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Climate Progress

IEA: CO2 Rose 1.4% In 2012, Climate Catastrophe Looms, Delaying Action Until 2020 Costs World $3.5 TRILLION!

So the good news is that the International Energy Agency reports U.S. emissions dropped in 2012 “while total CO2 emissions growth in China was one of the lowest in the last decade.” China’s annual carbon pollution now exceeds our by 60%!

The IEA sums up the not so good news in this slide:

Yes we are headed toward up to 9°F warming if we keep listening to the do nothing and do little crowd. And that, according to Executive Director Maria van der Hoeven, has “potentially disastrous implications in terms of extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and the huge economic and social costs that these can bring.

Doing nothing to reduce carbon pollution this decade also has a staggering net cost of $3.5 trillion — assuming that post-2020 we then tried to get back on the 2 C (3.6 F) pathway, as the report explains:

Delaying stronger climate action to 2020 would come at a cost: $1.5 trillion in low-carbon investments are avoided before 2020 but $5 trillion in additional investments would be required thereafter to get back on track.

The cost of staying on the 2C path this decade is not costly. IEA Chief Economist Fatih Birol, who is the report’s lead author, said “We identify a set of proven measures that could stop the growth in global energy-related emissions by the end of this decade at no net economic cost.”
In this “4-for-2 C Scenario, global energy-related greenhouse-gas emissions are 8% (3.1 Gt CO2 equivalent) lower in 2020 than the level otherwise expected,” thanks to 4 key strategies
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NEWS FLASH

International Energy Agency: The Door Is Closing On Climate Security | “On planned policies, rising fossil energy use will lead to irreversible and potentially catastrophic climate change,” the International Energy Agency reported with the release of the 2011 World Energy Outlook. The IEA found global fossil fuel subsidies of more than $400 billion, half to oil. In contrast, global subsidies for renewable energy was $66 billion. “The door to 2°C is closing,” the IEA warns. The next five years essentially determine the future of civilization. “Without further action, by 2017 all CO2 emissions permitted in the 450 Scenario will be ‘locked-in’ by existing power plants, factories, buildings.” “Without a bold change of policy direction, the world will lock itself into an insecure, inefficient and high-carbon energy system.”

Yglesias

CO2 Emissions Back On The Rise

The global recession managed to reduce the trend level of world greenhouse gas emissions and buy us all a bit more time to ward off planetary doom. That’s not the good way to avoid climate catastrophe, but it’s something. Now, though, Brad Plumer’s got the International Energy Agency data that says the breathing room is gone and we’re back on trend:

This is developed world growth + no global agreement on emissions.

Update

I should have noted that this chart comes originally from Dana Nuccitelli at Skeptical Science.

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