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Yglesias

Alternatives to Inefficient Ticket Pricing

As history’s greatest monster, I’ve long been disturbed by good bands’ aversion to efficient demand-based pricing for their shows. Annie Lowrey’s article about LCD Soundsystem’s anti-scalper efforts is confirming my priors:

But LCD fans were not left out in the cold. The debacle attracted the wrath of the band’s charismatic front man, James Murphy. On LCD Soundsystem’s blog, he wrote: “this here is just to say that we were more than taken aback and surprised about the speed of ticket sales for the april 2nd MSG gig, as well as the effectiveness of scalper pieces of fucking shit at getting their hands on said tickets before fans could, and it’s knocked us on our asses.”

The market had failed in his mind. He told fans not to pay thousands of dollars to get into the Madison Square Garden show: “I will try to figure a way out to fuck these fuckers. NO MATTER WHAT WE DO, IT IS NOT WORTH THAT KIND OF MONEY TO SEE US!” Soon enough, he realized he had an ace up his sleeve. He flooded the market, adding shows, upping ticket supply, and hopefully pushing prices down. (Those shows will go on sale this Friday.)

This is my current understanding of the dilemma. Optimal allocation of LCD Soundsystem tickets requires demand-responsive ticket pricing. But good rock bands are not composed of narrow-minded amoral profit-maximizers. Consequently, they’re motivated to price tickets at a lower level than the market will bear leading, in turn, to middlemen getting the rents. What’s needed is a way for bands to price tickets at demand-responsive levels in a way that’s consistent with the norm that the guys in a cool band shouldn’t be narrow-minded profit-maximizers. The best solution here, I think, is charity.

Someone (Bono?) needs to set up a trust fund to which bands will allocate the excess revenues that accumulate when the market price of concert tickets exceeds the “fair” price as determined by the bands’ moral intuitions. In that case, instead of a situation where “[t]ickets with a face value of $49.50 were going for 12 times that” on a secondary market you’d have a scenario where tickets are going for $500 and $450 out of that goes to the trust fund. The fund could take the money and give it to poor people in Africa and India. They need the money a good deal more than LCD Soundsystem fans do. You could say, very legitimately, “it’s too bad that not every fan can see the show, but we need some allocation mechanism, and I’ve tried to pick the one that will do the world the most good.” Hopefully Jeff Sachs would vouch for the plan.

Health

FreedomWorks Sets GOP Health Care Strategy: ‘Don’t Focus On How Many People Are Covered’

FreedomWorks Chairman Dick Armey

In a memo to House Republicans marked “confidential”, the Tea Party group FreedomWorks praises the GOP for passing health care repeal legislation in the House, but argues that the party must now turn its attention on the ‘repeal’ part of its agenda to build greater support for rescinding the law. In a reversal of past strategy which urged members to hold votes on specific provisions of the law, the Dick Armey-led group is now asking Republicans to “improve” the law “so long as the improvements don’t significantly increase its support.” Similarly, the group warns the GOP against collaborating with health care groups to eliminate that IPAB board or other provisions “unless the affected industries endorse full repeal.” A more effective strategy is to “Highlight the special interest deals and corrupt bargains. Scrutinize the hundreds of waivers and thousands of pages of regulations issuing from HHS. Publicize the premium cost increases and coverage losses. Keep Dr. Berwick talking,” the memo says.

Republicans should reject some of the most popular elements of reform and offer legislation that embraces the existing individual market, Armey writes. He dismisses reforms like “the unnecessary small-business tax credits” and describes caps on annual limits, the ban on lifetime limits, the adult children coverage provision, and the caps on insurance company profits as “cost insurance mandates.” The memo argues that “[b]anning preex condition clauses is counterproductive, because it raises premiums and causes coverage to be dropped.” “It’s also unnecessary because federal and state laws already offer significant protections,” it says, ignoring the fact that more than 40 states and the District of Columbia don’t have laws protecting individuals with pre-existing conditions from being denied coverage.

Instead, Republicans must focus on expanding the unregulated individual health insurance market, without paying too much attention to “how many people are covered,” the memo states. It also encourages the GOP to embrace the health care portions of Rep. Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) Roadmap:

True insurance, which exists to help people pool risks, should be kept distinct in our minds from group “insurance,” which is really a form of pre-paid benefits. With true (individual) insurance, prices need to vary according to risk and purchasers need to plan ahead. You can’t buy fire insurance after your house has burned down. By contrast, pre-paid benefits are generally open to everyone in the group (guaranteed issue) and the price is the same for everyone, regardless of the amount of risk each person brings to the plan (community rating). Many states and Obamacare try to regulate true insurance as if it were pre-paid benefits. That’s misguided in the extreme. When government does that, it merely drives up the costs of the insurance or causes it to become unavailable. Therefore, we should always favor policies that lower the costs of true insurance and increase the number of people who can obtain it. We should grow the individual market.

Not only will this replacement legislation face overwhelming public opposition — polls have consistently shown that Americans approve of the consumer protection provisions in the law — but it would also take away the means by which individuals with chronic conditions can find affordable insurance. FreedomWorks suggests that the 129 million Americans with pre-existing conditions should purchase insurance in state-based high-risk pools, but existing pools have failed to attract enough beneficiaries because the cost of covering large groups of sick individuals is simply too great.

FreedomWorks’ solution to transform Medicare into a voucher program and give states block grants to fund Medicaid, would similarly devastate access to coverage. Under the voucher scheme, seniors would have to pay more for comparable coverage, while states received Medicaid block grants — a fixed dollar amount annually that would fall below current growth — would either have to (as the CBO put it) “provide less extensive coverage or to pay a larger share of the program’s total costs.”

Read the full memo HERE.

Climate Progress

Energy and global warming news for February 16: Trillions at stake from climate change by 2030

Trillions At Stake From Climate Change Over The Next 20 years

When the giant investment firms understand that global warming is a real problem, the rest of us should really stop thinking global warming is some sort of communist plot. The capitalists are worried about global warming too. In fact they think they can make a lot of money by dealing with the problem. They also think they can save a lot of money by dealing with the problem before it becomes too big.

It would seem that the only people who think global warming is a scam are the industries that are set to lose the most, coal, oil and gas companies.

Read more

Politics

Florida Gov. Rick Scott Assumes ‘You Guys’ (All Black Lawmakers) Grew Up Poor

scottSince taking office last month, Florida Governor Rick Scott (R) has proposed cutting funding for historically black colleges, abolishing state offices that support minority-owned businesses, and exploited the Voting Rights Act to rig the state’s re-districing process. Yesterday, the Miami Herald reports, Scott further alienated black lawmakers when he “implied that all black lawmakers grew up poor“:

“I grew up probably in the same situation as you guys,” Scott said to the group of 20 Democrats. “I started school in public housing. My dad had a sixth-grade education.”

Rep. Betty Reed, D-Tampa, said she was offended by the remark, but did not protest at the time because she said it was more important to have a productive dialogue with the new governor.

Afterward, she said, “He assumed that everyone [in the room] was poor and that can only be because you’re black.”

Rep. Joe Gibbons, D-Hallandale Beach, said Scott’s choice of words was unfortunate even if he was trying to “empathize” with the black caucus.

“Some of us might be from the projects, but we come from all spectrums of life,” Gibbons said.

Scott is only the latest conservative governor to make offensive racial comments. Last month, Tea Party Governor Paul Lepage (I-ME) told the NAACP to “kiss my butt” while Missippi Governor Haley Barbour has refused to denounce a proposed state license plate honoring an early leader of the KKK. In Ohio, Gov. John Kasich (R) told a black lawmaker, “I don’t need your people,” and only appointed a member of a racial minority to his cabinet after coming under intense pressure from progressive groups. And during his gubernatorial campaign this fall, Scott told voters that schools with high African-American populations have “different issues” and advocated for an Arizona style immigration law that would have exempted white immigrants.

After the luncheon, one state senator asked Scott to be “sensitive” to his own background and remember people from the “projects” “don’t want a handout, but some jobs.” Scott has ignored this advice: Today, he announced he would kill a federally funded high-speed rail project that would have created 23,000 jobs. His proposed budget will eliminate a program that grants contracts to minority businesses, even while giving more than $2 billion in tax cuts for corporations. And after two months in office, Scott has yet to appoint a racial minority to lead a state agency. His policies have proved to be as insensitive to Florida’s minorities as the comments he made yesterday.

Kevin Donohoe

Yglesias

Efficiency And Progress Are Ours Once More

Sallie James on House Republicans’ spending priorities:

The administration’s proposal would affect only about 2 percent of the total recipients of direct payments — subsidies that flow every year regardless of prices or farm output to owners of land that may or may not still be used for farming — and it does not by any means go far enough. But at least it is a start.

On the other side of the aisle, the Republicans followed their Republican Study Committee colleagues in failing to propose any cuts to “farm subsidies” as we typically understand them in their FY2011 budget proposal. To be sure, 22 percent of the $60 billion in cuts they propose would come from the “agriculture function,” and they indeed get rid of entire programs, but they are mainly to the nutrition and conservation areas of the USDA’s responsibilities. Nothing, so far as I can tell, from the commodity programs.

Money for rich landowners, but not enough for poor kids. It’s a problem of bad morals.

Economy

Gov. Scott Kills Tens Of Thousands Of Jobs By Refusing High-Speed Rail Funding

A group of Republican governors, in an attempt to bolster their fiscal conservative credentials, have stopped funding for high-profile infrastructure projects. Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ), for instance, refused to continue building a rail tunnel under the Hudson river. Both Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI) — when he wasn’t threatening to call the National Guard on state employees — and Gov. John Kasich (R-OH) turned down funding for high-speed rail projects that was included in the 2009 Recovery Act.

These governors, in addition to intentionally refusing to upgrade their states’ infrastructure, also killed the jobs that such large projects create, both for those working directly on the projects and the suppliers whose products are necessary for the construction. And joining their ranks today was Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL), who turned down funding for a high-speed rail line from Tampa Bay to Orlando. Blocking the project will prevent tens of thousands of jobs from being created:

Building the Tampa-Orlando HSR line is projected to create 23,000 job-years of direct construction jobs and more than 48,000 job-years of work through both direct and spin-off employment during the four-year construction period. The peak employment period will be between the fall of 2012 and 2014 when close to 10,000 workers are expected to be directly employed in building the system. FDOT further estimates the system will employ approximately 600 people once operation starts and another 500 indirectly on an on-going basis.

The money that Scott turned down was actually redirected to Florida after Walker and Kasich passed on it (and it could have created 10,000 jobs in Wisconsin or 16,000 in Ohio). When the Department of Transportation redirected the money to Florida, both Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) and Rep. John Mica (R-FL) hailed the move. “Additional federal funding for the new Orlando to Tampa passenger rail link should ensure the project’s chance for successful completion,” said Mica. “The federal government has stepped up and done its part,” Nelson added. “There should be no reason now why this can’t get done.” Mica personally appealed to the governor to reconsider his decision today.

In addition, nearly three dozen small businesses, mostly from the Tampa area, wrote to Scott yesterday urging him to support the rail project. “The benefits to the community are both economic and environmental,” said Carla Jimenez, co-owner of Inkwood Books in Tampa. The project also has the support of the Greater Tampa Chamber of Commerce and Associated Industries of Florida.

One of the cornerstones of Scott’s gubernatorial campaign was his his “7-7-7” jobs plan, which he claimed would create 700,000 jobs in seven years. But instead of following through, Scott has actively worked to undermine employment. In addition to killing the high-speed rail project, Scott released a budget proposal that calls for laying off 8,700 state employees.

Politics

Wisconsin Gov. Walker Reiterates That The ‘National Guard’ Will Be Used Against A Worker ‘Walk-Off’

ThinkProgress has been following both Gov. Scott Walker’s (R-WI) recent “budget repair bill,” which would effectively eliminate state workers’ right to collectively bargain, and his coinciding threat to deploy the National Guard to stop a walkout. Yesterday, the Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers criticized Walker, saying that collective bargaining is “fundamental” to the middle class.

Approximately 13,000 peaceful protesters flooded the state Capitol yesterday, including nearly 800 Madison East High School students who left school to protest Walker’s bill. Democratic lawmakers listened to testimonies from citizens for more than 20 hours, stretching into the early morning. Many people who hadn’t yet gotten to speak pulled out sleeping bags.

Responding to his inappropriate threat to use the National Guard against resisting workers, Walker said last night on Greta Van Susteren’s On The Record that the National Guard has contingency plans for natural disasters, and a worker “walk-off is part of [the] contingency plan”:

VAN SUSTEREN: You have the Guard on alert. Why, if that is true?

WALKER: No, in our case we have contingency plans that we put into place that are updated from where they were before. The National Guard is part of that. They would be part of that whether it is a snow emergency, tornado, earthquake, flood, anything else. And a work walk-off is part of contingency plan.

Walker also dismissed the huge numbers of protesters, saying that the number of participants (reportedly 13,000) was not significant because there are “about 5.5 million people in the state.” Watch it:

The Wisconsin state Senate President said Tuesday that there are enough votes to pass Walker’s bill, and State Rep. Joel Kleefisch (R) said “there’s no doubt in my mind the Assembly will pass this.” But, in light of the massive opposition to Walker’s proposal, there are indicators that Republican support is beginning to crack.

Paul Breer

Alyssa

Fathers and Daughters

This may be my current favorite song:

I tend to think that in fiction and art, father-son narratives are broadly about combat, and father-daughter relationships are about unexpected tenderness. Maybe it’s both easier to see yourself in the parent of your own gender and harder to accept the similarities that exist between you, while there’s some strangeness and wonder in finding yourself in a parent or child that is inherently physically different from you. It’s why I love those crooked narratives about women and their fathers that combine violence and great love, whether it’s Hit-Girl outliving Big Daddy or Brad Wolgast, gone and monstrous though he might be, returning for Amy in The Passage. This is one of the few mother-son examples that has that tenderness and fierceness.

Yglesias

The Limited Appetite For Budget Cuts

Harris Interactive has done another one of those polls about how almost all real spending cuts are unpopular. I worked it up into graphical form:

One important thing to note here is that people’s views seem to be swayed a lot by description. Cutting “welfare” is wildly more popular than cutting “food stamps” and I absolutely refuse to believe that’s because of some nuanced understanding of the differences between TANF and SNAP. Similarly, people like “pollution control” but hate “regulatory agencies,” which is the people who do the pollution controlling.

Yglesias

The Tyranny of Numbers

On the subject of Social Security, I think people sometimes get tripped up by over-emphasis on numerical quantities when thinking about this kind of issue. Obviously at some point you have to get down to dollars and cents. But at an initial phase, it’s helpful to think of this as more of a geometry problem than a algebra problem.

Here’s what we think we know about the geometry of the future of America:

One: There will be more people overall.
Two: There will be more stuff overall.
Three: The overall ratio of stuff to people will be higher.
Four: The share of elderly people to in the overall population will be higher.

Now think of the country as composed of two kinds of people, the retired and the non-retired both of whom consume some stuff. Fact four leaves us with the following choices:

One: A larger share of elderly people can be non-retired.
Two: We can import additional non-retired people to prevent the ratio from shifting.
Three: The average retired person can consume a smaller share of stuff.
Four: The average non-retired person can consume a smaller share of stuff.

Proposals to accomplish number one are frighteningly common in Washington and normally go by the name “raise the retirement age.” This is very regressive and I don’t like it at all. Proposals to accomplish number two I like a lot, but seem to have been arbitrarily ruled off the table as an option. This leaves us with three and four. The point here is that if a larger slice of the population pie is composed of old people, then either the elderly consumption pie needs to be sliced thinner or else the non-elderly consumption pie needs to be smaller.

Since we’re talking about a higher overall quantity of stuff per person, nobody actually needs to be worse off in the future but if the share of elderly people in the population grows then the consumption shares need to adjust one way or the other. Then in terms of programs to assign slices to old people, who have two big ones. One, Social Security, gives money to retired people which they use to buy stuff. The other, Medicare, buys health care (which is a kind of stuff) on behalf of retired people. You can fiddle with retired people’s share of “stuff” by fiddling with either program but the implications are quite different. For example, if you’re a hospital administration you really really really want the government to keep buying lots of health care for old people but don’t really care about old people’s ability to buy stuff. If you’re a nutritionist, you probably think that old people’s ability to buy healthful food has really important implications for their level of health and well-being.

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