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Yglesias

Where The Poor People Are

A new report from Andy Sumner at the Center for Global Development looks at the fact that thanks to economic growth in some poor countries, most poor people now live in middle-income states rather than poor ones. Specifically:

This is a reminder that if I ran American foreign policy, I’d be constantly asking “what can the United States do to help poor people in India?” That’s an area where the potential humanitarian gains are gigantic and where there’s strategic value in reenforcing cultural and political affinities with India. Somewhere at the nexus of interests and ideals is the fact that India vs China in economic performance is kind of a proving ground for liberal democracy.

Politics

Kasich So Eager To Cut Spending He’d Leave Prison Guard Towers Empty

In his lust to cut state spending, Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) proposed a plan that could leave guard towers unmanned at the Southern Ohio Correctional Facility, a maximum security prison located near two schools and a residential neighborhood in Lucasville. The plan would close six of the prison’s eight towers, resulting in savings of a measly $2.1 million. The proposal was met with resistance from local union officials and state Rep. Terry Johnson (R), who recalled the 1993 riot that left one guard and 10 inmates dead inside the facility:

“The people guarding the prison are my friends and neighbors,” Johnson said. “Their welfare and that of their families are my highest priority. The public owes them an enormous debt of gratitude for the difficult job they do so well. This potential tower closure presents a grave concern for me. If keeping those towers open will help ensure a single time that one guard gets home safely to his or her family when they might otherwise have been harmed then I am for keeping the towers open.” [...]

“I was here in 1993 with the (Ohio) National Guard and saw the disastrous consequences of a full-scale riot firsthand,” Johnson said. “That was a terrible time and lives were lost. We need to ensure that never happens again.

Given his short time in office, Kasich is already remarkably unpopular with Ohio voters. Endangering prison guards, school children and families in the name of saving money probably isn’t the way to bring those poll numbers back up.

Featured

manicteacher says: A non-issue. By the time Kasich is done with Ohio’s economy, no one is going to want to break out of prison anyway.

Climate Progress

NSIDC: Annual maximum Arctic sea ice extent reached, “tied for the lowest in the satellite record.”

On March 7, 2011, Arctic sea ice likely reached its maximum extent for the year, at 14.64 million square kilometers (5.65 million square miles). The maximum extent was 1.2 million square kilometers (463,000 square miles) below the 1979 to 2000 average of 15.86 million square kilometers (6.12 million square miles), and equal (within 0.1%) to 2006 for the lowest maximum extent in the satellite record.

On Monday, the National Snow and Ice Data Center announced the maximum, “the largest sea ice extent during a given year.”  It “marks the end of the growth period for sea ice, and the start of the melt season.”

This isn’t a big surprise since the Arctic has seen the lowest December, January, and February (tied with 2005) sea ice extent in satellite record.  The more important three-dimensional metric of ice volume also continues its long-term decline (see Navy’s oceanographer tells Congress, “the volume of ice as of last September has never been lower”¦in the last several thousand years”)

Here’s more from NSIDC, plus their plot of sea ice extent:

Read more

Yglesias

The Mostly Hypothetical Case For Armed Humanitarianism

Rep Anthony Weiner (D-NY)

Speaking on the Don Imus show Tuesday, Rep Anthony Weiner endorsed military action in Libya with reference to Rwanda and the Holocaust:

My view is that there are times in American history — Rwanda was one, bombing the tracks during the onset to the Holocaust, that we could have sent a bomber wing in to take out the tracks, we didn’t do it — we look back and we see we should use military force to try and defend people who can’t defend themselves.

Maybe so. I think it’s telling that enthusiasts for this kind of war typically have to make the case with reference to hypothetical success stories about military operations we didn’t undertake. These are useful cases to deploy in arguments, because since the intervention didn’t happen one doesn’t need to wrestle with the potentially problematic consequences and downside risks. The key actual case is Kosovo, where American intervention was highly successful at helping the Kosovo Liberation Army achieve its political goal of independence from Serbia, but considerably less effective at actually preventing violence against civilians. What’s more, though Kosovo independence is very nice for the Kosovar Albanians, it’s hardly been a humanitarian boon to Kosovar Serbs and further afield it wound up creating problems for the good people of Georgia when Russia decided to use them as the target of retaliation for western recognition of Kosovo independence. We also have in Iraq and Afghanistan examples of military undertakings where the welfare of the inhabitants of the soon-to-be-bombed country was cited as a pro-bombing argument, and yet the actual results have been pretty mixed.

One thing you sometimes hear about Kosovo is the argument that the problem here isn’t that intervention didn’t work as well as its proponents promised, but that we didn’t intervene forcefully enough. Perhaps if we’d sent ground forces in things would have gone better. And maybe so, but again I think it’s a problem when all your best evidence is drawn from scenarios that didn’t unfold. In Libya I guess we’re at least finally getting a test case where the interventionists are getting their way and we can judge the results based on actual events.

LGBT

Apple Finally Removes Harmful Ex-Gay App From iTunes Store

It seems that Apple has finally responded to the nearly 150,000 petitioners and removed the harm-promoting Exodus International app from its iTunes store, as we reported on yesterday.

Apple has not yet released an official statement, but overnight, Truth Wins Out and Change.org claimed victory in their effort to have the “ex-gay” app rejected. Alan Chambers, President of Exodus International, confirmed the app’s demise via Twitter:

From the TWO press release:

Truth Wins Out and Change.org praised Apple today after the company removed a virulently anti-gay iPhone app launched by Exodus International that promoted “curing” gay people. The move came after 146,000 people signed a Truth Wins Out petition on Change.org calling on Apple to remove the app from iTunes.

“Apple made a wise and responsible decision to dump an offensive app that demonized gay and lesbian people,” said Wayne Besen, Executive Director of Truth Wins Out. “The real winners today are LGBT youth who are safer and less at risk for receiving Exodus’ malice and misinformation.”

“We’re thrilled that Apple has removed this ‘gay cure’ app from the iTunes store after more than 146,000 people signed this petition,” said Mike Jones, Editor at Change.org, the platform used by Truth Wins Out to launch the petition. “The message Apple is sending here is clear: there is no place for ‘ex-gay therapy’ on the Apple platform.”

Security

Caught In Libya Flip-Flop, Newt Gingrich Offers Incoherent And Contradictory Defense

As ThinkProgress noted this morning, Republican presidential hopeful Newt Gingrich has undergone a remarkable transformation in his views about intervening in Libya. On March 7, before President Obama acted, Gingrich said that if it were up to him, he would “exercise a no-fly zone this evening…the United States doesn’t need anybody’s permission.” Then, less than 24 hours after President Obama signed off on a no-fly zone, Gingrich accused him of “opportunism,” and this morning on the Today Show, said plainly that “I would not have intervened.”

When asked by Rolling Stone on Twitter this afternoon about the contradiction, Gingrich offered a confusing reply:

First, Gingrich’s assertion that he would use “allies” and not Americans — which he also said on the Today Show this morning — is a direct contradiction to the earlier interview in which he dismisses the need for allies. “We don’t need to have NATO, who frankly, won’t bring much to the fight. We don’t need to have the United Nations,” he said earlier this month.

Gingrich’s explanation that that Obama “changed the choice” on March 3 makes no sense. That excuse ignores the fact that both of Gingrich’s contradictory statements came after March 3. Again, he strongly advocated intervention on March 7 and slammed Obama for doing so on March 20.

Obama has been consistent about his desire to see Qaddafi relinquish power, as have other world leaders. Obama joined an international effort to protect the rebels, which is what Newt originally advocated (“All we have to say is that we think that slaughtering your own citizens is unacceptable and that we’re intervening,”) before explicitly denouncing that justification. (“The standard [Obama] has fallen back to of humanitarian intervention could apply to Sudan, to North Korea, to Zimbabwe, to Syria this week, to Yemen, to Bahrain.”)

So what is Newt’s point? That’s not really clear. Except that Obama is wrong.

Update

Gingrich spokesman Rick Tyler attempts to issue a clarification about Newt’s flip-flop. “What to do about Libya was pre-March 3 question,” Tyler incredulously asserts. He adds that “The only rational purpose for an intervention is to replace Qaddafi.”

Obama has maintained his position that Qaddafi must go, but that the intervention’s purpose is to protect civilians. Tyler’s statement, however, does little to clarify where Gingrich currently stands on Libya.

Yglesias

Romer: Inaction on Unemployment is Shameful

People should listen to Christina Romer:

“I frankly don’t understand why policy makers aren’t more worried about the suffering of real families,” former Council of Economic Advisors Chair Christina Romer, who left the Administration last fall, said during a discussion at Vanderbilt University in Nashville Tuesday. “I think there are tools we have tools we have that we can use, and I think it’s shameful that we’re not using them.” [...]

“If I have a complaint about policy these days, it’s that we’re not doing enough,” she said. “That goes all the way up to the Federal Reserve, [which] could be taking more aggressive action. It goes to the Congress and the Administration – there are fiscal policy actions they could be taking.”

What can I say? She’s right. She’d also be a great choice for a Federal Reserve Board of Governors seat. It’s painful to watch the country grind through massive joblessness simply because key politicians don’t seem to realize they have tools at their disposal.

Alyssa

I Want to Do Bad Things To You

As I’ve expressed a couple of times here, I had high hopes for Catherine Hardwicke’s adaptation of Little Red Riding Hood. Bad reviews and warnings from a friend daunted me a bit, but I needed some amiable fluff, so a girlfriend and I manned up, bought tickets, and snuck a bunch of rum and candy into the theater. And I have to tell you: Red Riding Hood may be the worst movie I’ve seen in theaters in several years, and I have seen Clash of the Titans and Twilight: Eclipse in theaters. Spoilers below the jump for those who care about the identity of werewolves and various and sundry other sillinesses.

One thing I’ll give Red Riding Hood credit for is having trailers that are artful as all hell. Remember that venomous ”you’re going to get what you deserve” warning that I called out as indication that our heroine might be a tad more interesting than her pretty, bland exterior suggests? That line’s spoken to her, not by her in the movie at a moment when she’s accused of being a witch. The trailer also makes the movie look visually richer than it is. It’s actually a slightly-elevated ripoff of a SyFy creature feature: the village is made out of Lincoln Logs, the outfits stolen from a moderate-quality Renaissance Faire. The dialogue is risibly stilted, and delivered with only moderate skill by a group of generally strong actors who are almost unable to contain their dismay.

But really, the worst part of Red Riding Hood is the story. There are almost infinite ways to make an interesting decision about the identity of a werewolf who is menacing a village. It could be, as I’d so hoped, Red Riding Hood herself. It could be her mother, stuck in poverty because of her marriage to a local woodcutter, who she grew to love but didn’t love at first. It could be her witchy grandmother, who lives in isolation from the community at larger. It could be the (comparatively) wealthy boy Red is set to marry, revealing a monstrous interior below his polished exterior. It would be the poor but young man Red actually loves, and in choosing him anyway, she could be choosing sexual and personal freedom. It could be the priest who comes to the village with the ostensible goal of ridding it from the werewolf, a savage commentary on religion and profit-seeking in the priesthood.

The wolf, of course, is none of these reasonably interesting options. It turns out to be her father who is a werewolf, and who wants to take her away from the monotony of the village, and turn her into a wolf like him. This might have been a powerful course if we saw any sort of rapport between father and daughter, if the two actors had any of the pop of Nic Cage and Chloe Moretz in Kick-Ass. Instead, Billy Burke is sort of a dud: he plays Amanda Seyfried’s father as a village drunk, a man without the ambition to match the savagery he shows as the wolf. I get some of his rage at being cuckolded, which turns out to be a significant plot point, but he doesn’t really have any chemistry with Virginia Madsen (whose post-Sideways career, may I say, has been deeply disappointing) as his wife, either, so it’s hard to feel the impact of that rage. It’s the most boring possible choice, circumventing any interesting exploration of feminist rage or sexual awakening, and it’s executed in a way that’s totally leaden.

I honestly don’t understand how Hardwicke, who shows signs of being a reasonably interesting, intelligent director, ended up making a movie this sloppy and stupid. It’s a great story, with great potential. You have to make an effort to turn out something this dreadful.

Health

Romney’s Overreach: Would Illegally Allow States To Opt Out Of Health Law Through Executive Action

Likely Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney (R-MA) wasted no time denouncing the Affordable Care Act today, the one year anniversary of its signing. The former Massachusetts governor — who signed and still supports a state-based plan that requires individuals to purchase coverage — wrote in the National Review this morning that if elected president, he would work to do-away with the entire law:

If I were president, on Day One I would issue an executive order paving the way for Obamacare waivers to all 50 states. The executive order would direct the Secretary of Health and Human Services and all relevant federal officials to return the maximum possible authority to the states to innovate and design health-care solutions that work best for them.”

Romney’s proposed action is bold, but it’s also impractical. The executive branch and the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) don’t have the authority to grant such broad waivers. According to the law, HHS (together with the IRS) have waiver authority, but only if the states meet very specific requirements. Neither have blanket waiver authority, which would have to come from Congress.

The law does offer states a great deal of flexibility, however, allowing governors to implement the health insurance exchanges themselves or letting “the federal government to do so.” “States may establish their own risk adjustment programs, preexisting condition high risk pools, and excessive premium increase review programs” and receive block grants to construct a “basic health program” that would serve a segment of the Medicaid-eligible population. States can also enter into interstate compacts for the sale of health insurance across state lines and by 2017, the federal government may grant waivers for key provisions and provide states with block grants to develop “their own innovative proposals for reforming health care” (so long as the state provides comprehensive and cost-effective coverage).

Security

AIPAC Fundraises Off Of Jerusalem Bus Attack

This morning, a bomb struck a bus in downtown Jerusalem, killing one person and injuring dozens more. Jerusalem police called it a “terrorist attack,” the first in Jerusalem in seven years. President Obama condemned the attack “in the strongest possible terms.” Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and Prime Minister Salam Fayad have also condemned the attack.

Even before the street had been cleared, however, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee blasted an email out to its supporters in a crass attempt to raise money off the attack:

While Jerusalem has been relatively quiet over the past years, the occupation of the West Bank — which, despite the lack of attention to it, is a constant, humiliating reality of Palestinian life — ensures that tensions always remain at a simmer. Settler activity over the past couple years in Arab neighborhoods of Jerusalem like Silwan and Sheikh Jarrah, where Palestinian families have been evicted to make way for Jewish ones, have ratcheted up tension to an alarming degree. The horrific murders in the Itamar settlement earlier this month added more fuel to the fire, and the recent exchange of fire between Hamas and the Israeli army in Gaza has added more. There is a real danger now of things spiraling out of control. It’s disgraceful that AIPAC’s first response to this tragedy is to try and monetize it.

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