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Economy

Blue Dog Democrats Endorse Balanced Budget Amendment That Would Double Unemployment, Gut Social Safety Net

Congressional Republicans are still trying to persuade Americans that they are focused on job creation, but each time they propose another piece of legislation, it is exposed as a gimmick that will do little, if anything, to create jobs. Such was the case with their anti-regulatory policies, their attempts to repeal health care reform, and virtually every other policy proposal they have brought forth.

Next up in that line, unfortunately, is a rehashed form of a radical Balanced Budget Amendment, a plan that according to recent analyses would actually cost America 15 million jobs. But thanks to the conservative wing of the Democratic Party, the Republicans won’t be alone in their chase for a radical budget amendment that could help push the country back into the throes of recession.

Despite the fact that House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-MD) said yesterday he would encourage his party to vote against the radical plan, Blue Dog Democrats endorsed the amendment on a press call today, Politico’s Marin Cogan reported on Twitter. ThinkProgress confirmed that endorsement with a spokesperson for Rep. Mike Ross (D-AR), the Blue Dog Coalition’s co-chair for communications. According to the Hill, Ross said on the call that Blue Dogs favored such an amendment “before balanced budget amendments were cool”:

We were advancing a balanced budget amendment when balanced budget amendments weren’t cool,” a co-chairman of the coalition, Rep. Mike Ross (D-Ark.), told reporters on a conference call. [...]

If any Blue Dog does not vote for it, I’d have to question how much they’re a Blue Dog,” [Blue Dog Rep. Jim] Matheson [D-UT] said.

It’s hard to overestimate the negative effects such an amendment would have on the country’s economy. In addition to destroying millions of jobs, it would force such massive spending cuts that House Republicans’ own budget would be unconstitutional. According to a recent study by Macroeconomic Advisers, enacting a BBA now would double the nation’s unemployment rate and cause the economy to shrink by 17 percent — a far cry from the 2 percent projected growth that would occur with no such amendment.

Unfortunately, according to another analysis by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, the consequences get worse. The draconian budget cuts caused by a Balanced Budget Amendment would forice lawmakers to gut Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), among other programs, the analysis found:

“The constitutional balanced budget amendment that the House is expected to consider this week could force Congress to cut all programs by an average of 17.3 percent by 2018.

“If revenues are not raised (the House-passed budget resolution assumes no increase above current-policy levels) and all programs are cut by the same percentage, Social Security would be cut $184 billion in 2018 alone and almost $1.2 trillion through 2021; Medicare would be cut $117 billion in 2018 and about $750 billion through 2021; and Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) would be cut $80 billion in 2018 and about $500 billion through 2021.”

In order to preserve those programs, Congress would have to cut ridiculously deep into every other program. Yesterday, economists around the country warned Congress that enacting widespread budget cuts and other austerity measures now would have perilous consequences for the American economy, pushing the country to the brink of a second deep recession. Today, unfortunately, Blue Dog Democrats decided not only to ignore those warnings, but to endorse an even bigger, deeper austerity plan.

Economy

Blue Dogs Throw Support To Giant Corporate Tax Giveaway, Claiming It Will Reduce The Deficit

Members of the House Blue Dog coalition sent a letter to the fiscal super committee this week expressing their support for a corporate tax holiday being vigorously sought by a slew of multinational corporations. The Blue Dogs evidently believe that the tax repatriation holiday — which would allow companies to bring money they have stashed overseas back to the U.S. at a tax rate far below what they would normally pay — would help reduce the deficit:

“As you consider tax reform, we urge you to include a temporary change to the tax code that allows businesses to repatriate money trapped overseas as part of reform or as a bridge to comprehensive reform,” stated a letter obtained by The Hill that was sent Wednesday to the congressional deficit-reduction committee…”We believe that bringing private-sector capital back to the U.S. will strengthen recovery efforts and help reduce the federal deficit,” they said.

Unfortunately for the Blue Dogs, the Joint Committee on Taxation found that a corporate tax repatriation holiday would cost nearly $80 billion, not result in deficit reduction. Unless they are counting on a sudden appearance of the tax fairy, the Blue Dogs are barking up the wrong tree.

The corporations supporting the holiday have a different rationale for pushing the tax break, claiming that nearly tax-free dollars will let them invest domestically and create jobs. But the last time that Congress approved a repatriation holiday, corporations used the money to enrich their executives, cutting hundreds of thousands of jobs.

Versions of a repatriation holiday are now floating around both the House and the Senate, but the fact remains: giving corporations that are sitting on record amounts of cash yet another tax break will do next to nothing to spur the struggling economy. Of course, that hasn’t stopped several Republican presidential hopefuls from supporting the idea. Tea Party Sen. Mike Lee (R-UT) this week proposed lowering the tax on repatriated money permanently.

Health

After Fighting Against Public Option, Blue Dog Policy Director To Lobby For Health Insurance Industry

Throughout the health care reform debate, Congressional Blue Dogs lobbied then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) to adopt provisions that would lower health care spending and reduce the deficit, but curiously opposed the so-called robust public option. That measure reimbursed providers 5 to 10 percent above Medicare rates and would have reduced the deficit by as much as $110 billion over 10 years. In July of 2009, the fifty-member Blue Dog Coalition wrote a letter to Pelosi revealing “strong reservations” about an earlier House version of the health care bill. “After reviewing the draft tri-committee health care reform proposal, we believe it lacks a number of elements essential to preserving what works and fixing what is broken,” they wrote, noting:

A “Medicare-like” public option would negatively impact hospitals, doctors and patients…using Medicare’s below-market rates would seriously weaken the financial stability of our local hospitals and doctors.”

That argument was debunked repeatedly by MedPAC — which argued that Medicare rates are adequate and consistent with the efficient delivery of services — and relied heavily on insurance industry talking points. The industry feared that it would lose market share if forced to compete against a more efficient public plan. In March 2009, he industry’s chief lobbying arm, AHIP, provided lawmakers with this presentation, ‘What you should say when asked about the public option“:

You could end up not being able to see the doctor of your choice as the government plan would reimburse doctors so little for their services they stop accepting or dropping patients by the government plans.

And so, given all this, it is perhaps not surprising that today’s Politico Pulse reports that Erik Komendant, the policy director for the Blue Dog Coalition, has now accepted a job at AHIP as “VP for federal affairs.” After all, it’s like he was working for them already.

Health

Blue Dogs Show Their True Colors: Vote For HCR Repeal Despite Its Deficit Increases

Politico’s Jennifer Haberkorn is reporting that four Democrats who voted against health care in March, also voted in favor of the rules package to repeal the Affordable Care Act, suggesting that the GOP’s push to undermine reform will have a bipartisan flavor. Three of the members — Reps. Dan Boren (OK), Mike Ross (AR), and Mike McIntyre (NC) — are all part of the hyper-deficit-sensitive Blue Dog Caucus, who voted against the law in March because they were concerned about spending levels. The fourth, Larry Kissell (NC), objected to the Medicare cuts in the law.

For the Blue Dog members, the repeal vote is peculiar since it suggests that their concerns about the deficit bear an inverse relationship to the conclusions of the Congressional Budget Office. That is, when the CBO found that health reform would reduce the deficit by $143 billion over 10 years, they registered their complaints about potential deficit increases. When it reported that repeal would increase the deficit $230 billion, they signaled their support for eliminating the law. Here is how they described their opposition to reform in March of 2010:

- MIKE ROSS: “Therefore, one of my concerns throughout this entire debate has been the impact this legislation will have on future deficits. After careful review and thoughtful analysis, I am unconvinced this bill will adequately address the long-term trend of rising health care costs that burden our government and every Arkansas family.” [Press Statement, 3/21/2010]

- MIKE McINTYRE: “We simply cannot afford to create a new federal bureaucracy that costs nearly $1 trillion when our national debt is $12 trillion and there is no plan in place to address it. I will not vote for it.” [Press Statement, 3/19/2010]

- DAN BOREN: “For the last 18 months I have said repeatedly that the focus of Congress should be on job creation and getting our economy moving again; not on creating a brand new entitlement program that we simply cannot afford.” [Press Statement, 3/22/2010]

I’ve called and emailed the offices of the po-repeal Democrats to ask why they’re voting for repeal in light of the CBO’s deficit projections. I will update the post as their responses come in.

Update

Ross spoke with CNN and explained that he just doesn’t agree with the CBO:

Economy

47 House Democrats Sign Letter Putting Them To The Right Of Reagan On Taxing Investment Income

Too liberal for House Democrats.

Too liberal for House Democrats.

Nearly all of the discussion regarding the scheduled expiration of the Bush tax cuts at the end of the year has focused on the effect the expiration would have on marginal income tax rates. But there were other facets of the Bush tax cut package, including cutting the capital gains and stock dividends rates to 15 percent.

President Obama has proposed increasing the rates on capital gains and stock dividends back to 20 percent for those making $250,000 or more. Republicans, meanwhile, have opposed allowing the increase to occur. And now they’ve been joined by 47 House Democrats:

Forty-seven House Democrats have signed a letter to Speaker Nancy Pelosi urging that tax rates on capital gains and dividends be maintained at the current level of up to 15% for all earners…The letter from House Democrats argues that raising taxes on dividends and capital gains would be harmful to companies’ ability to grow and add jobs.

The rationale for having a lower capital gains and dividend rate is that it will encourage investment, as investors will want to take advantage of a lower rate. Under President Clinton, the capital gains rate was 20 percent, while dividends were treated as regular income, so Obama is proposing a tax policy even more deferential to these sorts of income than was in place in the 1990′s. Plus, as Citizens for Tax Justice pointed out, these House Democrats are to the right of President Reagan when it comes to investor income:

In 1986, President Ronald Reagan signed into law the Tax Reform Act that ended the tax preference for capital gains and taxed all types of income at the same rates. Conservatives have long complained about this Reagan tax reform, and have even incorrectly claimed that capital gains tax revenue actually fell as a result of it…Today, conservative critics of President Reagan have been joined by a group of House Democrats who also seem to feel that Reagan was not sufficiently devoted to tax preferences for the wealthy investor class.

Of course, Obama hasn’t proposed evening the rates between regular income and investment income either, but to think that wealthy investors need a capital gains rate 20 points below the top marginal income tax rate (currently 35 percent) in order to invest their money is silly. Do conservatives, and these House Democrats, really believe that the wealthy will squirrel away their money under the mattress if the capital gains rate goes back to the level at which it was under Clinton? In fact, business investment was stronger under President Clinton that it was under President Bush.

The overwhelming majority of capital gains go to the richest households. Keeping that rate so far below the rates applied to normal income is simply a giveaway to the wealthy that doesn’t boost the economy.

Economy

Most House Democrats Pushing Tax Cuts For The Rich Represent Below-Average Number Of Rich Households

bluedogsupersizeLast week, a number of House Democrats sent a letter to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) stating their objection to allowing the Bush tax cuts for the richest two percent of Americans to expire. Some of these Blue Dogs, who are breaking with President Obama in order to borrow and spend $830 billion on tax breaks for the richest Americans, are relying on discredited Republican arguments to bolster their position.

However, some of them are also claiming that a household earning $250,000 per year isn’t actually rich, once geographic differences are taken into account. “Where we come from, those people are living paycheck to paycheck,” said Rep. Michael McMahon (D-NY).

First, as Daniel Gross ably pointed out, “even if you look at the wealthiest metropolitan areas — Washington ($85,236), San Francisco ($76,068), Boston ($70,334), and New York ($63,957) — a quarter of a million dollars a year dwarfs the median income.” Not only that, but as a new report from Citizens for Tax Justice pointed out, two-thirds of the House Democrats who are looking to preserve the Bush tax cuts for the rich come from districts with a below average number of households making a quarter-million per year:

Of the 31 House Democrats who signed the letter in support of extending the Bush tax cuts for the rich, 22 represent districts where the share of taxpayers rich enough to pay higher taxes under Obama’s plan is less than the national average of 2.1 percent. Of those 31 House Democrats, 13 represent districts where less than 1 percent of taxpayers are rich enough to face higher taxes under Obama’s plan.

Even in McMahon’s district, just two percent of households earn that much. In total, there are only 30 districts (out of 436 in the country) where at least 5 percent of households would be affected by the expiring tax cuts. Just two of those districts are represented by House Democrats who signed the letter to Pelosi.

It’s also worth remembering that those making more than $250,000 would still receive a tax break on their income up to that amount, relative to where their tax rate was in the 1990′s. Under Obama’s plan, a millionaire will still pay roughly $6,300 less in taxes than they would if the entirety of the Bush tax cuts expire. So even the exceedingly few households represented by these lawmakers that would be affected if the Bush tax cuts expire would be keeping some of their tax breaks.

The House Democrats also asserted in their letter that the richest two percent of taxpayers are responsible for 25 percent of consumer spending. However, CTJ noted that these households account for 21 percent of total pretax cash income and “their share of total personal consumption is certainly not higher than their share of total income.” In all, this two percent of taxpayers is responsible for roughly 8 percent of consumer spending, CTJ estimated.

Economy

Blue Dog Matheson Using Discredited GOP Argument For Extending Bush Tax Cuts For The Rich

This week, Republicans have solidified the notion that they will hold an extension of middle class tax cuts hostage unless $830 billion in tax cuts is also given to the richest two percent of households. To justify such a move, they’re relying on the phony argument that letting the Bush tax cuts for the richest two percent expire would disproportionately harm small businesses.

But a group of conservative Congressional Democrats are also making the same bogus argument. This week, a number of self-styled Blue Dogs sent a letter to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) saying that they opposed allowing the cuts for the wealthy to expire. One of the main drivers behind the effort — Rep. Jim Matheson (D-UT) — told the Washington Post’s Greg Sargent today that his rationale for making the push is to protect small businesses:

“I recognize $250,000 is a lot of money for an individual to make for an individual,” he said. “But we’re also talking about businesses. That’s not a lot of money for small businesses.” Asked how many people in his district fell into the above-$250,000 category, Matheson answered: “I don’t know the answer to that.”

Before getting to Matheson’s specific argument, let’s review: Fewer than two percent of small businesses and less than three percent of households with any business income at all would be affected if the Bush tax cuts for the rich expire.

Republicans concede that very few businesses would be affected, but then claim that half of small business income would be hit. But that statistic only matters if you’re concerned about a slight tax increase on Bechtel Corp., the Tribune Company, doctors, lawyers, and corporate CEO’s receiving a speaking fee on the side, all of whom fall under the GOP’s overly inclusive definition.

Matheson didn’t know how many households in his district would be affected if the Bush tax cuts for the rich expire, but according to the latest American Community Survey from the Census Bureau, the number is roughly 12,012. (The ACS survey cuts off at $200,000, not $250,000, so some of those 12,000 households would likely fall into the 28 percent marginal income tax bracket, and thus avoid a tax increase.)

The median household income in Matheson’s district is $55,000, while the median male full-time worker makes $46,000. Matheson’s favored extension would give a millionaire an annual tax cut of $128,832, or nearly three times what the median worker in his district earns in total.

Matheson is attempting to muddy the waters by making it sound like business revenues, not personal income, are what winds up on income tax filings. But that’s not how it works. As Matthew Yglesias has pointed out, “any small businessman who’s earning a middle class income isn’t paying in the top two brackets, just as any salaried employee who’s earning a middle class income isn’t paying in the top two brackets.” No matter how you slice it, extending the Bush tax cuts for the rich is spending $830 billion on the richest segment of the population.

Health

Pelosi To Allow Public Option To Use Medicare-Like Reimbursement Rates In Final House Bill

nancy_pelosiThe Hill newspaper is reporting that Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) is scrapping an agreement with Blue Dog Democrats that decoupled the public option from Medicare and required the plan to directly negotiate its reimbursement rates with providers.

“Pelosi is planning to include a government-run “public option” in the House version of the healthcare bill. She wants to model it on Medicare, with providers getting reimbursed on a scale pegged to Medicare rates,” Mike Soraghan writes. The original House bill allowed the public option to reimburse providers at five percent above Medicare rates:

Pelosi’s decision to abandon the agreement that was made with a group of Blue Dogs to get the bill out of committee would steer the healthcare legislation back to the left as she prepares for a floor vote. Pelosi is planning to include a government-run “public option” in the House version of the healthcare bill. She wants to model it on Medicare, with providers getting reimbursed on a scale pegged to Medicare rates….Blue Dog Democrats, many of whom represent rural districts where Medicare reimbursement rates are low, vehemently oppose tying the public option to Medicare.

The compromise initially “drew howls of protest from liberal members” who argued that a small just-established public option would be unable to negotiate lower reimbursement rates without relying on Medicare’s existing size and leverage. By reimbursing providers some percentage above Medicare rates, however, the public option could benefit from Medicare’s ability to negotiate with providers and pass on the savings to consumers, these critics argued.

Indeed, according to the Congressional Budget Office, a public option that reimburses providers at market rates would not lower premiums. In its analysis of the HELP committee bill the CBO concluded that “the public plan would pay providers of health care at rates comparable to privately negotiated rates—and thus was not projected to have premiums lower than those charged by private insurance plans in the exchanges.” As a result, that kind of public option does not “have a substantial effect on the cost or enrollment projections.”

Conversely, the House bill’s original public option “would be about 10 percent cheaper than a typical private plan offered in the exchanges,” the Congressional Budget Office concluded.

During a recent hearing before the Democratic Steering and Policy Committee Forum on Health Insurance Reform, Pelosi insisted that a robust public option would lower private premiums and hold insurers accountable. “[If reform does not include a public option], we will be passing the ‘Private Insurance Profit Perpetuation Act,’” Pelosi said. “We have no intention of doing that…We want the private sector to thrive — we don’t want our members to go into an exchange where they only have one choice, where there’s sole sourcing. But that the public option provides that competition.”

Update

Pelosi is now disputing this report:

Pelosi spokesman Nadeam Elshami emailed us late last night to assert that no final decisions have been made on the shape of the public option: “It is inaccurate for anyone to assert that the Speaker or the Leadership has determined the form of the public option. How we move forward on the public option will continue to be discussed by the Leadership and the Caucus, which will meet on Thursday.”

Politics

Insurance Industry Is Targeting Blue Dogs To Shape Health Reform In Its Favor

bluedogs

In a new cover story, BusinessWeek claims that the “health insurers have already won” the battle over health care reform. According to the magazine, their strategy has been to “quietly” focus on “shaping the views” of more conservative Democrats. Central to the health insurers’ strategy is to target the Blue Dog Coalition, which includes Rep. Jim Matheson (D-UT) and Rep. Mike Ross (D-AR):

Impressing fiscally conservative Democrats like Matheson, a leader of the House of Representatives’ Blue Dog Coalition, is at the heart of UnitedHealth’s strategy. It boils down to ensuring that whatever overhaul Congress passes this year will help rather than hurt huge insurance companies. [...]

Matheson, whose Blue Dogs command 52 votes in the House, can’t offer enough praise for UnitedHealth, the largest company of its kind. “The tried and true message of their advocacy,” he says, “is making sure the information they provide is accurate and considered.” [...]

Fifteen years after the insurance industry helped kill then-President Bill Clinton’s health-reform initiative, Ross is frustrating the Obama White House by opposing proposals for a government-run insurance concern that would compete with private-sector companies.

The article goes on to note that United Health’s massive lobbying operation, which has spent more than $3.4 million during the first half of 2009, has enlisted the help of a large array of Washington insiders. Its lobbying operation appears to be paying off:

The industry has already accomplished its main goal of at least curbing, and maybe blocking altogether, any new publicly administered insurance program that could grab market share from the corporations that dominate the business. UnitedHealth has distinguished itself by more deftly and aggressively feeding sophisticated pricing and actuarial data to information-starved congressional staff members. With its rivals, the carrier has also achieved a secondary aim of constraining the new benefits that will become available to tens of millions of people who are currently uninsured. That will make the new customers more lucrative to the industry.

As ThinkProgress has noted, the Blue Dog Coalition is awash in corporate cash. The health care industry was the top donor to Matheson’s 2008 campaign, giving him hundreds of thousands of dollars. The health industry was also the top donor to Ross, a former pharmaceutial executive whose negotiations recently forced the Energy and Commerce committee to weaken its health care bill.

Despite the health care industry’s intense lobbying effort on capitol hill, several polls show that the majority of the American people remain strongly in support of the choice of a public health insurance plan. As Matt Yglesias has noted, “So just keep in mind that when people talk about political obstacles to a robust public plan, they’re not talking about mass public opinion as an obstacle—they’re talking about the wealth and power of relatively narrow interests.”

Update

Congressman Ross bragged to reporters Wednesday morning about how the Blue Dogs weakened the public plan by “holding the [health care] bill hostage for ten days” in the Energy and Commerce committee.

Politics

Flashback: Obama Supported Barrow In Primary Because He Would Fight For ‘Access To Affordable Health Care’

Last Friday, the House Energy and Commerce Committee voted 31-28 to advance health care legislation. Five Democrats — Reps. John Barrow (D-GA), Charlie Melancon (D-LA), Bart Stupak (D-MI), Rick Boucher (D-VA), and Jim Matheson (D-UT) — joined Republicans in voting against the legislation, despite the inclusion of a number of concessions in the bill made to placate conservative Democrats.

Now, MoveOn is targeting Barrow and two other Blue Dog Democrats with a series of radio advertisements that will air in their districts starting Wednesday. Listen to the one directed at Rep. Barrow here:

President Obama, in a move that many progressives disagreed with, endorsed Barrow in his summer 2008 Democratic primary against progressive challenger Regina Thomas.

At the time, the Savannah Morning News noted that Barrow supported policies “such as the war in Iraq and President Bush’s tax cuts, which Obama and Thomas oppose.” Yet in a radio ad he cut in support of Barrow, Obama was insistent that Barrow would fight for his agenda:

OBAMA: He’s already standing up to the lobbyists and the Republicans who go right down the line with George Bush. Now we need him in Congress to help reduce gasoline prices, provide access to affordable health care for every American. … John’s not afraid to take a tough stand to do what’s right.

Listen here:

Not only has Barrow failed to provide support for health care reform, but he has also lined up with conservatives to oppose legislation pushing for a clean energy economy. In June, Barrow and other conservative Democrats succeeded in watering down climate change legislation that he ended up voting against anyway.

While it’s possible that Barrow is simply ideologically opposed to progressive legislation, he also has a financial incentive to continue to vote the way he does. A number of powerful corporate interests have invested in his campaigns. According to data from OpenSecrets, 60% of the PAC money recieved by Barrow during the 2008 election cycle was from business interests. Barrow has already collected $27,500 from the energy industry and $19,500 from the health care industry for his 2010 campaign, with generous contributions coming in from Exxon Mobil, Georgia Power, Merck & Co, and Monsanto.

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