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Yglesias

Borders and Guarantees

Somewhat related to the issue raised in last night’s debate about extending the U.S. nuclear umbrella to cover Israel, it’s always worth making the point that one of several reasons it would serve Israel’s interests to aggressively seek a resolution of the Palestinian issue is that it would be much more feasible for the United States to extend security guarantees to Israel under those conditions. With a peace deal in place, Israel would be a friendly democracy with internationally recognized borders — just the sort of place the U.S. would make a formal treaty with.

But as things stand, Israel has no internationally recognized borders to guarantee. Obviously, some actions like a hypothetical unprovoked Iranian nuclear first strike would obviously go far beyond the scope of border ambiguity, but nuclear-armed Israel doesn’t actually need U.S. guaranteed to have a credible threat of massive retaliation. Guarantees and formal alliances would be much more useful in a much lower-intensity setting, but country without internationally recognized borders isn’t a good candidate for NATO membership or other kinds of similar relationships that might be useful to Israel.

Yglesias

An Admission

I don’t wear a flag pin on my lapel. Never have. And while I won’t rule out the possibility of doing so in the future, I probably won’t. And, yes, this is because I hate my country. But not as much as Jeremiah Wright hates it.

Don’t Forget Who Is The Commander-In-Chief

Our guest blogger is Peter Juul, a national security consultant at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

gibson.JPGAt last night’s Democratic debate in Philadelphia, ABC News anchor Charles Gibson seemed confused as to who sets American policy in Iraq. On similar questions poseed to Senator Hillary Clinton and Senator Barack Obama, Gibson strongly implied that military commanders, not the president, should set American policy in Iraq. Both Clinton and Obama had to remind Gibson that the president sets strategy and policy, and that the military executes it.

But it shouldn’t be surprising that Gibson’s confused about who sets policy in Iraq – both President Bush and Senator John McCain apparently believe the buck stops with General David Petraeus, commander of American forces in Iraq, and not with the commander-in-chief.

In his April 10 speech on Iraq, President Bush portrayed himself as someone who merely accepts the recommendations of General Petraeus. Bush further abdicated his policy-making responsibility by stating Petraeus would “have all the time he needs.” As he made clear in an address to the nation seven months earlier, Bush views his role as one of supporting Petraeus, not acting as commander-in-chief.

John McCain has made clear he would cede his authority as commander-in-chief to Petraeus. At the annual meeting of the Associated Press, McCain was asked if he would divert troops from Iraq to Afghanistan. His reply: “I would not do that unless General Petraeus said that the situation called for it.” McCain, who has touted his national security credentials on the campaign trail, has preemptively avoided the responsibility for making hard strategic choices about America’s broader national security strategy.

For his part, General Petraeus has not made such far-reaching claims for his own authority. He correctly noted in his Congressional testimony that questions of overall American strategy and policy are outside his bailiwick as commander of American forces in Iraq. As he told the Senate Armed Services Committee, “I’ve been sort of focused on another task.”

Both President Bush and Senator McCain have sought to hide their unpopular Iraq policy behind the four stars of General Petraeus. They have passed the buck on their real and potential responsibilities to set American strategy as commander-in-chief.

NYT’s Lichtblau: Bush Torture Program And CIA Tape Destruction ‘Could Lead To Criminal Action’

ABC News recently revealed that President Bush’s most senior advisers convened in 2002 and approved the use of harsh interrogation tactics. Days later, Bush told ABC he “approved” of the tactics.

Questions have been raised as to whether senior officials, including Bush, could be prosecuted for approving torture. ThinkProgress discussed the issue with The New York Times’ Eric Lichtblau and Jeffrey Rosen, law professor at George Washington University. Lichtblau won the Pullitzer Prize for his December 2005 story breaking the news that Bush was illegally spying on Americans after 9/11. As legal affairs editor of The New Republic, Rosen is considered “the nation’s most widely read and influential legal commentator.”

Discussing the potential for criminal prosecution against senior advisers, Lichtblau argued that a more probable scenario is that low-level officers who executed the interrogation orders face prosecution:

I certainly don’t think it’s likely that you would see international war crimes or, even in a Democratic administration, criminal prosecutions. … I think more likely, if you’re looking at criminal action, the more likely scenario is against the low level case officers who may have actually been carrying out interrogations and using severe interrogation tactics bordering on torture. … If that could be established or of course we have now the destruction of the CIA tapes, and that cover-up could very well lead to, conceivably, I should say, lead to criminal action if it were found that that were done to withhold evidence from the courts or 9/11 Commission.

Rosen came to similar conclusions, but urged Congress to more strongly assert its constitutional oversight role to “haul” Vice President Cheney and chief of Staff David Addington to testify:

Congressional oversight, congressional hearings, censure, political pressure. … The time is ticking away, and they have the ability to haul these people up and ask Cheney and Addington what they were thinking when they endorsed these programs. That’s the appropriate remedy — not some hope of criminal prosecution.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/04/lichtblaurosen.320.240.flv]

Observing Congress’s aggressive and effective oversight during the U.S. Attorney scandal, Rosen argued that the ongoing debate over FISA and surveillance is lacking similar oversight, as Congress has not firmly drawn the line in the sand:

When it comes to oversight of FISA, both to refining the law in ways that would protect liberty and security and also holding Addington and Cheney accountable for having arguably broken it, they have not done so. … By contrast, Democrats are pretty undecided about exactly where the line should be on FISA and in fact many of them seem inclined to give the Administration far more than many in the civil liberties community think is appropriate.

Lichtblau has published a book, Bush’s Law: The Remaking Of American Justice, which details the development of the administration’s warrantless wiretapping program and the White House’s attempts to thwart Lichtblau along the way. Read an excerpt here.

Mikulski Slams White House: ‘Since You’re Pugnacious, Guess What? I’m Going To Be Pretty Pugnacious, Too’

The White House has proposed a $108 billion emergency-spending bill to fund the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Frustrated that U.S. taxpayers continue to pay for the wars while domestic needs go unmet, lawmakers have attempted to attach spending for domestic programs to the bill. But Bush has balked, promising to veto any such bills.

During a Senate Appropriations Committee hearing yesterday, White House budget director Jim Nussle ironically blasted lawmakers for “sky-is-the-limit mind-set” on the spending bill. One of the most combative moments came when Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-MD) chastised Nussle for his “snarky, scolding, dismissive” responses to the senators and the Bush administration’s attitude toward funding the nation’s law enforcement officers:

Your testimony has been disappointing in both tone and substance. I personally take offense at the snarky, scolding, dismissive way that this testimony represents. And I think it’s inappropriate. [...]

This is an ideological commentary, not the testimony of OMB. So since you’re pugnacious, guess what? I’m going to be pretty pugnacious, too, only my pugnaciousness is not going to be directed at the Congress. It’s going to be pugnacious about the people I represent. [...]

Number one, let’s go to safety and security. We have funded the surge of Baghdad, but we have not funded the surge of violent crime in Baltimore, Biloxi, or other places. You have zeroed out the COPS program. You have zeroed out the Byrne grant.

Watch it:

[flv http://video.thinkprogress.org/2008/04/mikulskinussle09.320.240.flv]

Bush has requested $603 million to train Iraqi police. But at the same time, his FY 2009 budget includes a 61 percent cut for state and local law enforcement programs at the Justice Department.

Transcript: Read more

Yglesias

Must Ignore Data

Blog_Arab_Public_Opinion_2008%201.png

Kevin Drum points to the polling data you’ll find above taken from Shibley Telhami’s report on Arab public opinion. Basically, few Arabs think that us leaving would cause some wider spiral of chaos. Kevin says “Obviously the Arab public could be wrong about this, but this strikes me as a mostly pragmatic question, not the kind of thing driven either by dislike of the U.S. or weird conspiracy mongering.” I’m not sure I totally agree with that assessment. I assume that most Arabs take a dim view of U.S. motives in Iraq in maintaining a military presence there for so long and, consequently, their instincts are to believe the rosiest possible scenarios about withdrawal. Conversely, the people in the United States who do want a permanent military presence in Iraq in order to try to dominate the region are also the same people most likely to believe the bleakest possible scenarios about a quick withdrawal.

I’d say the main significance of this finding is that it’s yet another piece of information about Arab public opinion that it’s vital we ignore and bury, making sure it never enters the elite conversation about American foreign policy. It’s vitally, utterly important that all assertions about America’s role in the Middle East be guided by a combination of ideology-driven presupposition and the whispers of dictators from the Gulf and Jordan. Just as we ignored the fact that few Arabs believed an invasion of Iraq would bring democracy to their region before the war, so too must we ignore the fact that few Arabs view our continued prosecution of the war as vital to their stability. We even manage to ignore the ways in which our Israel policy drives anti-American sentiment.

With that track record, surely we can ignore this, too, and go back to talking about how all hostility to the United States is driven by hatred of freedom and none of it by dislike of American foreign policy priorities. Yes we can!

Yglesias

The School of Thousands Dead

I missed this yesterday, but Adam Blickstein notes John McCain absurd argument that we should ignore his record of catastrophic misjudgments on vital issues of national security:

We can look back at the past and argue about whether we should have gone to war or not, whether we should have invaded or not, and that’s a good academic argument.

Over 4,000 people died in this academic arguments. People need to use the term “trillion” to express its fiscal cost. And, obviously, the question about whether or not it was a good idea speaks to some important points of doctrine and theory. This isn’t like quibbling over some vote on some amendment back in 1983, it was the biggest national security policy decision of the current era.

Yglesias

Against Earmarks, Except for the Popular Ones

First, John McCain says he’ll veto any bill that contains earmarks. Second, ThinkProgress notes that American aid to Israel is handled through earmarks and wonders if McCain plans on cutting that. McCain’s campaign responds, of course, that aid to Israel will keep flowing.

And right there you have a great example of the vacuity of McCain’s budget proposals. It’s easy to propose sweeping budget cuts in the abstract. But then when you start looking at it, it turns out that behind every large spending commitment there’s a politically powerful constituency. And so McCain, having initially declined to promise specific spending cuts, preferring instead to propose vague general ones, winds up being asked about something specific and of course he doesn’t want to cut that! But you can’t start with a large deficit, add large new tax cuts, pile on a big increase in defense spending, and then make the math add up purely by cutting the most clearly absurd small-bore items.

Yglesias

Joe Garcia

For a few cycles now, I keep hearing talk that South Florida may be ready for a somewhat more enlightened approach to Cuba than the “starve them until they give us back our confiscated property” model that’s done so very little to drive Castro from power over the past 50 years. It seems like Joe Garcia’s ready to put that theory to the test in his race against Mario Diaz-Balart:

Real leaders don’t compromise principles for petty politics. I stood up and challenged the Clinton administration when they wrongly held Cuban refugees in Guantanamo; and I stood up to the Bush administration because of its policy of dividing Cuban families. This is the kind of leadership I will bring to Washington. [...] But Mario Diaz-Balart doesn’t want to work with other members of Congress to find solutions; he’d rather distract from the issues and muddy the waters. He’s made a whole career of intimidating opponents and accusing them of being Castro-sympathizers, but he can’t pull that stunt with me. I’ve spent my entire life working for human rights and freedom in Cuba and I can debate, point-for-point with him on this or any other issue.

At issue here is the fairly small beer point of the Bush administration’s restrictions on travel and family remittances, but any change for the better would be nice, and seeing the far-right position fail in Florida could cause a lot of people in Congress to rethink our whole approach to this subject.

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