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NOAA: June is fourth month in a row of record global temperatures, first half of 2010 also on record pace

By Joe Romm  

"NOAA: June is fourth month in a row of record global temperatures, first half of 2010 also on record pace"

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10 warmest years on record all since 1995

NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) has posted its State of the Climate, Global Analysis for June.  The results confirm NASA’s:   The first half of 2010 breaks the thermometer.

Here are some highlights and a fascinating chart comparing recent years:

  • June was the fourth consecutive month that was the warmest on record for the combined global land and surface temperatures (March, April, and May were also the warmest). This was the 304th consecutive month with a combined global land and surface temperature above the 20th century average. The last month with below average temperatures was February 1985.
  • It was the warmest June on record for the land surfaces of the globe. Previous record was set in 2005. The land surface temperature exceeded the previous record by 0.11ËšC (0.20ËšF). This large difference over land contributed strongly to the overall global land and ocean temperature anomaly….
  • The year-to-date (January-June) combined global land and ocean temperature was the warmest on record…..
  • 2010 surpassed 1998 (Feb, Jul, Aug) for the most “warmest months” in any calendar year….
  • Each of the 10 warmest average global temperatures recorded since 1880 have occurred in the last fifteen years. The warmest year-to-date on record, through June, was 1998, and 2010 is warmer so far (note: although 1998 was the warmest year through June, a late-year warm surge in 2005 made that year the warmest total year):

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2010/images/ytd-evolution.png

“This graph plots the year-to-date average global land and ocean temperature. The 2010 value, complete only through June, is shown in red”

Given that a pretty big La Ni±a formed in 1998, and one is now forming today, it may end up pretty close between 2010 and 2005 and 1998.
The 2010 records are all the more powerful evidence of human-caused warming “because it occurs when the recent minimum of solar irradiance is having its maximum cooling effect,” as a recent must-read NASA paper notes.
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30 Responses to NOAA: June is fourth month in a row of record global temperatures, first half of 2010 also on record pace

  1. paulm says:

    Northern Canada on fire…it probably is worst in northern Russian which is under record breaking heat…

    http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/view.php?id=44652&src=nha

  2. Prokaryotes says:

    Where is my spaceship?

    I have a hard time to imagine how life will be with 2C/4C/6C/8C global temperature rise.

  3. Daniel Ives says:

    “The last month with below average temperature was February 1985.”

    Wow. In my entire lifetime, I have not experienced a below average global temperature month.

  4. It is difficult to reach people who are thoroughly divorced from Nature. As someone who has spent a substantial amount of time outside walking along the coastline of Central Florida I have witnessed global warming in action as beaches disappear and ecosystems move inland and coastal structures are overtaken by the high tide (including overtopping the sea walls in several places).

    Yet there are plenty of people who spend all of their time indoors in climate control and they insist that nothing whatsoever is happening.

    To illustrate this point: There is a big controversy in Tampa over the government wanting citizens to stop wasting fertilizer and poisons on lawns because it is killing Tampa Bay. One of the people responding negatively to the suggestion said that people need green lawns because it keeps the scary animals away (mice, snakes, rabbits?). I had to inform the person that all of these animals are found on green lawns, too, and the only reason why he never saw them was because he spent all of his time indoors.

    This world is changing at an accelerating rate but the vast majority of Americans never see the world. They spend all of their time indoors or at shopping malls or inside their SUVs with the air conditioner always on.

    They aren’t going to believe the scientists. It is too easy to not believe and do nothing rather than take the threat seriously and make sacrifices. Americans feel entitled to the American Way of Life and they are never responsible for anything, including their own children’s future.

    2010 might well set a new record for hottest year but Americans aren’t going to respond to climate change until the high tide reaches downtown Miami.

  5. James Newberry says:

    And Mother Earth is only “warming up.”

    Soon she will flip out or “on” like a spring loaded light switch (when a trillion tons of methane becomes destabilized, like now).

  6. Peter Mizla says:

    I wonder how much coverage the media will give of this.

    I have been watching local weather for Connecticut- the forecasters act very sheepish and perplexed about July temperatures this year. Through July 15th, we have had 8 days at 90 or above.

    We will have the next 4-5 days above 90- that will bring out summer total to 21.

    Over at the UCS – ‘rising heat in our cities’ for Hartford- the period 2010-2039- under a low emission scenario 23 days 90 or above- under a high emission scenario -26 days— it seems that we are on track to meet the high emission scenario this year with ‘no sweat’

    see http://www.climatechoices.org/ne/impacts_ne/heat_hartford.html

  7. catman306 says:

    Joe Sixpack will recognize all-time records of any type whenever he hears about them. He lives for any all-time records. We need to make sure Joe Soxpack hears.

    NPR reported that the roads in Russia are melting. We need to leak this global warming to the rest of the media. But be quiet about it, like it’s inside information that anyone would be lucky to get.

  8. Prokaryotes says:

    “NPR reported that the roads in Russia are melting.”

    Roads cracking up in germany
    http://www.spiegel.de/fotostrecke/fotostrecke-57153-3.html

  9. Prokaryotes says:

    Land Surface Temperatures, Early July 2010

    A heat wave scorched the eastern United States in early July 2010, straining power grids, slowing transit, forcing nursing homes to evacuate, and prompting East Coast residents to shelter in “cooling centers,” according to news reports. Temperatures topped 105 degrees Fahrenheit (41 degrees Celsius) in Baltimore for two consecutive days. The heat wave was a global phenomenon. Beijing also experienced near-record heat, and temperatures soared to 122 degrees Fahrenheit (50 degrees Celsius) in Kuwait.

    This global map shows temperature anomalies for July 4–11, 2010, compared to temperatures for the same dates from 2000 to 2008. The anomalies are based on land surface temperatures observed by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite. Areas with above-average temperatures appear in red and orange, and areas with below-average temperatures appear in shades of blue. Oceans, lakes, and areas with insufficient data (usually because of persistent clouds) appear in gray.
    http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=44664

  10. Esop says:

    The interesting thing is that we are setting all these all time records when the earth is cooling. At least that is what esteemed Danish experts and other deniers assured the world press last fall. It would be great to hear their updated comments on how long this cooling is going to last. John Christy was on CNN when it snowed last winter. Maybe CNN could do a follow up interview.

  11. Prokaryotes says:

    The scary part is, that we have solar cycle minimum so far and now the sun kicks in, plus several positive feedback loops ( i.e. soil feedback, albedo lose). Meaning warmth will accelerate further – as trends suggest.

  12. “John Christy was on CNN when it snowed last winter. Maybe CNN could do a follow up interview.”

    This is a great suggestion.

  13. darth says:

    People will notice when rolling black outs start. Then they will blame ‘liberals’ because it must be over regulation otherwise the free market could supply all the power we need. Remember how the conservatives were even against inflating your tires? They’ll be against smart-grid load balancing tech because it allows ‘the government’ to control your thermostat and/or hot water heater.

    Maybe reality will set in someday but i’m skeptical tonight.

  14. john kearns says:

    Way back then, beer advertising featured images of beautiful, well-dressed people at elegant parties holding classic conical beer glasses: the rich. Then an adman went to a baseball game and noticed another spectator nearby, very casually half-dressed with his shirt unbuttoned and with a six-pack of beer; which he drank, all if it,straight from the can. Inspiration: The people who really drink most of the beer were unlike the fancy folk in the ads but, well, slobs looking for a cheap buzz which wouldn’t make you sick; “real people” like Joe Six-pack here. Result: “The one beer to have when you’re having more than one”. Not to worry “What they’re saying in the best circles”.

    The “Joes” that attend Palin rallies are likely evangelicals or Mormons who never touch alcohol. “Joe” thinks they’re hicks; they think “Joe” is a Catholic drunk.

  15. Brewster says:

    Anybody notice the weather map for today?

    http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v463/heathertee2002/Pics%20for%20Forums/acttemp_600x405.jpg

    I know, I know, one day proves little, but when did you ever see THE ENTIRE COUNTRY warm at the same time?

  16. Ray Hume says:

    Hear hear David Matthews (see no. 4 above). Absolutely; absolutely!
    People will never see Truth if they don’t go looking in the places where Truth resides.

  17. Mark says:

    saw this this morning:

    Michelle Chan is the Economic Policy Director for Friends of the Earth

    The Export-Import Bank’s new carbon policy fell victim to swing state politics yesterday.

    The Export-Import Bank (Exim) is an independent U.S. agency that provides loans, loan guarantees, and export financing for U.S. companies doing business abroad. Under pressure from the Obama administration, the Bank announced yesterday that it has backtracked on a decision to reject financing for a massive coal mine and refinery in India.

    Sponsored by India-based Reliance Power, the mine and refinery (called the “Sasan project,” named after a nearby village in the state of Madhya Pradesh) would emit more than 26 million tons of carbon dioxide per year — more than all the direct emissions from Exim Bank’s 2009 projects combined. Many additional co-pollutants would also be produced, including lead, arsenic, mercury, smog-causing nitrogen oxide, and acid-rain forming sulfur dioxide.

    Three weeks ago, the Exim Bank’s board rightly voted to reject this project due to the environmental damage it would cause. But Wisconsin-based Bucyrus, a company that will benefit from the deal, retaliated with a media offensive and major bout of political lobbying. Bucyrus claimed that it would not be able to sell its equipment to the project if Exim failed to provide the project with U.S.-taxpayer-backed loan guarantees. The timing was exquisite. Coincidently, President Obama visited Racine, Wisconsin, for a pre-scheduled town hall meeting the week after the Exim board’s vote. If the president wanted to avoid an embarrassing scene, he’d have to strike a deal and backtrack on the Exim decision. Literally hours before Air Force One was scheduled to land in Wisconsin, Exim Bank invited Reliance Energy to resubmit its application.

    According to Wisconsin Governor Jim Doyle, President Obama’s involvement was “absolutely critical” in producing the Bank’s flip flop. But the president wasn’t the only one involved; Bucyrus CEO Tim Sullivan gave props to Doyle as well as Senators Herb Kohl and Russ Feingold and Representatives Gwen Moore, Paul Ryan and Jim Sensenbrenner for pressuring Exim to change its mind.

    “Hear hear David Matthews (see no. 4 above). Absolutely; absolutely!
    People will never see Truth if they don’t go looking in the places where Truth resides.”

    I agree, and even when they go to the great outdoors, people tend to recreate what they have in the city, ie lawns, etc.

  18. Sarah says:

    Lake Superior, right outside my door, is on track to be the warmest on record this summer. Summer water temperatures are increasing faster than regional air temperatures, 2.5 deg C in 25 years!

  19. Sarah says:

    Lake Superior, right outside my door, is on track to be the warmest on record this summer. Summer water temperatures are increasing faster than regional air temperatures, 2.5 deg C in 25 years!

  20. Prokaryotes says:

    Environmental activists arrived in Washington D.C. with an unusual prop — an ice sculpture.
    http://edition.cnn.com/video/#/video/us/2010/07/15/vo.ice.sculpure.environmental.cnn

  21. Larry Gilman says:

    In the graph, it looks like the temperature variance around the 0 level — the average departure, above and below — is gigantic starting January, diminishes steadily until December . . does it then (imagine lining these up chronologically as a single record, rather than superimposing them) snap back to gigantic again the day after Christmas or thereabouts? I think there must be something non-obvious about this graph. (I am NOT hinting that global warming isn’t real!)

    [JR: It is a tricky graph. But it is average temp for that year. Starts all over the map, but pretty inevitably converges on the average.]

  22. Brooks Bridges says:

    I keep reading we’re at a solar minimum or temperatures would be higher.

    Could someone provide an estimate of how much higher temps would be if we were at a solar average?

  23. Brooks Bridges says:

    Larry at 21:
    Jan data points are for just the Jan temps of a particular year. Feb data points are the average of the Jan and Feb temps for a particular year. Mar points are avg of Jan, Feb, and Mar, etc.

    [JR: What he said.]

  24. Prokaryotes says:

    Brooks Bridges, this article gives some insights – read the comments too.

    http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2010/03/more-on-sun-climate-relations/

  25. P. G. Dudda says:

    @15 – Brewster: I notice it’s a nice comfy 73 in San Francisco. Proof that God loves liberals? ;-)

  26. Bob Doublin says:

    #15 And it really irks me that the data leaves Canada and Mexico blank.How far north does all this extend? Wasn’t it the case that when all the snowstorms were happening Canada was experiencing one of it’s warnest winters on record? I know here in Seattle, January was the warmest on record.And February’s avg highs were over 3 degrees above avg There’s more to the world than the damn USA. Reminds me of this idiot on Alternet or CommonDreams who kept going on and on and on about how he hadn’t noticed any warming over the last twenty years in his tiny little corner of Nebraska (check out the verb,he didn’t say he measured and recorded temps off his thermometer or from the weather reports in his local paper….jeesh,sigh,aargh)

  27. Coyote Waits says:

    RE #4 David: The mental defect David mentioned seems to go further–at least as far as appearing to deny that oil reserves will disappear/fade drastically while becoming ruinously expensive in the process. (The 6-pack sentiment manifests as heavily biased toward liquid oil, not coal/gas.) Common Chamber-of-Commerce type hogwash such as ‘they want to reorganize society’ denies the fact that liquid oil-based society WILL reorganize/end. Whether we have time to re-structure away from oil in time to avoid serious upheaval from oil shortage alone is itself a big question. One possibility is that we will delay that move until it is so late that staggering energy costs strain the economy and governments so much that we don’t have the ability to re-structure. If Joe Average hasn’t noticed, the U.S. economy has been in a broad if erratic decline since the 60s. People think that this rickety energy-intensive economy will manage a crisis break from oil without upheaval? That this almost certainly would be trying to function during the effect of advancing climate change makes it even harder. For the average person who isn’t paid by/from the carbon industry, why the resistance to doing what is required to break free from a very expensive, inflexible, and insecure energy source that will abandon us in the not-distant future anyway? Even without climate change, there hardly is any time to waste in moving away from dependence on fossil fuels. IMO, of course :)

  28. Prokaryotes says:

    387 preliminary tornado reports during June. If confirmed, this will be the second most active June on record, behind 1992. Minnesota had a particularly busy month with 67 preliminary tornado reports, besting the previous record of 35 tornadoes during June 2005.

    NCDC’s Climate Extremes Index (CEI) for January – June was about 6 percent higher than average. The CEI measures the prevalence of several types of climate extremes (like record or near-record warmth, dry spells, or rainy periods). Factors contributing to the elevated 2010 value were large footprints of: extreme wetness (more than three times the average footprint), warm minimum temperatures (“warm overnight lows”), and areas experiencing heavy 1-day precipitation events.

    For the contiguous U.S., June 2010 ranked as the 17th wettest June in the 116-year record. June precipitation was the wettest on record for Michigan. Several other states were also anomalously wet, including: Iowa (2nd wettest), Nebraska and Illinois (3rd wettest), Indiana (4th wettest), Wisconsin (5th wettest), Oregon (6th wettest), and Ohio (10th wettest). Maryland (6th driest) was the only state that experienced a top-ten driest June.

    A withering heat wave of unprecedented intensity brought the hottest temperatures in recorded history to six nations in Asia and Africa, plus the Asian portion of Russia, in June 2010. At least two other Middle East nations came within a degree of their hottest temperatures ever in June.

    The heat was the most intense in Kuwait, which recorded its hottest temperature in history on June 15 in Abdaly, according to the Kuwait Met office. The mercury hit 52.6°C (126.7°F). Kuwait’s previous all-time hottest temperature was 51.9°C (125.4°F), on July 27,2007, at Abdaly. Temperatures reached 51°C (123.8°F) in the capital of Kuwait City on June 15, 2010.

    Iraq had its hottest day in history on June 14, 2010, when the mercury hit 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Basra. Iraq’s previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F) set August 8, 1937, in Ash Shu’aybah.

    Saudi Arabia had its hottest temperature ever on June 22, 2010, with a reading of 52.0°C (125.6°F) in Jeddah, the second largest city in Saudi Arabia. The previous record was 51.7°C (125.1°F), at Abqaiq, date unknown. The record heat was accompanied by a sandstorm, which caused eight power plants to go offline, resulting in blackouts to several Saudi cities.

    In Africa, Chad had its hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.6°C (117.7°F) at Faya. The previous record was 47.4°C (117.3°F) at Faya on June 3 and June 9, 1961.

    Niger tied its record for hottest day in history on June 22, 2010, when the temperature reached 47.1°C (116.8°F) at Bilma. That record stood for just one day, as Bilma broke the record again on June 23, when the mercury topped out at 48.2°C (118.8°F). The previous record was 47.1°C on May 24, 1998, also at Bilma.

    Sudan recorded its hottest temperature in its history on June 25 when the mercury rose to 49.6°C (121.3°F) at Dongola. The previous record was 49.5°C (121.1°F) set in July 1987 in Aba Hamed.

    The Asian portion of Russia recorded its highest temperature in history on June 25, when the mercury hit 42.3°C (108.1°F) at Belogorsk, near the Amur River border with China. The previous record was 41.7°C (107.1°F) at nearby Aksha on July 21, 2004. (The record for European Russia is 43.8°C–110.8°F–set on August 6, 1940, at Alexandrov Gaj near the border with Kazakhstan.

    Two other countries came within a degree of their all time hottest temperature on record during the heat wave. Bahrain had its hottest June temperature ever, 46.9°C, on June 20, missing the all-time record of 47.5°C (117.5°F), set July 14, 2000. Temperatures in Quatar reached 48.8°C (119.8°F) on June 20. Quatar’s all-time record hottest temperature was 49.6°C (121.3°F) set on July 9, 2000.
    http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1544

  29. Ran Sickleburger says:

    Much as I hate to link to the Globe and Mail for it’s usually dumb as a post climate coverage, here’s the Canadian perspective. (if you want to renew your faith in the imminent extinction of the human race, read the comments):

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/the-endless-summer/article1643338/

  30. JeandeBegles says:

    In complement to comment 21, I didn’t understand why the Joe’s graph looks like the Temperature are widely spread in january, and converge in december.
    Eventually, Joe exponation to comment 21 is clear: it is year to date average T°, and not 12 running month average T°, so the convengence is logic.