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Security

National Security Brief: President Clinton Says Polls Shouldn’t Guide Obama On Syria


President Clinton on Wednesday at an event with Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) said that President Obama risks looking like “a total fool” in paying to much attention to opinion polls on Syria, according to Politico.

A recent poll found that 68 percent of Americans said the U.S. should not use military force to end the civil war in Syria should diplomatic efforts fail.

“Some people say, ‘Okay, see what a big mess it is? Stay out!’ I think that’s a big mistake. I agree with you about this,” Clinton told McCain. “Sometimes it’s just best to get caught trying, as long as you don’t overcommit — like, as long as you don’t make an improvident commitment.” Clinton didn’t get into specifics about what the U.S. should be doing outside of current policy, but added:

“I don’t mean that a leader should go out of his way or her way to do the unpopular thing, I simply mean when people are telling you ‘no’ in these situations, very often what they’re doing is flashing a giant yellow light and saying, ‘For God’s sakes, be careful, tell us what you’re doing, think this through, be careful.”

Clinton continued, “But still they hire their president to look around the corner and down the street, and you just think – if you refuse to act and you cause a calamity, the one thing you cannot say when all the eggs have been broken, is that, ‘Oh my God, two years ago there was a poll that said 80 percent of you were against it.’ Right? You’d look like a total fool. So you really have to in the end trust the American people, tell them what you’re doing, and hope to God you can sell it” and that it turns out okay in the end.

Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reports that a top Syrian rebel commander “has issued a desperate plea for weapons from Western governments to prevent the fall of his forces in Aleppo, pushing the Obama administration to decide quickly whether to agree to arm rebels for the first time or risk the loss of another rebel stronghold just days after the regime’s biggest victory.”

Obama’s top national security aids, including Secretary of State John Kerry, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel and Joint Chiefs chairman Gen. Martin Dempsey reportedly met at the White House on Wednesday to discuss U.S. policy on Syria.

The New York Times reported that “Navi Pillay, the United Nations high commissioner for human rights, said Thursday, with 92,901 killings documented there through the end of April, a number that may understate the magnitude of the violence in the 25-month civil war.”

In other news:
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Alyssa

Former President Clinton Calls For Copyright Flexibility, Crowdfunding, And Creative Sustainability

In a speech that steered clear of policy proscriptions, but that urged a need for creative thinking about copyright and content distribution, former President Bill Clinton on Friday called for further discussion “about the need to give people an appropriate return on their ideas and development of them, and presentation of it, in film and music and in other areas, and the need to give it as quickly as possible to the world.”

Clinton’s speech came at the Creativity Conference, a half-day meeting hosted by the Motion Picture Association of America, Microsoft, and Time Magazine, where participants ranging from House Majority Leader Eric Cantor to HBO CEO Richard Plepler discussed issues in the creative economy ranging from federal research and development investment to copyright. While there was a clear consensus on the first issue, with even Cantor, who has focused on spending cuts, suggesting that the government had a valuable role to play in research and development, some participants spoke frankly, and even harshly, on the subject of copyright.

“So I think a very good business plan [is] here, use somebody else’s content for free, deliver it, don’t pay them anything, and build a $500 billion silicon valley company, and then have cool slogans like ‘We just want to help the world,’” said Harvey Weinstein, co-chairman of the Weinstein Company, appearing to refer to YouTube and its parent company Google. “They’re stealing. That’s what they’re doing. My artists, they can’t be artists if they’re hungry. The starving artist, trust me, that’s a myth. When you’re starving you’re starving. It’s hard to be creative in that situation.”

Clinton, by contrast, sought to establish a different framework in his remarks, suggesting that the conflict in creating copyright policy was not between who should be allowed to profit from the creation of individual work, from music to pharmaceutical development, but between balancing the interests of content finding a wide audience and making it sustainable to develop. “We have to keep struggling to find the right balance between creativity, broadly and quickly shared, and as widely understood as possible, and making it reasonably profitable for people to be creatives,” Clinton argued. As one example, he praised Saint Jude’s Children’s Research Hospital, which does not accept fees for services, but encourages patients whose families can pay to make ongoing donations to the institution, and which voluntarily makes public significant amounts of its data to aid in drug development.
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LGBT

Bill Clinton Will Keep Working Until All People ‘Can Marry The People They Love’

On Saturday, former President Bill Clinton became the inaugural recipient of GLAAD’s “Advocate for Change” award for his advocacy for marriage equality over the past few years. During his speech, Clinton praised GLAAD for their work in helping people better appreciate the lives of LGBT people, and he committed to doing the same until equality is achieved:

CLINTON: I want to keep working on this until not only DOMA is no longer the law of the land, but until all people, no matter where they live, can marry the people they love. For example, when I flew here from New York, I knew I’d still be married when I got here. Heck, I’m going to Texas next week to George W. Bush’s library dedication, and I’ll still be married when I get there. You have helped me come to the place where I am today; that’s why you are the true agents of change.

But we have all learned in our interdependent society in our increasingly interdependent world that whenever people anywhere are denied any rights, it diminishes us all. That’s why we were so gripped to our television after those bombs exploded at the Boston Marathon… And the same is true here. I believe you will win the DOMA fight, and I think you will win the Constitutional right to marry. If not tomorrow, then the next day or the next day.

Watch his full remarks:

Clinton added that his daughter Chelsea and her gay friends had a “profound impact” on how he understands the LGBT community and what it means to treat them equally.

In March, before the Supreme Court heard oral arguments, Clinton wrote that he believed that the Defense of Marriage Act is discriminatory and should be overturned. Still, some — including attendees at the awards ceremony — still criticize Clinton for signing DOMA into law in the first place, an action for which he still has not technically apologized.

LGBT

President Clinton: DOMA Is Discriminatory And Unconstitutional

In an editorial published Thursday, President Bill Clinton explained that even though he signed the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) in 1996, he does not stand by it. Signing DOMA into law, he suggested, helped dissipate the more “draconian” momentum to pass a constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage. In fact, he now believes it to be not only constitutional, but blatantly discriminatory against gays and lesbians:

When I signed the bill, I included a statement with the admonition that “enactment of this legislation should not, despite the fierce and at times divisive rhetoric surrounding it, be understood to provide an excuse for discrimination.” Reading those words today, I know now that, even worse than providing an excuse for discrimination, the law is itself discriminatory. It should be overturned.

We are still a young country, and many of our landmark civil rights decisions are fresh enough that the voices of their champions still echo, even as the world that preceded them becomes less and less familiar. We have yet to celebrate the centennial of the 19th Amendment, but a society that denied women the vote would seem to us now not unusual or old-fashioned but alien. I believe that in 2013 DOMA and opposition to marriage equality are vestiges of just such an unfamiliar society.

Clinton joins 21 Senators and many other Congressional Democrats who previously supported DOMA but now stand opposed to it. The Supreme Court will hear oral arguments challenging its constitutionality on March 27.

Justice

President Clinton: Some Disenfranchisement Efforts Today Are ‘Even More Determined’ Than 48 Years Ago

In the wake of conservative Justice Antonin Scalia’s claim that a key provision of the Voting Rights Act amounts to a “perpetuation of racial entitlement,” former President Bill Clinton offered a very different vision of the law in an exclusive statement emailed to ThinkProgress today:

The Voting Rights Act is one of the most powerful tools Americans have to fight injustice, and its protection is fundamental to our democracy. Since the Act’s enactment in 1965, disciplined, systematic efforts to undermine its safeguards by disenfranchising younger, poorer, minority, and disabled voters—some even more determined today than they were 48 years ago—are reminding us of the fragility of this very precious right. As America becomes younger, more diverse, and more vibrant, our response must be to embrace our common humanity, to widen the circle of opportunity, and to build a country where every American has a voice in the future—a voice that our vote provides and our government must protect. This is not the time to weaken those protections, but rather an opportunity to redouble our efforts to affirm them.

President Clinton previously described efforts by Republican governors and lawmakers to undermine voting rights the most determined effort to restrict the franchise ” since we got rid of the poll tax and all the other Jim Crow burdens on voting.”

Economy

Clinton: America’s Debt Problems ‘Can’t Be Solved’ With Austerity

Former president Bill Clinton urged House Democrats to avoid the push for immediate austerity at a party retreat in Virginia today, pointing to Europe’s failed deficit-cutting experiment that has led to further economic malaise instead of prosperity.

The American economy, bolstered by a major stimulus bill in 2009, has slowly recovered from the Great Recession, but unemployment remains high and growth slower than it should be. The U.S. has already cut more than $2.5 trillion from future deficits, but with the automatic spending cuts brought about by the 2011 debt ceiling deal fast approaching, Clinton pushed Democrats to avoid calls for “conventional austerity measures”:

The debt problem can’t be solved right now by conventional austerity measures, and that’s why Paul Krugman is right when he keeps talking about all these — everybody that’s tried austerity in a time of no growth has wound up cutting revenues even more than they cut spending because you just get into the downward spiral and drag the country back into recession.

Watch:

European countries that have attempted to spur growth by rapidly reducing their deficits have failed to accomplish either goal and have instead driven their economies back into recession. The United Kingdom’s deficit has hardly gotten smaller despite its austerity efforts and the country is on the verge of a triple-dip recession. Greece and Spain both have unemployment rates above 25 percent. Even Germany, Europe’s largest economy, is on the brink of another recession. The Eurozone as a whole slipped back into recession in November and its unemployment rate is at record highs.

Still, politicians in the United States have failed to heed Europe’s warnings, pursuing deficit reduction instead of job growth. Republicans blocked the American Jobs Act, which economists estimated would have spurred growth and created more than a million jobs, and have instead pursued damaging budget cuts that would have the opposite effect even amid evidence that the original American push for stimulus worked better than the European approach.

Economy

GOP Rep: ‘It’s About Time’ We Had Another Government Shut Down

Appearing on CBS’ Face the Nation this morning, Rep. Matt Salmon (R-AZ) enthusiastically called for a government shut down:

SALMON: I was here during the government shutdown in 1995. It was a divided government. we had a Democrat [sic] President of the United States. We had a Republican Congress. And I believe that that government shutdown actually gave us the impetus, as we went forward, to push toward some real serious compromise. I think it drove Bill Clinton in a different direction, a very bipartisan direction. In fact, we passed welfare reform for the first time ever, and we cut the welfare ranks in the last decade and a half by over 50%. These are good things. We also balanced the budget for the first time in 40 years in 1997, 1998, 1999. And when I left we had an over $230 billion surplus. This was with a Democrat [sic] president, A Republican —

HOST: You think that’s a good idea?

SALMON: Yes, I do. I really do. I think it’s about time!

Watch it:

Salmon’s theory, that the government shutdown somehow led to balanced budgets during President Clinton’s second term, was floated by Newt Gingrich in 2011, and it was no more true then than it is now.

Gingrich claimed that the shutdown led to the misleadingly named Balanced Budget Act of 1997, but the law was so laden down with conservative pet projects that it actually increased the budget deficit. In reality, the principal policy driver of the Clinton era surpluses was something that every single Republican in Congress voted against — the Clinton tax hikes on the rich. These surpluses, of course, were wiped out almost immediately after President George W. Bush took office, thanks to Bush’s tax cuts that largely benefited the very wealthy.

Economy

Small Businesses Grew Twice As Fast Under Clinton Tax Rates

Republicans have long opposed the expiration of the high-income Bush tax cuts, those that hit incomes over $250,000, because they claim it will be a tax hike on America’s small businesses. House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) said as much today in highlighting his opposition to the expiration. “Raising taxes on small businesses will kill jobs in America,” Boehner said. “It is as simple as that.”

Economic evidence, however, contradicts that view. Under President Clinton, the top marginal tax rate was 39.6 percent, where it would return if the high-income Bush tax cuts expire at the end of the year. But small businesses grew twice as fast during Clinton’s time in office than they did when President Bush occupied the White House, as this chart from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities shows:

Boehner has repeatedly highlighted a flawed study stating that the expiration of those tax cuts would kill 700,000 jobs and hit a substantial number of small businesses, even as non-partisan reports from the Congressional Budget Office and Congressional Research Service show that the expiration would have little effect on economic growth, and the Joint Committee on Taxation found that only 3 percent of small businesses would be hit by the increase.

And, as CBPP notes, there are numerous problems with Boehner’s argument. A “small business” would have to earn substantially more than $250,000 a year to actually feel an impact of the higher tax rates, meaning it likely isn’t that small anyway. Many of them, meanwhile, are “pass through entities,” businesses that operate as investment vehicles or for other reasons and are “not engaged in business activity as it is traditionally understood.” According to a Treasury Dept. study cited by CBPP, just 7.6 percent of the income taxed at the top two income tax rates comes from actual small business income.

Alyssa

Crossing The Bridge To The 21st Century

When I was twelve, President Clinton accepted the Democratic nomination for the second time by asking the convention to “resolve to build that bridge to the 21st century, to meet our challenges, protect our basic values and prepare our people for the future.” In his second inaugural address, he described it as “A bridge wide enough and strong enough for every American to cross over to a blessed land of new promise.” He gave us more of a sense of the Bifröst we could walk along together than what Asgard would look like when we reached it. But last night, for the first time, as the election results rolled in, I felt for the first time like I had a sense of what the twenty-first century coalition might look like, and what we might do with it.

I said towards the end of the evening that this presidential election felt even more like a generational shift to me than the 2008 campaign did. In part, it was because of who voted, and how strongly their preferences leaned. Latino voters made up 10 percent of voters, and 71 percent of them pulled the lever for Obama and Biden. 73 percent of Asian-American voters picked the Democratic ticket. The percentage of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 rose from 18 percent in 2008 to 19 percent in 2012. 2008 wasn’t a fluke: it was a fact of a generational shift, rather than once-in-a-lifetime swell of enthusiasm. It’s not easy to capture that new coalition in a monochromatic splash of red or blue. But that doesn’t mean it’s not real.

The question is what that coalition will do, what they’re offering up a mandate for. The results of last night’s ballot initiatives offer some hints. Maine, Maryland, and Washington voters passed equal marriage rights in their states, the first referendum victories of their kind, and Minnesota voters narrowly resisted an effort to block same-sex couples from marrying. Colorado voters legalized marijuana, and Massachusetts backed medical marijuana–in states where similar initiatives failed, the margins were often quite narrow. As Ben Smith wrote at BuzzFeed, “The 2012 election marked a cultural shift as much as a political one.”

That cultural shift didn’t necessarily signal victory for traditional progressive priorities across the board, even in states President Obama carried. California rejected an effort to ban the death penalty, 53 percent to 47 percent. 55 percent of F.lorida voters supported an amendment to ban public funding for abortion care. Just because 59.8 million of us voted for the same man doesn’t mean we all did it for the same set of reasons, or even that if we did, we prioritized those reasons in the same way. There are conversations to be had, and they’re difficult ones, but I’d much rather have this set of discussions than the ones the Republican party is starting today. And looking, at least at marriage and marijuana, 1996 does seem like a very long way away. We’ve reached new territory. What we build here is up to us.

Climate Progress

In Sandy’s Wake, Bill Clinton Calls Out Mitt’s Mockery Of Climate Action

After his adoptive hometown of New York City was devastated by Hurricane Sandy, former president Bill Clinton railed against Mitt Romney for having mocked the idea of climate action. In a campaign stop in Minneapolis, MN, Clinton criticized Romney for having “ridiculed the president for his efforts to fight global warming in economically beneficial ways.” “In the real world,” Clinton concluded, “Barack Obama’s policies work better.”

Transcript:

I was actually listening closely to what the candidates said in these debates. In the first debate, the triumph of the moderate Mitt Romney. You remember what he did? He ridiculed the president. Ridiculed the president for his efforts to fight global warming in economically beneficial ways. He said, ‘Oh, you’re going to turn back the seas.’ In my part of America, we would like it if someone could’ve done that yesterday. All up and down the East Coast, there are mayors, many of them Republicans, who are being told, ‘You’ve got to move these houses back away from the ocean. You’ve got to lift them up. Climate change is going to raise the water levels on a permanent basis. If you want your town insured, you have to do this.’ In the real world, Barack Obama’s policies work better.

JR: Romney’s mockery of Obama was in his Republican National Convention speech, not the first debate. Sadly, climate never came up in any of the debates.

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