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Murtha: Bush May Double Forced Iraq Extensions

The Bush administration announced last month that all U.S. Army soldiers in Iraq would have their 12-month tours in Iraq extended by 3 additional months.

The forced extensions place an extreme burden on soldiers in Iraq, whose strains “are in some ways more severe than those borne by the combat forces of World War II,” Army researchers say. The also highlight the U.S. military’s current readiness crisis, which has left virtually all of the U.S.-based Army combat brigades “rated as unready to deploy.”

In a little noticed remark late last month, Rep. John Murtha (D-PA) said the worst is still to come. During a speech on Congress’ Iraq legislation, Murtha said he has heard rumors that the forced extensions will soon be increased to 18 months. Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/05/murtha1234078.320.240.flv]

In April, when the 15-month extensions were announced, U.S. soldiers on the ground reacted with “muffled outbursts of anger and frustration laced with dark humor.”

At no time in our military history have Soldiers or Marines been required to serve on the front line in any war for a period of 6-7 months.” A quarter of all soldiers who spend 6 months in Iraq show signs of mental trauma.

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Walls Cracking

Byron York’s not much of a deviationist, so when he finds himself musing “should deadlines be off limits in the Iraq debate?” and concluding “Maybe at this point, a deadline for the Iraqi government wouldn’t be a bad thing” I think you have to see some significance in that development. At long last some of the mainstream right is getting tired of this morass.

Romney Says It’s ‘Entirely Possible’ That Saddam Had WMD And Hid Them In Syria

While most have long given up on the theory that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is still a believer. Last night on Fox’s Hannity & Colmes, host Sean Hannity asked Romney whether he thought Iraq hid weapons of mass destruction in Syria prior to the invasion. “It’s entirely possible,” Romney said.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/05/romney2836223.320.240.flv]

Syria did not hide WMD that Saddam Hussein did not have. In April 2005, amidst accusations by Dick Cheney that Hussein transfered weapons to Syria prior to the war, Charles Duelfer of the the Iraq Survey Group (ISG) published an addendum to the ISG’s report on pre-war intelligence explaining that Iraq did not ship weaponry to Syria:

On Syria, the report said that “no information gleaned from questioning Iraqis supported the possibility” that weapons were moved out of the country before the invasion, which was one theory about why no unconventional weapons were found. … Mr. Duelfer reported that his group, the Iraq Survey Group, believed “it was unlikely that an official transfer of W.M.D. material from Iraq to Syria took place.”

Even President Bush, who is known to exaggerate intelligence, admitted after Duelfer’s ISG report that “Iraq did not have the weapons that our intelligence believed were there.”

Digg It!

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Yglesias

You And What Recruiting Pool?

Via Ramesh Ponnuru, I see that Rudy Giuliani is joining Barack Obama, John McCain, and Hillary Clinton in calling for a larger Army. One can’t help but wonder where these troops are supposed to be conjured up from. The strongest thing coming through from Brian Mockenhaupt’s article on basic training is that it’s really hard to recruit an Army up to the current size.

That’s not to say that the military isn’t going to hit its goals. Clearly, they will. Already, though, they’ve stepped up recruitment bonuses enormously as well as relaxing standards for who they’re allowed to recruit. Less quantifiably, the obvious upshot of Mockenhaupt’s reporting is that at this point the message coming down to the people in charge of training new recruits is that at the margin they should worry more about losing soldiers than they should about passing on sub-par ones. The only really reliable way of increasing the recruiting pool would be to have a recession, and I hope that’s not what these candidates have in mind.

Yglesias

Relief

These sort of concerns about National Guard units being too tied up in foreign deployments to do state-oriented disaster relief and so forth constitute the best rationale I can think of for the belief that the Army needs to get bigger. One could use a larger regular Army in order to curtail the need to call on Guard units and thereby increase domestic disaster preparedness. On balance, though, that would have to be an incredibly cost-ineffective means of addressing natural disasters, so I don’t see the argument carrying the day on the merits.

Has John Edwards specifically come out against the larger military? Obama and Clinton are for it, and Kerry/Edwards endorsed a version of this idea back in 2004.

Morris: It’s ‘Convenient’ To Keep U.S. Troops In Iraq So Terrorists Can Kill Them ‘Around The Corner’

President Bush has repeatedly argued that the United States needs to “eliminate terrorist threats abroad, so we do not have to face them here at home.”

Last night on Hannity and Colmes, right-wing pundit Dick Morris also claimed that we need to keep U.S. troops in Iraq so that terrorists don’t come to the United States. But he argued that we need to put “Americans right within their [terrorists'] arms’ reach” so that they have the opportunity to “kill Americans” there. He added that therefore, “they don’t have to come to Wall Street to kill Americans. They don’t have to knock down the Trade Center. They can do it around the corner, and convenience is a big factor when you’re a terrorist.” Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2007/05/foxmorrisiraq.320.240.flv]

Withdrawing U.S. troops from Iraq doesn’t mean that violence will follow them to the United States. As former White House counterterrorism director Richard Clarke notes:

Of course, nothing about our being “over there” in any way prevents terrorists from coming here. Quite the opposite, the evidence is overwhelming that our presence provides motivation for people throughout the Arab world to become anti-American terrorists.

A recent survey of military and diplomatic experts also concluded that “likelihood that enemy combatants from Iraq might follow departing U.S. forces back to the United States is remote at best.” But as the Army recently warned, the longer we stay in Iraq, the more casualties will rise.

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Yglesias

After GWOT, What?

Al says, “The problem always has been: what do you replace GWOT with? Rumsfeld tried to change it to GSAVE, which is probably a better phrase. I think Matthew mocked him for it.”

I disagree. The difficulty with finding an apt replacemen for GWOT highlights the inaptness of the term. The reason nobody can come up with a good name for the thing “GWOT” is supposed to denote is that it doesn’t denote anything. Instead, insofar is it isn’t merely a piece of goofy rhetoric (and I think John Edwards went a bit too far in suggesting this is all it is) it’s a conceptual confusion — an effort to lump together a bunch of loosely-related issues that 9/11 all happened to highlight and turn them into a single “thing” even though there’s nothing there.

To take an example, a lot of critiques of “GWOT” begin by noting that “terrorism is a tactic, and you don’t go to war with a tactic.” Which is true. At the same time, while on the one hand 9/11 highlighted a specific problem with a specific enemy, it also did highlight America’s vulnerability to the generic tactic of terrorism. Something like “we should harden cockpit doors” isn’t part of a “war on Islamic fundamentalism” (or whatever more precise term you might like) it’s a counterterrorism measure just like the longstanding practice of using metal detectors is.

So there’s a specific al-Qaeda issue (we’re not going to invest tons of effort into crushing ETA). Then there’s a general terrorism issue (we do want to reduce our generic vulnerability from any group that may arise in the future). Then there are the geopolitics of the Middle East. Then there’s the issue of nuclear proliferation. These questions are relate, but there’s not a single thing that should have a single name. There’s fighting al-Qaeda, there’s counterterrorism, there’s the Middle East, there’s non-proliferation — those are all good words. “War on Terror” should just be demoted to the status of somewhat silly name for the 2001 invasion of Afghanistan.

Yglesias

Storm Clouds

Spencer Ackerman reviews George Tenet’s At the Center of the Storm: My Years In the CIA. He’s not impressed! “Like much else in the book, Tenet’s focus on the “slam dunk” quote is actually sneaky — he serves to obscure the real issue at hand while oscillating between contrition and a fiery, if dubious, defense of his tenure.” On the other hand, Tenet turns out to have a good eye for an NCAA basketball rivalry.

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