ThinkProgress Logo

Security

Irony Alert: AEI, FPI, & Heritage Say ‘The Future Of American National Security Is Being Mortgaged To Fight Today’s Wars’

Political courage and popular will to reduce America’s bloated defense budget have been gaining momentum recently, particularly as debate over the debt ceiling heats up. Sen. Kent Conrad (D-ND) floated a proposal that includes an $800 billion reduction in military spending, nearly double what President Obama proposed just last April. Even Republicans are embracing the need to drastically reduce the Pentagon’s budget. Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) said on Sunday that trimming $1 trillion off DOD’s budget over the next ten years is “not super hard.”

However, there are some hold-outs. House Armed Services Committee chairman Buck McKeon (R-CA) isn’t happy with Conrad’s plan (McKeon previously called DOD cuts “dangerous” but never said why). And the war hawks at right-wing think tanks the American Enterprise Institute, the Foreign Policy Initiative and the Heritage Foundation got together and released a report criticizing Pentagon budget cuts. “Warning: Hollow Force Ahead!” the title reads. The report contains a series of random “myths” and “facts” that argue for more spending, more military, and more troops, and it even seems to suggest that it all might be needed for war with Iran:

Forces in Iraq and Afghanistan would represent only a part of U.S. posture in the greater Middle East — a historically unstable region now in the throes of a further transition and facing the prospect of an accelerated regional nuclear arms race sparked by Iran. … The long-term geopolitical trends reflect protracted and persistent irregular wars in the Middle East.

But without any sense of irony whatsoever, the report concludes with the following:

While no comprehensive analysis for long-term readiness has been undertaken, the rough overall pattern is apparent: the future of American national security is being mortgaged to fight today’s wars and reduce the deficit by an insignificant amount. As a result, America’s armed forces, which have been stretched thin for nearly a decade, will likely be asked in the years ahead to do the same or more with even less if defense spending is cut once again.

Yes, that’s right, the folks who brought you the Iraq war, and thus the protracted predicament that the United States now finds itself in in Afghanistan, are now complaining that those wars have stretched the military thin and are selling out future American national security. As one national security analyst told ThinkProgress responding to the report, “Having killed their parents, the neocons are now complaining about being orphans.”

Robert Baer Backtracks: ‘Don’t Bet On Israel Bombing Iran On My Speculation’

Robert Baer

Retired CIA officer Robert Baer was at the center of a controversy last week when he hypothesized that Israel may launch a unilateral attack against Iran in the fall and that such a move would drag the U.S. into another major war in the Middle East. His remarks, delivered while on a Los Angeles radio talk-show, were widely repeated both in the U.S. and across the Middle East. The uproar over Baer’s comments hit a crescendo with former State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley tweeting on Monday, “the Arab Spring has sufficiently complicated Israel’s strategic calculus that it is more likely to show restraint in the immediate term,” and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was pressed to respond to Baer’s assertions in an interview with Al-Arabiya today. Netanyahu responded:

I don’t even confirm it because there’s nothing to deny and nothing to confirm. It’s not a real issue.

Baer, writing for Time.com, now says his remarks were an off-the-cuff response to a hypothetical question about when Israel might choose to attack Iran, assuming it had already made the decision to act unilaterally. He writes:

And when [the talk-show host] asked me when I thought this hypothetical attack might hypothetically occur, I blithely suggested September. I was only adding two plus two: a September attack would allow Netanyahu to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities and wreck plans for a U.N. vote on Palestinian statehood, which is slated for September.

But Baer acknowledges that his comments were made with no inside knowledge of Israeli planning and that media attention afforded to his comments was totally out of line with the degree of seriousness to which his stature as a retired CIA officer should be afforded:

I wondered why Crowley and everyone else didn’t notice I hadn’t drawn a government check in more than 12 years, and therefore wasn’t bringing any inside knowledge to the subject. And I’d certainly never claimed a back-door access to Netanyahu’s inner circle that would give me any privileged knowledge about a planned attack.

Baer, who if anything seems guilty of naivete, reflects that his remarks may have “accidentally kicked a hornets’ nest.” Indeed this is probably an understatement. Netanyahu’s government is in a growing split with Israel’s security elite over attacking Iran, and many analysts, including Baer, have described a potentially disastrous scenario if Israel chooses to exercise “the military option.” So it’s no great surprise that Baer’s comments, albeit eagerly repeated by a hungry media, evoked a strong reaction.

Robert Kagan Calls DOD Cuts ‘Cowardly’ Because Military Spending Allegedly ‘Has No Domestic Constituency’

In only the latest episode of a long line Washington Post blogger Jennifer Rubin‘s uncritical stenography of her ideological comrades — even when they’re obviously wrong — comes today’s comment from Brookings Institution pundit Robert Kagan that there is no domestic constituency for defense spending. In a post attacking the “Gang of Six” debt plan, Rubin quotes an e-mail from Kagan:

[The proposed cuts are] utterly irresponsible and dangerous to national security. Also cowardly, since defense has no domestic constituency, while entitlements — the real source of our fiscal crisis — do.

Leaving aside the fear-mongering bit about how cutting the U.S.’ massive defense budget might suddenly bring the caliphate flooding into America, the notion that defense spending has no domestic constituency seems fantastical at even a moment’s glance. Writing for the security blog InkSpots, pseudonymous defense analyst Gulliver dashes out five of such constituencies: “1. The U.S. and global defense industry;” “2. Communities dependent on defense dollars;” “3. Members of Congress;” “4. the Defense Department and the military services;” “5. commentators, advocates, and pseudo-scholars.”

Those broad and obvious categories are what makes Kagan’s assertion so baffling. The defense industry alone pours tons of money into politics. In the last presidential election cycle, individuals and PACs associated with defense gave about $24 million and, for each of the past three years, the defense industry has spent about $150 million a year on lobbying efforts.

Naturally, members of Congress from both sides of the aisle react well to this cash and get behind pet defense projects for their districts exactly because that money brings jobs and therefore, the idea goes, more votes. So not only is the constituency there, but they’re well represented on the Hill, too.

Defense’s domestic constituency is so painfully obvious that one wonders what Kagan was thinking when he typed out the e-mail. And he’s often thought of as the “smart neocon.”

Health

House Committee Votes To Reinstate And Expand Global Gag Rule Against Abortion Funding

Earlier today, the House Foreign Affairs Committee passed an amendment that would restore and expand the so-called global gag rule, a provision that would prohibit foreign organizations receiving U.S. development assistance from using their own funds to perform abortions or provide women with information and referrals for the procedure. The rule, which unlike past variations does not even make exceptions for HIV/AIDS programs, was approved in a vote of 25-17, after the committee rejected an amendment by Rep. Howard Berman (D-CA) stripping the language:

“The provision included in this bill is far more extreme than the Global Gag Rule policy that was implemented under Presidents Reagan, George Bush, or George W. Bush,” said Berman. “It bars ALL assistance to local health care providers in poor countries – including HIV/AIDS funding, water and sanitation, child survival, and education. In the name of ‘right to life,’ the majority is cutting off funds that are literally saving hundreds of thousands of lives.”

The gag rule was initially instituted by President Ronald Reagan in Mexico City in 1984, lifted by President Bill Clinton on the anniversary of Roe v. Wade in 1993, reinstated by President George W. Bush on his first working day in office in 2001 and then lifted again by President Barack Obama.

Conservatives argue that the policy reduces abortion by limiting a woman’s access to abortion services and ensures that taxpayer funding for family planning services overseas is separate from abortion activities. But in reality, the rule actually denies NGOs access to the very contraceptives that can help prevent the need for abortions in the first place. Under the Bush administration, USAID-supplied contraceptives were no longer being shipped to 16 developing countries in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East, and the leading providers of family planning in 13 other developing nations were not receiving USAID contraceptives.

More than 200 million women in the developing world don’t have access to needed reproductive health care, while approximately 70,000 women die from unsafe abortion and at least 5 million more suffer serious injuries or disabilities.

As U.N. Pleads For $300 Million To Save Millions In Somalia, U.S. Spends That Much Every Day In Afghanistan

Somali children are particularly susceptible to starvation.

As CAP’s Sarah Margon notes, nearly 10.7 million people are in desperate need of food assistance in the Horn of Africa; almost one in 10 children is at risk of death by starvation in some parts of Somalia.

Yesterday, U.N. General Secretary Ban Ki-Moon issued an urgent appeal for aid from the world community. He requested $300 million in aid over the next two months, noting that Somalis are starving to death every day:

Meanwhile, as the U.N. is scrambling to get this aid money, the U.S. continues to spend nearly $300 million a month in the war in Afghanistan, as this Associated Press story from February notes:

The withdrawal of American troops from Iraq will allow for a reduced US defense budget in 2012 but the war in Afghanistan still costs the United States close to 300 million dollars a day. Under the Pentagon’s proposed budget, the cost of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan will drop to $117.8 billion for fiscal year 2012, a reduction of 41.5 billion from the previous year.

While the U.S. is already a major aid donor to Somalia, the stark contrast between how much it is spending every day in Afghanistan as compared what Somalia needs to prevent mass starvation is alarming.

GOP Defunds OAS On The False Basis That It Is ‘Perpetuating’ Venezuela’s ‘Ability To Destroy Democracies’

Yesterday, the House Foreign Affairs Committee engaged in a marathon mark-up of the State Department budget authorization bill. One of the most stunning votes was a party-line 22-20 victory for an amendment that defunded the Organization for American States (OAS), the multilateral group of Western hemisphere democracies formed under U.S. leadership in 1948.

The funding, which accounts for about half of OAS’ budget, doesn’t amount to much — just $48 million. So why did House Republicans, led by right-wing Committee Chairwoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL), vote for Rep. Connie Mack’s (R-FL) amendment eliminating it? Because, Mack said, the OAS was supporting U.S. foes. The Associated Press reported on the mark-up:

Mack insisted that the measure did not represent isolationism but rather was targeted at an organization that backs Venezuela and its U.S. foe, President Hugo Chavez.

“Let’s engage our allies and friends, but let’s not continue to support an organization that’s perpetuating some countries’ ability” to destroy democracies, Mack said.

Likewise, Rep. David Rivera (R-FL) criticized Cuba’s human rights record as the amendment was being debated.

But the OAS’ close allegiance with Cuba and Chavez’s Venezuela are both highly suspect — as in: not actually true.

Cuba is not even a member of the OAS, as Rep. Gary Ackerman (D-NY) pointed out. At Foreign Policy, Josh Rogin adds that in 2009 the OAS lifted its ban on Cuban membership, but the democratic threshold for membership remains in place — and so Cuba, for now, is out.

And the OAS has actually strongly criticized Chavez and Venezuela twice in the past two years. In early 2010, the OAS issued a blistering report about Venezuela’s human rights record and slipping democratic credentials. In January of this year, OAS Secretary General Jose Miguel Insulza criticized a Venezuelan law passed in December as being “completely contrary” to the Inter-American Democratic Charter passed by the OAS in 2001. Insulza added that the issue would likely come before the OAS.

As Daniel Larison points out at the American Conservative, the OAS might not do a whole lot, but its work is “fairly innocuous or even constructive when it comes to election monitoring and development aid.” At such a small cost — 0.02 percent of what the U.S. will spend in Iraq and Afghanistan this year — it hardly seems worth cutting and running from OAS by the logic of completely flawed and hollow reasoning.

NEWS FLASH

Ban Ki-Moon: Climate Change ‘Is A Threat To Int’l Peace And Security’ | U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon told a Security Council debate on climate change that the issue “not only exacerbates threats to international peace and security; it is a threat to international peace and security.” “Extreme weather events continue to grow more frequent and intense in rich and poor countries alike, not only devastating lives, but also infrastructure, institutions, and budgets — an unholy brew which can create dangerous security vacuums,” he said. However the Security Council failed to agree on whether climate change is a direct security threat. U.S. ambassador Susan Rice called the lack of consensus “pathetic.”

Update

Brad Johnson notes the irony in Rice’s comments. “For almost 20 years, global action to fight climate change has been hobbled by the intransigence of the United States, from the first Bush administration to the Obama administration.”

National Security Brief: July 21, 2011

– As debt limit negotiations continue in Washington, the Pentagon is preparing for the likelihood of deep cuts in its budget, including the possible elimination of an entire aircraft carrier group and various weapons programs.

– House Armed Services Committee Chair Buck McKeon (R-CA) wrote to fellow committee members that defense budget cuts implied by the “Gang of Six” debt ceiling deal “would not allow us to perform our constitutional responsibility to provide for the safety and security of our country.”

– The Afghan government officially took control of security in the capital of Helmand Province on yesterday, however, “insurgents struck in one of the provincial capitals that is scheduled to be handed over later this week.”

– NATO’s civilian chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen is optimistic about the alliances effort in Libya, adding that he expected rebel unites in the west and east to join together soon. Meanwhile, Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI) said the Senate is unlikely to consider a resolution supporting the Libya campaign.

– The House Foreign Affairs Committee, under right-wing chair Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-FL), voted to slash payments to international organizations — including the Organization of American States and the United Nations — and place strict conditions on foreign aid.

– Egypt will not allow international groups to monitor the upcoming parliamentary elections and only Egyptian monitoring groups will be allowed to monitor the polls according to an announcement from the ruling military supreme council

– After President Obama’s failure to restart Middle East peace talks and facing the growing prospect of a U.N. vote on Palestinian statehood, the U.S. is lowering its profile in Middle East peace making as Europe’s importance is rising.

— Yemeni security forces have reportedly killed two of Yemen’s most wanted al-Qaeda leaders, Ayed al-Shabwini and Awad Mohammed Saleh al-Shabwani.

Switch to Mobile
ThinkProgress Signup Overlay Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress Skip and Continue to ThinkProgress

Sign Up