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O’Hanlon Quality Analysis

Ah, excellent, just what I needed. Some fresh Michael O’Hanlon commentary on Iraq:

The most intriguing area of late is the sphere of politics. To track progress, we have established “Brookings benchmarks” — a set of goals on the political front similar to the broader benchmarks set for Baghdad by Congress last year. Our 11 benchmarks include establishing provincial election laws, reaching an oil-revenue sharing accord, enacting pension and amnesty laws, passing annual federal budgets, hiring Sunni volunteers into the security forces, holding a fair referendum on the disputed northern oil city of Kirkuk, and purging extremists from government ministries and security forces.

At the moment, we give the Iraqis a score of 5 out of 11 (our system allows a score of 0, 0.5, or 1 for each category, and is dynamic, meaning we can subtract points for backsliding). It is far too soon to predict that Iraq is headed for stability or sectarian reconciliation. But it is also clear that those who assert that its politics are totally broken have not kept up with the news.

I think Brookings Benchmarks are kind of like Disney Dollars, i.e. funny money. We get no sense of where this five out of eleven comes from or what it’s really supposed to signify. The general thrust of the exercise seems to be to cast “failure” as such an extreme scenario that it can never actually happen. O’Hanlon will always be wisely positioned between the over-optimists and the over-pessimists, always urging us to hang on for a couple more Friedman Units, and so the war will continue, forever and ever just as John McCain wants.

Yglesias

South Jerusalem

A new blog that’ll be well-worth reading launches today South Jerusalem by Gershom Gorenberg & Haim Watzman. They’re promising “A Progressive, Skeptical Blog on Israel, Judaism, Culture, Politics, and Literature.”

Bozell Ignores Iraq War, Falsely Claims Clinton ‘Devastated’ The ‘Military Infrastructure’

brent_bozellweb.jpgIn the Washington Post today, Brent Bozell, the president of the conservative Media Research Center, argues that Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) “may have the Beltway crowd in his corner, but grass-roots conservatives aren’t sold.” Claiming that McCain “is the one who arguably least qualifies as a Reagan conservative,” Bozell suggests ways that the Arizona senator can motivate the conservative movement.

But in making his argument, Bozell falsely claims that it was the Clinton administration, not the Bush administration, that created the current strains on the “military infrastructure“:

This is what conservatives call on him to do:

McCain must present a strategy to defeat the threat of radical Islam. He needs to call on the United States to rebuild its military infrastructure, so devastated by the Clinton administration.

Bozell’s attack on the Clinton administration is a common trope from conservatives. In January, when Rudy Giuliani made the claim during a New Hampshire debate, FactCheck.org noted that “most of the cutting to which” conservatives often refer “occurred during the administration of George H.W. Bush.”

Additionally, while Bozell is busy trying to blame Clinton, military leaders are saying that it is Bush and McCain’s war in Iraq that has stretched the ­military “dangerously thin.” In a survey last month of “more than 3,400 current and retired officers, including more than 200 generals and admirals,” 60 percent said that “the military was weaker today than five years ago.”

In fact, Bush’s misguided policies have been so devastating to the military that Army Chief of Staff Gen. George Casey argues that it’s going to take “three to four years” and a “substantial amount of resources” for the Army to recover from the Iraq war.

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