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NEWS FLASH

POLL: 55 Percent Of Likely Voters See War With Iran Within Five Years | According to a poll conducted by the conservative group Rasmussen Reports, more than half of likely U.S. voters see a war with Iran in the next five years as likely. Fifty-five percent graded the war as at least “somewhat likely,” with 17 percent saying it was “very likely.” Thirty-two percent of respondents said a war was at least “somewhat unlikely,” with only 5 percent said it was not at all likely. (Rasmussen didn’t respond by press time to inquiries about methodology and timeframe of the survey.)

McCain Only Listens To Generals He Agrees With

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) listens to the generals — so much so that he has advocated on numerous occasions that President Obama defer his powers as commander-in-chief to American military commanders fighting the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Last month, McCain, along with Sens. Joe Lieberman (I-CT) and Lindsey Graham (R-SC), attacked Obama for reportedly considering keeping only a small force of U.S. troops (3,000) in Iraq after the year-end total withdrawal deadline. “This is dramatically lower than what our military leaders have consistently told us over the course of repeated visits to Iraq that they require.”

Yesterday on CNN, responding to recent reports that the administration is now abandoning plans to keep any troops in Iraq past 2011, McCain complained that “this whole issue has been terribly mishandled.” He said the U.S. needs at least 13,000 troops in Iraq to protect the Kurdish border region:

MCCAIN: The fact is that there is a very volatile areas between the Kurdish areas in Iraq in the north that needs peacekeeping forces. They need technical assistance on intelligence. They need help with their air assets, which they have literally none. And this has been terribly mishandled in my view by the administration. We needed about 13,000 troops left behind.

Watch it:

But just over two weeks ago, Army Major General David Perkins said that U.S. troops are no longer needed for that purpose, AFP reported:

Large numbers of US troops are no longer needed on the ground in northern Iraq to defuse Arab-Kurdish tensions and have begun handing over control to local forces, a US commander said Thursday.

Army Major General David Perkins, who leads 5,000 US troops deployed in northern Iraq, said the American contingent has gradually withdrawn from checkpoints that it had overseen to prevent clashes between Kurdish troops and Iraqi army and police. [...]

“Clearly there is not the need for them (US troops) to play the role they had, especially in the numbers they had. We have proven right now that out at the checkpoints they can run perfectly fine without US presence there at all.”

So maybe McCain doesn’t listen to all the generals. Or maybe he just listens to the ones he agrees with.

LGBT

McKeon Breaks Clean Defense Bill Pledge, Threatens To Derail Measure With Social Issues

When Republicans won the House majority in November 2010, Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon (R-CA) — the current chairman of the House Armed Services Committee — pledged to pass clean defense bills that were “not weighed down” by social issues. “Congress should pass clean legislation — without the liberal social agenda items Speaker (Nancy) Pelosi and (Senate Majority Leader) Harry Reid have insisted on attaching in the run-up to the election,” McKeon said, referring to amendments to repeal Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell and enact hate crimes protections. He added: “The National Defense Authorization Act—especially in wartime—should be focused on one core equity: caring and providing for the men and women in uniform and their families.”

But McKeon is ready to break his promise. Following the repeal of the Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell policy, the Department of Defense announced that it would allow chaplains to perform same-sex marriages on military bases. McKeon is threatening to derail the entire Defense Authorization Bill unless it includes an amendment outlawing the practice:

MCKEON: We think that chaplains should not be forced to do something that goes against their conscience.

REPORTER: They wouldn’t be forced, they would be allowed, if it’s with their conscience.

MCKEON: [smiles and snickers] … I know how you get the camel’s nose in the tent and it starts expanding…

REPORTER: Is this issue for you worth not having a defense authorization bill?

MCKEON: Yes.

Watch it:

The Senate version of the defense bill — which has passed the Senate Armed Services Committee and now awaits a vote by the full Senate — does not include the marriage ban, setting up a clash between the Republican-controlled House and Democratic-controlled Senate. As CAP’s Larry Korb points out in a new column today, McKeon’s favored “amendment has nothing to do with national security. Instead, it injects the authorization bill with provisions that would restrict chaplains’ religious freedom to preside over wedding ceremonies in accordance with their faith.”

Holding up the measure wouldn’t just undermine McKeon’s promise to keep social issues out of the legislation, but also endanger key military priorities, like troop pay bonuses, death benefits for families of military personnel, authorization for “special operations”, “Afghanistan’s national security training” and “programs to secure vulnerable fissile material.”

NEWS FLASH

U.N. Report Condemns Iran’s Rights Record | A new report by the U.N.’s “Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran” Ahmed Shaheed — first obtained by Foreign Policy’s Barbara Slavin — condemns Iran for a host of human rights violations ranging from taking political prisoners to committing secret executions of alleged drug-smugglers who never got public trials. Shaheed is hoping to visit Iran in November, but if Iran blocks access, the report could be referred to the International Criminal Court, according to Hadi Ghaemi of the New York-based International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran. The U.N. report, which is scheduled to be presented to the U.N. General Assembly later this week, documented more than 50 cases of abuse, including those of Green Movement opposition leaders Mehdi Karroubi and Mir Hossein Moussavi.

U.S. Afghanistan Commander: ‘The United States Is Going To Be Here For Some Period Of Time’

ISAF commander U.S. Gen. Allen

In an interview with CBS’s 60 Minutes, the U.S. military commander atop international forces in Afghanistan said U.S. forces would not be leaving the war-torn Central Asian country any time soon. The comments by Gen. John Allen, who took command of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) when Gen. David Petraeus stepped down to take the helm of the C.I.A. in July, fall in line with other U.S. and international officials since President Obama announced in June that a complete transition to Afghan security responsibility would take place by the end of 2014.

CBS’s Scott Pelley asked Gen. Allen what his plan for Afghanistan was:

ALLEN: Well the plan is to – is to win. The plan is to be successful and the United States is gonna be here for some period of time.

PELLEY: …You’re talking about U.S. forces being here after 2014?

ALLEN: Yes, there will be.

PELLY: …Are we talking about fighting forces?

ALLEN: We’re talking about forces that will provide an advisory capacity. And we may even have some form of counter-terrorism force here to continue the process of developing the Afghan’s counter-terrorism capabilities. But, if necessary, respond ourselves.

PELLEY: But what you’re saying is that the United States isn’t leaving Afghanistan in the foreseeable future?

ALLEN: Well that’s an important message.

Watch the video here:

As for specific numbers of U.S. forces that will remain, Allen said it was “too early to tell.”

Also in the 60 Minutes segment, U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan Ryan Crocker, in response to a direct question form Pelley, offered a veiled acknoweldgement that the U.S. was talking to at least some factions of the Taliban-led insurgency: “[W]e talk to the whole range of people, anyone who will talk to us. You can draw your own conclusions.”

Allen recounted a recent episode where he’d gone to Pakistan to ask the top military commander there, Gen. Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, to help stop a truck bomb that U.S. intelligence indicated was travelling from Pakistan to Afghanistan to target U.S. troops. “We think it ultimately exploded against the outer wall of one of our combat outposts,” said Allen. “Seventy-seven [Americans] were wounded that day.”

Exclusive: Herman Cain’s Foreign Policy Advisor Works With Nonprofit Exposed As Front For Military Contractors

Jeffrey Gordon, Herman Cain's foreign policy advisor and campaign spokesman

A scandal surrounding Atlantic Bridge, a conservative “think tank” exposed earlier this month by U.K. regulators as a front group for Tory party interests and corporate lobbyists, has jolted Prime Minister David Cameron’s government. Over the weekend, allegations stemming from the Atlantic Bridge pay-to-play scheme resulted in the resignation of Liam Fox, Cameron’s Defense secretary. But the controversy may also hit a high profile American politician: GOP presidential contender Herman Cain.

Atlantic Bridge is a right-wing nonprofit that is officially partnered with the Washington, DC-based American Legislative Exchange Council, a corporate lobbying front that funnels business lobbyist tailored legislation to state representatives and state senators across is the country. Earlier this month, the U.K. Charity Commission axed the Atlantic Bridge after an investigation found the group to have violated charity laws by acting primarily as a tax exempt front for business lobbyists. In particular, a number of defense industry hedge fund managers and weapons makers financed both Atlantic Bridge and its director, Adam Werritty, a British lobbyist. Werritty, the press learned, improperly acted as a high level adviser to Fox; at times using the Atlantic Bridge nonprofit as a cover for his allegedly illicit influence peddling.

The Daily Telegraph reports that Werritty and Fox attended Atlantic Bridge-organized defense contractor parties in the United States as well, including one at the Mandarin Oriental hotel in Washington, DC. The fundraising party, held in September last year, featured John Falk, a representative for a private security firm with work for the government in Pakistan, a lobbyist named Clark Judge, as well as a defense industry lobbyists like Powell Moore and Jeffrey Gordon. Gordon’s lobbying firm website lists American Bridge as a client.

Earlier this month, Gordon was named chief spokesman for the Herman Cain for president campaign. Gordon had acted as a top foreign policy adviser before his promotion. According to the DailyCaller, Gordon’s official title with the Cain campaign is “Vice President, Communications; Senior Adviser, Foreign Policy & Security.”

Gordon is also a partner at the DC consulting firm that manages the United States operations of Atlantic Bridge. A review of tax disclosure forms show that Atlantic Bridge was also incorporated in the United States. Documents reveal that in 2009, the group was run by lobbyist Adam Werritty, the “U.K. Executive Director,” Lee Cohen, the “Washington DC Director,” Scott Syfert, the “Executive Council Chair,” and Randall Popelka, a former executive director still on the nonprofit’s board of directors. Cohen is the co-founder of Gordon Cohen Strategies LLC, a firm he started with Cain’s adviser, Jeffrey Gordon.

A consistent theme of the Herman Cain campaign is the need to put big business even more in charge of government. Cain has said if he becomes president, he will literally place the CEO of Shell Oil at the helm of the Environmental Protection Agency. Given Cain’s admitted ignorance about foreign policy, it’s no wonder that he has outsourced the foreign policy positions of his campaign to a political operative who currently runs a lobbying firm and who is associated with a nonprofit that is deeply entwined with a military contracting pay-to-play scheme.

National Security Brief: October 17, 2011


– The Obama administration is pushing back on a report this weekend that it has abandoned plans to keep thousands of U.S. troops in Iraq past 2011. Two officials said that no decision has been made.

– In light of heightened tensions amid the accusation that Iran laid a plan to assassinate a Saudi diplomat in Washington, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei warned that any actions against the Islamic Republic “will meet a decisive response from the Iranian nation.”

– Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) said yesterday that covert operations to kill members of Iran’s Quds Force in response to the alleged assassination plot — as advocated Iraq surge architect ret. Gen. Jack Kean — “probably would escalate into war and the question is: Do we want to go to war with Iran at this time?”

– Rocket fire targeting American and Afghan soldiers near the border with Pakistan has risen sharply in the past six months, adding greater stress to the already disintegrating U.S.-Pakistan relationship.

– Arab foreign ministers stopped short of suspending Syria from the Arab League but urged the Syrian government and opposition to hold a dialogue within 15 days to negotiate an end to the violence.

– Smuggling networks along Syria’s border with Lebanon are expanding their business into arms dealing to supply political parties who seek the overthrow of Syrian president Bashar al-Assad’s government.

– The House Veterans Affairs Committee began an investigation into mortgage fraud against vets, where financial institutions allegedly made windfall profits by charging improper fees.

– The Kenyan army rolled into Somalia with tanks, trucks and helicopters this weekend to aid in the fight against the al Qaeda-affiliated Al Shabaab militia, becoming the latest army to dip its fingers into the anarchic East African country.

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