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West Thinks NATO Ally Turkey Is Behind Gaza Flotilla, Worried U.S. Will Have To Attack Israel If Israel Attacks The Flotilla

Frank Gaffney‘s Center for Security Policy honored Rep. Allen West (R-FL) in New York this week, where West “made a presentation delineating some of our more pressing national security concerns.”

During the speech, West turned to the issue of the Gaza flotilla that has been making headlines in recent weeks. A group of pro-Palestinian activists, led by several Turkish groups, have said they plan to sail to Gaza on a humanitarian mission to break the Israeli blockade. Last year, Israeli commandos killed a number of activists on a similar mission, including one American citizen.

But West seems to think that because Turks are involved in the flotilla, it’s actually the Turkish government that is leading the charge. Thus, West said to Gaffney’s group, because Turkey is a NATO ally, the United States would have to attack Israel if Israeli defense forces again storm the flotilla:

WEST: And be very nervous about one simple thing. I know that we were talking about this flotilla. If Turkey establishes a flotilla, and supports a flotilla going down, and all of the sudden Israel attacks this flotilla, Turkey is a member of the EU and also a member of the NATO, can wave and say, “As a member of NATO, we have been attacked and therefore, part of the charter is all NATO countries must come to the aid of a NATO member that’s been attacked.”

And see, this is the kind of stuff that I sit down in my lonely little apartment in Washington, DC and I think about.

During the same speech, West also called Fatah, the political block ruling the Palestinian Authority, “a terrorist group,” adding that if the Palestinians go to the U.N. this summer to declare statehood, it will be “nothing more than a new terrorist state.” Watch it:

First, “Fatah is not currently regarded as a terrorist organization by any government.” But second, West’s understanding of NATO and the situation with the flotilla is way off. Turkish rights groups, not the Turkish government, are sponsoring the flotilla, thereby making NATO, and Article V of the Washington Treaty, completely irrelevant. Moreover, Haaretz reported this week that Turkish representation in the flotilla will be limited because the main flotilla sponsor, the Turkish Humanitarian Relief Foundation, announced that it will not participate in the mission.

But also, even if West’s imaginary scenario had some sort of basis in reality, he’d know that the United States never attacked Israel last year when Israeli commandos raided the flotilla. In fact, the U.S. government barely said anything about the Israelis killing an American during the operation.

It’s sort of ironic then, that West said in the same speech that the GOP’s presidential candidates don’t know anything about national security. Yet, these are the issues that, according to West, he sits down in his lonely apartment in DC and thinks about.

NEWS FLASH

Israeli Ministers: Netanyahu/IDF Concocting Flotilla ‘Hysteria’ | Israel Defense Forces (IDF) and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s talking points about violent extremists aboard the Gaza-bound Freedom Flotilla are crumbling under scrutiny. Reports yesterday in the Israeli press quoted IDF spokespersons on the violent intentions of flotilla participants. But today, Israeli ministers told the paper Maariv that they had seen or heard no evidence of this in their cabinet meeting, calling it “public relations hysteria” and adding that the press reports were “the exact opposite of what we were given.” Separately, journalist Max Blumenthal called an IDF spokesperson to ask if they had evidence or if any had been passed to the Israeli reporters who wrote the stories. The IDF was not able to answer his questions.

McCain, Neocons Praise Pawlenty’s ‘Strong Foreign Policy Speech’

Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty delivered a major foreign policy speech yesterday that was widely panned for its confusion and incoherence. One observer even went so far as to say, “It was actually a little painful to watch.”

But apparently, one of Pawlenty’s goals with his speech yesterday was to distance himself from the neocons. The Cable’s Josh Rogin noted yesterday that Pawlenty’s views mirror those of GOP hawks Sens. John McCain (R-AZ), Linsdey Graham (R-SC), and Joe Lieberman (I-CT), but he “doesn’t want to be identified as a neoconservative, and doesn’t want his views to be tied to those senators in particular.” Indeed, in a recent interview with Jeffrey Goldberg, Pawlenty specifically asked not to be associated with McCain’s neocon/hawkish wing of the GOP:

I wish you could think of another way to describe this wing of the party, other than McCain and Lindsey Graham. I love John, but that’s like saying we’re embracing Nelson Rockefeller on economics.”

But despite Pawlenty’s wishes, it seems like the only people who had any sense of admiration for what he said in his speech were McCain and the neocons. “Strong foreign policy speech by @timpawlenty yesterday, worth reading in full,” McCain tweeted this afternoon. And to top it off, the war hawk oped writers in Washington signed on too:

THE WEEKLY STANDARD: “Tim Pawlenty strongly criticized President Obama’s ‘murky policy’ of ‘engagement.’

WASHINGTON POST RIGHT TURN: “Former Minnesota governor and 2012 Republican candidate Tim Pawlenty delivered a strong foreign policy speech at the Council on Foreign Relations yesterday.”

COMMENTARY: “I have been complaining that too many Republicans seem eager to run away from their party’s proud legacy of being strong on national security policy. But there are some notable exceptions, including presidential candidate Tim Pawlenty.”

AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE: “This morning, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty sought to claim the mantle of Ronald Reagan, delivering a speech at the Council on Foreign Relations that vigorously endorsed a freedom-centered foreign policy for the Republican Party.”

Seeming to recognize that the war mongering nature of neoconservatism has been discredited and is deeply unpopular, Pawlenty can try all he wants to say he’s not sympathetic to its credo. But neocons know they have their man in Pawlenty, and as the old saying goes, you can run but you can’t hide.

NEWS FLASH

Gallup: 63 Percent Either Support Afghanistan Withdrawal Timeline Or Want Troops Out Sooner | A new Gallup poll out today finds that 72 percent of Americans support President Obama’s Afghanistan withdrawal plan he announced last week. Sixty-three percent said they either agree with the timetable the President laid out or said the U.S. should withdraw sooner, 30 percent and 33 percent respectively. Those results mirror findings from a recent poll conducted for The Hill, which found that 69 percent either support Obama’s timeline or say it’s not fast enough. (HT: National Journal)

CHART: Number Of Contractors In Afghanistan Will Surge As U.S. Troops Withdraw

Our guest blogger is CAP Visiting Fellow Pratap Chatterjee.

The number of contractors in Afghanistan is likely to increase significantly in the next year as the Obama administration pulls back some of the extra 68,000 troops that it has dispatched there since January 2009.

Typically, the U.S. pays one contractor to support every soldier that has deployed to Afghanistan and Iraq. The ratio of contractors to troops increases dramatically during a military surge as well as during a drawdown, and often stays higher than troop levels when military numbers are low, i.e. down to 30,000-50,000.

The reason is simple — the military needs extra workers to build new bases as well as to shut them down. Just like a hotel or restaurant, a military base also needs a minimum number of people to do the basics like janitorial or food service work. And as troops withdraw, U.S. diplomats are likely to hire extra security contractors as they are doing now in Iraq.

Using a range of 1.3 to 1.4 (based on what Afghanistan needed before the surge and Iraq needed after the drawdown), I would project that if the Obama administration draws down to 68,000 troops in Afghanistan by September 2012, they will need 88,400 contractors at the very least, but potentially as many as 95,880:

The majority of these workers do maintenance and other support tasks. But the one group that has seen demand explode since Obama became president is the number of private security contractors (men or women with guns), which spiked from a flat line of about 4,000 to almost 19,000 today. Given the attack on the Intercontinental in Kabul yesterday, that number seems very unlikely to drop:

Read more

National Security Brief: June 29, 2011

– The final bill for the wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan will run at least $3.7 trillion and could reach as high as $4.4 trillion according to a Brown University study. The cost estimates take into account often overlooked expenses such as obligations to wounded veterans and projected war spending from 2012 through 2020.

– Vice Adm. William McRaven, President Obama’s nominee to lead Special Operations Command, said that there is a need for a small contingent of U.S. commandos to remain in the country past the Dec. 31, 2011 withdrawal deadline.

– China’s largest oil company has begun operations at Al-Ahdab oil field in Iraq, making the field the first major new area to start production in Iraq in 20 years. Meanwhile, the same company signed a deal with Sudan’s oil ministry yesterday advancing oil and gas cooperation.

– The Wall Street Journal reports that “a group of former warlords who helped the U.S. topple the Taliban regime in 2001 have launched a political alliance against Afghan President Hamid Karzai’s rule, in a re-emergence of old civil-war divisions.” The leaders say they are concerned that Karzai will seek to claim more power following President Obama’s announcement to withdraw U.S. troops.

– The Security Council “has extended the mandate of the 19,000-strong U.N. peacekeeping force in Congo for a year, saying any force reduction should depend on ending violence in the volatile east and improving the ability of the Congolese to protect civilians.”

– At least five Saudi women have been taken into custody accused of defying the men-only driving rule in the ultraconservative Arab kingdom, marking “the first major backlash by authorities since a campaign was launched by Saudi women nearly two weeks ago to challenge the driving restrictions.

– A group of Okinawans, led by the island’s mayor, is protesting the U.S.-Japan Status of Forces Agreement, arguing it gives Americans on Okinawa too much protection and prevents Okinawans from pursuing legal cases against Americans.

– Sanctions against an Iranian port operator could disrupt food shipments to Iran according to a warning issued by the head of Maersk Line, the world’s top container shipping firm. The new sanctions target Tidewater Middle East, a company the Treasury Department suspects is run by the Republican Guard.

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