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Fraud Caucus

Pete Domenici comes out in favor of his own re-election campaign:

I have carefully studied the Iraq situation, and believe we cannot continue asking our troops to sacrifice indefinitely while the Iraqi government is not making measurable progress to move its country forward. I do not support an immediate withdrawal from Iraq or a reduction in funding for our troops. But I do support a new strategy that will move our troops out of combat operations and on the path to coming home.

When Domenici starts voting with Democrats to override presidential vetos, then we can start discussing whether or not he deserves any kind of credit for a deathbed conversion.

Yglesias

Jihadi Falling Outs

A couple of days ago Brian Ulrich linked to this Christian Science Monitor account of tensions between jihadis in Pakistan’s Northwest Frontier Province. The piece “focuses on a difference in tactics between Beitullah Mehsud, one of the most influential Taliban leaders in Pakistan, and a commander named Qari Hussain Ahmad, who has been waging an aggressive campaign against traditional tribal leaders in the hopes of eventually replacing the Pashtunwali tribal code with shari’a.”

Part of what I think people need to take away from this is that the “Taliban” concept underdescribes what’s going on. The United States has a clear interest in getting Pashto-inhabited territories to submit to central rule from Kabul and Islamabad if the only alternative is for that territory to be administered by people interested in playing host to anti-American terrorists. Insofar as there may be Pashto leaders who aren’t interested in using autonomy in that manner, however, then we needn’t necessarily be troubled by them.

Yglesias

Were Crimes Committed?

I thought I’d elevate this comment that Steve left a couple of days ago because it lays things out clearly:

The answer is that the reason why Armitage, Libby, and the other leakers weren’t prosecuted under the IIPA is that the IIPA requires proof, beyond a reasonable doubt, that the leaker had actual knowledge that the CIA agent’s employment was classified at the time of the leak.

To prove that, you need to be able to prove how the person found out about the fact of CIA employment. In the case of Armitage, it was clear that he didn’t know; he found out from a document that said nothing about Plame’s covert status. In the case of Libby, it was less clear what he knew, but Fitzgerald nonetheless concluded that he couldn’t prove anything beyond a reasonable doubt.

The real issue is what Cheney knew and when he knew it. Libby’s lies were intentionally designed to keep Fitzgerald from getting a closer look at Cheney and determining what role Cheney had in the leak campaign and whether he knew Plame was covert. That’s why the obstruction was a big deal. That’s why no one was charged; the IIPA requires that you prove knowledge and Fitzgerald couldn’t.

An additional point that’s relevant. Most of Libby’s defenders — George W. Bush, David Brooks, etc. — don’t seem to be denying that Libby committed a crime by lying under oath to investigators. They want us to say that, rather, he deserves to be treated very leniently because there was no big deal here. The alleged absence of an underlying crime is key to that theory. The converse theory is that there was an underlying crime and the crime can’t be proven because Libby lied to investigators.

If that theory is wrong — if there really was no crime — then it seems we ought to get some kind of explanation from Libby as to why he lied. People sometimes do have reasons to lie to investigators other than a desire to cover up criminal activity (hiding non-criminal activity that’s embarrassing is the obvious one) but if Libby wants mercy he should offer up a plausible score on this account. But Libby hasn’t offered any such story. Instead, he’s offered a wildly implausible story — that he’s innocent. Under those circumstances, it’s very odd to offer clemency. He’s shown no remorse and appears to be continually engaged in a conspiracy to obstruct justice. Maybe there was no crime here; but if there wasn’t, then what was Libby doing? He’s not even trying to convince us that he had some other reason to lie.

Domenici Announces Shift In Iraq Policy, Calls For Starting Troop Redeployment

domenici34.jpg Sen. Pete Domenici (R-NM) has been a strong supporter of President Bush’s Iraq policies. In April, he voted against legislation to set deadlines for the withdrawal of U.S. troops.

Today at a press conference in Albuquerque, Domenici announced a shift in his policies, stating that he now supports decreasing the U.S. troop presence in Iraq. From his press release:

I want a new strategy for Iraq. I continue to completely support the men and women in the American Armed Forces. They have not failed us. It is the Iraqi government that is failing to make even modest progress to help Iraq itself or to merit the sacrifices being made by our men and women in uniform. I am unwilling to continue our current strategy.

I have carefully studied the Iraq situation, and believe we cannot continue asking our troops to sacrifice indefinitely while the Iraqi government is not making measurable progress to move its country forward. I do not support an immediate withdrawal from Iraq or a reduction in funding for our troops. But I do support a new strategy that will move our troops out of combat operations and on the path to coming home.

Domenici has decided to cosponsor S.1545, which embraces the recommendations in the Iraq Study Group Report. It calls for creating the conditions that could allow for a drawdown of combat forces by March of 2008, but does not set a deadline.

This shift is significant for Domenici, who is up for re-election in 2008. In January, he said that he was “willing to give the [escalation] plan the President has outlined a chance.” In June 2006, Domenici stated, “I reject any notion that setting a definite timetable for withdrawal would be a good idea. I believe it would merely encourage the terrorists within Iraq, hamstring the Iraqi civil authorities, and draw more foreign terrorists to Iraq.”

Domenici joins Republican senators George Voinovich (OH) and John Warner (VA), who have indicated support for legislation to draw down U.S. involvement in Iraq. Sen. Richard Lugar (R-IN) also recently criticized the President, stating that the United States must “downsize the U.S. military’s role in Iraq and place much more emphasis on diplomatic and economic options.”

For a progressive exit strategy from Iraq, the Center for American Progress has a Strategic Reset plan that would withdraw virtually all U.S. troops within one year.

UPDATE: Heath Haussamen has more.

UPDATE II: Atrios has doubts on whether Domenici will actually live up to his rhetoric: “[T]rying to change our Iraq policy involves more than just getting behind some piece of legislation or another which is unlikely to pass. It involves a willingness to get behind just about anything that forces a change in policy, even if you’re not fully on board with those things because you consider them to be better than the status quo of “staying the course” to preserve the fragile ego of the idiot manchild.”

UPDATE III: Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid issued this statement:

Senator Domenici is correct to assess that the Administration’s war strategy is misguided. But we will not see a much-needed change of course in Iraq until Republicans like Senators Domenici, Lugar and Voinovich are willing to stand up to President Bush and his stubborn clinging to a failed policy — and more importantly, back up their words with action. Beginning with the Defense Authorization bill next week, Republicans will have the opportunity to not just say the right things on Iraq, but vote the right way too so that we can bring the responsible end to this war that the American people demand and deserve.

Digg It!

Yglesias

The Search for an Enemy

James Fallows, reports that according to Gary Hart and Lee Hamilton, Lynn Cheney wanted to start a war with China back in the pre-9/11 era. According to Francis Fukuyama among Bill Kristol and his circle in the 90s “There was actually a deliberate search for an enemy because they felt that the Republican Party didn’t do as well” in the absence of a pressing foreign threat, and the consensus was that the enemy should be China.

These are crazy people.

REPORT: Voters Believe Iraq Is Creating More Terrorists, Distracting From Domestic Priorities

bushpledge.jpg ThinkProgress has obtained results of a new poll released yesterday at the Aspen Ideas Festival, a conference hosted by The Atlantic and the Aspen Institute. The poll finds that voters of all parties are overwhelmingly pessimistic about the war in Iraq, believing the United States will fail. The war has distracted from the fight against terrorism and other domestic priorities. Some highlights:

– 82 percent say people in other countries view the United States unfavorably.

– 71 percent say people in other countries now view the American people unfavorably.

– 53 percent of American believe the largest threat facing the United State is from terrorist organizations.

– 83 percent of Americans believe the U.S. should share a leadership role with allies and other countries around the world.

– 63 percent of voters think the U.S. should focus on domestic problems instead of foreign affairs.

– 56 percent of Americans believe that the war in Iraq is distracting us from the war on terror.

– 67 percent believe the war in Iraq is creating more terrorists.

– 72 percent favor diplomacy to pressure with Iran.

Also yesterday at the festival, Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA) said, “Habeas corpus is coming back, and we’re going to solve that one.”

According to a recent LA Times/Bloomberg poll, 68 percent of the American public also wants Bush to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq. The Center for American Progress recently released a report called Strategic Reset that lays out a plan for the withdrawal of virtually all U.S. troops within one year and phases out the U.S. “training of Iraq’s national security forces.”

More updates from the Aspen Ideas festival HERE.

UPDATE: Full poll results HERE.

Yglesias

A Question of Priorities

Brian Beutler quotes Roger Cohen and finds some problems with this snip:

The United States should propose broad, high-level talks with Iran across the range of issues confronting the two countries — Iraq, Afghanistan, nuclear weapons, Lebanon, Israel-Palestine — while dropping its meaningless insistence that Iran suspend nuclear enrichment activities before talks begin….

If the answer to the invitation is no, and Iranian-orchestrated attacks in Iraq continue, America should play hardball.

For my part, not as an objection to Cohen but merely as an observation, the issue here is that it’s all a question of priorities. As Cohen notes, there are a lot of issues in US-Iranian relations. There’s also the question of escalating the level of US-Iranian conflict. From where I sit, the most important issues on the DC-Teheran docket are verifiably committing Iran to remaining a non-nuclear weapons state and preventing the emergence of al-Qaeda safe havens in Iraq and Afghanistan. These two goals can only be genuinely accomplished through peaceful agreement between the United States and Iran. Under the circumstances, I would regard the outbreak of open hostilities between the US and Iran as a disaster due to its deleterious effects on both the fight against al-Qaeda and our hopes for stopping nuclear proliferation.

Others, though, take a different view of the situation. Some place much higher weight on securing an Iraqi government that’s likely to be willing to play host to a large US military contingent for an indefinite period of time. Some place more weight on making Afghanistan a place where poppy for opium export isn’t grown. Some place more weight on trying to get Iran to stop its financial support of Hezbollah. What’s more, some think unilateral military action isn’t the method of stopping Iran’s nuclear weapons program that’s least likely to succeed — they think it’s the way that’s likeliest to work. My guess is that Cohen and I disagree about some of these things, though I’m not quite sure. My view is that it should be quite possible to secure my priorities through diplomatic means, and essentially impossible to secure them through military means. At the same time, my interest in preventing Iran from building a nuclear bomb and in preventing al-Qaeda from obtaining safe havens in Iraq or Afghanistan is sufficiently strong that I would agree to some deals with Iran that others would reject.

Photo by Flickr user Koldo used under a Creative Commons license

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