I’m a bit surprised as to the source of Barack Obama’s strength in rural states like North Dakota and Kansas. These would seem to be places where the demographics run heavily in Clinton’s favor — older, whiter, less educated populations. Obama should be counting on big cities with plenty of black people and young hipsters. North Dakota and Kansas are basically the reverse. Now, these are states the Clinton campaign didn’t invest many resources in, but we know Obama did very well in the rural areas of Nevada as well. Since these are kinds of places where relatively few people, and especially few Democrats, live we don’t hear much about them. As a result, we’re left a bit in the dark. There’s a clear pattern, but it doesn’t fit with our larger pattern.