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Economy

Senate Extends TANF, But Fails To Renew Popular, Job-Creating TANF Emergency Fund

For months, Republicans in the Senate have blocked an extension of the currently expired Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) Emergency Contingency Fund, a successful jobs program that has created more than 250,000 subsidized jobs for low-income workers through grants to states.

The Emergency Fund has the support of a slew of governors — with conservative darling Gov. Haley Barbour (R-MS) saying that it provided “much-needed aid during this recession by enabling businesses to hire new workers, thus enhancing the economic engines of our local communities” — but it has been sitting idle since September, causing states to terminate or greatly scale back their employment programs.

The TANF program itself is the nation’s basic welfare program, and before departing for the weekend, the Senate reauthorized TANF while leaving the Emergency Fund on the sidelines:

The bill did not revive an emergency fund, passed as part of the 2009 economic stimulus law, that enabled states to place adults with private employers and youths in summer jobs programs. That funding expired at the end of September after Republicans blocked attempts to extend it.

“This program delivers exactly what my colleagues say they want — jobs — yet time and again, they have put up a unified wall of resistance against reinstating it,” said Sen. John Kerry (D-MA). In fact, House Republicans named the expired program as one of the first things they would cut from the federal budget (saving exactly zero dollars).

As the Washington Monthly’s Steve Benen wrote, “in a sane political world, the death of the TANF Emergency Fund would be a pretty big scandal, and Republicans would be afraid to kill an effective jobs program with an unemployment rate near 10%.” Not only was the program incredibly successful, but it is supported by a huge majority of the public, according to a new poll conducted by Hart Research Associates:

A new poll conducted by Hart Research Associates reveals strong public support for human needs programs that aid low-income and jobless Americans. The poll, commissioned by the Half in Ten campaign, shows overwhelming support for the TANF Emergency Fund, with 79 percent of respondents answering in favor of continuing this successful job-creation engine.

And this favorability is bipartisan, as the TANF Emergency Fund “receives nearly unanimous support from Democrats (90%), as well as strong support from both independents (77%) and Republicans (70%).”

The basic TANF reauthorization was a golden opportunity to extend the Emergency Fund and get a highly effective jobs program back on its feet. Instead, Congress seems content with shrugging at nearly ten percent unemployment.

Yglesias

When Ethnic Lobbies Clash

The main thing that really powerful political lobbies have in common is the absence of any kind of coherent opposition. But Ben Smith gives us a glimpse at what happens when an unexpected clash emerges:

Israeli leaders reacted warmly to an unexpected defense of Jews and Israel, and criticism of Iran, from Cuban leader Fidel Castro in an interview with Jeffrey Goldberg. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu praised Castro’s “deep understanding” and President Shimon Peres wrote in a warm letter to Castro that the comments were “a surprising bridge between the hard reality and a new horizon.” Israeli officials, I’m told, saw the moment as an opportunity to widen a fissure in the hostility of the global left for Israel.

But Florida Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen — a key player because of her position on Foreign Affairs, and a longtime supporter of Israel — was less pleased by the opening. A Cuban exile and fierce Castro foe, she made her displeasure known to the Israelis — and even received an apologetic call from Netanyahu, which appears effectively to have squelched the unlikely dialogue with Cuba.

Jeffrey Goldberg snarks, “Could you remind again which lobby is so powerful?”

The answer, of course, is that they’re both powerful! But what’s extraordinary here is how much quicker Netanyahu is to react to a Cuba-related brushback from Ros-Lehtinen than he is to pushes from the President of the United States. The difference is credibility. When a Cuban exile representing a South Florida district complains that someone is being soft on Castro, she’s very credibly going to stick to her guns. And suddenly the patron-client dynamic between the mightiest empire the world has ever known and a small Mediterranean country snaps into place.

Politics

In 2009, Rand Paul Casually Compared Obama To Hitler, Warned Health Reform Could Lead To ‘Martial Law’

This election season, the GOP witnessed an extreme makeover of their candidates with Tea Party upstarts like Sharron Angle (R-NV), Ken Buck (R-FL), and Christine O’Donnell (R-DE) burying any form of moderation with their radical views. While they were unsuccessful, others among the crew of candidates former Bush advisor Karl Rove’s deemed “insistent, loud, and relatively unsophisticated,” were able to tap dance around extreme and unpopular policy positions and statements in their past to secure electoral victory. No candidate provides better evidence of this strategy than Sen.-elect Rand Paul (R-KY).

During his campaign, Paul swept much of his radical history under the rug to convince Kentucky that he was a palatable choice for the national stage. However, before the spit shine, Paul sat down with prominent 9/11 truther and “aggressive Constitutionalist” Alex Jones of InfoWars to articulate his views regarding “the war for your mind.” Released 14 months after the original taping in 2009, the interview entitled “Thought Crimes USA” sheds further light on Paul’s insights on the inevitable coming of the thought police, a new Hitler, and “martial law” before he was sanitized for national consumption:

Thought control: Paul warned that “we’re doing what’s called political profiling,” which defined as discriminating against people based on their opinions. “You know people were worried about profiling people for the color of their skin, now we’re profiling people for the color of their thoughts. You know, what are you thinking? Do you believe in something scary like the Constitution. You might be a dangerous person.”

A new Hitler: Paul casually compared President Obama to Hitler. “I think times of crisis is when we have to worry the most about things. You know, Rahm Emanuel, who’s chief adviser to President Obama, said ‘let no good crisis go past without allowing government to grow, these are our chances for government to grow stronger and for more security at the expense of liberty.’ And it’s happened before. When you have severe crisis, that’s when sometimes strong leaders arise. You had the money destroyed in Germany in 1923 and out of that chaos came Hitler who promised that these awful people were the ones doing this to you and we need to round them up and put them in camps. And the liberties just went out the window. But people actually democratically voted in a Hitler. And I worry about that again in our country.” Later in the interview, he jokingly asked if Obama supporters were wearing “brown shirts,” a reference to the Nazi’s paramilitary units.

Health reform, martial law, and vaccines: Paul warned that individual mandate in Obama’s health reform legislation could lead to “martial law.” He also delved into a long conspiracy theory about vaccines. “Well I mean, the first sort of thing you see with martial law is mandates, and they’re talking about making it mandatory. Um, I worry because the last flu vaccine we had in the 1970s, more people died from the vaccine than from the swine flu. I think you have to use your brain but I think every individual should be able to make that choice.”

Watch part 2 here:

Paul’s elaborate conspiracy theories mirror many other extreme, unpopular, and downright ridiculous viewpoints he harbored before contorting into an electable candidate. Paul has stated that he wants to abolish the Department of Education so kids don’t have to learn about “two mommies,” that Medicare is socialism, and that Social Security is a Ponzi scheme that should be privatized. Last May, Paul even told a local editorial board — and then again on NPR and MSNBC — that his belief in a “free society” means that whites-only lunch counters are the right of private businesses — a statement he later learned to dodge, but not refute entirely.

But regardless of the actual views of Paul and his fellow freshmen, the GOP establishment is working hard to make sure that they fall into line, appointing old hands and insiders to staff these anti-establishment outsiders.

LGBT

Gibbs Warns Congress Against Leaving DADT Repeal To The Courts

This afternoon, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs listed repeal of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell as a priority for the lame duck session after the Thanksgiving recess and reiterated the now oft-repeated warning that if Congress fails to lift the ban, the matter could be decided by the courts. “Do this legislatively, which provides an avenue with which to implement the policy. A court doing this is not likely to provide the Pentagon and others with a pathway for doing this,” Gibbs explained.

He also said he expects Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (D-MI) to hold hearings on the Pentagon’s Working Group study of the policy — whose release has now been bumped up to November 30 — on December 1, but would not say if President Obama personally asked Gates to expedite its release:

GIBBS: I’ll say several things, this is not a totally exhaustive list…There is no doubt that we’ve got to deal with issues around taxes. We’re going to have to deal with issues around unemployment insurance and compensation as well. You’ve heard the President make mention of START…There are issues around Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell that the President and I think many people believe are best dealt with through a legislative process and not through a legal system. [...]

Q: Did the President ask the Pentagon to hurry up to November 30th, its internal report…? [crosstalk]

GIBBS: I think the original date was December 1. Obviously the report is being released a day or so early to have some informal hearings on the survey and its results. I think those hearings, if I’m not mistaken start on the first [of December].

Watch it:

Asked by the Washington Blade’s Chris Johnson if Obama anticipates the service chiefs — all of whom had previously opposed repeal — can be swayed by the report, Gibbs said that the chiefs are still engaged in ongoing discussions with Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Admiral Mike Mullen about their positions. He added Obama hasn’t yet seen the report, but hinted that he would not necessarily need the support of the chiefs to go through with repeal.

“The President has known where people have stood on this policy for as long as he’s supported changing that policy, so I think it will be important to view the attitudes and to use those attitudes to craft a pathway to implementing a changed legislative policy,” Gibbs said.

Update

Levin believes hearings about the Pentagon’s report will “boost” the chance of repealing DADT:

“I believe our hearings on the report will be a boost to the goal of passing a National Defense Authorization Act, including provisions related to repeal of ‘don’t ask, don’t tell. Passage of the Defense Authorization Act is essential to our troops and their families and to our national defense.”

Yglesias

Accessory Dwellings and Household Size

Here’s an excellent point from Ken Archer about the debate over whether to ease restrictions on “accessory dwellings” (basically letting people put separate rental apartments in their attics or basements):

In fact, the greater numbers of residents in existing buildings is actually part of the neighborhood’s historic character. In 1950, DC had 13,151 people per square mile. As of 2000, it had only 9,316 people per square mile despite building more buildings. This happened because household sizes decreased; 44% of households have only one person compared to 14.3% in 1950, and the number of children declined 39%.

Allowing a childless couple or empty nester to rent out a basement apartment or carriage house actually lets Georgetown’s historic buildings hold the same numbers of residents they used to hold, and bring potential customers to the neighborhoods’ shops.

Of course the real issue here concerns parking. Currently street parking is priced cheaper than what a free market would bring. That’s a regressive transfer of resources from poor people to rich ones. It also leads to parking space shortages. Rich people in Georgetown (and elsewhere!) would like to hold on to their regressive gains, but they also want to avoid a situation in which shortages become worse. Archer suggests that parking shortages “should be addressed by better management of on-street parking.”

And I entirely agree. Better management of on-street parking, i.e. market prices, would be a great idea. But while that does solve the scarcity it doesn’t really address the “I’m currently getting an unfair subsidy and I don’t intend to give it up” issue. I think the best path forward would be for reformers to simply acknowledge that people who have these subsidies feel that a right to benefit from bad public policy was one of the things they bought when they bought their home, and for the recipients of the subsidies to acknowledge that they just want what’s theirs and don’t actually care about the rest of it. That would clear the way to a solution, namely a big increase in residential parking permit fees that grandfathers all the incumbents in. That’s not optimal policy by any means, but it would let incumbents obtain their core demands at minimum cost to outsiders.

Alyssa

He’ll Be In The Sky

Is it me, or is this video a little…introspective for B.o.B. at this point in his career?

B.o.BNew MusicMore Music Videos

I understand that the process of getting famous has become dramatically accelerated in the age of the mixtape and the internet, and that it is probably pretty overwhelming to rise this fast. But “Don’t Let Me Fall” is both a reflection on fame and B.o.B. at the top of his game. He could stand to be a little more exuberant about it. It’s not bad to be this famous and successful! And I’d hate to see him go the mopey way of Drake at just 22.

Politics

Rep.-Elect Allen West: In D.C. ‘You Don’t See People Getting Laid Off’ And ‘You Don’t See Anyone Suffering’

Yesterday, Rep.-elect Allen West (R-FL), who has risen to national prominence amid controversy over his disparaging views of Islam, progressives, and multiculturalism, appeared on Meet the Press. In the process of explaining why we should permanently extend the Bush tax breaks for millionaires – a move that would add $830 billion to the deficit over the next ten years alone – West made some curious comments about the economic situation in his new home of Washington, D.C. After noting that unemployment is as high as 13 percent in his Florida district and foreclosures are skyrocketing, West claimed that “you don’t see people getting laid off” and “you don’t see anyone suffering” in our nation’s capital:

GREGORY: The — Congressman, the — on the issue of tax cuts, do you buy the president’s argument, “Look, let’s extend those Bush-era tax cuts for the middle class first, then we can come back and do the upper earners, or at least have that conversation”?

WEST: No. I think that we need to extend those tax cuts permanently across the board. Look, I come from a — an area down in South Florida where unemployment is at 13 percent, foreclosures are absolutely high. We are seeing closed upon closed storefronts. But yet, when you walk around here in Washington, D.C., you don’t see people getting laid off, you don’t see, you know, anyone suffering, you don’t see the foreclosures.

Watch it:

West’s comments display an unfortunate lack of awareness of the economic hardships that many D.C. residents experience. Unemployment is low for the upper crust of Washington, including those who populate the halls of Congress — just 4.2 percent for those with a college degree, according to a study by the D.C. Fiscal Policy Institute.

However, working-class residents have acutely felt the pain of the economic recession. In Ward 8, which lies just south of Capitol Hill, the unemployment rate topped 28 percent last year, “one of the highest in the nation.” West’s comments about foreclosures are equally misguided, as local blog DCist shows with a video of residents lining up around the block and crowding into the Convention Center to receive free home loan counseling.

It is extraordinarily easy for congressmen like West to arrive in Washington, ingratiate themselves in lobbyist luncheons and the cocktail circuit, and assume that economic hardship somehow passed over our nation’s capital. As a result, it is no surprise that West would argue for permanent tax breaks for billionaires while — in the very same breath — denying the existence of poor people in D.C.

Thankfully, West will not chair the House subcommittee that oversees Washington, D.C. in the 112th Congress. That role will be filled by Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-UT), a man who believes that giving D.C. governing autonomy and voting rights is unconstitutional.

Economy

Cantor’s Claim About The ‘Reality’ Of Social Security Has No Basis In Reality

Two weeks ago, the co-chairs of President Obama’s debt commission released a report proposing, among many other things, raising the Social Security retirement age. According to the co-chairs, such a move is necessary to ensure Social Security’s continuation as a program. “As you all know, Social Security runs out of money in 2037. We’re not making it up. That’s the law,” said co-chair Erskine Bowles.

This sort of rhetoric has been repeated by members of both parties, with Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) saying “We’re going to have to raise the retirement age slowly, in a slow way that doesn’t affect folks 50, 55. But this is just math. We’ve got to do some of these things.” In an interview published today in the Wall Street Journal, the next House Majority Leader, Rep. Eric Cantor (R-VA), agreed:

THOMSON: Are you in favor of increasing the retirement age over the short to medium term?

CANTOR: I think the discussion has to be: There is a difference between those nearing retirement and those who are seniors right now. And those who are younger are not going to see the benefits that seniors today are just by virtue of application of the statute. The formula is such that benefits will be reduced. So if we do not do something to extend retirement age, if we do not do something formulaically in terms of the top end or the top tier of income earners, you’re not going to have this program. You’re just not going to have it. That’s reality.

The “reality” espoused by Cantor and the others actually has no basis in reality. If nothing — nothing! — is done to Social Security, it will pay full benefits until the year 2037. After that, the program is still projected to pay out 75 percent of benefits until 2084, which is close to full benefits once inflation is accounted for. There are certainly progressive changes that could be made to further guarantee Social Security’s solvency, but Cantor’s house-on-fire rhetoric is simply inaccurate.

Plus, of all the policy steps available to Social Security reformers, raising the retirement age is the most regressive, and is pushed due to a faulty understanding of America’s increasing life expectancy. Average life expectancy has been rising, but largely as a result of increases among upper income earners. Middle- and low-income workers have not seen the same increases. As the Center for Economic and Policy Research put it, “there has been a sharp rise in inequality in life expectancy by income over the last three decades that mirrors the growth in inequality in income.”

As Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman asked, “you’re going to tell janitors to work until they’re 70 because lawyers are living longer than ever?” For Cantor, the answer is clearly yes.

Yglesias

Trains, Planes, and Pollution

Fun chart from my colleagues:

What’s more, not only is intercity rail energy efficient compared to other means of transportation but it’s typically electricity which can be produced with much less pollution per unit of energy output. With automobiles, of course, we’re all looking forward to the future of electrification as well. But I’ve never heard anyone outline a remotely credible low-pollution alternative to jet fuel. Now obviously there are also distances across which rail doesn’t work as a credible alternative to air travel. But for shorter distance flights it’s important to understand that air travel is currently benefitting from a major unpriced externality in the form of air pollution. If we started taxing greenhouse gas pollution, then rail starts looking like a much better option on a range of short routes that are currently popular for air travel.

For example, today there seem to be almost 30 flights daily between Seattle and Portland. Clearly a lot of people are making the trip. If you built a high-speed rail connection, a lot of people would take that. But how many would obviously depend heavily on how the price compared to the price of those flights. And that in turn would have a great deal to do with how we price pollution.

Politics

Gregg Laughs At The ‘Absurd’ Notion Of Using CBO Calculations, After Urging People To Use CBO Calculations

As debate in Washington begins to focus on ways to reduce the deficit, Republican lawmakers — notoriously unable to actually specify any significant spending cuts they would like to make — often give repeal of the President Obama’s health care law as one of their best ideas to reduce federal spending. But there’s one small problem with this plan — repealing the Affordable Care Act would actually increase the deficit, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office, to the tune of $143 billion over ten years.

Asked about how he would save money on Fox News yesterday, Sen. Judd Gregg (R-NH), who is one of the few GOP lawmakers to oppose a full repeal, nonetheless claimed the law will cause a massive amount of new spending. He dismissed the CBO’s estimates out of hand, without any explanation, and found the concept of listening to the CBO so “absurd on its face” that he laughed when host Shannon Bream mentioned the office’s findings, saying, “if you believe that I’ve got a bridge in Brooklyn to sell you”:

GREGG: The health care plan alone will add $2.5 trillion in new spending to the federal government over the next ten years. [...]

BREAM: Okay, you point to $2.5 trillion in increased costs because of health care, but Democrats are going to point to figures from the CBO estimates and other economists saying that it is actually going to save us money. Where is the disconnect on the math?

GREGG: [Laughs] Hey, if you believe that, Shannon, I’m going to sell you a bridge in Brooklyn. I mean, that’s just absurd on its face.

Watch it (beginning 2:40):

While Gregg is quick to dismiss the CBO — or anyone else — who disagrees with the disinformation he is trying to push, the senator has been happy to heap praise on the office when its findings do comport with his narrative. While discussing health care in 2009, Gregg said, “the nail was hit on the head by Doug Elmendorf, who’s head of CBO — and who is, by the way, appointed by the Democratic leadership of the House and the Senate.”

In March, on Fox News, Gregg urged viewers to “go to CBO” if they didn’t trust a figure he had mentioned on Medicare. “[T]hey are the independent score keeper,” he explained. But just hours later on CNN, Gregg was back to attacking the office, saying, “of course” he didn’t believe the office’s calculations on the Affordable Care Act. Rehashing his familiar talking point, he joked, “If you believe those numbers, I will sell you a bridge in Brooklyn and probably two in Oakland.”

Perhaps Gregg should take some sage advice from a senior U.S. senator: “We can solve this problem if we would just simply listen to what the CBO proposed and proceed on a plan of addressing the problem rather than addressing the politics.” That senator? Judd Gregg, just over a year ago.

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