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Iran’s Currency Loses Value After Failure To Get Nuclear Deal In Moscow

A currency trader displaying money in Tehran in 2012

The latest round of talks between the West and Iran over the latter’s nuclear program ended with no breakthroughs and no collapse of the process. But the continuing process doesn’t mean Iran escapes scott free from the failure to negotiate a deal.

Sanctions imposed on Iran well before the latest round of talks began are set to kick in, and they’re already having an effect even before they do. The Wall Street Journal reported today:

Iran’s rial lost value against the dollar and gold on Wednesday on the news of the failed talks and anticipation of U.S. sanctions on firms doing business with Iran’s central bank beginning June 28 and a European embargo on Iran’s oil exports set to take effect July 1. Iran, struggling with a growing budget deficit, is offering price reductions for its oil to retain customers.

On a recent road trip through Iran, New York Times columnist Nick Kristof also noted that sanctions are taking a bite out of the U.S. economy. “To be blunt,” he wrote on Sunday, “sanctions are succeeding as intended: They are inflicting prodigious economic pain on Iranians and are generating discontent.” Kristof talked with factory owners who can’t get mechanical equipment because of the sanctions, and shoe sellers whose sales fell by two-thirds. Noting that “sanctions are hurting ordinary Iranians more than senior officials” yet not seeing other paths for pressure, Kristof also added:

Western sanctions have succeeded in another way: Most blame for economic distress is directed at Iran’s own leaders, and discontent appears to be growing with the entire political system.

In another story reported from Iran, the New Yorker’s Laura Secor observed, despite her assignment to cover the elections, how sanctions are compounding pre-existing economic problems there. She noted the economic distress and the great pains the Iranian government goes to in order to paper over the problems because either they take the blame for mismanaging the economy, or they have to admit that Western powers’ pressure campaign is having an effect. Secor summed up the economic situation:

In the twelve months preceding my visit, Iran’s currency had lost half its value. … The day before the election, Tehran residents were complaining about the price of chicken, which had just leaped to forty-five thousand rials, or four dollars, per kilo—triple the 2008 price. In the past year, the cost of rice had jumped twenty-eight per cent, and vegetables a staggering hundred and forty-six per cent. Even when you wanted to talk to Iranians about politics, they turned the topic back to inflation.

In perhaps the best sign that sanctions are compounding Iran’s economic woes, the Iranian authorities, who interrogated Secor before she left, were very nervous about her reporting about the economy.

Yglesias

Kristof on Nationalization

225px_strauss_kahn_dominique_official_portrait_2008_1.jpg

Nick Kristof, who got to watch Japan be devoured by zombie banks first hand in the nineties, has an excellent column about the non-technical aspects of the banking situation. As he says “the larger conundrum is that a bailout is both: A) urgent and essential; and B) unfair and unpopular.” Thus far, officials have attempted to resolve that conundrum with timidity, but ultimately that results in measures that fail on both counts. What’s needed is more boldness — really decisive action to clean up the financial sector combined with measures that are tough enough on CEOs and shareholders to give the effort political legitimacy. He also has a neat idea for bringing bank nationalization closer into line with American norms:

Mr. Obama then suggested that it wouldn’t work in the United States, partly for cultural reasons. But a broad range of experts believe that some variation of nationalization is the only way to revive the banks quickly without squandering vast amounts of taxpayer dollars. Even the managing director of the International Monetary Fund suggested that Washington think of the Swedish model.

America’s horror of “nationalization” could be defused by handing out shares to all American households. President Bush used to talk about building an “ownership society.” Well, giving shares in big banks to all American households would be a terrific way to do that.

Admittedly, the Managing Director of the IMF is French Socialist (albeit from the PS’s moderate wing) Dominique Strauss-Kahn so I don’t think the “even” in “even the managing director…” really does a ton of work on the merits. Still, DSK is a smart guy! And he’s not the only one.

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