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Bush Legacy Defender: ‘A Lot Has Changed’ Since Bush Was Viewed As The Worst President In History

BushWaveAs soon as former President Bush left the White House in January 2009, Jeffrey Scott Shapiro launched an effort to “to correct the historical record about President Bush” through an organization called Honor Freedom. “The historical record must be corrected to accurately reflect President Bush’s legacy and for the honor of our country,” wrote Shapiro in a Jan. 22, 2009 Washington Times op-ed.

As Slate’s Jordan Michael Smith noted in April, “Shapiro talks about George W. Bush the way Buddhists talk about the Dalai Lama.” In a Jan. 2010 Big Government column — the website is owned by Honor Freedom’s communications director, Andrew Breitbart — titled “America Betrayed President Bush,” Shaprio wrote that “George W. Bush seemed to have an almost mystical understanding of what the American people needed when we needed it most” after 9/11 On FoxNews.com today, Shapiro wished Bush a happy birthday, suggesting that it will be a good one because “a lot has changed” since Bush was considered the worst president in history:

It looks like President George W. Bush may have a pretty good birthday today. After all, this time last year the liberal media was terming him as “the worst president in American history.”

But a lot has changed since then.

Shapiro based his conclusion on President Obama’s sub-50 percent approval rating, claiming it proves that “the challenges George W. Bush faced during his presidency were a lot more challenging than anyone ever realized.” But unfortunately for Bush and Shapiro, the annual Sienna Research Institute survey of presidential scholars was released last week. It found that Bush is considered the worst president of the modern era and the fifth worst president of all time.

Shapiro’s Honor Freedom “is independent of the George W. Bush Presidential Center” and has no official ties to the former president, but former Bush aide Bradley Blakeman advises the group and Shapiro claims that Bush told him that he’s “doing good work.” Like the man whose legacy he’s working to restore, it appears that Shapiro has prematurely declared “Mission Accomplished.”

Yglesias

Treasuries Bubble?

There’s some talk of the idea that maybe we should discount the current low interest rates on US government debt because, hey, speculative bubbles happen. I don’t really know how you could prove that one way or another, but I asked Ryan to take a look at the comparative volatility of long-term interest rates and the stock market and the result was a chart too wide to display in this blog so you’d better click the link.

Long story short, historically interest rates have swung around less than the S&P 500, but during the crisis period that hasn’t been the case. I don’t really have a suggested interpretation of that, but I thought I might as well throw it out there.

Security

Beyond The Federal Government’s Lawsuit: How Others Are Challenging Arizona’s Immigration Law

gavelThe Associated Press is reporting that Department of Justice officials have confirmed that the U.S. federal government has filed a lawsuit challenging Arizona’s new immigration law, SB-1070, on the grounds that it “usurps federal authority.” “As other states and localities go their own ways, we face the prospect that different rules for immigration will apply in different parts of the country,” explained President Obama last week. “A patchwork of local immigration rules where we all know one clear national standard is needed.”

The federal government’s lawsuit will likely focus on “federal preemption,” or the notion that that the Constitution’s supremacy clause mandates that federal law preempts state law “in any area over which Congress expressly or impliedly has reserved exclusive authority or which is constitutionally reserved to the federal government, or where state law conflicts or interferes with federal law.” However, while the federal preemption argument presents the most common case brought up against SB-1070, a diverse set of challenges have been raised in amicus briefs filed over the course of the past couple months that demonstrate the extent to which SB-1070 interferes with a wide range of government responsibilities:

SB-1070 Will Be Disruptive To Federal Enforcement Of Immigration Laws
(American Immigration Lawyers Association – AILA)

AILA argues that not only is SB-1070 federally preempted, but it’s also at “cross-purposes with the enforcement efforts of the federal government and its implementation will be disruptive.” SB-1070 explicitly states that “attrition through enforcement” is the official policy of Arizona. In other words, the law’s purpose is to make life so miserable for undocumented immigrants that they choose to self-deport. However, that’s not the approach followed by the federal government which tends to focus its limited resources on catching undocumented immigrants who are violent criminals. In that vain, the federal government has established several programs that “are intended to provide tools for use by the federal government and localities in enforcing immigration law.” Yet, unlike SB-1070, all of the actors are under the “direction and supervision of the Attorney General.”

SB-1070 Will Burden The Court System
(American Bar Association – ABA)

The ABA believes that SB-1070 will place excruciating burdens on defenders and prosecutors alike. According to Padilla v. Kentucky, all defense attorneys representing criminal defendants must be familiar with the immigration consequences of their case. Given that police will be required to investigate immigration status as part of any legal stop or detention, every minor or misdemeanor offense that is accompanied by “reasonable suspicion” that the defendant is unlawfully present in Arizona will essentially compel civil offense lawyers to become versed in immigration law as well. Prosecutors, meanwhile, will find that their ability to decide the criminal charges to be brought will be routinely delayed by Padilla’s instruction that prosecutors consider the range of immigration consequences.

SB-1070 Will Have A ‘Chilling Effect’ On Latinos’ Access To Social Benefits
(National Council of La Raza – NCLR)

NCLR argues that SB-1070 “will have a profound chilling effect on the constitutional right of certain Latino children to an education.” In fact, several reports have already come out showing that school enrollment is down. NCLR predicts that the “chilling effect” would “extend to other public benefits that are provided regardless of immigration status,” including Medicaid assistance, immunization programs, school breakfast and lunch programs, testing and treatment for communicable diseases, and some forms of disaster relief. NCLR also holds that SB-1070 will “foster discriminatory animus against and harassment of Latinos, compromise the physical well-being of many in the Latino community, and lead to an increase in racial profiling and other civil rights violations against Latinos.”

SB-1070 Will Frustrate The Enforcement Of Anti-Hate Crime Laws
(Anti-Defamation League -ADL)

Close cooperation between local law enforcement and minority communities is “essential” to the proper enforcement of hate crime laws. ADL’s biggest concern is that SB-1070 will “eviscerate” the local enforcement of federal and state anti-hate crime laws. According to ADL, this is because SB-1070 will create an “underclass of people who have no meaningful access to police services out of fear that their perceived immigration status…will subject them to higher law enforcement scrutiny.” ADL predicts that Latinos will be “deterred” from serving as witnesses, seeking protection, and reporting hate crimes — which leaves the entire community they live in “victimized, vulnerable, fearful, isolated, and unprotected by the law.”

SB-1070 Will Hurt U.S. International Relations
(United Mexican States)

One of the most highly criticized amicus briefs that was filed belonged to the Mexican government. However, while their complaints have largely been dismissed by America’s right wing, Mexico did raise a valid point: the U.S. is sending mixed messages to the rest of the world. Mexico understandably points out that “there needs to be one cohesive, consistent and controlling United States voice” on immigration. Mexico accuses Arizona of “impos[ing] its own independent and conflicting requirements” and “impinging upon the US-Mexico bilateral agenda and obstruct[ing] the bi-national collaboration to tackle immigration and border problems.” “Mexico cannot effectively cooperate or engage in meaningful bilateral relations with the U.S. when states are permitted to interfere with the sovereigns’ bilateral efforts,” states the amicus brief.

Climate Progress

Joe Bastardi, worst long-range forecaster on Earth, asserts “The coming cooling of the planet overall will return it to where it was in the ’60s, ’70s, and ’80s.”

More BS: “The vast majority of the long-range private sector meteorologists can see what is coming down the road and agree with me.”

Joe Bastardi is “the chief hurricane and long-range forecaster at AccuWeather and a national bodybuilding competitor.”  I can’t speak to his physical strength but he bench-presses a staggering amount of anti-science disinformation (see “Joe Bastardi can’t read a temperature anomaly map“).

To switch metaphors, he has now snowed his readers with a blizzard of inane predictions.

At StageCollege.com, his piece, “The Weather Year of a Lifetime,” argues he will never live to see another summer like this one.  At his European blog, he says, “And for the ministers of propaganda on this matter that don’t understand how this works, you will see NEXT SUMMER has the highest amount of sea ice since the early part of last decade.”  Seriously!

His predictions are based on his love of the satellite temperature data, which he simply doesn’t understand.  He uses Roy Spencer’s plot of the UAH data:

Read more

Politics

George Allen lauds Fox News: It can ‘get our ideas out.’

Last month, former GOP Virginia governor and U.S. Senator George Allen spoke at a Heritage Foundation luncheon and discussed ways that Republicans could push their “ideas [and] solutions out to folks unfiltered.” Media Matters notes that Allen singled out one cable news network that can help the GOP in its effort:

ALLEN: Cable’s been great – we wouldn’t have Fox News but for cable. You’d be stuck with the three broadcast networks. And Fox is rated very highly in viewership. So there’s a lot of ways we can get our ideas out.

Watch:

Allen isn’t the first Republican to recognize Fox News’ value to the GOP. Most recently, Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) walked back criticism of Fox, saying he’s “glad” the network is there to “counter to what the rest of the media has out there.” But also, perhaps Allen owes Fox some gratitude after some of the network’s pundits ignored and even defended his outrageous “macaca” slur.

Charlie Eisenhood

Yglesias

The Problem of Credible Commitment

cash-wad 1

As I noted last week, one problem hampering the design of effective discretionary stimulus is fear of the political impact of discoveries of waste, which leads to excessively slow-moving disbursement of funds. Another problem is in some ways the reverse—the difficulty of credibly committing to doing something temporary once you agree to put forward non-wasteful proposals.

This doesn’t arise if you really don’t care about waste. If we paid tons of people to dig ditches and then fill them in, I think it would be easy to convince people that we intended to stop doing that once unemployment fell. But conservatives recognize that, in general, liberals think the government should be spending more money on infrastructure projects and public services. So if we get to pass some spending increases at a time when the case for temporary stimulus is strong, who believes we’ll really give the spending up? And the same thing applies to conservatives and tax cuts. In general, it would be much easier to live up to the principle of balancing the budget over the course of the business cycle if there were political and social consensus around the level at which the budget should be balanced.

This is another reason in my view to think that whatever we do about the short-term economic situation, frustrated Keynesians ought to be spending some more time on trying to think up good ideas for improving the economy’s automatic stabilizers. The fact of the matter is that what we’ve learned in this recession is that in practice the American political system doesn’t deliver on discretionary fiscal stimulus in the way that it ought to.

Alyssa

The Disappearance of America Fererra

I realize it’s hyperbole to say America Fererra’s fallen off the map. She’s pretty fresh out of an 85-episode run as Betty Suarez. She was in Our Family Wedding and did voice work in this year’s How to Train Your Dragon, too. But other than that, the very generic-looking home-from-the-war story The Dry Land is all she’s got lined up this year or in the future:

I want there to be stories about our involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan, and I want them to be sobering, but I also want them to be vibrant, and intelligent, and startling. None of this looks like it will be, no matter how much I like America and Melissa Leo.

But Our Family Wedding was the same in its own way, a romantic comedy where the parents don’t like each other with the added detail that the parents are of different races.  These movies, or any individual project, aren’t really the point. The thing that always worked about Ugly Betty for me was that dudes came and went but Betty’s focus was squarely on her own life, and the story was centered the exact same way. And it’s not so much that Fererra is curvy, or that she’s Latina, although I like those things about her too. It’s just that too many female actresses end up accessories in their own stories, no matter the color of their skin or their body type. Some, like Katherine Heigel, seem content to do that, and no matter how much that depresses me, I can’t fault the choice if it keeps them working. But Fererra seems too precious, too talented, for her to resign herself to that. Maybe if she can’t find projects that let her be a true star, it’s better her for her to take some time off than to be the kicky, curvy Latina sidekick, the kick, curvy Latina girlfriend, or the only semi-kicky but still curvy Latina window dressing.

Justice

Ugandan Gay Activist Found Decapitated And Dismembered

The Ugandan parliament is considering legislation that would impose the death penalty or life imprisonment for some homosexual acts (which are already illegal), require people to report every LGBT individual they know, and criminalize so-called LGBT advocacy. Earlier this year, responding to worldwide condemnation, Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni “has encouraged his ruling National Resistance Movement Party to overturn the death sentence provision” and the Ugandan Cabinet is reportedlymaking changes to the legislation.

The bill may be in limbo but the violence that it has stirred up, has not abated. Jim Burroway of Box Turtle Bulletin is reporting that “the body of a Ugandan gay youth activist has been discovered decapitated and dismembered on a remote farm.” “The activist was a volunteer for the LGBT advocacy group Integrity Uganda“:

Judith Nabakooba, a police spokesperson, identified the head as that of Pasikali Kashusbe, one of the workers on Kigggundu’s farm and a member of Integrity Uganda. Pasikali and his partner Abbey are youth workers with Integrity Uganda charged with the responsibility of mobilising young LGBT people in activities which build community capacity to face up to the challenge of homophobia, especially in the area of attitude change and care through drama and sports activities.

According to the police, a mutilated torso which was earlier in the week discovered in Kabuuma Zone, about half a kilometre away from Kiggundu’s farm was probably Pasikali’s. The torso was described as belonging to a young man and had no genitals.

Pasikali went missing over three and half weeks ago when the country was celebrating Uganda Martyrs Day. All efforts by his partner Abbey and other family members to find him had been fruitless.

Bishop Christopher Senyonjo, Chairperson of Integrity Uganda lamented the murder of this young man as ‘absurd’ adding that, ‘clearly, the values of tolerance and social inclusion are sadly being sacrificed on the altar of state ignorance, ineptness and good old colonial stupidity’.

The anti-gay push in Uganda was inspired — and promoted — by the religious far right in the United States. In March 2009, three American evangelicals — whose anti-gay teachings have been widely discredited — went to Uganda and preached about the “dark agenda” of LGBT individuals. Just one month later, Ugandan lawmaker David Bahati introduced the “Anti-Homosexuality Bill.”

During a recent event at the Center for American Progress, Bishop Christopher Senyonjo, a retired Anglican bishop from Uganda and Chaplain of Integrity Uganda, criticized American evangelicals for preaching intolerance against the approximately half million gay and lesbians in Uganda. “Christian groups coming from here — that is to say, the United States — who are making it very difficult by preaching a gospel of hatred to the LGBT people.” “One wonders, if God — whom I do, many of us, I say, do believe — that God is a god of love, but some people are preaching a gospel of hating a certain group of people,” he said.

CAP Visiting Senior Fellow Bishop Gene Robinson remarked that “when violence occurs, or this legislation, like the Bahati bill occurs, you know when we confront them here in this country about that, they say, “Oh my goodness! That was never our intention!” Well, when you set off that kind of sparks you should not be surprised when it turns into a wildfire.”

Update

Box Turtle Bulletin is now reporting that despite several different sources on this story, it may be a hoax:

Sources in the U.S. and Uganda now tell me that the young man in question was not connected with Integrity Uganda, and that Bishop Christopher Senyonjo did not make the statement attributed to him by Changing Attitudes. I am still looking for more information and will provide updates as soon as I have them.

Politics

Poll: Tea Party Supporters And Republican Base Are Virtually ‘Indistinguishable,’ Share Similar Ideologies

Members of the Republican establishment are fond of treating the Tea Party as an original, organic political phenomenon that is separate from the GOP. In a Wall Street Journal op-ed from February, Karl Rove hailed how the movement “arose spontaneously” and “made an important splash” while warning that the Tea Party and the GOP “are, and should remain, distinct from one another” because “the sum would be less than the parts.” Similarly, early this year, a prominent Tea Party organizer insisted, “We must not allow the Tea Parties and other patriotic grassroots movement to be hijacked by the GOP.”

However, a new Gallup poll illuminates how the Tea Party and the GOP are already closely related because they share virtually the exact same priorities:

The Tea Party movement has been the focus of media attention during the past year, and has had some success in getting its preferred candidates nominated or elected in the 2009-2010 election cycle. However, as Gallup has pointed out, those who describe themselves as Tea Party supporters are in many ways indistinguishable from, and largely a subset of, Republican identifiers more generally.

As a result, Tea Party supporters’ issue concerns are not decidedly different from those of Republican identifiers. The two groups differ only slightly in their views of federal government debt and the size and power of the federal government among the 10 issues tested.teaparty3

Both Tea Party supporters and Republicans identified the same top three “extremely serious threats” to the U.S. future, and in the same order: “federal government debt,” “terrorism,” and “the size and power of the federal government.” On all 10 issues mentioned by Gallup, the average gap between the Tea Party level of concern and the Republican level of concern was only 3.2 percent. Gallup has also found that 79 percent of Tea Party supporters identify as Republicans, as opposed to only 44 percent of the general population, leading Gallup to suggest that “the Tea Party movement is more a rebranding of core Republicanism than a new or distinct entity on the American political scene.”

As Greg Sargent argues at the Plum Line, “The Tea Party movement gets a disproportionate share of media attention because of all the funny costumes, Hitler references, and fantasizing about armed revolution. But it’s hard to see what’s distinctive about the Tea Partiers’ actual political views and priorities.”

William Tomasko

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