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Reid Pressures Collins To Accept Time Compromise On DADT, Murkowski Ready To Provide 60th Vote

During a press availability following the Democratic caucus this afternoon, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) praised Sen. Susan Collins’ (R-ME) openness in considering a fair and reasonable amendment process for bringing the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) to a vote, but stopped short of saying that he would hold the bill until he had secured 60 votes to proceed to the matter.

In the clip below, Reid outlines the agreement he has offered to Collins:

REID: I have worked a lot with Senator Lieberman and Senator Collins. Senator Collins has been most helpful in trying to figure a way to get this done. There was so me stuff in the paper today….

So I’m considering making it so it would be possible to offer 15 amendments. We would have an hour time agreement on those. Democrats would get 10, Republicans would get 5. We would also, if the Republicans felt they needed extra time on a couple of amendments they could choose those and that would give them an extra 4 hours. That is, they would have 4 hours on those two amendments, rather than 2 hours.

Watch it:

While it’s still unclear if Collins will take the deal, the Washington Post’s Greg Sargent is reporting that if she does, Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AR) is ready to join her, giving Reid the necessary 60 votes for cloture. (This is assuming that Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) — who has previously said he is undecided — is willing to vote with his party).

Murkowski’s “vote will depend on how free and open the amendment process is, but she has reached the decision that don’t ask don’t tell ought to be repealed, provided that proper preparations are implemented,” her spokesman Michael Brumas told Sargent.

Throughout the negotiations, Collins has been asking for a completely open process that would allow Republicans to offer an unlimited number of amendments.

Update

The big area of disagreement seems to be the hour of debate on the 15 amendments. Collins wants more time, I’m told.

Politics

Rep. Weiner: ‘You Aren’t Paying’ Taxes On Your Estate ‘Because You’ll Be Dead’

President Obama this week announced a tentative deal with congressional Republicans to extend the Bush-era tax cuts for all Americans for two years in exchange for a 13-month extension in unemployment benefits. While the deal included other popular tax credits and incentives, one provison in particular has drawn fire from progressives and Democrats in Congress: reinstating the currently-expired estate tax. In what the Washington Post’s Ezra Klein called an “ugly surprise” in the deal, Obama and the GOP agreed to exempt inheritances up to $5 million and to set the tax rate at 35 percent instead of an exemption at $3.5 million and the tax rate at 45 percent, which the House passed last year.

Democrats have been publicly expressing their displeasure with this giveaway to the rich. And today on MSNBC, Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD) called the estate tax measure “egregious” and said he may not vote for the deal with it in place:

VAN HOLLEN: This was not the best deal especially as it relates to the very egregious provision to provide a huge bonanza on the estate tax. … It has no beneficial economic result. … That provision would create huge concerns and possibly be a deal breaker. [...] This provision makes it very, very difficult for me to support it in its current form.

Also today, Fox News host Megyn Kelly defended the estate tax deal in an interview with Rep. Anthony Weiner (D-NY) — who has also been critical of it — saying that these Americans shouldn’t be taxed twice. Weiner pointed out the obvious flaw in that line of thinking:

KELLY: I don’t have a five million dollar estate, I’d like to someday, but if I work all my life and I pay my taxes on my income and then I die and I want to pass on what it would be great if it were a $5 million estate to my kids, why should I pay the government again? Why should there be a 35 or 45 or 55 percent tax on that again?

WEINER: You aren’t paying anything in that case because you’ll be dead. … Do you know how much this adds to our debt? It adds an enormous amount. No one can be in favor of that and then come on your show and say, “Oh I’m so concerned about the debt!”

Watch it:

The Wonk Room’s Pat Garofalo notes that, if the tax cut compromise goes through, the estate tax rate will rest at its second lowest level since 1931 (outside of the zero percent rate this year).

Climate Progress

Benin To GOP: ‘We Are Crushed By The Impact Of Climate Change’

The Wonk Room is reporting and tweeting live from the international climate talks in Cancun, Mexico.

At the beginning of the Cancun climate talks, Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK) and other Republican senators questioned the threat to the developing world from climate change, telling President Obama to kill the global climate impacts fund he helped establish last year. Inhofe’s letter argued that the scientific findings about “eventual impacts of climate change in developing countries were found to be exaggerated or simply not true.” In an exclusive interview, Mawusé Hountondji, the executive director of Jeunes Volontaires pour l’Environnement in Benin, told the Wonk Room that the reality is terribly different, but that he hoped politicians would rise to the challenge of leadership:

This year, for example, we are crushed by the impact of climate change. The people who are crushed are those who are very poor, do not have the money to adapt. The politicians who say climate change is not important, I think it is killing people. There are many many people dying because of climate change effects. If I have a message, it is that they must try to do their best. Because this is a problem of future generations.

In French we talk about generation de deux mille cinquante [Generation 2050]. In fifty years — President Obama, President Sarkozy, if you take their age plus fifty, I’m not sure that in fifty years they will be around. But the children will be there. And what kind of world do we want to give them? So that is my message. They must try today through Friday to give us a good document, a better negotiation, and we will be free and ready to help them to do their job.

Watch it:

Catastrophic rains this fall put two-thirds of Benin underwater, as “the worst floods in living memorykilled at least 60 people, left 150,000 people homeless, and caused an outbreak of cholera. “Areas previously thought not to be vulnerable to flooding have been devastated and villages wiped out.” “Even before the floods, an estimated 1 million people in Benin suffered food shortages and more than one-third of children under five were chronically malnourished,” according to a U.N. report.

Hountondji leads the efforts in Benin of Jeunes Volontaires pour l’Environnement (Young Volunteers for the Environment), an international youth organization working in 17 countries in Africa from Togo to Cote d’Ivoire to fight environmental degradation and poverty.

Climate Progress

Obama outmaneuvers GOP on tax cuts (mostly)

But the deal needs a clean-energy fix

If you look at the numbers alone, the tax cut deal looks to have robbed Republicans blind….

If you’re worried about stimulus, joblessness and the working poor, this is probably a better deal than you thought you were going to get. “It’s a bigger deal than anyone expected,” says Bob Greenstein, president of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

I agree with Ezra Klein here — and Bob Greenstein.  This is a good deal whether you care about the economy, the poor, the jobless — or the key economic factors that determine whether Obama is reelected vs. a right-wing Republican taking office (with a GOP Senate and House) and undoing even the half a loaf Obama has achieved to date.

Readers know that I yield to no one in my disappointment with the Barack ‘no narrative’ Obama.  His messaging is catastrophically bad, as is the White Houses’s overall communications strategy (see links here).  And  I just can’t see how history or future generations will ever forgive him for letting die our best chance to preserve a livable climate and restore US leadership in clean energy  — without a serious fight (see “The failed presidency of Barack Obama, Part 2“)

But the savaging he has been receiving over the tax deal from folks I often agree with — like Paul Krugman and Bernie Sanders and the gang at HuffPost — is beyond explanation (though Krugman tempered his criticism on the PBS Newshour last night once he saw the complete terms of the deal).  Even on strictly political grounds, Obama has done vastly better than one could have imagined — given the blunder (by Congressional Democrats, not Obama, according to Greg Sargent) in refusing to vote on extending the tax cuts for those making under $250,000 a year before the election.  That mistake — coupled with the obvious fact that every single Republican will vote in lockstep against any bill that did not at least temporarily extend all the tax cuts — made Obama’s choice obvious.  See also TNR‘s “The Tax-Cut Deal Is Actually a Win for the Democrats.”

Indeed when you remember that we live in the real world — where neither Obama nor Reid nor Pelosi is very good at creating a big picture narrative for progressive policies — the final deal is remarkable.  Obama got a $900 billion stimulus that creates or saves 2.2 million jobs and — from a bunch of former anti-stimulus “deficit hawks.”  Moreover, the public knows who was on the side of the wealthy in this deal and who was on the side of the middle class.

And — or, rather, ‘but’ — the final bill may even be bigger.  Indeed it must be.   We must extend the clean energy tax breaks and incentives — or if we follow Jon Coifman’s advice to “Steal the Republican Playbook “” Now.” we must not “raise taxes on clean energy jobs in the middle of a recession.”

Read more

Yglesias

The News From Iceland

First the good news:

Iceland’s real gross domestic product grew by 1.2 percent in the July-September period from the previous quarter, the first quarterly increase since the same period in 2008.

Then the less good:

That the economy was not yet out of the woods was made clear by data showing that in the third quarter, G.D.P. shrank by 2.1 percent, on an annualized basis, from the year-earlier period. For the first nine months of the year, the decline was 5.5 percent.

Arsaell Valfells, a professor at the University of Iceland, says “We’ve basically gone back to 2003 in terms of the level of standard of living.” Years worth of growth wiped out, in other words.

The scary thing is that, as Paul Krugman observes, Iceland is doing better than comparably situated countries. Massive collapse in the value of your currency takes a gigantic bite out of living standards, but seems to be a superior way of allocating the losses entailed by a crash than any other. Iceland’s hidden advantage here is that the country is tiny (Iceland is to Sweden as Sweden is to the USA) so it can have a crash devaluation without disturbing the global economy as a whole.

Climate Progress

Video: Ben Santer eviscerates Pat Michaels

Patrick Michaels of the pro-pollution Cato Institute is a fountain of nonsense (see Scientific American editor slams science denier Patrick Michaels for misusing their unscientific online poll).  So when Michaels, who recently said Big Oil funds some 40% of his work, is up against someone who really knows what he’s talking about, like climatologist Ben Santer, it’s a true mismatch.

Climate Decrocker Peter Sinclair has the video of the recent smack down on the Hill:

Read more

Politics

Two More Republicans Who Ran Against Health Reform Opt-Out Of Federal Health Benefits

Last month, responding to Rep.-elect Andy Harris’ (R-MD) hypocritical demand for government-sponsored benefits, Rep. Joe Crowley (D-NY) began circulating a letter among his Democratic colleagues calling on Harris and other members of Congress who want to repeal the new health care law to forego their own government health care plans. Two incoming Republican freshmen — Rep.-elect Mike Kelly (PA) and Rep.-elect Bobby Schilling (IL) — agreed to the deal immediately and now two others, Reps. Tim Walberg (MI) and Bill Johnson (OH) have also pledged to opt out of the federal employees’ health program:

– TIM WALBERG (R-MI): “Walberg didn’t take the federal plan during his first term in Congress, either. Walberg receives free health-care stemming from his 16-years in the state legislature.”

– BILL JOHNSON (R-OH): “This is one substantial way I can show that my commitment to the people of eastern and southern Ohio is to help them, not to gain exclusive benefits for myself,” he said, in a news release issued by his office. Johnson is not be going to be without health insurance coverage, however. He has health insurance available to him as a retired U.S. Air Force officer.

In reality, these two congressmen are still receiving health benefits from the government. Walberg is drawing on state benefits, while Johnson will be dependent on the military system, which is funded with federal taxes. Kelly and Schilling, meanwhile, will receive employer-sponsored coverage through their businesses. Meanwhile, the Wonk Room argues that if Republicans were really serious about “listening to the people who sent us here” — as they argued after the midterm elections — they would all opt out of their government-sponsored insurance plans.

Economy

Obama Tax Deal Would Cut Estate Tax To Second Lowest Level Since 1931

One facet of the tax deal negotiated between President Obama and Congressional Republicans that has earned Obama significant ire from his own party in the House is the proposed two-year cut in the estate tax.

The cut — which was crafted by Sens. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) — will bring the estate tax down to 35 percent with a $5 million exemption (meaning that the first $5 million of an estate can be passed on tax-free). At the moment, the estate tax is expired, but it is scheduled to come back in 2011 at a 55 percent rate with a $1 million exemption. Prior to striking a deal with Republicans, Obama had proposed setting the tax at 45 percent with a $3.5 million exemption.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said that the inclusion of the estate tax cut in the tax deal “add[s] insult to injury.” And if the tax deal is approved, the estate tax in 2011 and 2012 will be at its second lowest level since 1931, when it was 20 percent. The only reason that the Lincoln-Kyl cut doesn’t set an 80 year record is due to the tax’s complete expiration this year.

According to Ezra Klein, “a number of sources with direct knowledge of the negotiations have fingered the estate tax as the major player in the size of the deal.” “Republicans were extremely eager to get benefits for the top tenth of a percent of Americans,” one administration official said.

Just so we have some perspective on how few estates we’re talking about here, look at these details from the Congressional Research Service:

According to the Congressional Research Service, the Kyl- Lincoln approach would subject just 0.14 percent of U.S. estates to a tax and would generate $11.2 billion in revenue next year. By contrast, the 55 percent top rate, with a $1-million-per- person exclusion, would affect 1.76 percent of estates and would generate $34.4 billion in revenue, the CRS said. Obama had previously backed, and House Democrats in 2009 passed, a 45 percent rate and a $3.5 million tax-free allowance. If applied for 2011, those parameters would subject 0.25 percent of U.S. estates to a tax and would generate $18.1 billion in revenue next year, the CRS said.

So even at the 2001 level, which was never really on the table, fewer than two percent of estates would have conceivably been subjected to the estate tax. Obama, to his credit, said in his statement announcing the tax deal that the cut was a “more generous treatment of the estate tax than I think is wise or warranted.” That this cut is in a package ostensibly focused on boosting the economy — when it’s impact on job creation is “negligible” — is a testament to how deeply Republicans desire lower tax rates on the super-wealthy.

Update

More reactions from House Democrats:

“We believe the estate tax in the bill is a bridge too far,” the Speaker said. That provision shifts the balance in the agreement to Republicans and “ends any kind of symmetry between the two sides.”

Two other House Democratic leaders — Reps. George Miller (Calif.) and Chris Van Hollen (Md.) — denounced the inheritance provision.

“The estate tax is just gratuitous,” said Miller, a close Pelosi ally.

Van Hollen, the assistant to the Speaker and the House Democratic negotiator on taxes, noted the estate-tax provision would cost $68 billion over the next two years.

“I have very, very serious reservations with this deal,” he said. “I’m certainly not in a position to recommend this to my colleagues, I’ll tell you that.”

Alyssa

Surfer Dude

Matthew McConaughey is such a paradox to me. He’s a sufer-dude in life, and on-screen, he often plays someone who hasn’t quite grown up (epitomized by the awful-looking Failure to Launch). But in a world of boys, he’s got really manly looks, he’s one of the most grown-up looking actors of his age, outside of George Clooney. And he’s so often best in movies where he’s angry, frightened, pretending to be masterful, even where he has to be physically powerful. Such appears to potentially be the case in The Lincoln Lawyer:

The concept is window-dressing, the point is McConaughey going toe-to-toe with another actor who is often better when he’s under pressure or dissembling for a part, Ryan Phillipe. McConaughey has a terrific, expressive mouth: it can flare into a brilliant smile or purse into an expression of tightly-controlled rage or suspicion. Phillipe has those angry, hooded eyes, too: they interfere with him being a slight romantic hero, but they’re very good for putting insincerity into a smile, or in making him look very serious when he’s telling a substantial lie. He was good in Stop-Loss but great in Breach, a role that required more control.

I hope both men will embrace a Clooney-like strategy, and look for roles that are about the challenges of being a complete man. Love is part of it, like knowing how to confront a snow leopard when your katana is frozen in its scabbard. But there are other things in life, and in the movies, than being some broad’s method of self-actualization.

Politics

In Targeting Same-Sex Couples, Texas Pastor’s Bill Robs Firemen And Foster Children Of Health Benefits

Last year, the El Paso, Texas City Council voted 7-1 to extend city employee health benefits to their domestic partners, including LGBT couples. But while many celebrated the progressive move, the right-wing El Paso Word of Life Church’s Pastor — and self-advertised exorcist — Tom Brown slammed the council for “condoning immorality” and giving “a huge black eye to democracy.” Incensed over the idea of equal treatment, Brown spearheaded a ballot initiative to rescind these benefits, which passed this November by a 55 percent majority.

But, in his eagerness to rob gay and unmarried partners of their health benefits, Brown’s group quickly drew up the bill “wording on its own” because he “could not find a lawyer” to advise. By doing so, Brown’s blow to equal rights also doles a “black eye” to 200 El Paso retirees and public servants who will now lose their health benefits on Jan. 1 too:

[City Attorney Charlie] McNabb said his office had identified 200 people who would lose benefits under the language of the referendum that voters approved by a 55-45 percent ratio.

Only 19 gay and unmarried partners of city employees receive benefits under the ordinance voters rejected last week. But McNabb’s staff found that some retirees and others would lose their benefits because of the wording of the ballot issue.[...]

Some are spouses of deceased city employees and some are retirees with other jobs. Still others work for city agencies such as the Public Service Board and the 911 district but are not legally city employees.

In addition, City Council members have city health benefits but technically are not city employees, McNabb said.

Not only same-sex and unmarried partners, but employees of the 911 call center, retired firefighters, retired policemen, and even foster children will lose health benefits because of Brown’s bigotry. While admitting that he only intended to strip the 19 same-sex couples of their benefits, Brown said he has “no regrets” for doing “what was right,” and that city officials “have to respect the will of the public.”

Unsure if the public actually knew what they voted for, the City Council tried but failed by a 4-3 vote to vacate the so-called “family values” benefits ordinance two weeks after it passed. Brown then proposed another ballot initiative to “strip the city council of its power to amend or rescind voter-approved measures. “I’m feeling a call from God to get more involved in government,” he said.

El Paso’s normally “low-profile” gay community, however, is getting more involved too by organizing “Love” rallies outside of Brown’s church with posters reading “Jesus wouldn’t take away health benefits” and “Love they neighbor gay or straight.” And while Brown thinks “it’s a little late” for their protests, the public may get another chance to right the wrong. On Jan. 1 when the new law takes effect, the City Council “has plans to introduce an amendment to the charter to give voters a clear choice of who should get benefits.”

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