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Stories tagged with “Credit Cards

Yglesias

Looming Credit Card Bust?

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The credit card industry’s business model is basically a disaster waiting to happen. If people pay their bills in a timely manner, the credit card companies don’t make much money. And if people default on their bills, they lose money. So the correct strategy is to try to get people to carry heavy month-to-month balances that charge usurious interest rates without ever quite tipping over the brink into default. So far, it’s worked out pretty well for them, but Eric Dash and Andrew Martin observe that the happy days may soon be over:

ut if unemployment breaches 10 percent, as many economists predict, the rate of uncollectible balances at some banks could far exceed that level. At American Express and Capital One Financial, around 20 percent of the credit card balances are expected to go bad over this year and next, according to stress test results. At Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase, about 23 percent of card loans are expected to sour.

Even the government’s grim projections may vastly understate the size of the banks’ credit card troubles. According to estimates by Oliver Wyman, a management consulting firm, card losses at the nation’s biggest banks could reach $141.5 billion by 2010 if the regulators’ loss rate was applied to their entire credit card business. It could top $186 billion for the entire credit card industry.

Fortunately for the credit card firms, federal regulators have made it pretty clear that forebearance and bailouts will allow them to slink away from bad loans without too much trouble. But whatever the opposite of “green shoots” is, this could be that.

Meanwhile, it strikes me as a bit of a problem for neoclassical economics that if market interactions worked the way they say they do, the entire credit card industry would barely exist. People would understand the true cost of failing to pay off their full monthly balances and would almost never do so. And credit card companies would compete with one another to offer consumers a better deal on lending terms rather than competing to get more-and-more clever about tricking people into taking out loans that ill-serve their interests.

Economy

Will Bailed Out Banks Prevent Credit Card Reform From Passing?

cardsii.jpgToday, President Barack Obama is meeting with executives from the credit card industry, in order to advocate “more legal protection for the millions of Americans who use credit cards.” As CBS reported, “the credit card issuers include the same big banks – Bank of America, Citicorp and JPMorgan Chase – that have gotten billions in bailout money meant to stimulate consumer lending.” Other participants reportedly include representatives from Capital One, Visa, and Mastercard.

This comes one day after the House Financial Services Committee approved legislation aimed at curbing abusive practices employed by credit card issuers:

The House measure would restrict card companies’ ability to raise rates on existing customers and ban certain controversial practices, such as applying payments to the portion of a borrower’s balance with the lowest interest rate. It would also bar issuers from charging interest on parts of the balance that were already paid on time, a practice known as double-cycle billing.

The committee vote was 48-19, with 9 Republicans joining all voting Democrats in supporting the measure. 19 Republicans voted against it. The bill (HR 627) will now move to the House floor, where it is expected to pass.

However, according to the New York Times, the proposal is “in jeopardy because of lobbying by banks and their trade groups, particularly in the Senate.” “Having won some early skirmishes by teaming with Republican allies, the banks now appear to have the upper hand and may wind up killing — or at least substantially diluting” the measure, the Times noted.

As Chris at Americablog wrote, “there’s no question more consumers could have been smarter about how they deal with easy credit, but the same could also be said about Wall Street, yet they received a fat bailout.” And as TARP watchdog Elizabeth Warren pointed out, bailed out banks hiking rates and fees amounts to “asking taxpayers to pay twice.”

Indeed, there’s plenty of blame to go around when it comes to the amount of debt Americans are carrying, but that doesn’t mean that curbing abuse is any less important. In fact, the Federal Reserve was planning to implement many of these reforms anyway, and one of the reasons that industry is so concerned by the House’s bill is that “it believes a law would be harder to overturn than a [Federal Reserve] regulation.” So if given the chance, will the Senate vote to protect consumers, or will it bend to the will of bailed out banks?

Update

Robert Reich has more on “the great credit card battle to come.”

Yglesias

Colleges And Credit Card Companies

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Via Kevin Carey, Jonathan Glazer exposes a really outrageous story for The New York Times about the covert relationships between colleges and credit card companies:

Bank of America’s relationship with the university extends well beyond marketing at sports events. The bank has an $8.4 million, seven-year contract with Michigan State giving it access to students’ names and addresses and use of the university’s logo. The more students who take the banks’ credit cards, the more money the university gets. Under certain circumstances, Michigan State even stands to receive more money if students carry a balance on these cards.

As you’ll see if you read the whole thing, Michigan State is far from the only school doing this. And it’s wildly inappropriate. Colleges and universities are supposed to be serving the interests of their students and the public and encouraging young people to take on credit card debt does neither. What’ll be next — university administrators forming joint partnerships with campus drug dealers? If they stick to pot, it might do less harm.

Economy

Will The Fed Learn Its Lesson From The Sub-Prime Crisis?

credit_cardsweb.jpgToday, Federal regulators moved ahead with a good plan designed to stop credit card companies from taking advantage of their clients. The Federal Reserve, in conjunction with Office of Thrift Supervision and National Credit Union Administration, have released a specific, seven-point proposal to tackle “unfair” and “deceptive” practices by businesses that issue credit cards.

According to the Center for American Progress, the new rules would prohibit companies from:

– Raising interest rates on debt that has already been charged

– Assessing late fees when consumers are not given a billing statement within a reasonable amount of time to make a payment

– Applying a payment to the balance with the lowest rate if different interest rates apply to different balances on the same card

– Charging fees to open an account and receive credit

This move by the federal agencies comes with little time to spare. Now that borrowing in the mortgage market has stagnated due to the subprime crisis, credit card debt has skyrocketed for Americans. Between April 2006 and December 2007, the rate of national credit card debt increased four times faster than during the previous business cycle.

Similar to mortgages, credit cards can carry subprime-like lending conditions, such as poorly-disclosed, hidden, or higher fees, heavy interest rate burdens, and complex terms. Also similar to mortgages, credit card debt is packaged and sold off to investors as securities — and the $915 billion held in these securities can come tumbling down just as easily as the $900 billion that were held in residential mortgages.

The administration missed the regulatory boat once. One in 194 American households received a foreclosure filing during the first three months of this year, up 23% from the last final three months of 2007. After two decades of deregulation, the subprime crisis has sparked a need to reassess the Federal government’s role in protecting Americans against the predatory and abusive lending practices exercised mortgage lenders that caused the crisis in the first place.

Today’s proposal shows that the federal regulators are doing the right thing. They have undertaken “one of the most aggressive efforts in decades to crack down on the credit card industry.” Hopefully live up to this unique opportunity to learn from their mistakes.

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