Misleading ‘energy sprawl’ study pollutes climate debate. In fact, clean energy protects our land while dirty energy destroys it.

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"Misleading ‘energy sprawl’ study pollutes climate debate. In fact, clean energy protects our land while dirty energy destroys it."

A massive shift to clean energy is needed to stop one third of the planet’s habited land from turning into a permanent Dust bowl and to stop several meters of sea level rise (see “Hell and High Water“).  And unrestricted fossil energy use is “capable of wrecking the marine ecosystem and depriving future generations of the harvest of the seas” and, at the same time, it is expected to sharply increase Western wildfire burn area “” as much as 175% by the 2050s.

But that doesn’t stop really bad analysis from suggesting dirty energy somehow protects our land better for than clean energy, with wind supposedly 8 times as destructive as coal!  In fact, modern wind turbines are so tall that they take up very, very little land — allowing virtually all of the surrounding  land to be used for other purposes, including farming.

Guest debunker Dr. Matthew Wasson, Director of Programs for Appalachian Voices, notes “the habitat impact of the Mount Storm Wind Farm in the first image [below left] is assumed to be 25% greater than the impact of the 12,000 acre Hobet mountaintop removal mine in the second image (images are taken from the same altitude and perspective; the bright connect-the-dots feature in the windfarm image is the actual area disturbed)”:

MtStorm2 Mount Mine Site from 9 miles

The rest of this post is a reprint of his entire analysis first published here.
As Congress was returning from the August recess, there wasn’t much news about the climate bill. The only energy-related news breaking through the coverage of the rancorous health care debates and town-hall tea parties was a study on “energy sprawl” published by five staff members of the Nature Conservancy.

“Renewable Energy Needs Land, Lots Of Land” was the headline of an August 28th story on NPR about the study.

“Renewable technologies increase energy sprawl,” was the headline summary on the journal Nature’s website.

[Anti-climate action] Senator Lamar Alexander of Tennessee, in an Op/Ed published in the Wall Street Journal, summed up the message that was heard by legislators and the public from the news coverage of the study:

“We’re about to destroy the environment in the name of saving it.”

The interesting thing about the news coverage is that none of it addressed the actual analysis. The study didn’t actually measure the impacts of different energy technologies, but rather compiled estimates from a smattering of reports, fact sheets and brochures from government and industry sources in order to arrive at an acre-per-unit of energy figure for each energy technology. Those figures were then applied to the Energy Information Administration’s modeling of four climate policy scenarios under consideration by Congress.

So the coverage was generated not by the study’s results, but entirely by the assumptions that went into it about the relative impacts of renewable versus conventional energy technologies. Looking at the counter-intuitive findings (wind is 8 times as destructive as coal), it’s no wonder that the media took such an interest.

To put those assumptions in perspective, the habitat impact of the Mount Storm Wind Farm in the first image is assumed to be 25% greater than the impact of the 12,000 acre Hobet mountaintop removal mine in the second image (images are taken from the same altitude and perspective; the bright connect-the-dots feature in the windfarm image is the actual area disturbed) — [see figures above].

“Garbage in, garbage out” is a concept most people are familiar with, but the problems with the “energy sprawl” study go farther than that.

When I taught a course in ecological modeling, we used a hypothetical study on acts of violence in industrialized countries to examine how you could generate any result you desire simply by choosing how to define an “act of violence.” For instance, if you wanted to show that the French are the most violent industrialized society, you might define rude treatment by waiters as an act of violence. The study does something very similar, but worse – it fails to define a consistent measure of land-use impact across the various energy technologies it purports to compare. It’s as though we defined “acts of violence” to include rude treatment only by French waiters, but not by German, English or American waiters.

While I won’t get into detail of the math and science (a full analysis and response is in preparation), here are just a few of the jaw-dropping errors and assumptions that went into the study:

  • A 2 megawatt wind turbine is assumed to disturb between 100 and 120 acres of wildlife habitat (smell test: does it really make sense that one of those wind turbines you always see on television is disturbing more than 100 football fields worth of land?). These estimates were not from published studies, but from portions of brochures discussing the area required for ideal placement of a windfarm. Instead of using additional estimates from those same brochures that only 3-5% of that area is directly impacted, the study used vaguely-worded, unreferenced and unsupportable biological justifications to include the other 95-97% in their analysis.
  • The acreage impacts of coal mining, from Wyoming to Alabama, were extrapolated from one mine in Illinois, and apparently one other mine, though no location, details or references were provided. In the case of Appalachian mining, a casual examination of available data reveals that many – probably most – Appalachian mines exhibit a “landuse intensity” 5 to 10 times higher than either estimate used in the study.
  • The impacts of blowing up a mountain and dumping resulting toxic-laden waste into nearby valleys and streams is treated as a comparable disturbance to, say, being located several hundred yards away from a wind turbine. Worse, fragmentation of habitat (the category that increased wind’s alleged impacts by 95-97%), was only considered for renewable technologies but not for nuclear and coal, despite a wealth of published studies showing fragmentation effects as much as five times greater than the footprint of a strip mine.

It’s obvious that the authors of this study don’t spend a lot of time thinking about coal mining (the fact that they refer to underground or deep mines as “pit” mines is revealing). That could partly explain the distorted picture the study gives of the impacts of coal mining, but the assumptions are so consistently weighted against renewable energy that it gets hard to ignore. If the pattern of assumptions so consistently tilted against renewables and in favor of coal and nuclear doesn’t raise a red flag, consider the language used in the study. The EIA’s “No International Offsets/Limited Alternatives” scenario, which would emphasize rapid expansion of renewable energy technologies (and which purportedly creates the most “energy sprawl”), was renamed the “Few Options” scenario by the authors. A real gem of a PR strategy from the group that came up with “energy sprawl.”

As for the policy options that the study’s results (and assumptions) favor, the “Core” scenario from the EIA’s analysis of the Warner-Lieberman climate bill was renamed the “CCS” scenario – shorthand for carbon capture and storage. This could also represent a real tipping of the hand as to the policy priorities at the Nature Conservancy. That, in turn, would go a long way toward explaining the blind spot the Nature Conservancy possesses regarding the wholesale destruction of the most biologically diverse forests and streams on the continent through mountaintop removal coal mining. The fact that plants installing CCS will need to consume at least 15-30% more coal to produce the same amount of electricity (if and when CCS becomes available), would cause a little cognitive dissonance in anyone concerned about the environment but supportive of widespread CCS deployment.

What the study didn’t look at

From the perspective of communities impacted by coal mining, a study on energy impacts that looked no further than the land area affected by mining was never going to carry much weight anyway. EPA biologist Gregory Pond, who published a study in 2008 showing the loss of entire orders of insects downstream from mountaintop removal mines, told the news media when the study was released:

While habitat degradation from mountaintop mining is what one sees on the surface, we found that chemical effects are quite pronounced and limit much of the expected biodiversity from what were once naturally rich, diverse Appalachian stream systems.

The most important factors in the “what the study doesn’t look at” category, however, are the impacts of energy on people and communities. The thousands of people in Appalachia without access to clean and safe drinking water do not show up in the “energy sprawl” study’s land impact estimates. The photo on the right of a child in Prenter, West Virginia, is the lead photo of a remarkable piece of reporting from the New York Times that provides a lot of insight into the awful tragedies faced daily by families in Appalachia who are forced to drink and bathe in water polluted with coal waste.

The authors of the “energy sprawl” study stated explicitly that aquatic and health issues are not what the study was about, and it wouldn’t be fair to blame them for any failure to address those problems. It’s the inevitable distortions of the study that do the most violence to those fighting for safe homes and clean drinking water in coal and uranium-bearing regions. The lead author addressed some of those distortions directly, shortly after Senator Alexander’s “We’re destroying the environment in the name of saving it” op-ed. Here are a few excerpts from his post on the Nature Conservancy’s blog:

First, climate change is the big threat to America’s wildlife (and to our communities). Severe climate change has the potential to imperil many more species than energy sprawl.
Moreover, we show in our paper that most of the energy sprawl from now to 2030 will happen regardless of whether or not there is a comprehensive climate bill. By far the largest amount of energy sprawl will come from biofuel production, driven by the renewable fuel standard and other laws already in place.

So I say to everyone writing or blogging about energy sprawl: If you are concerned about energy sprawl, then fight for energy efficiency!

The Nature Conservancy’s tireless efforts to support energy efficiency, build awareness of climate change, and bring climate policy to the table deserve both thanks and respect. But the concept of “energy sprawl,” now that it has been associated with such a distorted picture of the impacts of wind, solar, coal and nuclear technologies, adds nothing but confusion and false impressions to the debate over climate.

The study also does a lot of harm to those working to reduce the impacts of mining and to promote green jobs in their communities. “Nature Conservancy says wind and solar are more harmful than coal” is a talking point that will be repeated in mine permit hearings, utilities commission proceedings, letters to the editor and at coal rallies across the country for years into the future.

There is no way to repair the concept of “energy sprawl” at this point. Environmental and climate advocates would do well to strike that buzzword from their lexicons and literature entirely.

Burn this blog post after reading.

cross-posted with iLoveMounains.org

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13 Responses to Misleading ‘energy sprawl’ study pollutes climate debate. In fact, clean energy protects our land while dirty energy destroys it.

  1. Rick Covert says:

    The detractors of wind turbine farms point to an allegation that they make unacceptable noise. Is this true?

  2. paulm says:

    Southeast Asia gains climate clout after typhoon
    http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5gt7pqzL4YYPkeuMv9Lx-0HpE1zJQ

    after Typhoon Ketsana killed more than 300 people in the Philippines, Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos this week, Southeast Asian nations suddenly found themselves with a podium from which to call on richer nations to do more.

  3. Leif says:

    Wind farms make noise??? This is presumptuous for me to respond to because I have never been around one to tell personally. However it is hard for me to imagine that they would make more noise than a mountain top removal process, what with the thousands of trucks, tractors, loaders, and dynamite moving millions of cubic yards of dirt from place to place along with rock crushers processing the coal and trains carrying said product through out the land. All working 24/7 Come on, get real!

  4. paulm says:

    not a wise move on Obama’s part…

    Obama’s Olympic trip to Copenhagen knocks climate talks off the podium

    After his part in Chicago’s bid for the Olympics, the US president must keep his eye on the ultimate prize: the UN’s climate talks

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/blog/2009/oct/02/obama-olympics-climate-change?commentpage=1

  5. I agree completely that the study is wrong to say that clean energy requires more land than coal.

    But I think there is some validity to the underlying concern of these members of the nature conservancy: though it is far less destructive than fossil fuel, clean energy does require land and other resources. This means that growth in resource use cannot increase endlessly on a finite planet.

    Right now, we could build solar energy to generate all of America’s electricity on about 10,000 square miles, just 100 miles by 100 miles of land, a very small portion of the US land area. But I did the calculation and found that, if our electricity use increases as much in the 21st century as it did in the 20th century, solar energy to generate all our electricity would take one-third of the total US land area.

    Even if we do come up with a source of abundant, clean energy, endless economic growth will strain the supplies of other resources. Ecological Footprint studies by William Rees and Mathis Wackernagel show that, if everyone in the world had the same standard of living as Americans, it would take five earths to provide the resources they consume. It is possible to develop technologies that use resources more efficiently, but if growth continues at its past rate, it will become more and more difficult to avoid overshooting the earth’s carrying capacity.

    So, I know that in the current political debate over cap-and-trade, it is tactically useful to be optimistic and to say that fighting global warming can provide faster economic growth and more jobs. But at some point, we are going to have to face the fact that growth in resource use cannot continue forever.

  6. Brendan says:

    Most of the issues brought against wind over and over again, like that they make noise, kill birds, and destroy large areas of habitat are based on outdated methods that are all but abandoned today. Most of the newer turbines are significantly larger than the older ones that had these problems. The larger turbines spin at much slower rates, which reduces noise. They have also become more aerodynamically efficient as the science improves – noise is a byproduct of inefficiency. Since they are larger, birds see easily see them and can avoid the blades… not that that was ever really the problem anyway. Most bird deaths around wind turbines are a result of striking the guy wires, not the blades. Death rates around the old style turbines were similar to those of radio towers and high voltage towers that utilize guy wires. The big spinning thing in front is actually fairly easy for birds to avoid. The larger modern turbines use monopole “pipes” rather than truss and wire systems. The monopoles are as easy to see as a tree is to wildlife. If the goal is to minimized disturbed area, the single poles can be anchored in the ground and covered with natural landscape, leaving very little disturbed area at the surface. There is no need to anchor wires around the pole. In a modern installation, the access roads are what result in the majority of your disturbance.

  7. David B. Benson says:

    There are claims that modern large wind turbines emit a disturbing low frequency noise and so must be sited at least a kilometer from the nearest habitation.

    I only report what was in the local newspaper (yes, we still have one) about a recent county planning commision public hearing. I have no idea of the veracity of the claim.

  8. Doug says:

    On noise: it does make intuitive sense that a low-frequency noise is possible. I believe I read of at least one trial of a device to actively cancel that noise by applying the appropriate countering vibrations to the blades. Don’t know if that was successful.

    On wildlife: I hope Brendan is right about birds, but I have seen reports of a lot of bats being killed by modern wind turbines. The dead bats showed no evidence of *direct* strikes by the blades; rather, upon autopsy it was found that they died of a condition similar to the “bends,” likely the result of being caught in the low-pressure area immediately behind the blade. A couple of links on this:
    http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2008/08/080825-bat-bends.html
    http://www.fort.usgs.gov/BatsWindmills/

  9. mike roddy says:

    Wind turbines around Palm Springs can barely be heard, and there are hundreds of them.

    More worrying is fossil fuel company manipulation of enviros in the Mojave, resulting in endless delays of solar thermal projects.

  10. Daron Williams says:

    There is no way that wind energy is worse then coal. But instead of building very large wind farms and very large solar farms we should be focusing on small solar/wind setup on houses, public buildings and commercial buildings. And we should be focusing on promoting energy efficiency. We will need some large wind/solar farms, but if we focus on local/small solutions we can greatly reduce the need for the large farms and we can reduce the costs.

  11. David B. Benson says:

    Daron Williams — For wind it is most cost effective to use locations where the wind blows hard at least 30% of the time. People prefer not to live in such locations, most of us.

    When solar PV is sufficiently low cost it will make sense to install the panels on roofs; just now it is a bit pricey for most.

  12. Barry says:

    Thank you, thank you, thank you for covering this terrible “energy sprawl” report from a group I normally admire.

    The big thing the Nature Conservancy “researchers” leave out is that the current dirty energy footprint is the ENTIRE PLANET at this point. Hello. That’s a big area.

    Did they include the areas of dying of coral reefs? Collapsing arctic ecosystems? Acidifying oceans? Spreading deserts? Dead forests? Melting permafrost regions? Collapsing alpine ecosystems? Rapidly warming waterways?

    It is crazy and irresponsible for a group that understands climate science and the climate threat to ignore the PLANET-SIZED footstomp of our dirty energy.

    Note to TNC: America’s dirty energy footprint far larger than our entire continent and all our coastal waters. It will be a day for dancing in the streets if we manage to rein that in to just the size of a state like Minnesota.

    TNC need a retraction, clarification and serious damage control to save face on this one.

  13. Leif says:

    Well said Barry!