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NEWS FLASH

Huntsman’s Exit Leaves GOP Climate Moderates Adrift | Despite some wavering near the end of his distressed campaign, Jon Huntsman Jr. represented the most rational voice on climate science and policy in the GOP primaries. His exit leaves a field of climate-denying candidates that has openly questioned the harm of carbon pollution and threatens to reverse gains in clean air and public health by lifting industry regulations. “The minute that the Republican Party becomes the anti-science party, we have a huge problem,” Huntsman said in August appearance on ABC’s “This Week.” “We lose a whole lot of people who would otherwise allow us to win the election in 2012.” Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul all have accused scientists of cooking up the fact of man-made climate change from the burning of fossil fuels.

Economy

FLASHBACK: Reagan Raised Capital Gains Taxes To The Same Level As Wage Taxes For First Time

Much has been said in recent days after Mitt Romney revealed that his effective tax rate is close to 15 percent — below that of many middle-class Americans — because much of his income comes from investment gains, which are taxed at lower rates than normal wages.

But Flyod Norris reminds us in the New York Times today that “unearned income” from investments was not always taxed at a lower rate than earned income. For two years, thanks to Republican icon Ronald Reagan, capital gains and earned income were treated equally:

For most of the history of income taxes in America, long-term capital gains — defined at different times as investments held for minimum periods of as little as six months and as long as 10 years — have been taxed at substantially lower rates than top ordinary income tax rates.

There was, in fact, only one time that capital gains were taxed at the same rates that were paid by people who earned their money by working. That was during the years 1988 to 1990, as a result of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 — a law championed by President Ronald Reagan.

Reagan’s Vice President, George H.W. Bush, convinced Reagan and Congress to lower the rate again as he was preparing to run for the presidency, and the capital gains rates was subsequently lowered to today’s rate of 15 percent by his son, President George W. Bush, as part of his 2003 tax cut. As Citizens for Tax Justice has noted, Reagan’s tax increase did not cause investment to fall, as many anti-tax ideologues had predicted.

Climate Progress

Humans Are by Far the Dominant Cause of Global Warming: A Comprehensive Review of the Science

Skeptical Science reviews the scientific literature, which shows humans are the dominant cause of global warming.

by Dana Nuccitelli

At Skeptical Science, we have several recent studies which have used a number of diverse approaches to tease out the contributions of various natural and human effects to global warming.  Here we will review the results of these various studies, and a few others which we have not previously examined, to see what the scientific literature and data have to say about exactly what is causing global warming.

All of these studies, using a wide range of independent methods, provide multiple lines of evidence that humans are the dominant cause of global warming over the past century, and especially over the past 50 to 65 years (Figure 1).

HvA 50 years

Figure 1: Net human and natural percent contributions to the observed global surface warming over the past 50-65 years according to Tett et al. 2000 (T00, dark blue), Meehl et al. 2004 (M04, red), Stone et al. 2007 (S07, green), Lean and Rind 2008 (LR08, purple), Huber and Knutti 2011 (HK11, light blue), and Gillett et al. 2012 (G12, orange).  This has been added to the SkS Climate Graphics Page.

Note that the numbers provided in this summary post are best estimates from each paper.  For the sake of simplicity we have not included error bars, but we have provided links to the original research for those who would like to see the uncertainty ranges in each estimate.

Read more

NEWS FLASH

After Immigration Crackdown, Alabama And Georgia Farmers Fear They Won’t Have Enough Labor To Harvest | As a new planting season begins, farmers across Alabama and Georgia are unsure if they will have enough labor this year when it comes time to harvest. Farmers have been struggling with a dearth of skilled farm workers ever since officials in both states passed harmful anti-immigrant laws that prompted many migrant workers and their families to flee. Some farmers are considering planting less or moving to less labor-intensive crops, and others are anticipating higher labor costs to attract workers. “Before this law [HB 56], migrant workers would just show up. They knew when they were needed,” said Brett Hall, Alabama’s deputy agriculture commissioner. “That’s not happening anymore.”

NEWS FLASH

Egyptians Prepare For One Year Anniversary Of Mubarak’s Fall | Thousands marched to Cairo’s Tahrir Square today in advance of the upcoming anniversary of the protests which overthrew Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. Activists will observe a week of “mourning and anger,” continuing their calls for an end to the military rule which protesters say has perpetuated the authoritarian system of the Mubarak government. Protesters on Friday demanded justice and retribution for the more than 800 people killed during the revolt and the 100 people killed in clashes with security forces since Mubarak’s fall last winter.

(Daily News Egypt Photo / Hassan Ibrahim)

NEWS FLASH

Scott Brown: Romney Is From ‘A Different World,’ He Should Release His Tax Returns | In a fairly stunning departure from his political ally, Massachusetts Republican Sen. Scott Brown called on Mitt Romney to release his tax returns, and said the multi-millionaire presidential candidate is in “a different world from me.” Speaking on a local radio show, Brown said of Romney, “He’s in a category, a lot of those folks are in categories that we don’t really understand. “And certainly he has to release his returns. I understand he’s going to do that like everybody else when they become ready and available in April,” he added. Romney and Brown share a top aide, Eric Fehrnstrom, and Romney aggressively campaigned for his fellow Massachusetts Republican in 2009.

Climate Progress

Overheated Ski Resorts Resort To Praying For Snow

Sparse snow at Vail

Like the governors of Texas and Oklahoma who responded last year to global-warming-fueled drought by praying for rain, ski resorts in the West are now praying for snow. At Vail, a Ute tribal leader was “asked by executives at the country’s skiing mecca to perform a snow dance”:

Mountain resorts across the U.S. are desperate for fresh powder. For the first time since the 1800s, Lake Tahoe received no December snow. Peaks in the Northeast saw rain. Vail Resorts recently reported a 15% decrease in total skier visits at its six properties, and not for 30 years have Vail Mountain’s back bowls, perhaps the most prized terrain in the country, been roped off so late in the season for lack of snow.

The Wall Street Journal’s Ben Cohen describes the freak conditions only as “peculiar La Niña weather,” ignoring the existence of global warming, which has been predicted for by climate scientists to bring warmer winters with fewer and more intense storms. This year’s weather patterns are being driven primarily by unusual distributions of hot and cold surface water in the warming Pacific, as well strange circulation patterns in the rapidly warming and melting Arctic.

While it’s cute to give credit for recent snowfall to a tribal snow dance, the unfortunate reality is that our actual influence on the weather is from the hundreds of billions of tons of greenhouse pollution we have spewed into the atmosphere.

Alyssa

How Foreign Film Markets Will Refresh American Movies

My friend Neda Ulaby has a cool piece about how Fox has beefed up its investment in making movies overseas for the markets where they’re produced — and how that’s going to affect what we see on U.S. screens:

“China is the second or third biggest market in the world at 50 percent local,” [Sanford Panitch] says. “India the fourth biggest at 90 percent local, France at 40 percent local, Germany at 30 percent local, Korea a billion dollar market 50 percent, Japan — actually, Japan [is] the biggest international market in the world, 60 percent local.”

Fox International Productions actually started off three years ago with a Japanese version of the movie Sideways — that’s the one about two guys touring wine country. “When we originally got into the business,” Panitch says, we thought, ‘We’ve got this great library, let’s take advantage of it.’ And ironically, local markets don’t want recycled Hollywood content.”

And really, why would they? Bollywood hardly needs need old American ideas. The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo has refreshed Hollywood’s interest in stories from abroad. That’s not a Fox picture, but Panitch says his division is introducing foreign books, scripts and directors to the larger Fox system.

“There’s a new aesthetic that’s coming out of people that weren’t schooled in traditional Hollywood ways,” he says. “There’s an incestuousness creatively here where we’re all reading the same publications and listening to the same music.”

It’s always nice when economic incentives line up in favor of creative storytelling. We’re already seeing something like this on television in the melancholic dramas we’ve imported from Israel and remake as In Treatment and Homeland. And it would be fascinating to see what conventions developed in international market end up sticking with American audiences. Could an Indian norm of chaster but emotionally charged romances find favor with devoutly Christian or Jewish movie-going audiences? Could grittier action sequences like the ones in Miss Bala, which Fox brought to the U.S. after one of the company’s executives based in Mexico found it and promised the director it wouldn’t be changed for American audiences, take the place of pyrotechnics? I haven’t watched enough recent Chinese movies to speculate on patterns there, though Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon certainly suggests there’s an American market for Chinese martial arts movies, a steady supply of which have reached our shores since.

Economy

Newt Gingrich’s Tax Plan Gives Newt Gingrich A $540,000 Tax Break

In urging a reluctant Mitt Romney to finally release his tax returns, Newt Gingrich produced his own last night during the debate. His 2010 returns reveal an adjusted gross income of $3.1 million with an effective tax rate of almost 32 percent. That’s more than twice the rate that Romney said he pays — unless, of course, Gingrich gets his way.

Seeking to overhaul the U.S. tax code, Gingrich announced his plan last month to introduce a new, parallel tax system with what he calls a “flat” 15 percent rate. But as the Tax Policy Center notes, that plan would mean that millionaires would actually pay much lower tax rates than those below them on the income scale — millionaires like Newt Gingrich.

According to calculations by Center for American Progress Action Fund’s Seth Hanlon, Gingrich’s own tax plan would slash his effective tax rate from 31.6 percent down to 14.6 percent, right around where Romney sits comfortably under the existing code. That amounts to a $536,000 tax cut that Gingrich is proposing to give himself.

It is important to note that while Gingrich released his individual return as well as the one for his charitable foundation, he chose not to disclose the returns from his multiple business entities like Gingrich Holdings, which constitutes the primary source of his wealth. Together, they brought in $2.6 million for the Gingriches. Because his proposal includes business tax cuts as well, it is possible that his tax break would be even larger.

Meanwhile, middle-class families would pay significantly higher federal taxes than one-percenters like Gingrich and Romney. In fact, because Romney essentially admits he accrues nearly all of his wealth from investments, which are tax-free under Gingrich’s plan, Gingrich’s plan would allow Romney to pay almost no taxes at all.

And while Gingrich tries to sell his plan as a one that will “allow Americans the freedom to choose to file their taxes on a postcard,” middle-class families will have to do their taxes under the regular system and Gingrich’s system to see which actually affords them a better return.

Incidentally, that $500,000 windfall from his tax plan also happens to be the amount of credit Gingrich and his wife had at Tiffany and Co., the jewelry store. Whether to feed a high-end habit or provide a tax “choice” to American families, Gingrich definitely walks away from his tax plan a much richer man.

NEWS FLASH

Salt Lake Chamber Of Commerce Endorses LGBT Protections | The Salt Lake Chamber of Commerce is now calling for a statewide law banning employment and housing discrimination based on sexual orientation and gender identity, saying that they would be good for business in Utah. The Chamber’s president, Lane Beattie, explained that “it’s an unwise policy” to limit nondiscrimination policies just to the 13 Utah cities that have passed them so far. Though the bill that would create the protections has languished in the conservative legislature, a 2011 poll showed that two-thirds of Utahns support a statewide non-discrimination law.

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