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Yglesias

A Decade Of Flat Median Income Is Terrible

Here’s a chart that I would characterize as illustrating the fact that the median American household has just experienced a horrifying lost decade of stagnant incomes from which there’s no clear sign of relief:

Nick Schulz from AEI, interestingly, sees it as a chart about how “Contrary to much received wisdom, the poor and middle class are significantly better off today.”

Now in Schulz’s defense, he wants us to look at the whole 30 year period. This is, I think, much more of a mixed bag than the one chart suggests. We’ve seen household income grow even as wages fall, because there are more total hours worked per household (largely because of higher women’s workforce participation). I actually do agree that many people overstate the “30 years of stagnation” argument, but the evidence for at least 10 years of ridiculously poor economic performance is hard to ignore.

Climate Progress

Energy Department to Invest $60 Million in Emerging Concentrating Solar Power Technologies

Concentrating Solar Power — large power plants that convert thermal energy into electricity — offer firm, centralized power that better match a utility’s needs.  See “Solar Can Be Baseload: Spanish CSP Plant with Storage Produces Electricity for 24 Hours Straight.”

But CSP plants, which require far more material and man-power to develop than equivalent PV plants, are not coming down in cost as quickly. That’s not because the technology is flawed. It’s because CSP requires a unique set of requirements that make them more capital intensive to build.

An investment announced today by the Department of Energy may help accelerate those cost reductions. The DOE is working to facilitate more innovation in the sector by investing $60 million over the next three years toward companies and labs developing new technologies and power plant development techniques. The funds are being deployed through the SunShot Initiative, DOE’s competitive program with the goal of reducing solar costs by 75%.

DOE is looking at deploying funds to 20 teams working on new solar collectors, heat transfer technologies, power plant engineering approaches, and improvements in steam temperature ranges.

It could provide a good R&D boost for the sector, which has been somewhat overshadowed by the frenzy around cost and price reductions in solar PV.

Last year, DOE put released a good film highlighting all the different types of CSP currently being deployed. It’s a bit rudimentary for those who know about the technology, but it illustrates the various ways in which the technologies could be improved.

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NEWS FLASH

$223 Billion: The Cost Of Excessive Drinking In America | Next time someone urges you to have “just one more drink,” point them to this post from the Incidental Economist’s Aaron Carroll, shake your head judgmentally, and say, “I can’t, it’s just too expensive!” According to a new study from the American Journal of Preventive Medicine, “In 2006, the economic costs of excessive drinking in the US were $223 billion,” approximately $1.90 per drink. “Almost three quarters of that sum is from lost productivity. An addition 11% is due to healthcare costs and 9% is due to criminal justice costs.”

LGBT

Catholics Far Removed From Catholic Leadership On LGBT Issues

The Catholic Church has been one of the leading opponents of marriage equality across the country (including fights in California, Maine, New York, and now Minnesota), but a new survey shows that most American Catholics do not identify with the Church leadership’s anti-gay rhetoric. According to the study:

  • Only 35 percent of Catholics oppose same-sex marriage.
  • Only 16 percent of Catholics say church leaders have “the final say” on homosexuality, down from 32 percent over the past 25 years.
  • 57 percent of Catholics say individuals have “the final say” on homosexuality, up from 39 percent over the past 25 years.
  • 83 percent of Catholics say the clergy sexual abuse has hurt the bishops’ moral and political credibility.

Given that the Catholic League regularly blames homosexuality for the child abuse committed by Church leaders, it makes sense that Catholics are similarly distrusting of them on LGBT and other social issues. These results suggest that the Catholic Church’s political clout comes not from the authority of its vast membership, but perhaps merely from the large sums of money it wields in their campaigns.

NEWS FLASH

CBO: Income Of The Top 1 Percent Exploded Over The Last Three Decades | The Congressional Budget Office today released a new report on the growth in income that’s occurred in the U.S. over the last three decades. CBO found that, “for the 1 percent of the population with the highest income, average real after-tax household income grew by 275 percent between 1979 and 2007,” while it grew by just 18 percent for the bottom 20 percent of the income scale. “As a result of that uneven income growth, the distribution of after-tax household income in the United States was substantially more unequal in 2007 than in 1979,” CBO said.

Yglesias

University Career Counseling Incentive Problems

Marina Keegan writes an interesting Yale-focused piece about the fact that 25 percent of Yale graduates end up working in finance or consulting despite the fact that approximately 0 percent of incoming freshmen aspire to join these fields.

She makes a number of good points, but at one point dismisses the idea that we should blame career services offices for this, dismissing that as scapegoating. I think that may be a mistake. If you think about the basic “business model” of a fancy donor-funded university, it has a very strong interest in encouraging people to go into fields where they get very high financial incomes. Yale can’t ask you to donate a share of your satisfaction with your work or your strong relationship with your friends and children. It can ask you to donate a share of your income. So it needs you to have a high income. Indeed, they sort of benefit if you manage to combine high income with a vague sense of self-loathing that you feel like salving through charitable donations. I don’t think elite university administrators are sitting around saying “what can we do today to discourage our graduates from becoming moderately successful small business proprietors” but incentives do matter. The selection process for elite colleges generates a lot of bright, hard-working conformists. The incentives facing elite colleges encourage them to encourage people to work very long hours for very high pay in finance and consulting. Conformists tend to end up doing what they’re encouraged to do. And the system trundles on.

NEWS FLASH

GOP Congressman Claims Large Jesus Statue Is Not ‘Religious’ | A statue of Jesus on U.S. Forest Service land in the mountains of Montana may be moved after an atheist organization argued that its placement on public land violates the separation of church and state. Rep. Denny Rehberg (R) has come to the statue’s defense, a monument to World War II veterans, and has even established a website for the statue. Rehberg appeared on Fox & Friends this morning to promote his effort, but ran into some trouble while responding to a statement from the foundation behind the lawsuit. “Just because it’s maintained and was put up by the Knights of Columbus does not make it a religious statement,” he said. No, the fact that it’s a statue of Jesus makes it religious. Watch it:

Alyssa

Alan Ball To Make Up For Television’s Silence On Abortion. But To What End?

I really would like television to integrate abortion into its conversations about sex and reproduction. And I think Dr. George Tiller is a hero and a martyr. But given the way True Blood’s handled hot-button social issues this season, particularly the disgraceful way it’s handled race and the show’s general unsubtlety on gender, I have grave concerns about the prospect of Alan Ball doing an HBO show based on Tiller’s life, which is apparently his next project for HBO.

Ball and his problems aside, I’m trying to decide how I feel about approaching abortion through drama as opposed to comedy, and the idea of a show where it’s the focus as opposed to part of the scenery. It’s relatively easy to think what the plots for a drama might be like: the doctor is stalked, the doctor is attacked, the doctor tries to keep his staff’s morale up as they are harassed going about their business, doctor has all sorts of interactions with patients, patients’ relatives, etc. But I worry about how much a show like that would give credence to anti-abortion arguments in the name of appearing even-handed, or make the doctor a morally ambiguous character like Walter White or Tony Soprano, rather than wholeheartedly embracing the idea the preserving access to abortion under tremendously trying circumstances is a heroic act.

And I think part of the problem is that a show like this keeps abortion separate from the rest of our discourse about sex, from American life. Which of course it’s not. A show like Mindy Kaling’s OB/GYN comedy, if it manages to integrate abortion into a larger ongoing conversation about reproductive health and American sexual life, would push back against that. Abortions are not weird, freakish things that happen only to Fallen Women or in Back Alleys. They are rational, regularly-performed medical procedures. And while I do think it’s important to be honest about the fact that they are a medical procedure women aren’t always happy to have performed, shifting the debate towards normalization is critical. That’s a tremendously complex needle to thread. And I think I trust Mindy Kaling to do it more than I trust Alan Ball.

Special Topic

Heritage Foundation Endorses Debt Bondage By Suggesting Subsidized Federal Student Loans Shouldn’t Exist

One of the organizing principles of the 99 Percent Movement is that millions of Americans are being suffocated by personal debt. One of the common forms of this suffocating debt is student loan debt, which is debt accrued simply by trying to get a good college education. Last year, national student debt actually surpassed credit card debt, with outstanding student loans totaling $829 billion.

In a post for the Heritage Foundation blog speculating about President Obama’s upcoming announcement about how to alleviate student debt, Heritage senior policy analyst Lindsey Burke not only attacks the idea of student loan forgiveness, but suggests that we’d all be better off if federal student loans never existed in the first place. She goes onto argue that loan forgiveness would be pitting students against Americans who didn’t graduate college and that federal subsidies simply make college more expensive:

While it’s unclear what exactly President Obama will propose, economist Richard Vedder calls the idea of student loan forgiveness “the second-worst idea ever—the worst was the creation of federally subsidized student loans in the first place.”

And he’s right: It is unfair to forgive student loans on the backs of waitresses and construction workers and the nearly three-quarters of Americans who didn’t graduate college. Increases in federal subsidies or student loan bailouts shift the burden of paying for college from the student—the person directly benefiting from college—to the millions of Americans who did not graduate from college. [...] Increases in federal subsidies give students increased purchasing power, which incentivizes colleges to raise tuition, in turn leading students scrambling for more student loans. It’s a vicious cycle that does nothing to mitigate the cost of attending college.

It’s difficult to imagine what America would look like today without federally subsidized student loans. Millions of Americans have benefited from the ability to go to school thanks to the federal student lending programs first pioneered in the 1960′s and 1970′s. According to data from the Department of Education, 9,020,465 Americans utilized the federally subsidized student loan program during the last academic year.

The argument that these loans and other forms of federal student aid leads to cost inflation is an old conservative canard. As Sandy Baum, an economist at the College Board explains, “There are a number of explanations for rising college prices, with declining state appropriations per student high on the list for public colleges and universities. Difficulties in improving efficiency and productivity, expansions in the services offered to students, rising costs of technology, and increases in institutional financial aid budgets are also major factors.” Direct federal subsidies in the form of Pell Grants, for example, have actually covering a “smaller portion of college tuition than they did 25 years ago.” One study released last year actually found that tuition increased as federal aid fell, indicating that aid is perhaps altogether unrelated to rising tuition.

Without subsidized federal loans and grants that many on the far-right seek to undermine, students would be pushed into the arms of private lenders, whose rates tend to be far more suffocating. If those on the right were to have their way, Americans would be forced into even further debt bondage, unable to make ends meet and lead productive and prosperous lives under the weight of student loan debt. That is not a fate the 99 percent wants.

Yglesias

Asset Price Valuation Is Difficult

Here’s the latest Case-Shiller house price numbers:

One point I think needs to be made about this is that there was a point when we were on the left-hand upward-sloping part of the curve when people thought it was obvious that house prices would keep on going up. Other, more accurate people, thought it was obvious that we were in a bubble that would burst. Then when we got onto the downward-sloping part of the curve, people thought it was obvious that the unwinding of the bubble would take us all the way back down. Now I think some people expect us to go back up if the economy ever recovers, others expect us to still drop all the way to the bottom, and maybe some think we’re stay roughly flat. My judgment as a professional writer is that to call the unpredictable gyrations of financial markets “efficient” is to attach needlessly valorizing language to the observation. The fact remains, however, that it makes very little sense to expect that honest and competent regulators will be able to judge what is and is not a bubble in real time.

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