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GOP Senators Attack Obama, Praise Egyptian President In Statement On Gaza Ceasefire

(Photo: AP)

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Egyptian Prime Minister Mohamed Kamel Amr today announced a ceasefire between Hamas and Israel, ending eight days of violence that resulted in nearly 150 dead and more wounded. President Obama dispatched Clinton to the region yesterday and the nation’s top diplomat traveled to Jerusalem and Cairo today to help facilitate the deal.

But in a statement on the Gaza ceasefire today, Sens. John McCain (R-AZ), Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) — one day after intelligence officials debunked their attacks on the Obama administration over Benghazi — didn’t have any kind words for the president and his team. In fact, the new “Three Amigos” attacked Obama, saying there needs to be “smarter American leadership” in the Middle East.

Yet the three Republicans did have praise for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Egyptian President Muhammad Morsi:

We commend Prime Minister Netanyahu and other Israeli leaders for the role they played in reaching today’s ceasefire. We also are encouraged by the responsible leadership role played by the President of Egypt and his government. President Morsi deserves credit for successfully bringing an end to the violence and preventing further loss of life on both sides. These actions are befitting the commitment to peace and security that Egypt has traditionally upheld as a leader of the Arab world.

Indeed, Netanyahu, Morsi and others involved ending the hostilities deserve credit — but so does the Obama administration. And given their embarrassing campaign to bring down the Obama administration on Libya, it’s not entirely shocking that McCain and his allies don’t see it that way.

Update

Reporting that the ceasefire between Hamas and Israel continues to hold, the New York Times notes that the deal “was reached only through a final American diplomatic push: Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton conferred for hours with Mr. Morsi and the United Nations secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, at the presidential palace” in Cairo.

Update

Morsi’s top foreign policy aide praised Obama’s role in the negotiations. “Yes, they were carrying the point of view of the Israeli side, but they were understanding also the other side, the Palestinian side,” he said of President Obama’s role. “The sincerity and understanding was really very helpful.”

Security

Have Israel’s Ground Operations Achieved Strategic Goals?


Israel has, for the moment, postponed or decided against a ground incursion into Gaza pending international diplomatic efforts to reach a cease fire. While Israeli leaders deliberate, it’s worth reviewing the last thirty years of Israeli ground wars, in which Israel conducted roughly four* major ground operations, to see whether Israeli they accomplished their strategic ends. The evidence suggests the incursions were occasionally tactically successful, but generally did not succeed strategically and always carried a high body count.

Two caveats. First, this is an attempt to assess whether Israeli ground incursions were successful on their own strategic-military terms, and does not examine any questions about the rightness or morality of Israeli actions. Second, the casualty counts below represent estimates from the entire conflict in question, not the ground campaign specifically. Since ground operations were major parts of each of the conflicts in question, and separating what counts as a “ground” casualty is methodologically difficult, it is fair to employ the more general casualty count.

Read more

NEWS FLASH

UPDATED: Israel And Hamas Agree to Brokered Ceasefire | Reports are coming in that Israel and Hamas are prepared to accept a ceasefire negotiated between the two parties alongside the United States, United Nations, European Union, and Egypt. According to Reuters, the ceasefire would be officially announced at 1900 GMT and go into effect at 2200 GMT, or midnight in Israel. The ceasefire would come after a week of air strikes by Israeli forces against Hamas in the Gaza Strip, with rocket-fire into Israel increasing during that same period.

Update

CNN is reporting that the Israelis are denying that a ceasefire agreement has been reached, saying negotiations are still ongoing.

Update

AP reports: “Senior Hamas official says no cease-fire deal with Israel but agreement is close.”

Update

Israel’s Channel 2 is reporting that “an Israeli negotiations team has rejected a draft ceasefire, and that a press conference — ostensibly announcing the truce — that was initially scheduled to take place at 9 p.m. has been put off indefinitely.” Mark Perry sources a U.S. official as saying, “We think #Netanyahu will not say yes to a ceasefire until he talks with #Clinton–then he will move.”

Security

Israeli Journalist Says Status Quo ‘Plays Against Israeli Interest’

(Photo: AFP)

As Israel’s “Pillar of Cloud” offensive enters its sixth day, the Health Ministry in Gaza this morning reported a death toll of 91, with 700 wounded, including 200 children. On the Israeli side, three people have died.

Part of the credit for far lower Israeli casualties (in addition to fact that Hamas and other militant factions in Gaza are simply massively outgunned by Israel) has been given to the Iron Dome rocket defense system, the funding for which was provided by the United States under the Obama administration. Iron Dome has knocked down over 300 incoming rockets from Gaza since Israel launched its campaign — at a cost of around $60,000 a pop.

As I note today in a piece in Canada’s Globe and Mail, while it’s obviously a great thing to prevent rockets from raining down on Israeli towns and homes, technological marvels such as Iron Dome should not obscure the fact that real, long-term security for Israelis means obtaining real security for Palestinians, too, through a two-state accord in which both peoples’ national rights are recognized.

Moreover, the success of Iron Dome shouldn’t obscure the fact that, even if this latest war does manage to suppress rocket fire into Israel for a period of time, Israel does not seem to have any strategy beyond managing its conflict with the Palestinians through continued occupation, assassinations, and periodic offensives like the one taking place now.

Appearing yesterday on MSNBC, Israeli journalist Noam Sheizaf made this point:

SHEIZAF: I think that Israeli leadership with the great talent of Netanyahu is recognizing the fact that the equilibrium point from Israeli perspective is the status quo. Now, obviously, Israelis are concerned about the rockets, and it’s right now things are unbearable there. But ultimately, the status quo is the solution from the perspective of this government. And for the Palestinian, it’s a perpetual war.

HAYES: Right.

SHEIZAF: The Palestinian have their war every day of the week. So in the long term, this is a process that plays against Israeli interest. But there’s no incentive for the current political leadership to move from it, especially with the free hand it gets from the world and from the United States.

Watch it:

It’s axiomatic that sticking with the status quo is politically safer, especially when the stakes are so high. But as Sheizef says, no one is offering the Israeli people a better option, and this is where the United States and President Obama can play a constructive role by actively re-engaging in a peace process. No one’s suggesting this will be easy, and no, the current moment doesn’t seem to be particularly propitious for peace-making, but the alternative — simply continuing to try and manage a deteriorating status quo — will be disastrous for Israelis, Palestinians, and the United States.

NEWS FLASH

POLL: Israelis Overwhelmingly Support Gaza Operation But Against Ground Invasion | Haaretz released a new poll today finding that 84 perecent of Israelis supporting the Israeli military’s current Gaza operation. Only 12 percent of those who were surveyed did not support the operation, dubbed “Pillar of Defense.” Last week, a poll from Israel’s Channel 10 found that 91 percent supported Pillar of Defense with 75 percent backing a continued operation. However, a ground operation in Gaza strip is only supported by 30 percent of Israelis, according to today’s Haaretz poll.

Update

According to a CNN poll, “57% of Americans think Israel justified in Gaza operation and 59% say their sympathies are more with Israelis than Palestinians.”

NEWS FLASH

Rockets Reportedly Target Tel Aviv | At least two rockets have reportedly been launched from Gaza at Tel Aviv, one of Israel’s most populous cities, potentially marking an escalation in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Gaza militant groups. Though official reports suggest that the rockets landed outside the city, residents claim to have heard an explosion. The organization Islamic Jihad is claiming responsibility for the attack. To date, 15 Gazans and 3 Israelis have been killed in the violence.

Update

Another rocket has purportedly hit the Tel Aviv suburb Holon. No casualties or damage have been reported.

Update

Israeli spokesperson Ofir Gendelmen confirms that no rockets struck Tel Aviv proper.

NEWS FLASH

Senior Turkish Envoy Reportedly Seeks To Rebuild Bilateral Relations With Israel | A senior envoy for Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has been dispatched to Israel in an attempt to normalize ties between the two countries. Israel’s Channel 10 News, as reported by The Times of Israel, broke news that the envoy has been meeting with high-ranking officials including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Relations between Israel and Turkey deteriorated following the death of eight Turkish nationals and one American of Turkish origin after Israeli naval commandos raided the Turkish ship Mavi Marmara as it attempted to break Israel’s blockade of Gaza in 2010. Turkey had demanded an official apology from Israeli leadership, a request rebuffed by Netanyahu.

NEWS FLASH

Palestinian President: ‘Elections On May 4, God Willing’ | Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas set May 4, 2012 as the Palestinian election day. “We are planning to hold the elections on May 4, God willing,” Abbas said. The announcement comes after rival Palestinian factions — Hamas and Fatah, who hold sway over Gaza and the West Bank, respectively — held reconciliation talks last week in Egypt. The talks reportedly resulted scrapping the idea of an interim government before the May poll in order to avoid Israel cutting off funds to the PA. Hamas, an Islamist group that engages in terrorism against Israel, reportedly inched toward more mainstream and less rejectionist positions in the talks. A recent poll found that Palestinians increasingly object to armed resistance against Israeli occupation.

NEWS FLASH

Occupy Boston Occupies Israeli Consulate | Yesterday, a small group of activists from Occupy Boston took over and occupied the Israeli Consulate in the city briefly to support the cause of the flotilla activists sailing to Gaza. One of the activists took video of the action. Watch it:

NEWS FLASH

Israeli Navy Boards And Diverts Latest Activist Flotilla To Gaza | Israel Defense Forces (IDF) boarded two small ships filled with activists that set off on a surprise flotilla journey this week to break the blockade of the Gaza Strip, according to press releases from activists and the IDF. According to activists, the two boats carrying 27 people were surrounded by Israeli warships this morning. Later, the IDF said they’d boarded the ships to prevent them from getting ashore in Gaza, where some 1.5 million Palestinians live under a siege imposed by Israel with Egyptian help. The activists claim to be on a humanitarian mission while Israel says it must prevent arms shipments to Gaza. Here’s a video released by the IDF of commandos boarding one of the flotilla ships and apparently spraying its decks with a fire hose:

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