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Israeli Experts Reject Issuing ‘Red Lines’ On Iran

Two Israeli experts on Friday questioned the necessity of setting “red lines” for the Iranian nuclear program — the point Iran’s nuclear program reaches that would trigger a U.S. military attack.

Meir Javedanfar, a lecturer at the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya, Israel, and Shlomo Brom, a former high-ranking official in the Israeli army, were responding to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s speech last month at the U.N. (and some on the American right), in which he called for the international community to set a clear “red line” on the Iranian nuclear program. Both Javedanfar and Brom spoke at a Center for American Progress event on the status of the U.S.-Israel cooperation on Iran.

Brom said that “red lines” are counterproductive, claiming that they “provoke the other party to try and check the limits of his maneuverability…so all they do usually is that they reach the red line and cross it a little bit and see what the direct action is.” In other words, he said, “you cause the other party to try to test you.” Brom also made the point that “red lines” typically tend to be anything but rigid as circumstances and “other considerations” can change. In the long run “red lines,” according to Brom, only serve to make the country that creates them “lose credibility” with the other party.

Javedanfar, an Iranian-Israeli expert, said that the importance of “red lines” is overblown and that President Obama has already stated that he doesn’t support a containment policy for Iran, ruling out the need to publicly discuss additional “red lines.” Besides, he said, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors currently in Iran would make the international community aware if the Iranians push to enrich uranium to higher purity needed for a bomb:

It’s going to be very obvious. They will need that enriched uranium in Fordow to make a bomb and if they want to use it they are going to have to kick out the IAEA inspectors; and there we will all be aware that the Iranian regime has started making a bomb.”

To Javedanfar, the presence of inspectors and President Obama’s rejection of a containment strategy makes any criticism of the administration’s lack of “red lines” a moot point. Instead, Javedanfar says the focus should be elsewhere: “It would serve Israeli and U.S. interests more if we talked about Iran…instead of having this conversation and having diagrams being drawn in the U.N.,” adding that the Iranians are clearly “treading very carefully” and that, “red lines are important but cooperation is far more important.”

The Israeli experts’ assessments echoed that of Former Israeli Defense Forces Chief of Staff and Air Force Lieutenant General Dan Halutz, who said recently that red-lines are counterproductive.

The Obama administration, along with its European allies, determine that an Iran with a nuclear weapon is a threat and have implemented several rounds of crippling sanctions aimed at finding a diplomatic solution to the Iranian nuclear crisis. The sanctions have resulted in an estimated loss of $48 billion a year in oil revenues, or 10 percent of the economy and $133 million a day in oil money. One oil analyst told Bloomberg that sanctions have “been an unqualified success.” U.S., Israeli and U.N. officials have repeatedly pointed out that Iran has not yet decided to pursue a nuclear weapon.

UPDATED: What Everyone Should Know About The Benghazi Attack

Six weeks following the assault on a U.S. diplomatic outpost in Libya, many questions remain regarding the nature of the attacks, what the Obama administration knew and when, and the way that knowledge was delivered to the public. Adding to that confusion is the GOP’s desire to politicize the issue in the run-up to the presidential election.

Mitt Romney was widely scorned for criticizing Obama in the assault’s immediate aftermath for allegedly sympathizing with the attackers. But days later, Romney, his allies and other pundits found an opening to again criticize the administration. U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice claimed that the attack in Libya was an outgrowth of the protests in Cairo against an anti-Muslim film. But the administration’s story soon changed.

This shift in story — while always likely given the nature of intelligence — launched a new round of condemnation against Obama. Accusations and speculation of administration lies and cover-ups have been the major focus of the narrative since then.

But the reality is much more nuanced than what the built-up narrative suggests. The following is a timeline of not the attack itself, but the response to it, by the Obama administration, Mitt Romney’s campaign and the right-wing:

THE IMMEDIATE AFTERMATH

September 11, 2012: Protests take place at the U.S. embassy in Cairo. The anger was reportedly sparked by a video, purported to be the trailer of a full-length movie, called “The Innocence of Muslims,” that portrayed Islam in a highly negative and derogatory light. This demonstration will soon spread to other cities throughout the Middle East, including Khartoum, Sanaa and Tunis.

September 11: Dozens of armed militants launch an attack on an American diplomatic outpost in the Libyan city Benghazi.

September 11: Governor Mitt Romney’s campaign issues a statement condemning the Obama administration’s response to the global protests:

ROMNEY: “I’m outraged by the attacks on American diplomatic missions in Libya and Egypt and by the death of an American consulate worker in Benghazi. It’s disgraceful that the Obama administration’s first response was not to condemn attacks on our diplomatic missions, but to sympathize with those who waged the attacks.”

September 12: Initial reports surface that Ambassador Chris Stevens has been killed, along with other American citizens. The story of how continues to shift throughout day as details emerge.

September 12: In the immediate aftermath of news of Ambassador Stevens’ death, Republicans criticized the Romney campaign’s statement. But the campaign stuck to its attack. When asked about the statement, Romney foreign policy advisor Richard Williamson, replied, “It was accurate.”

September 12: The New York Times reports that “[f]ighters involved in the assault…said in interviews during the battle that they were moved to attack the mission by anger over a 14-minute, American-made video that depicted the Prophet Muhammad, Islam’s founder, as a villainous, homosexual and child-molesting buffoon.” The Times continues to stand by its story.

September 12: President Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton give remarks on the death of Ambassador Stevens and others. Both pledge justice against the perpetrators of the attacks. In his speech, Obama refers to the attack as an “act of terror”:

OBAMA: No acts of terror will ever shake the resolve of this great nation, alter that character, or eclipse the light of the values that we stand for. Today we mourn four more Americans who represent the very best of the United States of America. We will not waver in our commitment to see that justice is done for this terrible act. And make no mistake, justice will be done.

September 13: White House Press Secretary Jay Carney says during a press briefing and a later press gaggle that the protests around the world were due to reaction to the video. In the gaggle, Carney made clear he didn’t want to speculate in light of the ongoing investigation. His remarks were later taken to mean that the Benghazi attack was based on video.

September 13: President Obama, at a campaign rally in Denver, CO, reiterates the previous day’s statement, referring to the events in Benghazi as an act of terror:

OBAMA: So what I want all of you to know is that we are going to bring those who killed our fellow Americans to justice. I want people around the world to hear me: To all those who would do us harm, no act of terror will go unpunished. It will not dim the light of the values that we proudly present to the rest of the world. No act of violence shakes the resolve of the United States of America.

Read more

GOP Senate Candidate Calls Opponent ‘Anti-Jewish’

Tommy Thompson

Republican U.S. Senate candidate in Wisconsin Tommy Thompson on Sunday said his opponent, Democratic congresswoman Tammy Baldwin is “anti-Jewish” and “anti-Israel.”

“Tammy Baldwin, her whole record is anti-Israel,” Thompson said at a press conference in Wauwatosa. “She voted for the first time for the sanctions three months ago because she knew she was running for the U.S. Senate. That is the lamest excuse I’ve ever heard.

“She’s anti-Israel, she’s anti-Jewish and she’s trying to now somehow obfuscate her views and her intentions,” the former governor added.

Thompson’s comments come on the heels of an attack ad released last week by the right-wing Emergency Committee for Israel, claiming Baldwin accused Israel of “war crimes” and said “terrorists who attacked Israel” are “innocent victims.”

Thompson didn’t provide any evidence to Baldwin’s purported anti-Semitism (her campaign pointed out that she recently spoke before a the Jewish Community Center in Whitefish Bay, WI). However, Thompson himself has a history with anti-Jewish rhetoric. In 2007 he was forced to apologize after saying that making money “is part of the Jewish tradition.”

“I just want to clarify something because I didn’t [by] any means want to infer or imply anything about Jews and finances and things,” he said, making his apology. “What I was referring to, ladies and gentlemen, is the accomplishments of the Jewish religion. You’ve been outstanding business people and I compliment you for that.”

Top Romney Surrogate Says Romney ‘Should Be Exploiting’ Libya Incident For Political Gain

Top Mitt Romney surrogate Rudy Giuliani admitted that the GOP is accusing President Obama of covering up the violence that led to the death of an American ambassador in Libya for political gain.

During an appearance on CNN’s Starting Point on Monday, the former New York City mayor argued that the administration is purposely delaying investigations into the incident until after the election to “cover up” its own failures. But asked to substantiate the claim, Giuliani became agitated. He announced that he did not have to give Obama the benefit of the doubt or withhold judgment about the incident until a full investigation is complete because the president is a Democrat:

SOLEDAD O’BRIEN (HOST): The one thing I’m debating with you is just specifics. When you quote someone or you paraphrase them the only thing I ask is that you get that accurate. That’s all I ask.

GIULIANI: We’re also entitled to interpret what the president is saying without this, like, massive defense of everything he says.

Q: Do you think, foreign policy, including Benghazi is going to play a significant role in the election? Because my bias would be to think — it’s really interesting for us to talk about – but I think people are essentially going to vote on the economy.

GIULIANI: I think if, in fact, this becomes a question of the president’s lack of leadership, then it cuts into the economy as well. It’s beginning to become like that. The White house — the White House has been remarkably — The White House has fumbled this — whether it’s a deliberate cover-up or they’re making it look like a cover-up they have fumbled the ball four or five times here. Several contradictions. Excuse me if being the fact that I’m a Republican, I don’t give them as you do, all the benefit of the doubt.

Watch it:

Republicans have a long history of politicizing acts of terrorism for political advantage: from using the 9/11 terrorist attacks to push the country into a war in Iraq, to portraying Democrats as terrorist sympathizers to score political victories in 2002 and 2004. Giuliani himself ran his presidential campaign on a “noun, verb and 9/11” and Romney’s first political instinct upon learning of violence in Libya was to accuse President Obama of apologizing for terrorism and sympathizing with the people who killed Amb. Christopher Stevens.

Update

On Fox News, Giuliani encouraged Romney to exploit the incident:

BILL HEMMER (HOST): David Axelrod made the claim Mitt Romney is doing his best to exploit this. Is there argument to be made there? How was this handled on?

GIULIANI: He should be exploiting it. I mean, there is real chance, there is a cover-up here. They’re trying to run out the clock. Hillary Clinton appoints a commission that will investigate. They will not report until next January or February.

Watch it:


National Security Brief: Turkey Bans All Syrian Flights


– Turkey has banned all Syrian flights from Turkish airspace as officials there said it found military components aboard a Russian flight to Damascus.

– Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan lashed out at the United Nations of its inaction in Syria. “This negligence 20 years ago was explained by the international community being caught unprepared in dealing with the issues of the post-cold-war era,” Mr. Erdogan said referring to Bosnia in the 1990s. “Well, how can the injustice and weakness displayed in the Syrian issue be explained today?

– Reuters reports: European Union governments agreed major sanctions against Iran’s banking sector, shipping and industry on Monday, tightening financial pressure on Tehran over its nuclear program amid foundering diplomacy.

– Security requests from U.S. officials in Libya to the State Department before the assault on the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi “were largely focused on extending the tours of security guards at the American Embassy in Tripoli — not at the diplomatic compound in Benghazi, 400 miles away,” the New York Times reported this weekend.

– British Defense Minister Phillip Hammond said on Sunday that the U.K. plans to withdraw “thousands” of troops from Afghanistan next year.

– U.S. officials believe that Iran was behind a series of recent cyber-attacks that crippled networks across the Saudi oil industry and breached financial institutions. Iranian authorities denied the charge.

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