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Alyssa

How Pop Culture Changed The 2012 Election

It’s been four years since John McCain tried to tarnish President Obama by suggesting that the candidate was a celebrity–as if all famous politicians aren’t–rather than a man of substance. The tactic didn’t work. If anything, the first Obama term in office was evidence that we were ready for a president who was a celebrity, whose wife’s fashion choices were scrutinized and imitated, whose pop culture tastes made headlines and drove viewership, and whose administration became the subject of pop culture itself, from Leslie Knope’s Joe Biden obsession on Parks and Recreation, to Comedy Central’s sketch show Key & Peele, which built its audience in part on the strength of Jordan Peele’s Obama impersonation and its Anger Translator sketch. And now that the 2012 election is over, it’s clear that the dynamic worked in the opposite direction. Campaigners on both sides used these three entertainment industry tactics during the election. And I’d predict that we see more of them in the future:

1. Campaign movies: In 2008, the Obama campaign aired a thirty-minute primetime special in support of his candidacy. This election featured movies even more prominently. There was the so-called “King of Bain” documentary, When Mitt Romney Came To Town, which was produced and distributed by a Super PAC supporting Newt Gingrich’s candidacy:

In the general election, 2016: Obama’s America, a so-called documentary by conservative pundit Dinesh D’Souza about Obama’s supposed radicalism, made $33 million at the domestic box office. Dreams From My Real Father, a hilariously paranoid attempt to prove that President Obama’s real father was a Communist and deeply terrible beat poet named Frank Marshall Davis who purportedly seduced Stanley Ann Dunham, was mailed to voters in swing states.

Mainstream movies that tried to capture the spirit of the campaign had more mixed success. Butter, an attempt to satirize both Midwestern butter-carving, and Michele Bachmann, ended up doing only $73,000 in domestic box office in a very limited run: condescension and Bachmann’s fading political star proved not to be a winning combination. Jay Roach’s The Campaign, the Will Ferrell-Zach Galifianakis vehicle about a suddenly-competitive House race, did better, taking in $86 million. The combination of Ferrell’s star power and a more generalized indictment of political dishonesty was probably always going to be a more potent bipartisan draw. In the future, I wouldn’t be surprised to see mainstream movie studios starting to produce or acquire documentaries about the candidates themselves. 2016 is the kind of thing that might be an embarrassment, but it demonstrated that there’s real money out there in catering to politically-engaged audiences for the studio that wants to reach out and grab it.
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Politics

Grover Norquist: Obama Won By Calling Romney ‘A Poopy Head’

Appearing this morning on CBS, anti-tax crusader Grover Norquist said Obama won reelection because he called Romney “a poopy head.” Watch:

Setting aside alleged scatological name-calling, the election was an overwhelming rejection of the the political philosophy advocated by Norquist and his allies. 24 Republican Senate incumbents and candidates signed Norquist’s anti-tax pledge and lost. Linda McMahon (R-CT), Senator Scott Brown (R-MA), Treasurer Josh Mandel (R-OH), Secretary of State Charles Summers (R-ME), former Gov. Tommy Thompson (R-WI), considered top-tier candidates, were attacked by their Democrats opponents in face-to-face debates for signing Norquist’s pledge. They all lost.

55 Republican House incumbents or candidates who signed Norquist’s pledge also lost.

Politics

Rove Accuses Obama Campaign Of ‘Suppressing The Vote’

Karl Rove insisted that Barack Obama won re-election by “suppressing the vote,” during an appearance on Fox News Thursday, even though the president secured more popular and electoral votes than challenger Mitt Romney and grew his margins within certain voting blocs.

Rove — whose American Crossroads organizations spent $300 million in a mostly unsuccessful effort to defeat Democrats — attempted to diminish Obama’s victory by explaining that the president won less popular votes in 2012 than in 2008, and only “got more votes…among Latinos.” He complained that Obama characterized Romney, a former Bain executive, as “a rich guy who cares about himself” — a message voters largely embraced:

ROVE: I think the Republicans lost in this election because of two things. One is that the Obama campaign was very effective in keeping roughly 92 percent of the people who voted for President Obama before to vote for him again. But they didn’t do a good job of growing the electorate…The Democrats, the the only group that they got more votes this time around than they got four years ago were among Latinos. About 700,000 more Latinos voted Democratic this year than the year before. But the president succeed by suppressing the vote, by saying to people, ‘you may not like who I am and I know you can’t bring yourself to vote for me, but I’m going to paint this other guy as simply a rich guy who only cares about himself.’

Watch it:

In reality, both Romney and Obama’s 2008 challenger Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) failed to grow the electorate and both won approximately 58 million popular votes, all while election officials in swing states tried to institute voter ID laws and keep minority voters from coming out to the polls.

Economy

Republicans Claim Obama Won Re-election Because Blacks And Hispanics Wanted More Handouts

When they’re not expressing shock over the growing participation of women, Hispanics and African American voters in the election, Republicans are reacting to President Obama’s victory by acknowledging the party’s shortcomings in appealing to non-white voters. Some members of the GOP, like former Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, are even suggesting that the party should cut a deal with Democrats and pass comprehensive immigration reform to win votes from the growing Latino population.

But in acknowledging the nation’s changing demographics, Republicans and conservative pundits are also advancing a new pernicious narrative: America has permanently shifted from a white male-dominated electorate, to a new crop of minority voters who support Democrats because they are dependent upon government:

– BILL O’REILLY: “The white establishment is now the minority. And the voters, many of them, feel that the economic system is stacked against them and they want stuff. You are going to see a tremendous Hispanic vote for President Obama. Overwhelming black vote for President Obama. And women will probably break President Obama’s way. People feel that they are entitled to things and which candidate, between the two, is going to give them things?” [Fox News, 11/6/2012]

– RUSH LIMBAUGH: “It’s just very difficult to beat Santa Claus. It is practically impossible to beat Santa Claus. People are not going to vote against Santa Clause especially if the alternative is being your own Santa Claus. [The Rush Limbaugh Show, 11/7/2012]

– SEAN HANNITY: “One other thing that we need to come to terms with as a result of last night. What appears to have happened is that the liberal welfare state in this country has now grown. More and more Americans have become dependent on that welfare state. As they have, they have found themselves siding with the party of government.” [Fox News, 11/7/2012]

– STUART VARNEY: “With Obama’s victory, the takers have taken over. The makers are clearly in the minority.” [Fox Business, 11/7/2012]

Conservatives are doubling down on Romney’s claim that 47 percent of Americans refuse to take “personal responsibility and care for their lives” — though the argument is highly misleading. In fact, to the extent that Americans are growing dependent upon government, Republican voters are raking in a greater share of the benefits.

The recession has pushed more lower-income Americans to rely on government assistance like food stamps, but “nearly 70 percent of all benefits of these programs go to white people.” Data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture found that the overwhelming majority “of counties with the fastest-growth in food-stamp aid during the last four years voted for the Republican presidential candidate in 2008.” These included Republican strongholds like King County, Texas, where 96 percent of voters supported Romney.

More than 90 percent of the population has turned to government programs at one point or another, ranging from Social Security pay outs to government grants or contracts — including the traditional Republican block of higher-income voters. Top earners disproportionately benefit from the a plethora of government tax breaks that deplete the government of revenue in the same way that access benefits do. According to a study from the Tax Policy Center, the top 1 percent of income earners, those who take home in excess of $400,000 a year, account for almost a quarter all tax breaks, saving more than $250 billion a year in taxes. Meanwhile, the bottom 60 percent of wage earners take in just over 20 percent of annual tax breaks, or approximately $217 billion in breaks each year. Exit polls show that Americans earning an income of $250,000 or more (around the top 2 percent of earners) “voted for Romney approximately 1.5:1.”

Security

Poll: Jewish-American Voters Overwhelmingly Support President Obama

Seventy percent of Jewish-American voters supported President Obama last night. That’s according to a poll published today by “pro-Israel, pro-peace” group J Street. The poll, administered by Jim Gerstein, a veteran pollster of Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies, also found that Jewish-American voters overwhelmingly supported Obama on Iran: 58 percent sided with the President on this issue as opposed to 26 percent with Mitt Romney. Furthermore, 53 percent of Jewish-American voters supported Obama’s on Israel; as opposed to Romney’s 31 percent. The poll results indicate that the millions spent on ads in swing states like Florida that attacked the Obama administration for his handling of Israel and Iran failed to make a difference.

Indeed, according to Gerstein, Obama’s numbers among Jewish-American voters are in line with the “average received by Democratic candidates since exit polling began in 1972.” Gerstein himself added that the poll results make the point clear: Jewish-American voters “won’t be swayed by the latest campaign or attack.” In fact, 78 percent of Jewish-American voters who saw ads that “criticized President Obama for his positions or actions toward Israel” were either “more likely to support” the President or said that the ads “made no difference” in who they were going to vote for. Only 23 percent of Jewish-Americans said the ads made them “more likely to support Mitt Romney.”

When it came to attacks, the Romney campaign tried all angles. Romney famously went after the president for having “thrown allies like Israel under the bus.” He added to his criticism at the foreign policy debate in October, where he said there was “turmoil with Israel.” Romney’s running mate Paul Ryan jumped on the issue as well, at one point describing President Obama’s treatment of Israel as “indifference bordering on contempt.” In September, Romney backer and wealthy casino mogul Sheldon Adelson started spending, according to the New York Times, “$6.5 million on an air-and-ground strategy to reach Jewish voters who may view Mr. Obama as unreliable on the question of Israel’s security.” The same September Times article found that Florida was “where the largest share of the $6.5 million is being spent.” But it seems Adelson’s money had little impact; in Florida, President Obama beat Mitt Romney on the issue of Israel by 32 percentage points and on the issue of Iran by 27 percentage points.

In the end, it wasn’t just the issue of Israel that turned Jewish-American voters against Mitt Romney and toward President Obama. On economic issues like Medicare and Social Security, the president held comfortable double-digit leads; similarly, in swing states like Florida, the president achieved a significant amount of support from Jewish-American voters on economic and foreign policy related issues.

According to Gerstein, “only 10 percent cited Israel as one of its
two most important issues.” In a press release on the results, Gerstein adds that “notably, the least important issue for Jewish voters was Iran (2 percent).”

Health

The Top Ten Issues At Stake For Women In Today’s Election

Throughout this campaign season, “women’s votes” have become hotly contested as both candidates have vied for support from the female half of the country’s population. As President Obama pointed out in the second presidential debate, policies to ensure affordable access to contraception and close the wage gap are not just women’s issues, but actually family issues and middle-class issues. Nevertheless, some of the presidential candidates’ proposed policies do have an outsized impact on women, and the outcome of today’s election will determine the future of these ten issues:

1) Health care costs. Women tend to have higher medical expenses than men do, and insurers often practice “gender rating” to charge women more than men for the exact same health services. Forty three percent of women report that high costs have led them to skip some of the health care services they need. Under Obamacare, gender rating will be illegal and a wide range of important preventative health services for women — such as contraceptive services, cancer screenings, STI testing and counseling, and annual check-ups — will be covered at no additional cost. Issues of gender-based discrepancies in health care costs could reemerge, however, if the health reform law is repealed.

2) Pay equity. The average woman in the United States still makes just 77 cents for every dollar earned by a man, a wage gap that emerges in the very first year of full-time work after college. President Obama signed the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act in 2009 to empower women to challenge wage discrimination — but Romney has declined to clarify whether or not he supports that legislation. Romney has also dodged questions about his stance on the Paycheck Fairness Act, which would close additional loopholes in existing pay equity laws.

3) The Supreme Court. Since four of the nine current justices are over the age of 74, the winner of this election could have the chance to appoint several new members. Romney has said he would appoint judges to overturn Roe v. Wade and revoke women’s legal access to abortion, and his appointments could also chip away at women’s rights in other areas. Justice Antonin Scalia does not believe that the Constitution guarantees protection from gender discrimination, and Justices John Roberts and Samuel Alito have suggested they may share that view — so the Supreme Court could be just one vote away from ruling against women who bring forth gender-based discrimination cases.

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Politics

The ThinkProgress Election Day Live Blog

LATEST UPDATE
6:31 pm

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ThinkProgress has switched over to our Election Night liveblog. Follow along here.

5:43 pm

Half of voters more likely to blame Bush for state of the economy

From the exit polls via the AP: “About half of voters say the previous president, George W. Bush, shoulders more of the blame for economic challenges than President Barack Obama.”

5:38 pm

Exit polls on the economy


5:09 pm

Romney claims he's only written one speech for tonight

4:55 pm

High turnout reported in Cleveland


Read the full live blog

LGBT

President Obama Responds To Bullied 10-Year-Old With Two Dads

Ten-year-old Sophia Bailey Klugh recently wrote a letter to President Obama thanking him for supporting marriage equality, because she knows first-hand how much her two dads love each other. But she also told the President that her friends at school think it’s “gross and weird” and asked him, “If you were me and you had two dads that love each other and kids at school teased you about it, what would you do?”

Well, this past week, Obama replied to Sophia and addressed her question:

In America, no two families look the same. We celebrate this diversity. And we recognize that whether you have two dads or one mom what matters above all is the love we show one another. You are very fortunate to have two parents who care deeply for you. They are lucky to have such an exceptional daughter in you.

Our differences unite us. You and I are blessed to live in a country where we are born equal no matter what we look like on the outside, where we grow up, or who our parents are. A good rule is to treat others the way you hope they will treat you. Remind your friends at school about this rule if they say something that hurts your feelings.

Obama’s letter is a simple reminder of the differences between him and Mitt Romney. Rather than embrace all families after Massachusetts granted the freedom to marry, Romney was oblivious to their existence and prevented same-sex couples from receiving appropriate birth certificates for their children. He opposes marriage equality and would prevent couples like Sophia’s dad from getting married, depriving her of the proper family security she deserves.

Economy

Wall Street Employees Think Banker Pay Would Increase Under Romney

Wall Street pay this year is expected to increase by up to 10 percent over 2011, according to the latest surveys. And Wall Street financiers think that number Mitt Romney would be even better for their compensation, as Bloomberg News reported:

A win by Mitt Romney in tomorrow’s U.S. presidential election is more likely to boost Wall Street compensation than if voters re-elect President Barack Obama, according to a survey conducted by eFinancialCareers.

The poll of 911 financial-market professionals found 57 percent expect the election to change compensation, while 32 percent said it won’t and 11 percent said they didn’t know, eFinancialCareers said in a statement.

Of those who expect the election to influence pay, 72 percent view a victory by Romney, a Republican, as having a “positive” effect on compensation, the survey found. Re- electing Obama, a Democrat, was viewed as positive for compensation by 18 percent and negative by 71 percent, the survey found.

Romney has vowed to repeal the Dodd-Frank financial reform law, which includes measures aimed at reining in the bad pay incentives on Wall Street. It allows the Federal Reserve to veto pay packages that encourage risk that could lead to a new round of bank bailouts. It also allows for shareholder votes on pay packages; the first negative vote was handed to former Citigroup CEO Vikram Pandit.

High pay on Wall Street has exacerbated income inequality over the last several decades, and while bankers brought in higher and higher paychecks, they took on more and more risk, eventually culminating in a financial crisis. Now, even some Wall Street executives are pushing back against outsized pay packages. Morgan Stanley CEO acknowledged last month that Wall Street pay is “way too high.”

Climate Progress

How Do Obama And Romney Stack Up On Science Policy?

by Sean Pool

Economic growth is front and center in this presidential election, but the two candidates haven’t spent much time talking about two of the most important drivers of the economy: science and technology. Science is not only at the root of our increasing prosperity but it is also the best tool we have to understand our own health, our planet, and our future.

Both President Barack Obama and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney have paid lip service to supporting science and technology. But as this fact sheet makes clear, President Obama, who has been endorsed by 68 Nobel prize-winning scientists, space leaders, and high technology executives, offers an impressive science policy record and vision for the future, while Gov. Romney’s shifting positions are all talk.

Investing in science

Public investments in science and technology pay themselves back in the form of greater economic growth, new businesses, new industry, new jobs, and ultimately new tax revenue. About half of every dollar of economic output we enjoy today can be traced back to past investments in science and technology, according to Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Solow. And in the 21st century global innovation economy, discovery, invention, and innovation will only become more crucial to our long-term growth and competitiveness.

Talk: Gov. Romney said “research is great,” but his budget plan would invest only 75 cents in nondefense research and development for every dollar the president has proposed.

Action: President Obama proposed a budget to double research budgets of three key science agencies (the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy’s Office of Science, and the National Institute of Standards and Technology) and increase nondefense research and development overall by 5 percent. And despite the intransigence of the Republican House majority, he has secured some increases in these key budgets. The president also understands that we need investments in “research and technology that are key to a 21st century economy.”

Biomedical and stem cell research

Science investments aren’t just keys to growth and competitiveness—they also help us discover and develop new cures to disease.

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