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10 Energy Numbers To Remember From 2012

by Barry Fischer, via Opower’s Outlier Blog

Sometimes energy makes headlines, sometimes it doesn’t.  But it almost always has important implications for the global economy, the environment, and our day-to-day lives.

Here are 10 energy statistics from 2012 that capture some of the most noteworthy trends of the year, and that will shape the energy world in the years to come.

+96%: the increase in electricity generation capacity from natural-gas power plants in the US between 2000 and 2012

Natural gas, one of the three key fossil fuels in our energy economy (along with coal and petroleum), continues to ascend as a major force.

One prominent example: during the month of April, for the first time ever documented in the US, the amount of electrical generation from natural gas was equal to the amount generated from coal, which has historically been the country’s predominant fuel for power plants. This moment has been on its way for a few years now, as natural gas’ share of electricity generation has been steadily increasing, while coal’s share has been steadily declining (now around 42% on average, down from 52% in 2000).

The fuel’s growing role in the US is tied to the recent boom in gas production from previously untapped shale formations (e.g. in North Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Texas), which as of September 2012 account for 35% of the country’s dry natural gas production (compared to just 2% ten years ago). The plentiful supply of natural gas helped cause the fuel’s price to dip to a ten-year low earlier this year ($2.75 per thousand cubic feet), making it more competitive relative to other energy supply sources, including renewable energy (which now accounts for 13% of US electricity generation, mostly in the form of hydropower).

$0.41: How much it costs per year to charge an iPhone 5

Smartphone sales volumes in 2012 were huge  – estimated at 717 million retail shipments worldwide (a 45% lift over last year).

But their energy consumption is minuscule.

study by Opower in September revealed that charging the iPhone 5 costs just $0.41 per year, and charging the Droid Galaxy SIII costs just $0.53.

The collective energy demand of all those phones is nothing to sneeze at, but in the bigger picture, a global increase in smartphone usage is likely to cause lower overall energy consumption…

How so? Many consumers now use their smartphones to do things (e.g. internet, media, games) that they used to do on bigger, energy-hogging devices (e.g. computers, televisions, and game consoles).

Source: Opower (September 2012)

2017: year in which the US will become the world’s largest oil producer

According to a report published in November by the International Energy Agency, the United States will overtake Saudi Arabia as the world’s leading oil producer by 2017, and will become a net oil exporter by 2030. The US will see a significant increase in its onshore crude oil production over the next decade, while improved fuel efficiency in transportation will also lead to a gradual decrease in oil imports.

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Security

John Kerry To Be Nominated As Next Secretary of State


President Obama plans to nominate Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) to succeed Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State early Friday afternoon, according to a senior White House official. Kerry has been the de-facto nominee since U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice withdrew her name after Republicans attacked her comments about the September 11 attack on a U.S. consulate office in Benghazi, Libya. Kerry, as chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, has significant foreign policy experience and believes climate change is the “biggest long term threat” to national security.

Greg Noth

(Photo: White House)

Security

Retired Military Brass Say Hagel ‘Would Be A Strong Leader In The Pentagon’

Eleven retired senior military officials signed a letter in support of former Republican senator Chuck Hagel’s potential nomination as the next Secretary of Defense. The letter, signed by Brent Scowcroft, William Fallon and Anthony Zinni, said Hagel “would be a strong leader” as the next Pentagon chief and that he’s “eminently qualified for the job“:

He is a decorated Vietnam veteran, a successful businessman, a leader in Ronald Reagan’s Veterans Administration and, since his election to the Senate in 1996, one of the country’s leading voices on foreign policy. He would bring a long term strategic vision to the job and the President’s Cabinet. … Most importantly, we believe that the person who can best lead the Pentagon is one who understands the importance of the challenges that our warfighter faces.

The letter comes after nine former U.S. ambassadors, including five former U.S. ambassadors to Israel, signed a letter on Thursday backing Hagel’s potential nomination. The signatories, which included Ryan Crocker, Nicholas Burns, Thomas Pickering and Daniel Kurtzer, said Hagel’s “credentials for the job are impeccable.” “Time and again he chose to take the path of standing up for our nation over political expediency,” the letter said, adding, “We can think of few more qualified, more non-partisan, more courageous or better equipped to head the Department of Defense at this critical moment.”

Since news of Hagel’s potential nomination surfaced last week, the “neocon smear machine” kicked into high gear, labeling the former Republican senator an anti-Semite and anti-Israel and expressing dismay that Hagel has offered words of caution on military action against Iran over its nuclear program. But in fact, Hagel’s record is solidly pro-Israel. He has spoken out against anti-Semitism and has praised President Obama’s Iran policy.

Liberal pro-Israel group J Street is also defending Hagel against the neocon attacks as well a number of prominent journalists, including the Daily Beast’s Andrew Sullivan, Peter Beinart and Ali Gharib, the Atlantic’s Robert Wright, Steve Clemons and Jim Fallows, John Judis of the New Republic, the New York Times’ Nicholas Kristof and the Washington Post’s Dana Milbank. “[T]hese smears have been hugely counterproductive from a truly pro-Zionist standpoint,” Wright wrote on Wednesday. “What you’re seeing now is one of the final desperate spasms of a group that has already helped destroy the thing it loves, and will probably destroy a few other things before finally, like Joseph McCarthy, destroying itself and receding mercifully into the pages of history.”

Justice

Inmate’s Request To Shorten Harsh Drug Sentence Was Mishandled By U.S. Pardon Attorney, Report Finds

In the wake of reports about the infrequent and discriminatory use of the presidential clemency power, the Department of Justice’s watchdog agency has determined that the U.S. Pardon Attorney withheld relevant information in recommending against a shorter prison sentence for one prominent applicant.

Clarence Aaron, whose triple life sentence for his ancillary role in a drug deal has become emblematic of unjust drug sentencing, was denied requests for a shorter sentence twice. After Aaron’s case was highlighted in an extensive series on the president’s scant use of his constitutional power to both revoke convictions (a pardon), and to shorten sentences (a commutation), the Justice Department’s Inspector General said it would review the decision-making process.

In its report released this week, the IG found that Pardon Attorney Ronald L. Rodgers did not clearly disclose that Aaron’s application for a shorter sentence was supported by both the judge who sentenced him and the U.S. attorney in the jurisdiction that prosecuted him. As with so many individuals convicted of drug crimes, the judge presiding over the case was powerless to shorten Rodgers’ sentence due to mandatory minimums and sentencing guidelines. Kenneth Lee, who served as associate White House counsel then, said that if he had known the views of the prosecutor, he would have recommended Aaron’s immediate release. The report concluded that Rodgers engaged in “conduct that fell substantially short of the high standards expected of Department of Justice employees and the duty he owed the President of the United States.”

President Obama, whose office relies heavily on the Office of the Pardons Attorney for recommendations on clemency, has not pardoned a single person nor commuted a single sentence this year. In her latest report on this issue, ProPublica’s Dafna Linzer explains:

The pardons office has come under increased scrutiny in the last year since ProPublica and The Washington Post began reporting on race disparity in the selection of pardon recipients [2] and the handling of the Aaron case [3]. ProPublica’s study showed that white applicants have been nearly four times as likely as minorities to be pardoned. Aaron is African American. The review also showed that Obama has granted clemency at a lower rate than any modern president [4].

Rodgers, a career civil servant and former military judge, took over the pardons office in 2008. Despite calls for his resignation, he has remained in office. Nearly all pardon recipients are preselected by Rodgers and he personally reviews each application from federal inmates seeking early release. Under his leadership, denial recommendations have soared while pardons have been rarely granted.

The series initiated last year by Linzer shined light on an aspect of the justice system that typically receives scant attention outside of criminal justice circles. Linzer’s dogged investigatory work and her alarming findings about the numbers and types of people being denied clemency were the direct cause of the IG’s investigation, as were the White House’s request that the Pardon Attorney reconsider Aaron’s application and the DOJ’s call for a study of presidential pardons. The series demonstrates the power of journalist yeoman’s work to move the ball on little-noticed policy areas crucial to a just legal system. Its findings dictate even greater action, including fundamental reform to the Office of the Pardon Attorney.

Politics

Boehner: Conservative Republicans Who Opposed Plan B Are ‘Drowning’ The Country

Less than 12-hours after Congress failed to pass the so-called Plan B, House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) insisted that he has not abandoned negotiations with President Obama to avert the so-called fiscal cliff and called on Congress and the President to continue working towards a deal

During a press conference alongside House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA), Boehner sought to shore up confidence in his speakership and his conference, although he admitted that he could not convince conservative members to increase taxes on the richest Americans for the good of the country.

Boehner’s so-called ‘Plan B’ extended the Bush tax cuts for Americans making up to $1 million and was even supported by anti-tax zealot Grover Norquist. Republican leadership sought to entice conservative members by offering a companion bill of spending cuts to food stamps, Wheels on Meals, and Medicaid. That measure passed, but the modest tax hike didn’t.

“There was a perception created that that vote last night was going to increase taxes,” Boehner explained. “That impression was out there. There were a number of our members who just didn’t want to be perceived as raising taxes.” He went on to compare the intransigent members to lifeguards who refuse to save drowning swimmers:

One of my colleagues the other night had an analogy of 100 people drowning in a pool, and that he was a lifeguard. Because he could not save any of them, does that mean that he should not have done anything? His point was, if I can go in there and save 99 people that are drowning, that is what I should do as a lifeguard. But the perception was out there and a lot of our members did not want to deal with it.

Boehner did not rule out passing a bipartisan bill that could attract Democratic support, insisting, “We’re not going to address it by kicking the can down the road.”

Climate Progress

Mixed Signals: More Americans Are Taking Climate-Friendly Action, But Fewer Say Those Actions Can Slow Climate Change

A new survey shows that more Americans are taking actions to reduce climate pollution; however, fewer Americans actually believe those actions will do something about climate change.

The survey, conducted by the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication and George Mason University’s Center for Climate Change Communication, shows an increase in the number of people who take alternative transportation or purchase energy efficient light bulbs compared with 2008. However, even while a majority of respondents still said their individual actions could reduce global warming, that number was down 16 points since 2008.


These results also bear out in individual political action. Even though 70% of respondents said that the world is warming, only 12% said they had contacted an elected official about the subject. Here are some of the top findings from the survey:

  • The number of Americans who say they “always” or “often” walk or bike instead of driving is at its highest recorded level (25%) and has risen considerably since March (up 14 points). Americans today are also more likely say they use public transportation or carpool (17%), returning to a level last observed in November 2008 (18%).
  • Compact fluorescent light bulbs continue to be adopted by the American consumer, with 57% now reporting that most or all of the light bulbs in their home are CFLs – up from 40% in November 2008.
  • Three Americans in ten (32%) say that in the past 12 months they have given business to a company as a reward for their steps to reduce global warming. Nearly a quarter also say that in the past 12 months they have punished companies for opposing steps to reduce global warming by not purchasing their products (24%).
  • About one in ten (11%) have contacted a government official about global warming by letter, email, or phone, while 15% have volunteered or donated money to an organization working to reduce global warming.
  • Americans who contact a government official about global warming have become much more likely to urge them to take action to reduce it (89%, up 17 percentage points since 2010).
  • No matter what their personal beliefs about global warming, many Americans say they have friends who have different views than their own. In fact, more are likely to have friends who disagree than agree with them about global warming.
  • Since 2008, Americans have become less likely to say a number of actions taken by themselves and others can reduce global warming.  Americans have become less confident that their individual actions to save energy will reduce their own contribution to global warming (32%, down 16 points since 2010).

The drop in the number of people who say that they can slow climate change with individual action is not that surprising. Since 2008, destructive extreme weather events have increased substantially and messages from science and energy experts have become much more dire. At the same time, press coverage of climate change — including substantive policy discussions and personal actions people are taking — has dropped precipitously since a peak in 2008/2009.

Justice

Number Of Death Sentences Issued In 2012 Reaches Twenty Year Low

New data from the Death Penalty Information Center shows the number of death sentences handed down in 2012 is the lowest in two decades, indicating a decline in prosecutors’ support for the measure. Though 33 states have the death penalty, just four states were responsible for three-fourths of the executions carried out this year: Arizona, Mississippi, Oklahoma and Texas.

Five states have banned capital punishment in the last five years, and four states with the death penalty did not sentence anyone to death this year. Though Texas carried out the most executions in 2012 — 15 — it issued fewer death sentences for the eighth consecutive year, which suggests less executions will take place in the future.

According to the Center’s director, Richard C. Dieter, the most important reason for the falling rate “is lingering doubt about guilt.” Though there are no solid statistics on the number of innocent people who have been executed since the death penalty was reinstated by the Supreme Court in the late 1970s, there are instances in which inmates’ guilt was in serious question. Since 1989 more than 200 inmates have been exonerated through DNA evidence.

Another major factor is cost effectiveness. Putting convicted criminals to death is extremely expensive. For example, since 1978 California has executed just 13 people, but spent $4 billion to do it. Colorado has spent $18 million on one case since 1994.

However, though support for the controversial measure appears to be in decline both in the general public and prosecutors’ offices, the U.S. remains the only G7 country to execute its citizens. The United States — together with China, Iran, North Korea, and Yemen — carried out the most executions in 2011.

Greg Noth

Health

Federal Court Rules That Hobby Lobby Is Not Exempt From Obamacare’s Contraception Mandate

A federal appeals court on Thursday rejected Hobby Lobby’s appeal that the company be exempt from an Obamacare regulation requiring the arts-and-crafts company to provide contraception coverage to its employees without a co-pay. The family-owned company claims the mandate violates the owners’ religious beliefs, but the Court of Appeals in Denver ruled that the owners’ personal beliefs do not relieve them from having to offer the coverage to their employees.

Last month, a district judge denied Hobby Lobby’s request to not have to provide coverage. In the ruling, U.S. District Judge Joe Heaton pointed out that religious institutions have already been given exemptions from covering contraception, and that Hobby Lobby does not qualify since it is a private business.

Hobby Lobby says it will appeal its case to the Supreme Court:

“The Green family is disappointed with this ruling,” said Kyle Duncan, general counsel for the Becket Fund for Religious Liberty, which is assisting Hobby Lobby in the legal case. “The Greens will continue to make their case on appeal that this unconstitutional mandate infringes their right to earn a living while remaining true to their faith.”

The medications at issue are classified as emergency contraceptives by the Food and Drug Administration, but the owners of Hobby Lobby call them “abortion-inducing drugs” because they are often taken after conception. [...]

The company faces fines of up to $1.3 million daily if it disobeys the mandate, which takes effect on January 1 for Hobby Lobby, a $3 billion chain, and its smaller sister operation, Mardel, a Christian-oriented bookstore and educational supply company.

At least 42 lawsuits have been filed against the contraception mandate. Most Americans support the regulation, even for religiously affiliated groups, and even a majority of Catholics reported in October that they thought religiously affiliated organizations should comply with measure and provide contraception coverage to their employees.

LGBT

Pope Benedict Uses Christmas Speech To Call Same-Sex Marriage A ‘Manipulation Of Nature’

At his annual Christmas speech to the Vatican, Pope Benedict XVI called same-sex marriage a “manipulation of nature” to be deplored and an attack on the “essence of the human creature.”

It was the second time this week that Benedict took aim at marriage equality:

People dispute the idea that they have a nature, given to them by their bodily identity, that serves as a defining element of the human being. They deny their nature and decide that it is not something previously given to them, but that they make it for themselves.

The manipulation of nature, which we deplore today where our environment is concerned, now becomes man’s fundamental choice where he himself is concerned.

Benedict has repeatedly condemned same-sex marriage as “defection in human nature” that bears an “immense human and economic cost.” Most recently, he used his World Day of Peace message to claim that marriage equality presents a “serious harm to justice and peace.”

Alyssa

“Though There Are Torturers” And The Power Of Art

The first thing I did after getting home last night was to go to a performance of A Christmas Celtic Sojourn, an amazing group performance put on by Brian O’Donovan of WGBH up here in Boston. It’s a totally tremendous performance, and I highly recommend making it a stop on your holiday calendar next year, if you’re in the area. But I particularly wanted to pull out this poem, which O’Donovan read towards the end of the show, because it reminds me that, while I spend a lot of time writing about art’s ability to help us work through the worst in human nature, it can also be a light that holds back the darkness. More of that in 2013, I think:

Though There Are Torturers
by Michael Coady

Though there are torturers in the world
There are also musicians.
Though, at this moment,
Men are screaming in prisons,
There are jazzmen raising storms
Of sensuous celebration,
And orchestras releasing
Glories of the Spirit.

Though the image of God
Is everywhere defiled,
A man in West Clare
Is playing the concertina,
The Sistine Choir is levitating
Under the dome of St. Peter’s,
And a drunk man on the road
Is singing, for no reason.

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