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Economy

Contrary To GOP Rhetoric, Low-Tax States Have Worse Economic Growth

Republicans love to claim that low-tax states such as Texas enjoy a disproportionate amount of economic success, while higher-tax states like California are economic basket cases. Republican governors in several states are using that rationale to propose gutting their state income taxes (and, in many instances, replacing them with regressive sales taxes).

But a new report from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy shows that so-called “high tax states” are actually experiencing more growth and less decline in income than states that are supposedly super-conducive to economic expansion:

In reality, states that levy personal income taxes, including the states with the highest top rates, have seen more economic growth per capita and less decline in their median income level over the last ten years than the nine states that do not tax income. Unemployment rates have been nearly identical across states with and without income taxes.

Here’s the breakdown:

Four of the nine states without income taxes are actually doing worse than the average state in regards to economic growth per capita: Texas, Tennessee, Florida, and Nevada.

– Five of the nine states without income taxes are doing worse than average in terms of median income growth: New Hampshire, Florida, Tennessee, Alaska, and Nevada.

Six of the nine states without income taxes had higher than average annual unemployment rates over the last decade: Texas, Florida, Tennessee, Washington, Alaska, and Nevada.

In fact, it was the “high tax” states that did the best in terms of growth, as this chart shows:

Economy

Republican Senator Bemoans Influence Of Grover Norquist On Tax Policy

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA)

AFTON, Iowa — Though some have questioned the influence that Grover Norquist’s anti-tax pledge holds over the GOP, a leading Republican senator left no doubts of its influence at a recent town hall.

An Iowa constituent asked Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) on Tuesday about closing a loophole that allows online companies like Amazon to skirt paying sales taxes. Though Grassley declined to take a firm position on the issue, he explained to the man how Norquist’s influence blocks Congress from closing that loophole. “It may not be a tax increase because the states already have the taxes, but there are people in Washington who define what a tax increase is and they seem to have a lot of political power,” Grassley said, implicitly referring to Norquist. “They’ve gotten people not willing to go out and want to be labeled as a tax-increaser even if they aren’t increasing taxes.” Watch it:

Despite Norquist’s influence, some Republicans are joining Democrats and trying to close the Amazon loophole. Currently, Sen. Mike Enzi (R-WY) and a bipartisan group of 56 members of Congress are sponsoring the Marketplace Fairness Act of 2013, which would allow states to collect sales taxes on online purchases.

Economy

Why The Bipartisan Push For An Online Sales Tax Is The Right Move

The online retail giant Amazon benefits from a large loophole in the federal tax code. Because companies only have to collect sales tax in states where they have a physical presence, Amazon is able to avoid collecting the tax in many states, giving it a way to undermine traditional retailers. But a bipartisan group of 57 members of Congress is trying to change the law to close Amazon’s loophole:

Twenty senators and 37 members of the House from both parties signed on to the Marketplace Fairness Act of 2013 (MFA)—legislation that would allow states to collect taxes on what consumers buy over the Internet.

The measure would finally resolve a decades-old dispute over whether states can collect sales taxes on mail-order and online purchases. Currently, states are barred from requiring out-of-state sellers to collect sales taxes, unless the retailers have a physical presence (or nexus) in their jurisdiction. The MFA would allow states to require sellers to collect these levies no matter where the firms are located.

This loophole gives Amazon (and other online shops) a leg up on its competitors for no real reason. As Michael Mazerov wrote for the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, there is “no excuse for exempting large companies like Amazon and Overstock that are perfectly capable of collecting tax everywhere — just as their brick and mortar competitors do.”

Applying an online sales tax fairly would also make the tax code slightly more progressive, as “many low-income families would love to shop online to avoid sales tax but can’t because they don’t own a computer or can’t afford high-speed Internet access.” Sales taxes are inherently regressive, and exempting online purchases makes them even more so, as those with the right technology get to skip the tax entirely.

States governed by both Democrats and Republicans have moved to address this issue, but it won’t be truly fixed until Congress takes action.

Economy

How States Lose $600 Million On A Worthless Corporate Tax Break

There’s no shortage of corporate tax giveaways at both the federal and state levels. Lawmakers of all stripes love to use the tax code to subsidize companies, either directly or indirectly.

But in some instances, federal tax breaks for corporations undermine state budgets. As the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities detailed today, one particular tax break will cost states $600 million next year:

The federal government created this tax break, known as the “domestic production deduction,” in 2004. Since most states base their own tax codes on the federal tax code, the tax break was carried over into many states without specific legislative scrutiny or a vote. Now it is costing not only the federal government but also 25 states a large amount of money. By 2014, it will cost these states over $600 million per year.

The deduction — enacted as Section 199 of the federal Internal Revenue Code — allows companies to claim a tax deduction based on profits from “qualified production activities,” a sweeping category that goes well beyond manufacturing to include such diverse activities as food production, filmmaking, and utilities — a substantial share of states’ corporate income tax base.

These deductions are largely worthless, and many states have tossed them overboard. But 25 states still leave it intact:

As CBPP noted, “Firms can claim the domestic production deduction for profits from all qualifying domestic activities — meaning activities that occur anywhere within the United States. As a result, a multi-state firm can claim the deduction in a conforming state for production activities in any state, not just the state where the firm is filing.” They also benefit large firms at the expense of small.

State efforts to encourage corporate growth and job creation through the tax code usually encourage a race to the bottom, as corporations play states off each other in order to secure the most preferential treatment, and then feel no hesitation about up and leaving later. Of course, paying corporations to create jobs is only one of the bone-headed ways states try to generate economic activity.

Economy

‘Job Piracy’: Why States Paying For Corporations To Move Is Bad For The Economy

A favorite tactic for lawmakers on both sides of the political aisle is to use tax incentives as a way to attract jobs to their state. Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) even referred to his trips to sweet-talk companies into moving “hunting trips.”

The theory is that, by providing tax breaks and other financial supports, a lawmaker will create more jobs in the local economy. But is that what actually happens? According to a new report from Good Jobs First, the answer is a resounding no. All these incentives do is waste taxpayer money that would be better spent on real economic development:

There are three problems with this strategy. It is wasteful because the costs are high and the benefits are low: a tiny number of companies get huge subsidies but the net impact of interstate job relocations is microscopic. It is incredibly unfair to in-state employers, who are forced to pay higher taxes or suffer lower-quality public services (or some of both) when newly arriving companies are excused from paying their fair share of taxes. And some would add that it is a tragic distraction from things that matter more to the U.S. economy, including the trade deficit. [...]

The net effect of these piracy lures and blackmail payoffs is to divert economic development resources away from helping companies expand or start up, where virtually all the job-growth action is. And when many states are still making painful budget cuts, putting lots of eggs in a few corporate baskets reduces funding available for the low-risk, high-payoff investments in education and infrastructure that benefit all employers.

The report notes several states, including Texas, New Jersey, and Georgia, that are throwing taxpayer dollars down this particular rabbit hole. One of the most egregious examples is companies receiving money to bop back and forth across the Missouri-Kansas border in the Kansas City metro area, barely moving at all but receiving huge tax breaks. In one instance, “the 12-mile move landed the company a city and state tax incentive package valued at $64.3 million over 23 years.”

Plenty of companies have no problem pocketing these subsidies and then skipping town or laying off workers. Sears, for instance, received millions of dollars in subsidies from Illinois and then laid off 100 workers.

Economy

States Gave Gunmakers $49 Million In Tax Breaks Over The Last Five Years

President Obama today rolled out a list of executive orders and suggested Congressional legislation to reduce gun violence, the first major response to the school shooting in Newtown, Connecticut. It includes banning assault weapons and certain types of ammunition, along with better background checks, as well as some measures to address mental health.

Meanwhile, at the state level, lawmakers are taking a look at some of the tax breaks they dole out to gun manufacturers. As Bloomberg News noted, states have handed out $49 million over the last five years in tax breaks to companies that make guns:

Governments in nine states have awarded at least $49 million in subsidies in the past five years to gun and ammunition makers whose products are under scrutiny after last month’s school shooting in Connecticut.

Almost 85 percent of those tax breaks or grants have gone to two companies: Olin Corp. (OLN), the Clayton, Missouri-based maker of Winchester-brand bullets and shotgun shells, and a unit of Freedom Group Inc., the Madison, North Carolina-based company that produces the rifle used in the Dec. 14 killing of 20 children and six adults at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown.

The ostensible goal of these subsidies is job creation, but handing out tax breaks to create jobs is simply not a viable job creation strategy, which has been shown time and time again. “We need to be a lot more careful and decide what kind of state we envision,” said Florida state Senator Nancy Deter (R) adding that “she doesn’t want Florida to be known for gun manufacturing.” New York state Sen. Liz Krueger (D) has called for her state to drop subsidies for gun manufacturing as well.

Gun safety measures, in addition to preventing human tragedy, also provide economic benefits by cutting down on medical and public safety costs. One study found that “the average household acquiring a gun imposed a net cost on the rest of society of somewhere between $100 to $1,800 per year.”

Economy

North Carolina Mulls Taxing The Poor To Pay For Tax Cuts For The Rich

Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA) last week tentatively endorsed a plan that would eliminate his state’s income and corporate taxes, replacing them with an increased sales tax. Such a move would disproportionately impact the poor, in a state where the tax code is already tilted against those with lower incomes.

But Jindal is not alone in this enthusiasm for pushing taxes down the income scale. North Carolina is also looking at replacing its income tax with an expanded sales tax, as Reuters noted:

“We have no choice but to make change,” said Bob Rucho, a Republican state senator in solidly Republican North Carolina, who is leading a push in that state for major tax changes.

Rucho and other like-minded lawmakers have a plan to do away with all state individual and corporate income taxes. The plan would replace lost revenue with a new business license fee and a higher sales tax on goods and services not now taxed by the state, such as legal, accounting and spa services, and food. [...]

Rucho’s plan would remake the North Carolina budget, which now derives 65 percent of its $18.5 billion in total tax revenues from individual income and corporate taxes.

To make up for that much lost revenue, the state sales tax rate would have to rise to 6.53 percent from 4.75 percent, according to a supportive study done by a consulting firm run by Arthur Laffer, a former adviser to Republican President Ronald Reagan and one of the fathers of “trickle-down” economics.

The Tarheel state’s incoming governor, Pat McCrory (R), has called for tax reform, but has yet to embrace any specific proposal.

North Carolina’s tax system already benefits the well off, with the richest 1 percent paying 6.8 percent, compared to 9.5 percent for those making less than $17,000, according to the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. Shifting to a larger sales tax will hit low-income residents the hardest, as they spend a much larger percentage of their income on basic needs. Tacking the sales tax onto food will make this change even worse for those at the bottom of the income scale.

Such a shift would also be bad for North Carolina’s economy. As Alexandra Forter Sirota of the North Carolina Justice Center wrote, “relying only on consumption taxes would make our revenue system less stable. When the next downturn hits and consumer spending plummets, North Carolina’s revenue would plummet along with it with no other tax to counter-balance its decline. That would trigger even harsher cuts to education, health care and public safety than we’ve seen in the last few years.”

Economy

Why Powerball Is A Terrible Way For States To Raise Money

Two winning tickets for this week’s $587.5 million Powerball lottery were sold, one each in Missouri and Arizona. Of course, state governments will be receiving a share of the pot via the taxes imposed on lottery winnings.

Missouri state budget director Linda Luebbering said the revenue would have a “good, positive effect” for her state. About 35 percent of the money dedicated to lotteries eventually winds up back in state coffers.

Many states use lotteries as a way to raise money, often dedicating the revenue to education. However, research has found that states using lotteries to boost their education spending actually end up putting less money into classrooms than states that simply budget appropriately for their schools:

The educational “bonus” appears to be nonexistent. Miller and Pierce (1997) studied the short- and long-term effect of education lotteries. They found that lottery states did indeed increase per-capita spending on education during the lottery’s early years. However, after some time these states actually decreased their overall spending on education. In contrast, states without lotteries increased education spending over time. In fact, nonlottery states spend, on average, 10 percent more of their budgets on education than lottery states (Gearey 1997).

The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government actually found that “new gambling operations that are intended to pay for normal increases in general state spending may add to, rather than ease, state budget imbalances.”

Lotteries are also extremely detrimental to the poor, acting as, in essence, a regressive tax, with about a 38 percent tax rate (a rate usually reserved for the very richest Americans). “Lotteries are the worst expected return of just about any gambling you can do,” said economist Victor Matheson, who estimates that “where slots pay 95 cents to the dollar in terms of prizes and a good Black Jack player can earn as much as 98 cents, lotteries pay a mere 50- to 60-cent return per dollar.” According to the Bloomberg News “Sucker Index,” residents of Georgia do the most damage to their own finances through the lottery.

Economy

Republican Senate Candidate’s Company Collected Millions In State Subsidies While Laying Off Workers

Connecticut Republican senate candidate Linda McMahon

On her campaign website, Republican senate candidate Linda McMahon (CT) rails against “reckless” and “out of control” government spending. She calls for the institution of a Balanced Budget Amendment (despite the widespread economic damage such an amendment could cause), and specifically singles out earmarks, claiming that they displace private sector job creation. McMahon has also called for “an end to corporate welfare.”

However, at the CT Post reported, McMahon was all too happy to accept government subsidies for her company, World Wrestling Entertainment, even when the company was laying off workers:

The Stamford-based WWE empire received about $37 million in state tax credits for staging and recording its wrestling spectacles dating back to July of 2009, state officials reported Friday.

The state Department of Economic and Community Development (DECD), in response to a request by Hearst Connecticut Newspapers, indicated that the WWE has received 20 separate tax credits totaling $36.7 million.

Three of the 20 credits, awarded as part of state legislation aimed at fostering film, TV and digital production in the state, totaled more than $5 million each in 2010, 2011 and 2012, according to a summary released under the state’s Freedom of Information Act.

Jim Watson, spokesman for the DECD, said Friday that the credits were granted, without strings, based on how much money the WWE had spent in Connecticut on producing its events.

“There are no job creation or retention requirements for them to earn the credits,” Watson said. “The credits are awarded based on qualified expenditures made in the state.”

In 2009, WWE collected $9 million in subsidies after announcing plans to lay off 60 workers.

Most states in the U.S. provide tax credits for movie and television production, despite the dubious effect they have promoting job creation. In 2007, Connecticut’s own Department of Community and Economic Development found that its film production credits were not worth the cost. (HT: Kenneth Thomas)

Health

Romney Praises State-Level Innovations In Medicaid, Then Proposes Cuts That Would Stifle Them

Mitt Romney’s plan for Medicaid actually comes in two distinct parts: One, block grant the program, thus turning administration of it completely over to state governments. Two, cut the program as a share of the economy by a third over the next decade, and keep cutting after that. The plan Paul Ryan laid out for Medicaid in the latest House GOP budget is essentially identical. Romney, Ryan, and their cohorts typically defend this scheme by claiming it will open up Medicaid to greater innovation at the state level.

But, as the Huffington Post’s Jeffrey Young noted yesterday, there is a bitter self-contradiction in this argument. Romney’s cuts to Medicaid would almost certainly stifle the very state-level innovations he’s praising:

“Arizona has always been operating in the current financing and entitlement structure of Medicaid. They’re not operating the structure that Mitt Romney wants to go to,” said Joan Alker, co-executive director of the Georgetown Center for Children and Families in Washington.

In recent years, Arizona has raised co-payments and frozen enrollment for poor adults — and is weighing a request for additional federal money to preserve coverage for about 150,000 people and reopen the program to new applicants. The state also put limits on coverage of organ transplants in 2010, but rescinded the policy the following year.

Rhode Island obtained a “waiver” from federal Medicaid rules in 2009 that enabled the state to establish a cap on its spending between 2009 and 2013. The Rhode Island initiative has been hailed by conservatives as a model for future block grant programs because the state has reduced its spending. But Rhode Island implemented its Medicaid reforms with extra federal money and the savings turned out not to be as large as originally believed, according to an analysis by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities that cites the findings of a report commissioned by Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee (I).

Ironically, the same could be true of the Massachusetts health care reform Romney himself passed into law as governor of that state. Romney negotiated an increase in the federal Medicaid funding going to Massachusetts. That money funded Commonwealth Care, a subsidized market of private coverage for people living under 300 percent of the poverty line — essentially, the Massachusetts version of Obamacare’s exchanges. John McDonough, one of the plan’s main designers, told the Boston Globe, “It would have been impossible for Massachusetts to do what it did without increased federal Medicaid support.”

Oregon is also running a reform experiment that relies on an increased contribution from the federal government. In a move hailed by conservatives, Florida is trying to expand a health care reform pilot program state-wide. An assessment by the Georgetown University Health Policy Institute determined the program was unlikely to save the state costs, suggesting a much lower level of federal funding would do the experiment no favors.

Of course, Republican lawmakers in Florida see the Romney-Ryan budgets as dovetailing with their state-level plans, which include shifting costs onto Medicaid enrollees through increased fees and reduced benefits. In the end, the state-level innovations most threatened by Romney and Ryan’s plans are the ones that don’t compute with conservatives’ pre-conceived policy preferences.

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