Run, Sarah, Run: Why a Palin Candidacy Would be Apocalypse Now for the GOP, but Good News for Climate Hawks

Palin at Rolling Thunder: “I love that smell of the emissions”

Kilgore in Apocalypse Now:  “I love the smell of napalm in the morning…. The smell, you know that gasoline smell.”

Fox news analyst and social media maven Sarah Palin (aka the Quitterer) has filled the vacuum left by Donald Trump’s faux presidential campaign.

The three key pieces of evidence: She launched a nationwide bus tour, “a documentary extolling Palin’s accomplishments as governor is set to premiere in Iowa next month,” and, of course she started saying inane things again on TV (see Palin defends oil subsidies: “Were only talking about $4 billion” a year).  Here she is on Fox News.

VAN SUSTEREN: I know you haven’t made a decision, but do you have that fire in your belly? Do you really want it?

PALIN: Oh, that’s a great question. I think my problem is that I do have the fire in my belly…. I want to make sure that America is put back on the right track, and we only do that by defeating Obama in 2012. I have that fire in my belly…. But yes, the fire in the belly? It’s there!

So I’m thinking, give that woman some Tums! If that fails, try Prilosec.

The lame stream media, as they say in the great land up north that overlooks Russia, has mostly figured out that this is most likely just a publicity play for the former governor who became uncharacteristically gun shy after the shooting of Rep. Gifford, whom Palin had quite literally put in the crosshairs for defeat.

Still, progressives can hope that Palin actually jumps into the campaign, since win or lose the nomination, it would just about guarantee an Obama victory.

Yes, Obama is no climate hawk, but even notwithstanding what a conservative president in 2013 might mean for climate and energy policy, there are two reasons to believe an Obama victory under the right circumstances — which is to say, against the right opponent — might revitalize chances for serious action.

First if Palin ran for the nomination and won, Obama would be free to actually talk about the energy and climate issue in an intelligent fashion.  He could even travel to Alaska  to talk about the devastating climate change that is hitting her home state.

And he’d likely win in a landslide.  Peter Wehner at Commentary has a new piece titled, “The Damage Sarah Palin Could Do“: shows Sarah Palin’s favorability rating to be 31.4 percent while her unfavorability rating is 59.9 percent.

These numbers are dreadful. If Palin were to be the GOP nominee, she would lead the ticket to a crushing loss for Republicans at almost every level in a year (2012) when they should win the presidency and make significant down-ballot gains.

That might even get the Dems the House back.

Second, if Palin runs for the nomination and loses, she is likely to lose to Mitt Romney, I think.  She makes Romney the more likely GOP candidate because right now, the GOP establishment will not rally around him now, but  instead are looking for a viable anti-Romney.

If Palin runs, she sucks all the air  out of the room, media-wise and  probably money-wise (much as Obama did when he ran against Clinton).  The GOP establishment can’t afford for her to win, so they would have to  rally  around the most viable candidate, and that would be Romney, since he has the money and the persona.

Romney recently said, reducing global warming pollution is ‘important’ (more on that later).  So  if he were the nominee, he allows Obama to have a serious debate about climate and how one best goes about reducing emissions– if Obama chooses (a big if, I know, but a guy can dream).

I just don’t think Romney can beat Obama.  Romney takes away one of the GOP’s biggest issues — healthcare — since Obamacare came from Romneycare.  And he disempowers evangelicals, which widens the playing field for Obama.  And that’s not even counting how divisive the fight would be with the GOP  establishment taking on Palin.

So I say, run, Sarah, run.  Or motorcycle, Sarah, motorcycle.  That smells like victory.

UPDATE:  Commenter Prokaryotes  adds this link, “Latest Sarah Palin Speech Opens Sixth Seal.”   I may repost the whole thing tomorrow.

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