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Yglesias

The Case For Leisure

Juliet Schor argues for shorter working hours as a cure for recession blues:

Historically, market economies have absorbed this displaced labor in two ways. The first is the creative of jobs in new industries making new products. The 20th century brought automobile workers, higher education administrators and medical personnel. But new jobs, spurred on by growth in GDP, are only half the story. The other mechanism for maintaining balance in the labor market has always been reductions in hours of work. Without the advances of a shorter workweek, vacation time, earlier retirement and later labor force entrance, the economies of the OECD would never have attained the “golden age” of high employment that prevailed after the1930s depression. Between 1870 and 1970, hours of work fell roughly in half. These countries have re-balanced the labor market by re-distributing work to make its allocation fairer. We need shorter hours because it is unrealistic to count on growth in GDP to absorb all this current and future “surplus” labor. Rich countries just never grow that rapidly. So the austerity economics that says work longer and retire later has it exactly wrong.

I think this is right in a big picture sense, but wrong as applied to the specifics of the recession. Consider the international data:

I think it’s sensible of the Germans to have taken a lot of the gains from their increased productivity in the form of reduced working hours. But if you look at the German line in detail, you see a cyclical element. Each time a recession ends, it’s associated with an uptick in hours worked. That’s because you do recover specifically from a recession through an increase in the demand for labor that expresses itself first in longer hours and then in less unemployment. Then, in Germany at least, the underlying trend toward less work and more leisure comes back into play.

Which is to say I like Schor’s ideas as a vision of the long-term future of the economy, but for the short-term we’re still just looking for more demand.

Alyssa

‘Louie’ Late Pass Open Thread: Louis Meets Joan

Apologies for not getting to Louie until now — A Dance With Dragons kind of ate my brain last week. This post contains spoilers through last week’s episode, “Joan.”

This episode starts with a woman Louie can’t get away from fast enough, and ends with one he can’t get enough of. When he tries to order groceries from the corner deli, he’s interrupted in the middle of a complex negotiation over whether he was six or 60 bananas by a call from his sobbing sister, declaring, “Louie, I am so sorry I wasn’t a better big sister to you.” Maybe this is the way Louis C.K. sees the world, but there seem to be an awful lot of hysterical women in his life.

And it’s because of that it’s refreshing to see Joan Rivers show up after Louis bombs a gig in Atlantic City, resorting to begging his audience to stay by telling them “Folks, why are you giving your money to Donald Trump? He’s a billionaire and you work hard for your money.” But even though he’s cranky and depressed, Louis’ face lights up watching Joan do her shtick on the main stage. For once, this is a woman who isn’t using Louis because he’s famous, or inviting him over for spectacularly awkward sex, or getting mad at him in some old dude’s apartment. She’s in his field, and she’s incredibly accomplished, and as it turns out, she’s pretty cool — suddenly, Louis’ hanging out with her in her suite where “Cher had this place, she slept here. Madonna. Bette Middler.”

So it’s interesting to see the particular variety of gawky that Louis pulls out for the occasion. “Do you know how many blow jobs I had to get where I am now?” Rivers asks him. “I don’t want to guess,” he initially demurs, before venturing “40? Around 40?” It’s of course manipulative of Rivers to push him to answer, and it’s probably unfair of her to freak out when he guesses an insulting high number, but his answer does reveal something about how he sees the business and imagines it must be like for women. And then he ends up sleeping with her, but not before Rivers warns him not to tell anyone “for your sake, not mine. Nobody likes necrophiliacs. And if you meet Melissa, not a word. She still thinks I’m a virgin.”

Both Rivers and Louis operate in a kind of comedy that involves them saying things about themselves before someone else can say them. With Rivers, the things she says are outsized, like a bit where she complains that her breasts sag so much that she has to kick them out of the way when she walks. Louis, on the other hand, mostly says things about him that are true. The distorted version of herself that Rivers puts on display keeps people away from the real person behind the performance, while Louis is much more painfully vulnerable. I wouldn’t go so far to say it’s a gender inversion, but it’s a fascinating juxtaposition that says more than just a study in tradecraft.

NEWS FLASH

Cain: Romney ‘can’t win’ because he has not done ‘a good job of explaining his religion’ | In an editorial board interview with the Washington Times, Herman Cain expanded at length on why he believed Mitt Romney could not beat Barack Obama. Among other factors, Cain noted that Romney has not done “a good job of explaining his religion,” which he asserted would be a major liability in the South. Cain said the fact that Romney is a Mormon “doesn’t bother me,” but “it is an issue with a lot of southerners.” Watch it:

LGBT

Tea Party Nation Calls On Members To Stand With Bachmann’s Ex-Gay Clinics

Right Wing Watch’s Brian Tashman notices that the Tea Party Nation is increasingly embracing a reactionary social issues agenda at odds with its economic focus and is now calling on supporters to rally behind Michele Bachmann and her husband’s ex-gay clinics. In an email to activists, the group’s president Judson Phillips defended Marcus Bachmann’s description of gay people as “barbarians” and asked members to “stand with the Bachmanns“:

The liberal freak show is coming after Michele Bachmann. That is not much of a surprise. Bachmann is running a very disciplined campaign, encouraging conservatives and running with a conservative agenda. But now the left is coming after her.

The left wants to use the gay rights issue against her. Bachmann’s husband, Marcus is a therapist and according to the left, he has committed a horrible crime. He used therapy to help gays who did not want to be gay any more change. [...] Most Americans do not believe gay marriage is a good thing. Most Americans do not believe homosexuality (which is only 1-3% of the population) is a good thing, though most Americans are tolerant of most things.

The left is not tolerant. The left never allows dissent. To the horror of Americans, Marcus Bachmann once referred to gays as “barbarians.”

Barbarians? If you are a conservative you have been called much worse and usually in much more obscene terms, for being a conservative.

The group joins a long list of conservative organizations in supporting Michele and Marcus Bachmann, reiterating the notion that at the root of almost all anti-gay policies is the misguided belief that gay people choose to be gay and can change their sexual orientation through prayer and therapy.

Yglesias

The Fate Of The Safety Net

Relative to the issue above, I wonder if there’s evidence that tax-and-transfer programs really have become politically unsustainable in a neoliberal era? There are probably lots of different ways you could look at this issue, but at a minimum this paper from Marianne Bitler and Hilary Hoynes (PDF) on what actually happened after welfare reform suggests that there actually hasn’t been much change in total fiscal commitment:

Another way of looking at this is internationally. According to Lane Kenworthy, market incomes for the poor have stagnated across the developed world, but in some countries transfer payments have risen and living standards increased:

This seems very sad to me. Poor Americans could enjoy substantially higher living standards if we did more to enact transfer payments that ensure that the fruits of economic growth will be broadly shared. In some countries, a lot of that happened, and in other countries very little of it did.

Economy

FLASHBACK: Rick Perry Once Supported The Largest Tax Hike In Texas History

Rick Perry when he was a Democratic legislator

Since moving into the governor’s mansion, Gov. Rick Perry (R-TX) has governed his state with extreme right-wing priorities. His latest budget shortchanges school children with $2 billion in education-spending accounting tricks, while creating a special tax loophole for yacht owners. His refusal to raise taxes has resulted in a ballooning of the Texas state debt, which rose to over $34 billion in 2009.

On Friday, the Texas Tribune published a fascinating look back into Perry’s years as a Democratic state legislator. Before switching to the GOP to run for Agriculture Commissioner in 1990, Perry was a conservative Democrat in a state still dominated by the Democratic Party. Journalist Jay Root notes that at the time, Perry was a true fiscal conservative and supported the largest tax hike in Texas history in order to balance the budget:

But Mr. Perry cast some votes and took a few stands that seem to be at odds with his fiscal conservatism today. The most vivid example is his support of the $5.7 billion tax hike in 1987, signed by Gov. Bill Clements, a Republican, opposed by most Republican members. The bill passed the House by a 78-70 vote.

Even without adjusting for inflation, the legislation triggered the largest tax increase ever passed in modern Texas, said Dale Craymer, president of the Texas Taxpayers and Research Association. Today, taking inflation into account, it would be worth more than $11 billion.

The hike Perry supported under Gov. Clements raised the sales tax, taxed insurance premiums, and made permanent a five cents a gallon increase in the gas tax. In 2006, Perry also backed a substantial tax hike when he tripled the amount the Texas government collects for franchise taxes on business.

Perry’s prior support for such large tax hikes speaks to how far politics have changed in the Lone Star State. Not only was the tax passed by a Republican governor, but it was voted into place by someone like Perry, who now touts his soak-the-poor but protect-the-rich budgeting as one of his most cherished beliefs. Unfortunately, corporate lobbyists posing as principled conservatives, like Grover Norquist, have changed the dynamics within the Republican Party and have ensured that politicians like Perry must radicalize their positions on tax policy if they want to succeed.

Climate Progress

BP Spills 2,100 to 4,200 Gallons of Oil in Arctic Tundra

Another spill: The pipeline leak is at BP's Lisburne field in Alaska. In 2006 up to 267,000 gallons were spilled in a similar leak at oil giant's Prudhoe Bay field (pictured)This Saturday, BP put another notch in its prodigious polluter belt:   A toxic brew of methanol and crude oil spilling across Alaska’s North Slope tundra.

Reuters reports:

BP said on Monday that a pipeline at its 30,000 barrel per day Lisburne field, which is currently closed for maintenance, ruptured during testing and spilled a mixture of methanol and oily water onto the tundra. The London-based company has a long history of oil spills at its Alaskan pipelines — accidents which have hurt its public image in the U.S., where around 40 percent of its assets are based.

That “history” includes the infamous 2006 Prudhoe Bay incident when 267,000 gallons (~6400 barrels) of oil and chemical leaked from unmonitored, corroded pipeline (pictured above).  It also includes:

Read more

Justice

Federal Judges Are Retiring At Twice The Rate New Judges Are Being Confirmed

Judicial Nominee Paul Oetken

Later today, the Senate will hold a confirmation vote on Paul Oetken’s nomination to a federal judgeship in New York City. If confirmed, Oetken will be the first of President Obama’s three openly-gay nominees to join the bench — but he will also be only the fourth new federal judge in two months.

Because approximately one federal judge retires every week, this means that the federal bench is currently losing judges twice as fast as new ones are being confirmed. And this near-shutdown in judicial confirmations is nothing new. The moment President Obama took office, Senate Republicans launched an unprecedented game of obstruction against his judicial nominees, slowing the judicial confirmation to just over half what it was during at this point in the last two presidencies:

And, of course, this practice is hardly limited to federal judgeships. Republicans promised to filibuster Consumer Financial Protection Bureau nominee Richard Cordray — or anyone else nominated to head that agency — before President Obama even named Cordray. Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) even threatened to block every single item of business that comes before the Senate unless Congress slashes federal spending by a massive 37 percent.

So we’re witnessing a massive, multi-pronged effort to dismantle the federal government’s ability to function at all, and the blockade on new judges is a very significant part of that effort.

Climate Progress

Global News Roundup: UN Shipping Agency Sets Efficiency & Carbon Standards; China Plans Pilot Emissions Trading Scheme


A round-up of recent international climate and energy news. Please post other stories below.

UN Shipping Agency Adopts New Rules on Emissions

The U.N. agency regulating international shipping decided Friday that new cargo and transport vessels must meet energy efficiency standards and cut carbon pollution.

The decision by a powerful committee of the International Maritime Organization attacks a growing source of greenhouse gases and is the first measure on climate change to apply equally to countries regardless of whether they are from the industrial or developing world.

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