ThinkProgress Logo

Security

McCain In 2003: We Can ‘Muddle Through In Afghanistan’

Our guest blogger is Jon Soltz, chairman of VoteVets.org and veteran of the Iraq war.

Today, video was unearthed in which Senator John McCain in 2003 says we can just “muddle through in Afghanistan.” Watch it:

The video offers a glimpse into the true thinking of those, like McCain, who backed launching the war in Iraq and committing our forces there indefinitely. Particularly, they believed that Afghanistan wasn’t a concern and we didn’t need to take it seriously. In fact, just a year earlier, on CBS’ Face the Nation, McCain said capturing Osama bin Laden wasn’t “that important.”

Five years later, we now see where that poor judgment and lack of insight has gotten us. The Taliban has regained large swaths of Afghanistan, al Qaeda has reconstituted itself, Osama bin Laden still is free, and Afghanistan is in crisis. All of that lends itself to our nation being that much less secure, and in much greater danger of another terrorist attack from extremists from the Pakistan/Afghanistan region.

This is not the way to win the war on terror and keep America safe. That’s why it is so important that we get this strategy right now.

Think about it. Had we not gone into Iraq, as Senator McCain thought we should, our forces would have been concentrated in Afghanistan, we would have crushed al Qaeda, probably captured or killed Osama bin Laden, and secured the country all the way to the Pakistani border.

Had we sent the Iraq surge brigades to Afghanistan, instead of to Iraq, and shown a real commitment there, perhaps our NATO allies wouldn’t have pulled their troops from Afghanistan. And, again, we could have decimated al Qaeda, secured the border region, and maybe captured or killed Osama bin Laden.

And now, we’ve got a third chance to get this right. Unfortunately, while it’s laudable that Senator McCain has suddenly discovered there’s a war in Afghanistan, his hands are tied. A couple of days ago, he called for more combat brigades to be sent there. A few minutes later, the Washington Post reported he pulled back on that and said NATO would have to supply the troops, because we would have to keep our forces in Iraq. Well, the Administration’s commitment to endless war in Iraq and its political unpopularity throughout Europe is what caused our NATO allies to pull troops from Afghanistan in the first place. That’s unlikely to change if McCain continues the Bush policy.

That brings us back to the video. John McCain got it horribly wrong in 2002 and 2003 and showed poor judgment in the real war on terror that led us to where we are today. And now, he’s having a problem figuring out how to get it right. The knowledge of “how to win wars?” I just don’t see it.

Yglesias

The War’s End

Matthew DeLong reports that John McCain says the Iraq War is already over and yet that means we need to . . . keep fighting the war forever:

]I repeat my statement that we have succeeded in Iraq, not we are succeeding we have succeeded in Iraq. The strategy has worked and we now have the Iraqi government and military in charge in the major cities in Iraq. Al Qaeda is on their heels and on the run, but the success that we have achieved is still fragile and could be reversed, and it’s still – if we do what Sen. Obama wants to do, then all of that could be reversed and we could face again the chaos, increased Iranian influence and American loss and defeat.

It’s an intriguing perspective, I guess.

It’s worth noting that minimizing Iranian influence in Iraq as a war aim is a pretty tough cookie. Iran, unlike the United States, is adjacent to Iraq. Unlike the United States, in other words, Iran doesn’t have any plausible way to be indifferent to what happens in Iraq. Iran can have a friendly relationship with the Iraqi government, or it can have a hostile relationship with the government of Iraq, but it can’t be indifferent — the Iranians don’t have any other continents to live on. So if we are determined to keep large forces in Iraq checking Iranian influence, then the Iranians are going to do their best to undermine that. And the only way to keep checking that influence over the long-run is going to be for us to be continually meddling in Iraqi affairs. But no need to worry about that since we’ve already succeeded.

Yglesias

Wishful Thinking

John Judis is changing his mind about John McCain:

Two years ago, I wrote a profile arguing that there were reasons to believe that McCain was more pragmatic than his support for the Iraq debacle suggested (“Neo-McCain,” October 16, 2006). In the interviews I conducted with him in 2006, he repeatedly distanced himself from neoconservatism, reminding me that he talked regularly to realists like Brent Scowcroft. I thought there was a good chance that there was a peacemaker lurking beneath McCain’s warrior exterior–that a President McCain might be able use his hawkish reputation to, say, bring Iraq’s warring parties together or to lure Iran to the bargaining table.

I wasn’t the only one. Since McCain secured the Republican nomination, I’ve heard echoes of my ambivalence from foreign policy experts, including some who plan to vote for Obama. “McCain has Nixon-goes-to-China credentials,” one told me. But, based on McCain’s actions over the last two years and conversations I’ve had with those close to him, I have concluded that this is wishful thinking. McCain continues to rely on the same neoconservative advisers; he still thinks U.S. foreign policy should focus on transforming rogue states and autocracies into democracies that live under the shadow of American power; and he no longer tells credulous reporters that he consults Scowcroft.

Obviously, I agree.

Defending Mugabe and Bashir: China’s Olympic Dream?

Our guest blogger is David Sullivan, Research Associate at the ENOUGH project.

mugabechina.jpgThe Beijing Olympics may be just around the corner, but the dream among human rights activists that the games might push the Chinese towards being a responsible stakeholder in international affairs has run up against an appalling recent track record in Africa.

In Sudan, the BBC recently uncovered evidence of Chinese military support for the Sudanese government in Darfur, a violation of the UN’s arms embargo made all the more egregious by its discovery coinciding with the decision of the Prosecutor of International Criminal Court to charge President Omar al-Bashir for genocide, crimes against humanity, and war crimes.

On Zimbabwe, where Robert Mugabe stole reelection and inflation is now at 2,200,000%, China joined with Russia to veto targeted sanctions that would have imposed an arms embargo and travel and financial restrictions on Mugabe and 13 of his top henchmen. These sanctions would have imposed a direct cost on the men most responsible for the campaign of terror and violence that made free and fair elections impossible, without affecting Zimbabwe’s imploding economy.

The good news is that China’s blatant support for Zimbabwe may prove a misstep that could limit its ability to defend ally and suspected war criminal Omar al-Bashir at the Security Council. The Zimbabwe veto infuriated Britain and the United States (President Bush said he was “displeased”) who are now more likely to veto any efforts by China to support the suspension of the International Criminal Court’s case against Bashir.

The bad news is that the U.S. continues to push issues like Sudan and Zimbabwe to the Security Council without the high level bilateral diplomacy with China that is necessary to support effective action. Despite the company he may find there, President Bush has defended his decision to attend the opening ceremony of the Olympics on the grounds that not going would “make it more difficult to speak frankly with the Chinese leadership.” But until such conversations include subjects like stopping support for genocide and crimes against humanity in Africa, the U.S. is unlikely to garner effective responses to these issues at the U.N. headquarters in New York.

An equally important question looms for Beijing as it tries to assert itself as a major world power: Does China really want to be known around the globe as the chief defender of war criminals, tyrants and bad governments in general? From Sudan and Zimbabwe to Burma and North Korea, China is quickly and rightly becoming known as every despot’s best friend.

Yglesias

If Only

Ah, yes, the old 9/11 could have been prevented if only we’d had a Republican president line. And yet I seem to recall that George W. Bush was president, putting al-Qaeda on the back-burner and telling people who tried to sound the alarm that they were just trying to cover their asses.

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up