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Administration Rebuffs Maliki’s Timetable As ‘Artificial,’ Questions Whether Media Made Transcription Error

bushmaliki2.jpgPresident Bush has long maintained that if the Iraqi government wants the U.S. to leave Iraq, then the U.S. would do just that, as he said in May 2007:

We are there at the invitation of the Iraqi government. This is a sovereign nation. Twelve million people went to the polls to approve a constitution. It’s their government’s choice. If they were to say, leave, we would leave.

Today, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki suggested having a timetable for the withdrawal of coalition troops. “The direction we are taking is to have a memorandum of understanding either for the departure of the forces or to have a timetable for their withdrawal,” Maliki’s office quoted him as saying.

But the administration has rebuffed Maliki’s request for a timeline. Asked about the prime minister’s comments today, Pentagon spokesman Bryan Whitman hedged on whether the administration would follow the Iraqi government’s request, criticizing timelines as “artificial“:

WHITMAN: [I]t is dependent on conditions on the ground. … But timelines tend to be artificial in nature. In a situation where things are as dynamic as they are in Iraq, I would just tell you, it’s usually best to look at these things based on conditions on the ground.

The State Department also hedged on whether the Bush administration would listen to Maliki. In a briefing today, spokesperson Sean McCormack said the remark may have been a transcription error:

McCORMACK: Well, that’s really the part — the point at which I would seek greater clarification in terms of remarks. I’ve seen the same press reports that you have, but I haven’t yet had an opportunity to get greater clarify as to exactly to what Mr. Maliki was referring or if, in fact, that’s an accurate reporting of what he said.

As multiple press accounts – as well as Maliki’s office — have indicated, Maliki did indeed suggest a timeline for withdrawal in negotiating a security agreement with the United States.

I’ve got confidence in him,” Bush said in 2007 about Maliki’s leadership. But despite its rhetoric, it seems the Bush administration could care less what the Iraqi people or the Iraqi government want.

McCain’s Victory Dividend

mccain-happy.JPGGiven that national security is John McCain’s only real issue, it’s understandable why he tries to subordinate every other issue to it. For example, asked by Fortune magazine last month what he sees as “the gravest long-term threat to the U.S. economy,” McCain responded (after staring into space for eleven seconds) “the struggle…against radical Islamic extremism.” Got that? Not the housing crisis, not the price of oil, but radical Islamic extremism.

Today this tendency reached a new level of ridiculousness, as McCain promised that “victory” in Iraq and Afghanistan will enable him to balance the budget:

“The McCain administration would reserve all savings from victory in the Iraq and Afghanistan operations in the fight against Islamic extremists for reducing the deficit. Since all their costs were financed with deficit spending, all their savings must go to deficit reduction.”

This could be an attempt by McCain to cover for his admission that he doesn’t know much about economics by suggesting that that doesn’t matter, because once we achieve victory against terrorism, every American will be a millionaire! We’re gonna be rolling in the dough! Victory dividend!

Sadly, however, back in the reality based community there are some problems with this. Here are two. In McCain’s view, “victory” in Iraq means we get to stay in Iraq for 100 more years. How, exactly, does this save us money? Also, McCain has promised us more wars and a bigger military to fight them. Where does he think the money for this is coming from? (Atrios has an idea.)

Hilzoy has a detailed examination of McCain’s economic plan. It’s not pretty.

Yglesias

Strategery

With all due respect, I think Ross’s notion that “the only sure way for McCain to make the Iraq issue work for him is to make the debate about the recent past rather than the future, and to use the experience of the last two years – where (at least for the moment) he looks good, and Obama looks bad” is a little bit crazy. Once the past is allowed into the debate, the fact that McCain was a strident advocate for this costly fiasco and that — remarkably — he continues to think it was a good idea in retrospect will bury him.

The smart Iraq strategy for McCain is the one he was using before the current “Obama’s a flip-flopper” tactic came into vogue, namely one that’s less focused on lying about Obama and more focused on telling big lies rather than small ones. It’s absolutely vital for McCain to repeat, loudly and falsely, that there’s a very good chance of al-Qaeda taking over Iraq and using it as a base from which to attack the American homeland and that Obama believes he can appease al-Qaeda by giving them Iraq. He needs to say lots of stuff about how “unlike my opponent, I don’t think al-Qaeda will be satisfied with Iraq; unlike him I remember what happened the last time we allowed them to take over a country.”

The lie on which the war was initially sold, and the lie on which it retained its popularity, was that the war was directly necessary for U.S. national security in a very simple and straightforward sense. That required, yes, some whoppers but they were whoppers about the sort of thing (preventing a WMD terrorist attack on American soil) that would constitute a good reason for starting a war. All this “success of the surge” business is incredibly abstract and totally disconnect from anything real people care about — I can tell you which Americans have died because of the surge, but I have no idea which Americans are supposed to have benefited from it.

Military Kicks Out Embedded Blogger For Photographing Marine Killed In A Suicide Bombing In Iraq

zm4.gif On June 26, a suicide bomber attacked a meeting of tribal sheikhs in Iraq’s Anbar province and killed 20 people, including three U.S. Marines. The episode was widely reported by U.S. media. Zoriah Miller, a photojournalist and blogger embedded with U.S. Marines in Iraq, took pictures of the attack’s grisly aftermath, including one of the fallen soldiers.

The U.S. military, however, was incensed at Miller’s portrayal of the horrors of war and immediately “disembedded” him from his Marine unit. IPS reports on the fall-out:

“Tuesday [Jul. 1] I awoke to a call in their combat operations centre, and the person on the phone told me they were a PAO (Public Affairs Officer) at Camp Fallujah, and he wanted me to take my blog down right away,” Miller told IPS. “I asked them why, and was told then called back after five minutes by a higher ranking PAO who claimed I had broken my contract by showing photos of dead Americans with U.S. uniforms and boots.”

Miller said the PAO claimed he was not allowed, by the embed contract, to show dead or wounded U.S. citizens or soldiers in the field. “I never signed any contract for that,” Miller said.

Miller also told the Ventura County Star that he believed he was within the rules because the victim was unidentifiable. Additionally, he waited to post the pictures until four days after the attack. Miller said that he received strong support from the lower-ranking Marines, who “were on [his] side.”

The military may have realized its case was weak. Two days later, on July 3, Miller received an official letter with a new reason for his dismissal: He had posted “detailed information of the effectiveness of the attack” and therefore “put all U.S. forces in Iraq at greater risk for harm.” Miller explains the military’s spinning:

“The bottom line is that the thing they cited as the reason for my dismissal was ‘information the enemy could use against you’. They realised, probably from keeping track of my blog, that I was not showing identifiable features of a soldier…and they couldn’t find a reason to kick me out. Because it was a high ranking person who got killed, they were all fired up.”

Miller concluded, “Up to that point they said it was because I showed pictures of bodies with pieces of uniform and boots. The letter, though, doesn’t mention that at all. I checked the document I had about ground rules for media embeds, and I followed them.”

Miller now plans on returning to the United States and appealing the military’s decision. “You’re a war photographer, but once you take a picture of what war is like then you get into trouble,” he said.

Digg It!

Yglesias

Rape in Zimbabwe

It seems the ZANU-PF have set up a series of camps around Zimbabwe that “provide a base from which to burn houses, displace people and beat, maim or kill opposition activists” on which, in addition, large numbers of women are being held captive as slaves and frequently raped.

The hopeful side of the LA Times‘s very bleak account is the suggestion that the government may actually be running out of the necessary cash to keep all its goon squads in operation. Still, even if something happens to force Mugabe from power, one has to think that a lot of these folks in his militias aren’t necessarily going to give up their own appetite for robbery, rape, mayhem, etc. no matter what happens at the top.

Yglesias

The SOFA Opportunity

Dr. Irak notes that the continued wrangling over SOFA/SFA issues in Iraq is actually a huge opportunity for the United States to get our Iraq policy sorted out. In particular, with Iraq hinting that they may want the agreement to include a timeline for withdrawal, but also indicating that they would like continued military support of some kind from the United States, the administration is in a position where it “can put a time horizon into the pact and condition the residual support the Iraqi government dearly wants on continued political progress to lock-in recent security gains.”

A deal of that sort would serve American interests fairly well and also have the odd consequence of largely defusing the Iraq issue in the presidential campaign. But I see no indication that Bush or McCain are prepared to settle for anything less than open-ended war for open-ended occupation with all kinds of sovereign-infringing immunities for foreign troops and no real dates whatsoever.

Yglesias

The McCain Budget

How to reconcile John McCain’s reputation as a fiscal tightwad with his desire for open-ended war in Iraq? It’s simple, magical ponies victory will solve the problem, as a policy paper leaked to Mike Allen at Politico says: “The McCain administration would reserve all savings from victory in the Iraq and Afghanistan operations in the fight against Islamic extremists for reducing the deficit.” Jason Furman is skeptical:

“McCain would have to pay for all of his new tax cuts and other proposals and then, on top of that, cut an additional $443 billion from the budget—which is 81 percent of Medicare spending or 78 percent of all discretionary spending outside of defense,” Furman said.

And of course even this may be too kind, as McCain has in the past hinted at a desire to increase defense spending back up to a Cold War share of GDP and McCain’s plan to keep fighting in Iraq until the last Iraqi who wants us gone is dead seems unlikely to allow us to realize his “victory” savings on any feasible timeframe.

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