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Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell Repeal Achieves Major Victory, Passes Senate Cloture Vote 63-33

Moments ago, in a vote of 63-33 the Senate invoked cloture on a bill to repeal the 17-year-old Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell policy, paving the way for final passage in the coming days hours. The House passed the measure on Wednesday.

Democrats delivered eloquent speeches in support of open service. Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (D-MI) said, “I’m here because men and women wearing the uniform of the United States who are gay and lesbian have died for this country, because gay and lesbian men and women wearing the uniform of this country have their lives on the line right now in Afghanistan and Iraq and other places for this country.” Immediately before the vote, Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-CT), who has been the strongest advocate of repeal in the Senate, urged his colleagues to repeal the ban, saying “We’ve come to a point in our history, I hope, where neither race nor religion, ethnicity, or gender, or sexual orientation should deprive Americans of serving the country as the patriots they are.”

Throughout the debate, Republicans cherry picked statistics from the Pentagon report, complained about the process of bringing the measure to the floor and relied on folksy sayings like, “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” to make their case for preserving the policy. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) — the biggest supporter of the policy — even conceded that Democrats probably had the votes to pass the measure, before launching into a an awkward condemnation of liberal “bastions and Georgetown cocktail parties.” Watch a compilation:

Six Republicans, including Sens. Scott Brown (R-MA), Susan Collins (R-ME), Olympia Snowe (R-ME), George Voinovich (R-OH), Mark Kirk (R-IL), Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) all voted for the measure. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) — the only Democrat to support the Republican filibuster of the measure earlier this month — did not vote.

Update

The final vote on repeal may occur as early as today at 3pm.

LGBT

Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell Repeal Passes Senate 63-33

Moments ago, in a vote of 63-33 the Senate invoked cloture on a bill to repeal the 17-year-old Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell policy, paving the way for final passage in the coming days. The House passed the measure on Wednesday.

Democrats delivered eloquent speeches in support of open service. Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (D-MI) said, “I’m here because men and women wearing the uniform of the United States who are gay and lesbian have died for this country, because gay and lesbian men and women wearing the uniform of this country have their lives on the line right now in Afghanistan and Iraq and other places for this country.” Immediately before the vote, Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-CT), who has been the strongest advocate of repeal in the Senate, urged his colleagues to repeal the ban, saying “We’ve come to a point in our history, I hope, where neither race nor religion, ethnicity, or gender, or sexual orientation should deprive Americans of serving the country as the patriots they are.”

Throughout the debate, Republicans cherry picked statistics from the Pentagon report, complained about the process of bringing the measure to the floor and relied on folksy sayings like, “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” to make their case for preserving the policy. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) — the biggest supporter of the policy — even conceded that Democrats probably had the votes to pass the measure, before launching into a an awkward condemnation of liberal “bastions and Georgetown cocktail parties.” Watch a compilation:

Six Republicans, including Sens. Scott Brown (R-MA), Susan Collins (R-ME), Olympia Snowe (R-ME), George Voinovich (R-OH), Mark Kirk (R-IL), Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) all voted for the measure. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) — the only Democrat to support the Republican filibuster of the measure earlier this month — did not vote.

Update

The final vote on repeal may occur as early as today at 3pm.


Update

,In a press conference following the cloture vote, Aubrey Sarvis of SLDN called on Defense Secretary Robert Gates to use his “authority to suspend all investigations and all discharges until the law is finally repealed.”

Politics

As DREAM Act Fails, Graham Tells Undocumented Youth They Wasted Their Time

Today, the Senate failed to invoke cloture on the Development, Relief and Education for Alien Minors (DREAM) Act. Fourty-one mostly Republican senators voted against a bill which would have provided young undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. by their parents a path to legalization by pursuing a college education or serving in the military. 55 voted in the affirmative.

Immediately before the vote failed, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) took the Senate floor to tell the young DREAMers who have come to his office that they were “wasting their time” because the border hasn’t been secured:

To the DREAM Act, I have been involved in comprehensive immigration reform for many years. Senator Durbin and I have talked about how to make the DREAM Act part of comprehensive immigration reform. To Those who have come to my office — you’re always welcome to come, but you’re wasting your time.

We’re not going to pass the DREAM Act or any other legalization program until we secure our borders. It will never be done as a stand-alone. It has to be part of comprehensive immigration reform.

Watch it:

What Graham didn’t mention is that though he has supported immigration reform in the past, he and his party are largely responsible for blocking it in 2010. First he held it hostage to health care reform, pitted it against climate change legislation, and then turned his back on it altogether. This summer, he declared his support for changing the 14th amendment to deny the U.S.-born children of immigrants citizenship.

Besides Graham, the Republican senators voting against the DREAM Act today included Sens. John McCain (R-AZ), Jon Kyl (R-AZ), Orrin Hatch (R-UT), Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX), John Cornyn (R-TX), and George Lemieux (R-FL) — all of whom come from Latino-heavy states and most of whom supported either the DREAM Act or comprehensive immigration reform in the past.

So-called “moderate” Republicans, including Sens. Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Susan Collins (R-ME), and George Voinovich (R-OH) also voted against the bill. They were joined by a handful of Democrats: Sens. Max Baucus (D-MT), Mark Pryor (D-AK), Kent Conrad (D-ND), Kay Hagan (D-NC), Ben Nelson (D-NE), and Jon Tester (D-MT).

Only three Republicans voted in favor of the bill. After the vote, Univision anchor Jorge Ramos openly wondered how Republicans will be able to ask Latinos to vote for them after killing the DREAM Act.

Security

As DREAM Act Fails, Graham Tells Undocumented Youth They Wasted Their Time

Today, the Senate failed to invoke cloture on the Development, Relief and Education for Alien Minors (DREAM) Act. Fourty-one mostly Republican senators voted against a bill which would have provided young undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. by their parents a path to legalization by pursuing a college education or serving in the military. 55 voted in the affirmative.

Immediately before the vote failed, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) took the Senate floor to tell the young DREAMers who have come to his office that they were “wasting their time” because the border hasn’t been secured:

To the DREAM Act, I have been involved in comprehensive immigration reform for many years. Senator Durbin and I have talked about how to make the DREAM Act part of comprehensive immigration reform. To those who have come to my office — you’re always welcome to come, but you’re wasting your time.

We’re not going to pass the DREAM Act or any other legalization program until we secure our borders. It will never be done as a stand-alone. It has to be part of comprehensive immigration reform.

Watch it:

What Graham didn’t mention is that though he has supported immigration reform in the past, he and his party are largely responsible for blocking it in 2010. First he held it hostage to health care reform, pitted it against climate change legislation, and then turned his back on it altogether. This summer, he declared his support for changing the 14th amendment to deny the U.S.-born children of immigrants citizenship.

Besides Graham, the Republican senators voting against the DREAM Act today included Sens. John McCain (R-AZ), Jon Kyl (R-AZ), Orrin Hatch (R-UT), Kay Bailey Hutchison (R-TX), John Cornyn (R-TX), and George Lemieux (R-FL) — all of whom come from Latino-heavy states and most of whom supported either the DREAM Act or comprehensive immigration reform in the past.

So-called “moderate” Republicans, including Sens. Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Susan Collins (R-ME), and George Voinovich (R-OH) also voted against the bill. They were joined by a handful of Democrats: Sens. Max Baucus (D-MT), Mark Pryor (D-AK), Kent Conrad (D-ND), Kay Hagan (D-NC), Ben Nelson (D-NE), and Jon Tester (D-MT).

Only three Republicans voted in favor of the bill. After the vote, Univision anchor Jorge Ramos openly wondered how Republicans will be able to ask Latinos to vote for them after killing the DREAM Act.

Yglesias

Nice Regulator, Mean Regulator

I of course endorse Natalie Avery’s case for making the liquor license approval process more collaborative and less adversarial. There are some cases where adversarial regulation is really appropriate. Something like Spencer Bachus’ view “that Washington and the regulators are there to serve the banks” is totally inappropriate for that sector.

But local government should want to see businesses grow and prosper. Where the need for regulation arises, the goal should be help firms comply with the regulations not be super-adversarial about it.

In general, I think we don’t spend enough time thinking about when the “nice regulator” model is appropriate and when the “mean regulator” is what you want. But I think the main question to ask yourself is “would deliberately violating this rule on a consistent basis be a smart business strategy?” Think about restaurant kitchen sanitation. All else being equal, if you own a restaurant it’s in your interest not to make your customers sick. Thanks to information asymmetries, I don’t think we can trust this entirely to the market. Regulatory inspections are a fine idea. But we don’t need to worry about restauranteurs willfully trying to run unsanitary kitchens. The regulatory agency here should be a “nice regulatory” model that tries to help businesses understand what they need to do to get up to code.

Banking’s not like that. It makes a ton of sense for bankers to invest lots of time and energy in deliberately locating and exploiting loopholes and the like. Here you need a “mean regulator” who’s suspicious of the motives of regulated entities and always on the lookout for problems.

Climate Progress

Weekend News Update: Underground storage of carbon dioxide may trigger earthquakes, limiting sequestration’s large scale use

Prokaryotes and others can post links here to interesting weekend news/links.

Earthshaking possibilities may limit underground CO2 storage

Combating global warming by pumping carbon dioxide into the ground for long-term storage – known as carbon sequestration – could trigger small earthquakes that might breach the storage system, allowing the gas back into the atmosphere, according to Stanford geophysicist Mark Zoback. That hazard, combined with a need for thousands of injection sites around the globe, may keep sequestration from being as feasible on a large scale as some have hoped.

Read more

Climate Progress

Rockefeller: Preventing action on global warming “is too important for us to delay any further”

But WV Senator withdraws bill to block EPA after GOP pulls its support “so that they can gain some political advantage trying to take over this issue in 2011.”

Climate peacock Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) threatened to tie up the funding of the government with his coal-powered campaign to kill climate action before the end of the year.  But the Republicans killed the effort so that they could take the lead on it in 2011!

First, Brad Johnson explains what Rockefeller tried to do:

Read more

Health

Insurers Seek To Use Benefit Designs To Cherry Pick Younger Applicants

The Affordable Care Act prevents health insurers from cherry picking only the youngest and healthiest applicants by requiring insurers to accept anyone who applies without regard for prior conditions and charge applicants a modified community rate. But the industry is now trying to work its way around this goal and is lobbying the government for more flexibility in designing benefit packages:

America’s Health Insurance Plans and the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association both said in their comments that HHS should tread lightly when defining essential benefits, saying an overly broad policy could raise costs and make the process more confusing for consumers. “General principles and criteria should allow for plan innovation and flexibility to meet evolving market and consumer needs,” BCBSA stated. And AHIP said HHS should “only seek to identify general categories of care, rather than specific health care services.” [...]

But a health policy expert who reviewed the industry groups’ comments said too much flexibility could lead to adverse selection. If the regulations on essential benefits are too lax, the source said, insurers would be able to design their plans to appeal to healthy patients. She said that if HHS only sets broad principles for an essential benefit, leaving it largely to individual plans to determine which services meet those principles, plan design would become a tool for the same type of underwriting that health reform otherwise curtails or prohibits.

Indeed, if one designs a health plan without coverage for an expensive treatment or condition, patients who suffer from that particular ailment will go elsewhere for coverage. Conversely, a plan that offers discounts for gym memberships and focuses on primary care and prevention and is light on everything else, will likely appeal to healthier (read: less expensive) individuals. Given too much latitude, insures have an economic incentive to design the more profitable plan.

As the Center on Policy and Budget Priorities’ Edwin Park put it, “While there is a reasonable argument on the part of insurers that they continue to retain flexibility to design benefits that can improve quality while lowering costs (i.e. value-based insurance design based on comparative effectiveness research), you don’t want them to have so much flexibility that they can continue to compete based on risk-selection, rather than price and quality as intended by the ACA and what is critical for a better functioning health insurance market. ” He added that beneficiaries “wouldn’t want a particular plan claiming it covers one of the enumerated essential benefits like inpatient care and only cover one hospital day, or cover prescription drugs except for all the drugs used by people with HIV/AIDS, cancer, severe heart disease, or certain chronic illnesses like diabetes, etc, or charge much higher co-payments or co-insurance for certain higher cost services required by people in poorer health.”

Of course, all of this is a ways away, but it’s worth reiterating that while the legislative fight may be over, the various interest groups are now gearing up for ways to shift the law in their favor. For their part, insurers are already lobbying to, among other things, delay lowering rates for older people.

Politics

Fox News VP Attacks Maryland Study Finding The Network’s Viewers Are The Most Misinformed

ThinkProgress reported yesterday on a study conducted by World Public Opinion — a project managed by the Program on International Policy Attitudes at the University of Maryland — which found that that “greater exposure” to Fox News during the run-up to the mid-term elections this year “increased” daily viewers’ misinformation about specific issues. When asked by New York Times media reporter Brian Stelter to comment on the study’s finding, Fox News’ senior vice president for news editorial attacked the university, claiming it’s merely a “party school”:

Asked for comment on the study, Fox News seemingly dismissed the findings. In a statement, Michael Clemente, who is the senior vice president of news editorial for the network, said: “The latest Princeton Review ranked the University of Maryland among the top schools for having ‘Students Who Study The Least’ and being the ‘Best Party School’ – given these fine academic distinctions, we’ll regard the study with the same level of veracity it was ‘researched’ with.

Mr. Clemente oversees every hour of objective news programming on Fox News, which is by far the nation’s most popular cable news channel.

“For the record,” Stelter noted, “the Princeton Review says the University of Maryland ranks among the ‘Best Northeastern Colleges.’ It was No. 19 on the Review’s list of ‘Best Party Schools.’”

Yglesias

Money and Metaphysics

Paul Krugman and Kevin Drum recently wrote about the problematic definition of “money” in the modern world.

I think this issue can be helpfully illuminating by dusting off one’s BA in philosophy and attempting a little metaphysical analysis that will help clarify what the actual issue is here. What is money? Well money is currency. And it’s easy to say what the currency of the United States of America is: dollars. So what’s a dollar? Well the word is ambiguous. But a dollar is a unit of account—you can give the price of things that aren’t dollars in terms of dollars. And a dollar is also a medium of exchange. One dollar, is a perfectly safe perfect liquid asset with a value of $1. Four quarters are a perfect safe investment in dollars. Four quarters are worth one dollar by definition so they can never lose value in dollar terms. And they’re perfectly liquid: as long as you’re in the USA, anyone will accept four quarters in exchange for goods or services valued at $1.

The problem of the “broader aggregates” is that there are lots of things that have properties closely resembling those of dollars. My checking account with PNC Bank is basically perfectly safe (thanks to the FDIC) and it’s almost as liquid as quarters. The vast majority of stores will accept my debit card and there are ATM machines all over the place where I can exchange electronic checking account commitments for physical dollars. Something to note here is that some forms of physical currency actually fall as short or shorter of ideal-type money than checking accounts. A sack containing 10,000 Sacagawea dollars is, in most situations, a less liquid asset than an ATM/debit card linked to a bank account worth $10,000.

But circumstances can change rapidly. I remember a few years ago I was in New York during a giant blackout. That caused everyone’s ATM cards to be suddenly, albeit temporarily, useless. 999 days out of 1,000 the guy with the sack of Sacagawea coins is a moron, but when the power goes out he’s everyone’s best friend. The impact of this massive monetary shock on the city’s economy becomes difficult to evaluate since obviously the general lack of electricity was a substantial shock that caused all kinds of asset price fluctuations (perishable food plummets, batteries and flashlights skyrocket) and rendered many capital goods useless. But it’s interesting to try to think about.

What if there was no blackout, but for some reason all ATM/debit cards in the Denver area didn’t work for a week. Posit that the nature of the problem was well-understood and everyone is perfectly confident that their accounts will work again in seven days. So it’s not a banking panic, it’s just that suddenly these assets turn temporarily illiquid. The answer is you’d have a giant, albeit temporary, collapse in real output. Households would immediately pare back spending in order to conserve cash. Business relationships that are embedded in continuing social relationships would continue on a credit basis, but nobody would make any large purchases from strangers. Mass layoffs would be avoided only because the duration of the monetary crunch was known to be temporary and no boss would want to act like a giant asshole about the problem. Having the Army fly helicopters over the Denver area and literally drop dollars on the city would in fact boost growth.

So to return to where we started, the real issue Krugman is pointing to is not difficulty in defining money, it’s difficulty in quantifying the money supply. That’s primarily because the money-ness of different things can change over time. If money-ness were a constant property of assets, then you could say “a checking account is 99% money-like, so we’ll say a $10,000 checking account constitutes $9,900 worth of money supply.” The blackout, however, doesn’t eliminate the checking out instead it makes it (temporarily) much less money-like. And it’s challenging to quantify in real time how money-like different things are. We can say qualitatively that the “shadow banking” panic started to render large classes of assets less money-like. Letting money market funds go bust, as some retroactive bailout opponents think we should have done, would have had the same impact. So do radical revisions in estimates of the safety of short-term Italian debt.

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