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McCain: ‘I Don’t Know The Progress Or The Nature Or The Significance Of The Iran Threat’

mccain-gaffe1.jpgReferring to Iran’s recent provocative missile tests, Charlie Gibson asked John McCain whether he thought an Israeli strike against Iran would be justified. McCain responded:

I can’t know whether a strike would be justified because I don’t know the progress or the nature or the significance of the threat. I know that a- the threat is growing because the Iranian continued development of nuclear weapons.

Earlier in the interview, McCain responded this way to a question about efforts by America’s European partners to the deal with a threat of which he is unsure:

I was glad that President Sarkoszy in particular but also Prime Minister Brown, Chancellor Merkel and others, have shown this same concern and now I hope that this will be a catalyst to actually come together and impose these sanctions on the Iranians at the end of the day also we cannot afford to have a second Holocaust.

So, while McCain’s unsure of the progress, nature, and significance of the threat, that doesn’t stop him from stating as fact that Iran is seeking nuclear weapons (even though America’s intelligence agencies concluded last year that Iran had halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003), or from throwing in a gratuitous, fear-mongering reference to the Holocaust at the end there, as an afterthought.

This is pretty significant. Everyone agrees that Iran represents one of the U.S.’s most significant foreign policy challenges, and yet the candidate who has made foreign policy his number one issue — to the virtual exclusion of all other issues — essentially admits that he doesn’t really know the nature or the significance of that challenge.

This sort of vague, generalist approach to Middle East policy is typical for McCain. Whether he’s mixing up Sunni Al Qaeda and Shia Iran, or wrongly insisting that Japan, Germany, and Korea provide workable models for a U.S. presence in Iraq, or just making up stuff about the structure of the Iranian government, McCain has repeatedly demonstrated that, regardless of whatever experience or judgment he may possess, he simply hasn’t done his homework on the region of the world most likely to command the next administration’s attention. And the media have repeatedly demonstrated a disinclination toward calling him on it.

Yglesias

Timeline is on my Side

Iraqi officials continue to endorse Barack Obama’s plans for Iraq:

Iraqi spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh said in Baghdad on Wednesday that a U.S. pullout could be completed in several years. “It can be 2011 or 2012,” he said. “We don’t have a specific date in mind, but we need to agree on the principle of setting a deadline.”

This, I should say, is why even though Obama’s determination to maintain some wiggle room throughout the primaries gave me some concern, it’s also not a crazy idea. If the Iraqi government has some strong desire for the last American troops to leave in January 2011 instead of May 2010 I think it’s common sense to at least consider accommodating that. Meanwhile, the hawk line here seems to be that the Iraqi government doesn’t really want a timeline for American departure, they’re just pretending to want one because public opinion is so hostile to our presence that they need to demand one.

That set of facts may be true, but the implicit interpretation of them is crazy. If public opinion to our presence is so hostile that Iraqi political leaders feel compelled to set a timeline for the departure of the US military then we should set a timeline as there’s no sense trying to wage counterinsurgency under those conditions.

Yglesias

Evasion of Accountability

Excellent points from Kevin Drum and Timothy Noah who observe that you can’t understand the erosion of congressional authority over warmaking without recognizing that members of congress fundamentally don’t want to take responsibility for these kinds of decisions. I would extend the analysis and observe that much the same can be said of the judicial system’s large role in making policy over certain kinds of “hot button” social issues — members of congress like to whine about this when decisions go in unpopular directions, but they don’t want to do anything about it because it’s convenient for them to avoid dealing with it.

In the ideal world of a member of congress he would have tons of authority over issues that allow him to funnel money or other favors to powerful in-district groups, but get to dodge making decisions about everything else under the sun.

Yglesias

Fix HCR-362

Here’s something from the “issue I should have been following” file — it seems there’s a measure working its way through the congress, House Concurrent Resolution 362, that, though non-binding, could be construed as expressing the sense of the congress that the president ought to use military force against Iran. Specifically, force to impose a blockade on Iran — an act of war. The folks pushing the resolution deny that this is their intent, but they also seem disinclined to modify the language. Now Rep. Robert Wexler (D-FL) who was originally one of the cosponsors of the bill has a HuffPo item urging that the resolution by altered or rejected.

This all comes to me via Justin Logan who sensibly asks why Wexler was cosponsoring it in the first place (answer: because the decision to sign on to non-binding resolutions is often made thoughtlessly and at a relatively low level of a legislative operation), which is of course a good point, but still it’s good work on Wexler’s part to turn around here and draw some attention to the problem.

Yglesias

The Holbrooke Factor

Roger Cohen lobbies hard for the inclusion of Richard Holbrooke in a very powerful role in an Obama administration. I would say the fact that this seems relatively unlikely to happen was emblematic of the reasons to prefer Obama over Hillary Clinton. I think nobody doubts that Holbrooke is an very able practitioner of a certain brand of diplomacy, but his judgment and substantive ideas about broad policy questions leaves much to be desired.

He’s the leading light of the clan of self-proclaimed “national security Democrats”, that faction of the party sufficiently “serious” about foreign affairs to have seen the deep wisdom of a costly and destructive invasion of Iraq. Holbrooke’s big critique of the war is that “It was a mistake to seek the second — and unnecessary — Security Council resolution. I wrote an op-ed about this six weeks before the disaster in The Washington Post, and predicted that we were heading into a diplomatic train wreck, so this is not simply hindsight.”

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