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Yglesias

If You Don’t Trust The Dollar, You Have Lots Of Good Options Besides BitCoin

Evidently some people in the realm of monetary crankdom are excited about a new firm called BitCoin that’s going to be offering private e-money of some kind. I’m happy to give hard money types as many distractions and outlets as possible so as to minimize the amount of time they spend on their effort to destroy the world economy by influencing the Federal Reserve, but I agree with Tim Lee that there are a lot of problems with this idea.

But I think the most fundamental one is that many libertarians don’t seem to realize that they’ve already won on the question of currencies. The United States of America doesn’t restrict outward flows of capital and our exchange rate floats. If you lack confidence in the US dollar there’s nothing stopping you from ditching your US dollars in favor of Canadian dollars or Australian dollars or Euros or Mexican Pesos or Swiss Francs or British Pounds or Swedish Krona or whatever else you want.

You don’t need to buy gold, you don’t need to buy survival seeds, and you don’t need to invent a new form of currency. You just need to swap some of your existing stockpile of currency and use it to buy some other currency.

Alyssa

Catholic League’s Bill Donohue To Lady Gaga: ‘Go Pick On Muslims’

Sometimes it seems like pop stars and Catholic League head Bill Donohue must have a promotional deal: they use controversial religious imagery, and he gets on television to complain about it. Today, in response to the totally unsurprising news that Lady Gaga will release the video to her newest single, “Judas” — in which she plays Mary Magdalene — on Easter Sunday, Donohue hit up Fox News to suggest that Gaga try targeting Muslims rather than Catholics:

DONOHUE: You can’t even show a depiction of Muhammad on TV, in the newspapers, and whatnot. And I’m not out there to say let’s have equality by dumping on the Muslims. I’m simply saying why does it take fear as a motivational ethic on the part of some people to respect Muslim rights? Do they want Catholics to pick up a machete in order for them to get their rights?

Watch it:

Suggesting that the openly bisexual singer go after another faith on the grounds that it will inspire a violent reaction, while simultaneously insisting that he’d never do such a thing? That’s the Easter spirit of redemption and renewal! But ever mindful of his duties, Donohue’s ready to offer some pastoral counseling on the grounds that Gaga’s spiritually confused: “You hang out with Bill Donohue, I’ll buy you a beer, honey, and maybe we can straighten you out,” he offered.

Yglesias

Congress Is Unlikely To Enfranchise Washington, DC No Matter How White It Gets

Ta-Nehisi Coates wonders how much of the District of Columbia’s disenfranchisement is about race: “Put bluntly, as the city grows whiter, and wealthier, will the issue of representation become more urgent to Congress?”

My gut tells me that the racial aspect of DC disenfranchisement is generally overstated. The objection to giving DC’s 601,000+ residents the kind of congressional representation enjoyed by Wyoming’s 563,000+ residents is basically the same as the objection to splitting California’s 37,253,000+ residents into separate states of North California and South California—partisan politics. It’s true that DC’s black majority is one of the reasons that it’s so overwhelmingly Democratic, but white Washington is lopsidedly partisan too. And over the years, admission of new states has always had a hefty partisan element to it. What it would take to get DC admitted as a state would probably be some other reasonable candidate for statehood that would be Republican-leaning.

LGBT

Boehner Spends $520 Per Hour On DOMA Defense After Promising ‘More Cuts’ In Govt Spending

Yesterday, at the request of the House Republicans, former Solicitor General Paul Clement filed a motion to intervene in a case challenging the constitutionality of the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA). Clement’s firm is charging less than their typical $900 an hour to defend the discriminatory law, but taxpayers will still be on the hook for a rate of “$520.00 per hour for all reasonable attorney time” with “a sum not to exceed $500,000.00.” “[S]hould the $500,000 cap be reached before the Litigation is complete, and if the cap has not then been raised by written agreement…contractor shall not be obligated to continue providing legal services under this Agreement,” the contrast states, suggesting that the government may end up paying much more for Clement’s services.

Boehner’s willingness to spend taxpayer dollars defending DOMA contrasts sharply with the GOP’s rhetoric from last week. Then, Republicans almost brought the federal government to a standstill over what they perceived as out of control spending, holding out until the very last minute to secure a deal. Boehner voted for the agreement, even as he insisted that “we need to cut more” and promised, “there are many more steps, more cuts, and more reforms to come.” The contrast is quite stark: 11 days ago, the GOP was willing to shutdown the government over the smallest of cuts, now it is paying a top lawyer $520 an hour to undo some of those hard-earned savings. Below is a list of the cuts that will likely be diminished if Republicans seriously pursue their DOMA defense:

- Agriculture Department Administration: – $1M from FY11

- Public Telecommunication Facilities Planning: – $1M from FY11

- Non-defense Environmental Clean Up: – $1M from FY11

- Bureau of Public Dept: -$1M from FY11

- Geographic Programs: -$1M from FY11

- Rural Health Programs: -$1M from FY11

On Friday, Boehner said, “The American people have demanded that the Washington spending binge end because they understand that we can’t continue to spend money we don’t have.”

Update

From Pelosi’s office:

For $500,000, you could provide Pell Grants for 131 college students…

For $500,000 you could enroll an additional 1,005 nutritionally-at-risk women and children up to age 5 in the WIC program…

For $500,000 you could enroll an additional 64 children in Head Start…

For $500,000 you could help pay the heating and cooling bills for 1,039 seniors and other struggling households…

But to spend $500,000 of taxpayer money to defend discrimination is PRICELESS.

Climate Progress

Climate Shift data reanalysis makes clear opponents of climate bill far outspent environmentalists

Another expert slams Nisbet’s “illegitimate assumptions”

The data suggest opponents of the bill far outspent environmentalists during the climate bill debate of 2009 and 2010:

  • 8-to-1 on lobbying in 2009
  • 4-to 1 (or more) on advertising in 2009
  • 8-to-1 in donations to candidates and Congress members in 2010 cycle
  • 10-to-1 on independent election expenditures in 2010

I am basing those numbers on a reanalysis of data in Dr. Matthew Nisbet’s discredited Climate Shift report [big PDF here].

This reanalysis, which I’ll present below, was done with the help of Dr. Robert Brulle. Brulle is a leading social scientist whom Nisbet had specifically asked to review his financial analysis — and who ultimately withdrew his name from the study in large part because Nisbet’s claims that enviros held the spending edge were “contradicted by Nisbet’s own data.”  Brulle’s withdrawal letter is here.

Yesterday, yet another expert, Thomas Webler, came forward to debunk Nisbet’s analysis.  His email to me focused on Nisbet’s claim that enviro overall spending resources exceed that of bill opponents and concludes:

Nisbet acknowledges that the green groups do many more things than simply work on climate legislation, but by posing this huge $1.4 billion number against the $787 million of the brown NGOs, I feel Nisbet is attempting to convey an idea that is actually false.  He seems to want to make the point that greens have more — and spend more — than browns.  But, when one looks beyond the surface, it becomes clear that this can only be done by making illegitimate assumptions that end up bending the truth.

It’s sad to see such misleading social science come out into the public sphere, but particularly troubling to see this on Earth Day.  I’m saddened to see such questionable scholarship acquire publicity it does not deserve.  Questionable scholarship does harm to our entire profession. I only hope that readers of the report will put the time in that is necessary to read critically, not accept claims on face value, and come to their own conclusions.

Webler is a founding member and Research Fellow at the Social and Environmental Research Institute.  He is on the Editorial Board of Environmental Communication, Society and Natural Resources and Human Ecology Review.

Since Nisbet’s debunked financial analysis is the big news hook for his study, and since this is a crucial area for understanding what happened to the climate bill, I’ll spend the rest of this post reanalyzing the data in great detail, to try to get a true picture of what happened.

Read more

Climate Progress

One year after BP disaster, Congress has passed zero oil spill bills

Michael Conathan in a CAP repost.

One year ago today the offshore drilling rig Deepwater Horizon erupted in a torrent of oil, gas, drilling mud, and flames, claiming the lives of 11 men and setting off an 87-day environmental nightmare. The explosion also triggered an equally ferocious barrage of rhetoric in the nation’s capital. A frantic burst of congressional hearings emerged as the immediate oversight response. As usual, they were full of sound and fury””sadly but not surprisingly””signifying nothing.

The New Orleans Times-Picayune reports that 101 oil-spill-related bills were introduced in the 111th Congress, which came to a close in 2010. Exactly zero were enacted into law. Another 15 have been introduced so far this year””none of which has been acted upon by its committee of jurisdiction.

Read more

Politics

Gov. Brewer Signs Law Giving Tea Party Flag Same Status As American Flag

While Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer (R) is rightly being praised for vetoing a so-called “birther bill” yesterday, she also quietly signed into law legislation that gives the Tea Party-associated Gadsen Flag the same protection as the American flag when it comes to home owners associations (HOA), the Arizona Daily Star reports:

Brewer also signed separate legislation Monday to expand the list of flags that HOA residents could fly despite regulations to the contrary.

Current law overrides any rules when it comes to the U.S. flag, the flags of any branch of the military, the state flag, the POW-MIA flag and the flag of any Indian nation. The new law will add the Gadsden flag to that protected list, that yellow flag with the drawing of a coiled rattlesnake and the phrase “Don’t Tread on Me.”

While the yellow banner dates back to the American Revolution, the flag and its “don’t tread on me” slogan have been appropriated by the modern day tea party movement and are now closely associated with the right-wing activists (it’s even on the tea party race car). The legislation came into being in the wake of a national controversy last summer sparked by an Arizona man who refused to comply with his homeowners association’s request that he remove a Gadsen flag from his house.

Yglesias

National Stereotypes Confirmed By Time Use Data

The Economist brings us a chart of excellent stereotype confirming research on how people spend their time:

French people spend a lot of time eating and grooming. The Japanese are hard-working. Germans put a lot of effort into plotting world conquest “other” activities.

But of course these averages can be somewhat misleading. I’m fairly confident that if you did a distribution analysis of how much “paid work and study” Americans do, you wouldn’t see a normal distribution with a single peak slightly below five hours. You’re averaging together people who work full time with people who’ve retired, etc. So when French people spend less time working than Americans, it’s not clear if that’s because the average full-time French workers works less than the average full-time American worker, or if it reflects the fact that French people retire earlier.

Alyssa

Symbols and Portents

I finished the Hunger Games trilogy over the weekend (THERE BE SPOILERS AHEAD), and while I think it’s fairly effective Young Adult fiction, down to the Harry Potter-like epilogue (Do kids these days really need to be reassured that everyone gets married to the first person they ever loved and had adorable children? Really?), the story seems uniquely unsuited to the genre in which it’s set.

First, there’s the matter of the main characters themselves. They’re ultimately fairly simplistic. Katniss may go through a lot of trauma, but she capitulates to the cascade of events surrounding her. Collins makes a token sacrifice by killing Katniss’s sister Prim in Mockingjay, but it’ the kind of compromise death that readers will feel, but that they won’t necessarily be hideously wounded by, the same sort of decision J.K. Rowling made in killing off auxiliary characters but leaving her core trio intact. Peeta’s recovery is miraculous, and he doesn’t seem to have really changed when he’s recovered—Katniss is overwhelmed by his sweetness like she’s in sugar shock. He doesn’t have a personality other than goodness.

But really, the focus is just wrong. The tributes and victors are the dullest part of the story. Far more interesting are the Head Gammakers, the presidents of the Capitol and District 13, the drunk turned rebel leader. If the rebellion was engineered by the victors themselves, then the focus on them would make sense. But it’s not, and they’re not even militarily crucial. The series isn’t an incredibly insightful explication of what it means to be a political symbol, either, so the decision to make them the leads seems entirely a matter of attracting an appropriate audience, rather than serving the story best. Because the book does such a poor job of setting up Katniss as an acute observer of her society, or as an analyst or leader, her decision to kill President Coin really seemed like a bad one, rather than a redemptive, intelligent choice. It’s not a nuanced vision of war to pretend that things are black and white. President Coin’s impulse to hold a final Hunger Games might be morally disgusting, but it’s an understandable impulse, and her heroism in holding District 13 together is more important and more interesting to the actual evaluation of the war.

And ultimately, I think the trilogy fails at what it’s mostly about: providing a searing examination of what our reality television industry means not just for entertainment, but for society at large. We almost never get the reaction of anyone who watches the Hunger Games to the proceedings, and the novels never really explore the difference in audience between the districts and the Capitol. Part of what worked so well about The Truman Show was that the movie built a sense of audience investment. But if Collins wants to give readers a full-on portrait of a society, she needs to actually engage with people outside her set of main characters.

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