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Health

Mitch Daniels Fear Mongers About Medicare’s ‘Implosion’ In State Of The Union Response

Gov. Mitch Daniels’ (R-IN) Republican response to the State of the Union address faulted President Obama for failing to admit the “grave” state of the nation and urged lawmakers to “trust Americans enough to tell them the plain truth about the fix we are in, and to lay before them a specific, credible program of change big enough to meet the emergency we are facing.” Daniels highlighted the sorry state of America’s safety-net programs — Medicare and Social Security — and warned that unless “we…save” these initiatives, “these proud programs” will “implode”:

“There is a second item on our national must-do list: we must unite to save the safety net. Medicare and Social Security have served us well, and that must continue. But after half and three quarters of a century respectively, it’s not surprising that they need some repairs. We can preserve them unchanged and untouched for those now in or near retirement, but we must fashion a new, affordable safety net so future Americans are protected, too. [...]

“The mortal enemies of Social Security and Medicare are those who, in contempt of the plain arithmetic, continue to mislead Americans that we should change nothing Listening to them much longer will mean that these proud programs implode, and take the American economy with them. It will mean that coming generations are denied the jobs they need in their youth and the protection they deserve in their later years.

Watch the speech:

The comments were meant to lay the groundwork for the GOP’s renewed push for Medicare privatization, a rebranded effort — hinted at last week by House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) — to cloak Rep. Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) “premium support” plans in bipartisan colors and tout more moderate initiatives that would add more legitimacy to the GOP approach. In reality, Daniels’ rhetoric about Medicare’s impending demise is greatly exaggerated.

As Maggie Mahar has points out, according to the program’s trustees, by 2024 Medicare’s Hospital Insurance (HI) won’t be exhausted, but rather “insolvent” — which simply means that dedicated revenues will not be sufficient to pay all of its bills. The hospital fund will meet 90 percent of its commitments and in the succeeding years that shortfall will slowly widen and then contract, so that in 2085, Medicare could pay out 88 percent of its obligations.

That’s hardly an implosion, but it also doesn’t mean that we can allow the program to grow at its current rate. Fortunately, the Affordable Care Act will reduce Medicare spending by $86.4 billion from previous projections and lower the average annual Medicare spending growth by 1.4 percentage points between 2012 and 2019. “By 2019, it is projected to grow 7.7 percent—0.9 percentage point more slowly than we projected in February 2010,” a Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) report has concluded.

In fact, far from misleading Americans that “we should change nothing,” Obama has proposed to accelerating those savings by expanding the authority of the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB) — a 15-member commission that would make recommendations for lowering Medicare spending to Congress if costs increase beyond a certain point — and finding more savings in the Medicare program.

Republicans, however, reject these measures or other reforms that would actually slow Medicare’s growth rate. After all, the success of any of these changes would undermine the political argument for privatization.

Climate Progress

GOP Conspires With Foreign Oil Company TransCanada On Behalf Of Its Keystone XL Pipeline

Congressional Republicans are now openly acting as advocates for foreign oil interests, colluding with TransCanada lobbyists to push their tar sands agenda. House and Senate staff for Rep. Lee Terry (R-NE) and GOP Sens. John Hoeven (ND), Dick Lugar (IN), Lisa Murkowski (AK), and others gathered Monday afternoon for a conference call with TransCanada lawyers “to plot out how to push the Obama administration on the Keystone XL pipeline,” Politico reports:

“More or less everyone walked out of the room on the same page backing” a bill from Rep. Lee Terry to give FERC authority over the project instead of the White House and State Department, a Terry spokesman told Politico.

Terry’s bill has been called “bizarre” — the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission “does not oversee oil pipelines’ siting decisions or safety standards.” Furthermore, Terry risks the ire of Nebraskans, who have led opposition to the tar sands pipeline.

Today, Rep. Ted Poe (R-TX) is introducing the Keystone for a Secure Tomorrow Act of 2012 to immediately approve the pipeline.

Gov. Mitch Daniels (R-IN) is expected to “mention the need to approve the Keystone pipeline when he gives the Republican response” to President Obama’s State of the Union address tonight.

Economy

Daniels Breaks With GOP Presidential Field, Says He Wouldn’t Reject 10 To 1 Spending Cut To Revenue Deal

During a Republican presidential primary debate back in August, all of the candidates on stage raised their hand to indicate that they would reject a budget deal that included 10 dollars in spending cuts for every dollar in new government revenue. According to Republican Gov. Mitch Daniels (IN) — who was courted to run for the GOP presidential nomination — if he had been on that stage, he would have been the only one to give a 10 to 1 budget deal a longer look:

DANIELS: I thought it was the single best question anybody’s asked so far. Perfectly fair question. I would not have raised my hand. Now, I would have instantly been called on to explain that. You know, there’s no penalty for piling on in these things. So I’m sure that would have happened, but here’s what I would have said. I wish somebody would have said this.

I would have said, not that I’ll take the deal but tell me more. [...] If somebody’s got an approach that generates greater revenues, there’s a reasonable chance that it encourages private-sector growth — and I think that’s possible — I think it’s a mistake to close the door.

Watch it:

Daniels has — relative to today’s GOP — tended towards some level of tax sanity, telling Newsweek, “at some stage there could well be a tax increase. They say we can’t have grown-up conversations anymore. I think we can.”

But he hasn’t completely isolated himself from some of the extreme views of his party’s presidential contenders. For instance, in his newly-released book, he largely agrees with Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) that Social Security is a Ponzi scheme (though he has since tried to walk that back, telling National Public Radio that he won’t use the term again).

Economy

Mitch Daniels Disavows Own Book, Admits Social Security Is Not A Ponzi Scheme

Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) — like House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) — walked back his endorsement of Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s (R) charge that Social Security is a “Ponzi scheme” today, telling NPR that he won’t use the term again. While many Republicans have been uncomfortable or outright hostile to Perry’s hyperbolic and false characterization of the popular federal program, Daniels lent it support last week, saying the only problem was that Perry was “too frank.”

But when NPR host Diane Rehm challenged Daniels on the claim his morning, the popular governor relented, acknowledging that the characterization was “trite” and perhaps “too casual”:

REHM: But you agreed with [Perry]. You called it a “Ponzi scheme” as well.

DANIELS: Well, I said that’s a place to start. But again, people of every persuasion have used that — maybe it’s too casual an allusion. [...]

REHM: To use that word signals that it is fraudulent and it’s not fraudulent.

DANIELS: Well, you know, I’ll be careful not use it again.

Listen here:

Social Security is not a Ponzi Scheme by any stretch of the imagination — PolitiFact rated the claim “false” — and it’s positive to see Daniels acknowledge such and say he won’t use the term again.

But that commitment makes Daniels’ newly published book, which is why we went on Rehm’s show in the first place, already out of date. In it, “he doesn’t say the exact words ‘Ponzi scheme,’ but only because he’s more verbose than that,” Politico reported. “This whole setup is enough to give Mr. Ponzi a bad name — or a legitimate job,” Daniels wrote in the book.

Daniels joins House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI), who also recently flip-flopped on whether Social Security is a “ponzi scheme,” saying, “It’s not the word I would choose to describe” the program.

Economy

Despite Record Number Of Millionaires, Daniels Claims ‘There Are A Lot Fewer’ Under Obama

Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), who was once courted to run for president, attacked President Obama’s plan to raise taxes on millionaires, telling Fox News host Greta Van Susteren last night that Obama’s policies have already created “a lot fewer” wealthy people:

DANIELS: You know, the president keeps ranting on and on about these, you know, millionaires he dislikes so much. By the way, he ought to feel pretty good. There are a lot fewer of them than there were when he became president. Just look at the statistics.

Watch it:

Daniels’ claim plays into the GOP’s new “class warfare” talking point, but if one actually “look[s] at the statistics,” one has to wonder if Daniels thinks it’s opposite day. As the Wall Street Journal reported in late June, there are actually a record number of millionaires now, two and half years into the Obama administration:

According to the annual World Wealth Report from Merill Lynch and Capgemini, the U.S. had 3.1 million millionaires in 2010, up from 2.86 million in 2009. The latest figure tops the pre-crisis peak of three million.[...]

The wealth held by these millionaires also hit a record. North American millionaires had a combined wealth of $11.6 trillion, up from $10.7 trillion in 2009.

According to a different group’s measurement of millionaires, the number of millionaires grew 16 percent in 2009, Obama’s first year in office, and another 8 percent in 2010.

In fact, the growth in the number and wealth of millionaires over the past two years exposes the fallacy of Daniels’ argument — these people don’t need any more help. The growth of the wealthy, and especially the super-wealthy, while the middle- and working-class have seen wages stagnate or drop shows the “two-speed recovery,” which has been good for millionaires but bad for everyone else.

Economy

Mitch Daniels Endorses Perry’s View Of Social Security: Calling It A Ponzi Scheme Is ‘Too Frank,’ But Not Wrong

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) and Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) have sparred recently over their slightly differing views regarding the future of Social Security, with Perry denouncing the program as an unconstitutional “Ponzi scheme” and Romney hitting back from Perry’s left, ignoring not just his own support for privatizing the program but also his refusal to consider the easiest way to make it viable for the next three-quarters of a century.

This weekend, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), once considered a potential front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, weighed in on the growing controversy that has engulfed the race. After urging the party’s candidates to be more honest with voters about the country’s future, however, Daniels said the only problem with Perry’s position on Social Security was that it was “too frank,” and his failure to explain it was unnecessarily scary, the New York Times reports:

“I don’t think any of this is very helpful,” Mr. Daniels said. “If there’s a problem with ‘Ponzi scheme,’ it is that it’s too frank, not that it’s wrong. But by stopping there, he might be unnecessarily scaring people.”

Republicans have had a hard time with Perry’s characterization of Social Security, as Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) refused to say whether he agreed when he endorsed Perry and Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) saying that Perry really meant he wanted to “preserve this valuable safety net program.” But as Matt Yglesias notes, the answer is simple: Social Security is simply not a Ponzi scheme.

Daniels is right on one count: the Republican presidential candidates aren’t being honest with the American people about the future of Social Security. Unfortunately, neither is he. Social Security can pay out full benefits until 2037, and raising the payroll tax cap and allowing income over $106,800 to be taxed for Social Security purposes would make it solvent for the next 75 years.

Climate Progress

Mitch Daniels Rebuked For Calling Storm Disaster A ‘Fluke’

Last Saturday, a 70-mile-hour wind gust ahead of a band of thunderstorms toppled a stage at the Indiana State Fair, killing five and injuring dozens of others. Gov. Mitch Daniels (R-IN) called the disaster a “fluke event“:

This is the finest event of its kind in America, this is the finest one we’ve ever had, and this desperately sad, as-far-as-I-can-tell fluke event doesn’t change that.

Meteorologists responded angrily to Daniels, pointing out that the warning signs were clear to experts, and Daniels should have admitted that greater precautions could have saved lives. Tim Ballisty, a Weather Channel meteorologist attacked Daniels for implying weather is “some magical mystery science”:

Let’s stop bucketing meteorology and weather in general into some magical mystery science that can’t be explained. When a tragic accident due to existing extreme weather conditions occurs, there is a notion to just throw your hands up in the air and say, “well, nothing could have been done to avoid this” or “nobody could have seen this coming” or “it was just a damn fluke”. In many instances, that just simply is not the case and it wasn’t the case in the tragedy at the Indiana State Fairgrounds. Powerful, damaging winds were a known threat several days before and during the minutes leading up to the stage collapse. . .

If a known hazard – wind gusts in excess of 60 mph – is approaching, how is the destruction it causes a fluke?

“As seen in the radar images the gust front was a huge threat that to an untrained eye and on a composite radar on your phone is not detectable,” writes meteorologist Brad Panovich:

“What happened here was that either communications broke down or the threat was greatly misunderstood by the officials at the Fair Grounds,” Panovich said. “These storms did not just pop-up or pulse right over the fair grounds which would indeed have been a fluke. There was plenty of warning, if you you knew or wanted to know what was going to happen.”

Politicians try to paint incidents as accidents when they want to avoid questions of responsibility and thus action. But we understand what drives climate and weather sufficiently now that we must acknowledge the consequences of our inaction in the face of threats such as extreme weather.

Yglesias

Mitch Daniels vs American Sign Language

I don’t have a dog in this fight, but it’s always interesting to read about a new issue:

Here, the clash began this spring, when Gov. Mitch Daniels, a Republican, filled four empty slots on the board of the Indiana School for the Deaf, which was founded more than 165 years ago and promotes what it calls a bilingual, bicultural philosophy that includes American Sign Language and English. Some 340 students go to the school, which provides outreach services to hundreds of others.

Parents complained that three of the appointees were not themselves deaf. Two of the new board members (both of whom have a deaf or hard-of-hearing child) drew particular anger because families said they were dues-paying members of Hear Indiana and were perceived to favor an educational approach of amplifying sound and encouraging speech over sign language.

The appointments, they said, signaled that the state was now picking sides — against American Sign Language and deaf culture.

I know that hear in DC we’ve had a version of this controversy around Gallaudet University. In essence, technological methods of helping people to hear are improving and that’s tending to undercut the bases of support for traditional deaf language and culture. It’s not clear that Daniels actually intended to stumble into this contentious issue or was just looking for ways to slash spending and thought a 13 percent cut to the School for the Deaf’s budget sounded smart as a fiscal matter.

Economy

Gov. Daniels Brags About Surplus That His State Auditor Admits Was ‘Built On The Backs Of State Employees’

Mitch Daniels may be proud of its surplus, but it came from deep sacrifices from state workers.

As many states continue to grapple with budget crises that arose as a result of the recession, Indiana appears to stand out from the crowd. The state announced yesterday that it “closed out the budget year that ended June 30 with a surplus of about $1.2 billion.”

While this may seem like a laudable achievement, when you look at how the state reached this number, the surplus is much less impressive. Yesterday, state Auditor Tim Berry admitted that a major reason Indiana has such a large surplus is because it was “built on the backs of state employees,” who had to take on longer workloads and reduced compensation. Referring to these employees, Gov. Mitch Daniels (R-IN) praised them for their “terrific job of cost control“:

State Auditor Tim Berry called the state workers who bore most of those budget cuts via greater workloads, “heroes.” “The surplus was built on the backs of state employees,” said Berry, after he thanked them for tightening their belts. [...] “More money in Hoosiers’ incomes and a terrific job of cost control by state employees working together combined to produce an even stronger result than we expected at budget time,” Daniels said in a statement Thursday. He planned a Friday morning press conference to discuss the budget.

Indeed, Indiana achieved its surplus only by taking the most regressive of measures, not by asking for any sacrifice by some of its wealthiest citizens. In addition to sacrifices made by the state’s public workers, the state’s Department of Child Services took a $104 million budget cut last year, and the state’s K-12 education system lost $491 million over the last two fiscal years.

While balancing the state’s budget is actually required by law in Indiana, having such a surplus is no great accomplishmnent if it was done in a way that harmed the state’s economy and hurt the wages, benefits, and conditions of hard-working middle class Indianans while leaving the wealthiest untouched.

Yglesias

Public Mostly Blame George W Bush For The Economy, Bailing Obama Out Politically

One gripe I hear fairly often around DC is the idea that President Obama has failed to do an adequate job of reminding the public about the disastrous legacy of the George W Bush administration. The latest NBC/WSJ poll showing resilience of Obama’s political standing in the face of a bleak national mood suggests that this isn’t really the case and the public still puts lots of blame on Bush:

A third reason is that the American public isn’t blaming Obama for the current economy, with more than six in 10 respondents still saying he inherited the country’s economic problems from his Oval Office predecessor. Also, while a combined 47 percent believe George W. Bush and his administration are “solely responsible” or “mainly responsible” for the current economy, just 34 percent in the poll say the same of Obama and his administration

But that doesn’t mean the public is satisfied with the president’s economic performance. Just 41 percent approve of his handling of the economy, versus 50 percent who approve of his handling of foreign policy and 54 percent who approve of his handling of the war in Afghanistan..

This, incidentally, is why I think the conservative intellectuals who spent much of this year pining for Mitch Daniels were making a huge mistake. Running against the Bush legacy is clearly a winning strategy at a time when Obama can’t credibly claim to have delivered mass prosperity. Being able to literally run against a Bush administration senior economic policymaker would make that strategy much more viable than if Obama has to run against without direct ties.

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