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LGBT

As Delaware Civil Unions Bill Advances, Opponents Blanket State With Anti-Gay Robo Calls

Yesterday, Delaware’s Senate Administration and Elections Committee approved a bill that would allow same-sex couples to enter civil unions that grant all of the same state benefits and obligations of marriage. The measure, which will receive a vote on the Senate floor in the coming days, passed unopposed as the committee’s two Republicans did not take positions on the bill and few elected Republicans have publicly denounced it. The majority of the opposition is being organized by the Delaware Family Policy Council.

Advocates on the ground tell ThinkProgress that the group has conducted a push poll campaign, from a D.C. number, relentlessly bombarding the state with messages about the supposed harmful effects of recognizing same-sex relationships. One such call warns residents that civil unions are a Trojan horse for same-sex marriage and that the measure would use taxpayer dollars to teach children that “it’s okay to have two moms and two dads.” The group echoes the message in this pamphlet on its website:

A recent poll found that more than six out of 10 Delaware voters — 62% — “favor allowing same-sex couples to form civil unions, which is twice the number who oppose such a law (31%).” If the bill passes the Senate, it will then move to the House and Delaware’s Governor Jack Markell has promised to sign the measure.

Climate Progress

Hastings Continues Drumbeat That Oil Fealty Will Lower Gas Prices

By Tom Kenworthy, a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress.

This morning, the House Natural Resources Committee held yet another hearing to tie rising gas prices to an oil industry agenda. The panel’s Grand Oil Party leadership continues to ignore reality. It’s not the Obama administration’s supposed imposition of “regulation after regulation, roadblock after roadblock” that’s holding up more domestic oil drilling, as claimed by Rep. Doc Hastings (R-WA), the committee chairman. He acts as if his panel can help reduce gas prices at the pump by hiding the truth and smacking the Obama administration.

The facts are simple:

– As the head of the Energy Information Administration told Hastings’ panel the other day, opening up more federal lands to oil drilling will have at best a marginal impact on gas prices and even if there is a reduction it could be erased by OPEC cutting production.

– The oil and gas industry has failed to use more than two-thirds of the offshore leases they hold in the Gulf of Mexico and more than half of those they hold onshore.

– The industry has almost 7,200 drilling permits on federal lands that it hasn’t used yet, according to BLM data obtained by E&E news.

– In Wyoming alone, the oil and gas industry has idled nearly 12,000 natural gas wells that were actually producing. The cause? A “downturn in pricing” – in other words, low natural gas prices, according to Wyoming Oil and Gas Conservation Commission supervisor Tom Doll.

– The United States has 1,738 drill rigs actively exploring for or producing oil and gas right now, a 20 percent increase over a year ago. That’s more than the rest of the world has combined, not including Russia and China where the company that collects the data, Baker Hughes, says reliable information is not available.

The truth is that drilling and production are largely dictated by world energy markets and the industry drills and produces when it thinks it can make the most excessive profits. And when prices are down, the industry counts on people like Hastings allowing them to stockpile leases and drilling permits until prices rise. Americans will only stop being harmed by spiking gas prices when they are no longer hostage to the oil industry.

Politics

USAID Administrator: GOP Budget Cuts Would Lead To The Deaths Of 70,000 Children Globally

Yesterday, the House Committee on Appropriations Subcommittee on State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs held a budget hearing on the US Agency for International Development (USAID), the primary agency in the government responsible for dispensing humanitarian aid and assisting global development efforts.

As Foreign Policy’s Josh Rogin notes, one moment of the hearing provided a particularly startling fact about H.R. 1, the House Republicans’ bill for continuing appropriations to fund the government. USAID administrator Rajiv Shah explained to Rep. Charlie Dent (R-PA) that the agency was committed to its mission of battling global poverty, but that H.R. 1 would severely gut its ability to battle easily preventable deaths among children — and even lead to the deaths of as many as 70,000 kids globally. Dent, apparently unmoved by Shah’s testimony, immediately asked to change the subject:

SHAH: We estimate, and I believe these are very conservative estimates, that H.R. 1 would lead to 70,000 kids dying. Of that 70,000, 30,000 would come from malarian control programs that would have to be scaled back, specifically. The other 40,000 is broken out as 24,000 who would die because of a lack of support for immunizations and other investments, and 16,000 would be because of the lack of skilled attendants at birth. [...] There’s a way to do this that doesn’t have to cost lives. [...]

DENT: Can I just quickly change subjects?

Watch it:

H.R. 1 includes a $120 million funding cut to USAID’s annual budget, which amounts to a 9 percent cutback. Additionally, the bill would cut 30 percent from development assistance, 10 percent from global health and child survival programs, and a 29 percent cut from the Millennium Challenge Corporation. When viewed next to the deep cuts to Head Start and other domestic programs related to children, it appears that the right isn’t just waging war against kids at home, but kids all over the world — balancing budgets on their backs due to a recession they played no part in.

Yglesias

Racial Polarization in DC

Adam Serwer writes about racial polarization returning to Washington DC local politics after a brief truce:

Yet the city polarized along racial lines in numbers not seen since the last time Barry was on the ballot, with 80 percent of the black vote going to Gray while Fenty drew the same numbers among white voters. The post-Barry truce between the black middle class and the city’s white residents dissolved, increasing the probability that the city’s class divide will morph into a racial one. White voters’ initial impression of Gray has stuck despite his efforts to alleviate anxieties west of Rock Creek Park through a series of pre-general election town halls. A survey released by the Clarus Research Group last week showed Gray with a 17 percent approval rating among white residents. Yes, the mayor managed to short-circuit his honeymoon with a series of disastrous appointments that have driven down his approval ratings even among the black residents who voted for him. But it’s hard to say his low approval among whites is so easily explained. After all, that 17 percent resembles his share of the white vote in the primary anyway. If anything, he’s just confirmed what they already thought about him in the first place. What makes this baffling is that Gray ran largely as an alternative to Fenty in style rather than substance, and the policy differences between them were virtually nonexistent. Gray went as far as appointing Kaya Henderson as Rhee’s replacement, signaling continuity with Fenty on education—the one issue in this city over which there’s something approaching genuine ideological conflict, and the one most white voters flagged as the most important.

To back Serwer up on this, the education issue is even odder than that because Mary Cheh, who represents super-white Ward 3, was a huge opponent of the Fenty/Rhee/Henderson education agenda. All of which suggests that education policy and race got caught up in Fenty vs Gray in a completely arbitrary way. My personal obsession in the Fenty/Gray race was, however, Fenty’s status as an opponent of the taxi driver special interest and Gray’s tendency to kowtow to them.

That said, not only are the racial politics ugly and unfortunate on their own terms, they seem to really stand in the way of any kind of rational policy assessment in a way that’s bad for the city. Not that DC is unique in this regard. Big city politics in America have always had a hefty ethnic/racial element. Washington just poses this in a black vs white way that’s starker than the more complicated ethnic coalition politics of a New York or a Los Angeles.

Yglesias

The Ubiquity of Consumer Surplus and The Danger of the Telecom Monopolists

As Karl Smith points out, there’s certainly a huge consumer surplus associated with the Internet that goes beyond its financial “worth.” But I think people are sometimes too quick to point to this sort of thing as undercutting bleak narratives about income trends. After all, consumer surplus is not a new phenomenon.

Think about your standard refrigerator/freezer. It’s sort of a miraculously useful device. Instead of your food turning stinky and rotten, it sits nicely in my fridge. The direct financial value of being able to store leftovers or freeze excess raw ingredients is significant, over and above the convenience value. You can spend a lot on one of these miraculous devices if you’re so inclined, but you can also get one for a few hundred bucks. That’s because the market for fridges is quite competitive—lots of different manufacturers, lots of different vendors—so at the less stylish end of the market, the sale price approximates the construction costs. And the construction costs are low, crazy low relative to what you’d be willing to pay to a refrigerator monopolist. If the cheapest fridge out there cost $5,000 I’d still want one and I bet you would too.

That wedge between what you actually pay and what you hypothetically would pay is the consumer surplus and it’s giant. That’s why establishing competitive markets is important. But this isn’t a new Internet-era phenomenon. And actually I think there’s a specific problem here with the Internet, namely that while competition between websites is incredibly robust, competition between Internet service providers is a joke. People sometimes look at the difficulty of charging people to read online news outlets and say that people “don’t want to pay for news.” But of course I do pay for my ability to read things on the Internet—I pay Comcast and I pay AT&T. After all, the consumer surplus of the home appliance revolution (fridges, toasters, radios, etc) was all built on the back of the giant consumer surplus associated with home electrification. But that surplus wasn’t brought to us by competitive markets, it was brought to us largely by public investment and a regulated utility model of dealing with “natural monopoly.” Absent effective regulation, a much larger share of the refrigerator surplus would have ended up in the pockets of the utilities.

On some level, I think everyone kinda knows this (certainly everyone hates AT&T) but Americans tend to be too parochial to recognize quite how badly we have it in this regard. Read, for example, Horace Dedieu on the American wireless Galapagos syndrome.

Economy

Potential Spending Compromise Gives Republicans 3/4ths Of What They Want; Boehner Still Says No Deal

This morning, several reports said that Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) and the White House are close to settling on a level of spending cuts for the remainder of 2011. The so-called compromise would put spending $33 billion below current levels (or roughly $74 billion below President Obama’s 2011 budget request). However, Boehner said during a press conference today that “there is no agreement on numbers and nothing will be agreed to until everything is agreed to.”

President Obama has consistently said that he’s willing to meet the GOP halfway when it comes to the level of spending cuts. But if this is where the deal ultimately lands, Democrats will have come three-fourths of the way from the Obama budget to the $100 billion below that budget ($61 billion below current spending) that the Republicans passed in their bill, H.R. 1. Here’s a handy version of the situation, in graphic form:

Whether measuring reductions from current spending or the Obama budget, it’s clear that Democrats have moved significantly, while Republicans have offered nothing in return. As Center on Budget and Policy Priorities president Robert Greenstein wrote, “that’s been the story of the fiscal 2011 appropriations cycle — a story of the goal posts being moved by Republican demands for ever deeper cuts; Democrats moving toward these deeper cuts over time; and Republicans charging that Democrats have not offered enough by way of cuts.”

Still, Boehner today asserted that “we are going to fight for H.R. 1″ and all of its economically destructive cuts. Even at the “compromise” level, the cuts would undermine competitiveness and job creation, in an already weak economy.

Alyssa

When Did Superhero Movies and Period Pieces Converge?

I’m right that this is a thing, aren’t I? First, there’s the awesome-looking trailer for X-Men: First Class, which, like Mad Men, appears to be a movie about people with secret identities living in Westchester County in the 1960s:

Now, we’ve got the World War II awesomeness of Captain America: The First Avenger, which looks terrific and cartoony-but-not-cheap in the way the beginning of Hellboy was:

I sort of wonder if this is all due to Pirates of the Caribbean, which is getting back to its period roots (I actually think part of what made the first movie effective was the sense of English gentility badly transplanted into a world where the line between natural hazards of a new colony and the supernatural were delicately shaded) by looping in Edward Teach in the fourth installment in the franchise:

Jack Sparrow legitimately counts as sort of a superhero, right? Particularly when they remember to make him competent and crazy, instead of fey and annoying?

Anyway, I’ll be curious to see if this becomes a genuine trend (Watchmen obviously has the opening credits, but the movie does take place in contemporary times, even if they’re not precisely our own). I don’t know if we’re reaching back into the past for trials that seem to require sufficiently superheroic response, or if we want the world around our human cartoons to be exaggerated and stylish as well.

Politics

Several GOP Senators Take Credit For Infrastructure Funding They Voted Against

The House Republican spending plan for the remainder of fiscal year 2011 — H.R. 1 — includes many economically counterproductive cuts that will lead to job loss and stunted growth. One of these is a provision rescinding unobligated money from the Transportation Investment Generating Economic Recovery II, or TIGER II, grant program. The program is designed to deliver competitive grants to states for high-need infrastructure projects.

All but three Republican senators voted for H.R.1 when it was before the Senate, and those three only voted no because they wanted even deeper cuts than those included in the bill. But three GOP senators — Sens. Olympia Snowe (R-ME), Susan Collins (R-ME) and Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) — are now taking credit for a grant to rebuild the Memorial Bridge that was provided under the TIGER II program they voted to cut:

COLLINS: “I am delighted by today’s announcement that this critical $20 million will be preserved that will help to rehabilitate a vital link for our states’ businesses and people…I particularly appreciate Secretary LaHood’s working so closely with me to expedite the process to guarantee this funding.

SNOWE: “Snowe said she is grateful the US DOT fulfilled its commitment to the Memorial Bridge project in a timely fashion, and that completion of the bridge overhaul was not jeopardized by ongoing budget debates in Washington, D.C.”

AYOTTE: “Having been called ‘one of the worst bridges in America,’ I am pleased that paperwork issues have been resolved allowing this project to move forward. New Hampshire and Maine have already made a serious commitment to replacing Memorial Bridge, and I am glad that DOT followed through on its commitment.

After having voted to rescind any funding left for this program, the three New England Republicans lobbied the Department of Transportation to release the funding quickly before the recissions could take place. When H.R. 1 was before the Senate, Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood warned people before the vote that approving those could put projects in peril. “We just want to make sure everybody understands that,” LaHood said.

Overall, H.R 1 “cuts funding for transportation infrastructure by 9 percent, slashing $2.7 billion from rail, $675 million from federal transit investments, and nearly $1 billion from highway investments.” Unfortunately for those trying to use America’s aged and disintegrating infrastructure, not every project will be rushed through to avoid the budget cuts that the GOP wants to implement.

Cross-posted on The Wonk Room.

Yglesias

The Declining Price Elasticity of Gas

From Alexander Hart at TNR’s nifty new “The Study” blog:

According to research by UC Davis’s Jonathan Hughes, Christopher Knittel and Daniel Sperling, Americans are now less responsive to increases in gas prices. In the late 1970s, a ten percent rise in the cost of gas would lead to about a three percent decline in the amount of gas consumed. In the early 2000s, on the other hand, gas prices would have to rise about 60 percent to provoke a similar decline in gas consumption. The researchers theorized that this might be because spending on gas is now a smaller fraction of total monthly income or because cars get better mileage now, meaning that cutting back on driving saves less gas than it would have in the 1970s. But either way, their research suggests that even if gas prices go higher, we’re unlikely to see Americans buying less gas.

To be precise, it doesn’t say people won’t buy less gas even if prices rise, it says that the impact on driving will be relatively small. And since households are income constrained, that means the impact on spending on everything that’s not gasoline will be relatively large. I would flag as a causal factor here the fact that residential patterns have shifted in favor of a larger share of the population living in places where there are fewer good alternatives to car commuting. You might respond to higher prices by driving to the commuter rail station instead of driving all the way to the office, but you can only do that if you live in a metro area with a commuter rail network.

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