust

The always interesting Mike Mandel has an interesting post linking structural problems in the American economy to the failure of the Human Genome Project to provide the hoped-for medial breakthroughs:

genome_10364_image001 1

[T]he pharma industry invested heavily in ‘genomics’ and got hit hard when it didn’t produce a flood of new diagnostics and treatments. As a direct result, big pharma companies have been merging and laying off workers, not adding them. When’s the last time you heard someone talking about biology as a hot field for jobs?

This chart shows what happened over the past twenty years. In the 1990s, job growth in pharma and biotech was able to keep up, more or less, with job growth in health services. But over the past decade, just when you ‘d think that the mapping of the human genome would have created more jobs at pharma companies to take advantage of new discoveries, the opposite happened. The drug pipeline dried up, and the big drug companies went into job-cutting mode.

It’s a very interesting argument. That said, I do always think it’s important to emphasize that whatever the failings of the US economy circa 2007 it was in much better shape than the US economy in 2010. “Real” impediments to growth on the supply side exist, but this is always the case. What we’re currently mired in is new “nominal” demand side problems.

Climate Progress

Van Jones On Obama’s ‘Megaphone Moment’: ‘People Want To Be Called To Service’

Center for American Progress senior fellow Van Jones believes that the American public want to be “called to service” by President Barack Obama to respond to the Gulf oil disaster. Appearing on TV One’s Washington Watch with Roland Martin, Van Jones described the challenge the president faces in moving from responding directly to BP’s environmental catastrophe to providing leadership for the nation. Obama will “use his first Oval Office speech Tuesday night to outline a plan to legally compel BP to create an escrow account to compensate businesses and individuals for their losses from the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico.” More importantly, Jones said, Obama needs to provide clear leadership for the American people:

The country’s frustrated, and the President has not had his megaphone moment. Remember the last president. After 9-11, people were very frustrated. They said, you know, “Where is the President?” et cetera, et cetera. He couldn’t find his voice. And then he’s stumbling at the megaphone moment. And he stood up, and he said, “They’re gonna hear from us,” you know, “soon.” And then the country said, “Okay. He gets it.”

The President has not yet had his megaphone moment. When he has it, things will calm down, but in the meantime, what we wind up doing is distracting ourselves with, “Was he mad enough?” “Is he not mad enough?” “Well, he said ‘ass.’” “Well, he said ‘jackass’ about Kanye. Well, let’s talk about Kanye.”

People actually just want to be called to service: “What are we supposed to do, Mr. President? And we will do it.” That’s what’s missing.

Watch it:

Obama agrees with Van Jones. “In the same way that our view of our vulnerabilities and our foreign policy was shaped profoundly by 9/11,” the president told Politico, “I think this disaster is going to shape how we think about the environment and energy for many years to come.” Van Jones also predicted that “people are going to be shocked” by Obama’s “passion” in his address to the American public tomorrow:

You’re going to see him down, boots on the ground. You’re going to see him speaking more from his heart, and people are going to be shocked when they actually hear how much passion this president has to see a foreign company come over here, corrupt our government, kill innocent workers, slag up the coastline, destroy the ecology and economy in an American region that has been a jewel for us. When you hear his passion, I think people are going to be shocked. And then we’re not going to be talking about the profanity; we’re going to be talking about the profundity – of having a president that cares as much as the President does care.

Health

Even Anti-Reform States Are Starting To Implement The New Health Law

Texas Governor Rick Perry (R)

Texas Governor Rick Perry (R)

I’ve been worried that the state-based nature of health care reform — states are responsible for managing and regulating the exchanges and implementing many other consumer protections — would allow the many states that are suing the federal government over the constitutionality of the law to drag their feet in implementing the measure. Jake Grovum’s article about how anti-health care crusaders across America are reluctantly implementing the measure, doesn’t necessarily dismiss my concerns, but it at least tempers them. From Grovum’s piece:

Yet even in Texas, hollers of protest are giving way to the blunt reality of governing, as the state takes reluctant but real steps toward implementing the law. Already, Texas has developed a plan for adding Medicaid coverage for services at freestanding birth centers, an early requirement of the law. More broadly, Department of Insurance and Medicaid officials have begun working on the two biggest parts of the law for states: expanding Medicaid access and tightening regulation of insurers.

Similar scenarios are playing out across the country, where every state that’s actively challenging the law is at the same time taking steps to implement it, according to a Stateline analysis and information compiled by the National Conference of State Legislatures. Just like the states that supported the overhaul, opposition states are setting up high-risk insurance pools and setting up task forces to plan out how to meet an aggressive set of deadlines spelled out in the law. While some people see these steps as acknowledging the lawsuits’ slim chances of success, others simply see them as a smart backup plan.

I suspect that part of the reason for this dynamic is that the health care reform is actually a pretty good deal for states. Away from the cable news mics and the reelection press releases, governors stop acting like politicians and start acting like public officials. They have to realize that covering hundreds of thousands of new residents on the federal government’s dime is a cost effective strategy, particularly since it saves the states money on uncompensated care and other health expenses. The other possible factor is that unelected public officials who are responsible for dealing with the very pronounced health crisis of states like Texas and Nevada are undoubtedly pushing along the implementation process.

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