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Economy

Romney Attacks Stimulus At College That Took Stimulus Funds

Presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney campaigned with Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R), who presides over one of the least job-creating states in America, today at Otterbein College — a school that benefited from the passage of the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, commonly known as the stimulus.

Otterbein received a grant worth more than $80,000 for a federal work-study program in July 2009. Ignoring that fact, though, Romney proceeded to attack the stimulus in his speech to students:

ROMNEY: Then there was the stimulus itself. $787 billion of borrowing. It could have been entirely focused on getting getting the private sector to buy capital equipment, for instance. That puts people to work. Or to hire people. Instead, it primary protected people in the governmental sector, which is probably the sector that should have been shrinking.

Watch it:

Romney also mixed up the facts about the stimulus. In calling the stimulus a hand out for government programs (which he said “probably should have been shrinking”), Romney ignores that the last three years were the worst on record for government job losses. In calling the stimulus a failure, he ignores its obvious successes: It saved or created millions of jobs, turned around economic growth, and pulled the American economy away from the precipice of collapse.

Economy

Report: Up To Two Million People Were Employed In December Because Of The Recovery Act

Last week, on the three-year anniversary of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (i.e. the stimulus), the GOP went well out of its way to portray the plan as “an abject failure” that not only “failed to create the jobs that Americans were promised,” but also “made things worse.” But plenty of recent independent analyses have debunked that myth, including a new report from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).

According to CBO, between 300,000 and 2 million people who were employed in December owed their jobs to the stimulus. The Recovery Act’s impact on jobs peaked in 2010′s third quarter, when an estimated 3.6 million people were employed in jobs that were either saved or created by the Recovery Act. CBO also found that the stimulus:

– Raised real (inflation-adjusted) gross domestic product (GDP) by between 0.2 percent and 1.5 percent.

Lowered the unemployment rate by between 0.2 percentage points and 1.1 percentage points.

Increased the number of people employed by between 0.3 million and 2.0 million.

– Increased the number of full-time-equivalent jobs by 0.4 million to 2.6 million. (Increases in FTE jobs include shifts from part-time to full-time work or overtime and are thus generally larger than increases in the number of employed workers.)

The CBO also projects that in the first quarter of 2012, compared to what might have happened without ARRA intervention, CBO estimates the ARRA will raise the GDP by between 0.1 percent and 0.8 percent and will increase the number of people employed by between 0.2 million and 1.1. million.

Fatima Najiy

Economy

On Three Year Anniversary Of Stimulus, GOP Goes Into High Gear Falsely Claiming It Failed

Today marks the three year anniversary of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (i.e. the stimulus), signed by President Obama one month after being sworn in, at a time when the economy was hemorrhaging 700,000 jobs per month. Of course, the Republican spin machine has gone into high gear to portray the stimulus as a failure:

RNC CHAIRMAN REINCE PRIEBUS: “Three years ago today, President Obama signed his ‘Stimulus’ into law, and it’s clear, by Obama’s own standards, that his signature economic plan has been an abject failure.”

SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE JOHN BOEHNER (R-OH): “Today, there’s no denying the fact that his ‘stimulus’ policies not only failed, they made things worse.”

HOUSE MAJORITY LEADER ERIC CANTOR (R-VA): “The Obama Stimulus failed to create the jobs that Americans were promised and piled up mountains of debt that our children and their children will have to repay.”

And there are more where those came from. But as Center for American Progress Director of Tax and Budget Policy Michael Linden explained, the stimulus did just what it was supposed to — slow and then reverse the economy’s dramatic decline:

In the second quarter of 2009, the first full quarter after the stimulus was passed, GDP still declines but at a much slower pace—just 0.7 percent—and then begins to grow again in the third quarter of 2009. Job losses also begin to slow down immediately. Leading up to the stimulus, we were losing more and more jobs each month. After the stimulus, fewer and fewer. And eventually we even start gaining jobs. And take a look at this. Private-sector layoffs actually peak in February 2009—the month the stimulus passed—and then begin a dramatic decline. By the one-year anniversary of the stimulus, private-sector layoffs are back down to pre-recession levels.

Watch Linden’s explanation:

As economists Alan Blinder and Mark Zandi wrote in their study “How the Great Recession was Brought to an End,” the effects of the stimulus were “very substantial, raising 2010 real GDP by about 3.4%, holding the unemployment rate about 1½ percentage points lower, and adding almost 2.7 million jobs to U.S. payrolls.” And there is literally no evidence backing up Boehner’s assertion that the stimulus made things worse. Try as they might, Republicans can’t make these numbers disappear down the memory hole.

Economy

VIDEO: Three Years Since The Stimulus, A Look At Its Success

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, better known as the stimulus, became law three years ago this week, signed by President Obama less than a month into his presidency. At the time, financial and housing crises had plunged the American economy into a deep recession — in January 2009, the economy lost more than 800,000 jobs, more than in any single month in 60 years.

With its investments into infrastructure projects, tax cuts, and aid to states, the stimulus was designed to curb the effects of the recession and turn the economy back around. Though Republicans have criticized the effort and subsequent attempts to stimulate the economy as “failed policies,” early analysis has shown that the stimulus saved and created millions of jobs and pulled the American economy away from the precipice of collapse.

In a new analysis, Center for American Progress Director for Tax and Budget Policy Michael Linden examined the American economy in three parts — before the recession, during the recession, and after the stimulus passed — to find out if the stimulus did, indeed, work. As the video below shows, there is no doubt that the stimulus turned the economy around and put it on the path to recovery:

Health

Gingrich Praised Obama For Increasing Medicaid Funding, Health IT Investment In 2009

In February 2009, Newt Gingrich praised President Obama’s American Recovery Act for including investments in health information technology and increasing the federal government’s match for the Medicaid program (via Andrew Kaczynski):

GINGRICH: There are two good things from the standpoint of health. The first is, a very serious investment in health information technology, which takes us a significant step down the road toward really having electronic health records for every American and I applaud President Obama for developing and insisting on that approach. And second, a substantial amount of money for Medicaid, which will in fact help the states this year, at least in the short term period, to be able to pay their bills and to help hospitals and doctors who otherwise would face very severe cuts.

Watch it:

Gingrich now rarely mentions these provisions as he campaigns for the presidency in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, and instead condemns both the stimulus package and the Affordable Care Act in the broadest possible strokes, trying to obscure the fact that he has advocated for some of the very same provisions that President Obama has signed into law.

Economy

Romney’s Stimulus Plan Would Have Been Tax Cuts For Corporations And The Rich

The Recovery Act of 2009 (i.e. the stimulus) has, according to the Congressional Budget Office, been employing more than 3 million people this year, while saving millions more from poverty through boosting programs like unemployment benefits. Though it was not large or targeted enough to deal with the depth of the Great Recession, the stimulus has been an extraordinary help to a struggling economy.

However, if Mitt Romney had been president in 2008, according to a campaign spokesman, he wouldn’t have passed the Recovery Act. Instead, he would have cut taxes for corporations and extended the Bush tax cuts, as well as opening up land for oil drilling:

Asked what President Romney would have done during his first days in office, in lieu of a federal stimulus, to address the market meltdown, Chen rattled off a few likely options: “Lowering the corporate tax rate. Enacting a permanent extension of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts. Immediately ratifying our pending trade agreements with Colombia, Panama and South Korea. In the energy sector, freeing up the necessary land to enable greater domestic production.” He did not make clear how Romney would have steered these boilerplate conservative proposals through a Democrat-controlled Congress.

According to the CBO, extending income tax cuts and cutting the corporate tax rate are two of the least effective strategies for boosting economic growth and employment. For extending income tax cuts, only 10 cents to 60 cents in economic activity is created for every dollar spent. It’s at most 30 cents in economic activity for every dollar spent on corporate tax cuts.

Meanwhile, steps that put money directly into the pockets of low- and middle-income families or directly create jobs, like cutting payroll taxes or spending on infrastructure, have far higher bang-for-the-buck. These are the sorts of policies that President Obama has proposed in his American Jobs Act, but that Republicans have filibustered over and over.

It was the slew of tax cuts that were added to the stimulus in a misguided attempt to win Republican votes that watered down its effectiveness in the first place. If Romney had been running the show, that ratio would have evidently been even worse. Of course, considering that Romney’s economic plan consists of nearly $7 trillion in tax cuts that overwhelmingly go to the rich and corporations, perhaps this shouldn’t be a surprise.

Economy

GOP Stimulus Critic Launches Senate Campaign At Company That Benefited From Stimulus Funds

There has been plenty of stimulus hypocrisy within the GOP — as Republican lawmakers try to take credit for jobs and projects funded by the Recovery Act that they opposed — but few have managed to register on the hypocrite dial before even getting on the campaign trail. However, that’s what former Gov. Tommy Thompson (WI) did when he announced yesterday that he will contend for the GOP nomination for Wisconsin’s Senate seat that is being vacated by retiring Sen. Herb Kohl (D).

Thompson has been a critic of the Recovery Act, saying that he was “disturbed” with the direction of the country following the stimulus vote, and his advisers highlighting it as an example of “runaway government spending.” But as it turns out, Thompson decided to kick off his campaign at a company that has benefited from stimulus dollars:

Former Gov. Tommy Thompson hasn’t been afraid to attack others for backing President Barack Obama’s controversial stimulus package. [...] So isn’t it odd that Thompson is officially launching his bid for the U.S. Senate today at a company that directly benefited from the Recovery Act?

Federal records show Weldall Manufacturing in Waukesha was awarded $300,000 in stimulus dollars in October 2010 under an energy project overseen by the state Department of Administration. Here are the project specifics.

The funding created about 100 jobs at the company. Not only did the Recovery Act help at that company, but it also went to aid several companies with which Thompson is involved. In fact, “Logistics Health of La Crosse – of which Thompson is the president – got $277,000 stimulus dollars for 3 contracts.”

Thompson explained that he was unaware that the company at which he made his announcement had received Recovery Act funding, but that “it was a good thing if it created jobs.”

Climate Progress

North American PV Installs Set to Double in 2011. Will Congress Let the Successful Grant Program End?

Driven by strong demand in the United States, the North American solar PV market is set to grow by over 100% this year, according to a report released by the analysis firm NPD SolarBuzz.

Due to the success of the Treasury Grant Program, the U.S. will account for 85% of installations in the North American market. American installations could potentially reach 1.9 GW by the end of December — again doubling year-over-year installations.

Much of the activity in the last two quarters has been spurred by companies rushing to qualify for the Grant Program, an incentive through the Treasury that provides a cash payment worth 30% of a project’s cost. The program, which was created as part of the Stimulus package and is set to expire at the end of December, has been a resounding success.

The solar industry still has an investment tax credit in place through 2016. However, with many financiers unable to take full advantage of tax credits, some analysts expect the market to shrink. In an effort to keep the momentum strong, a coalition of 763 companies and organizations in the solar industry issued a letter to Congress yesterday urging political leaders not to let this crucial program expire. According to the coalition, available finance would be more than 50% less than it is today under the grant:

Read more

Economy

What Congress Can Learn From Europe: Economists Say Massive Budget Cuts Will Lead To Another Recession

The European economy grew just 0.2 percent in the third quarter as it remained plagued by the continent’s spreading fiscal crisis, according to official data released by the European Union today. The crisis has only deepened as countries have enacted massive austerity plans, forcing through widespread budget cuts that have stunted economic growth. In Spain, austerity has driven the unemployment rate to 21.5 percent.

As Europe continues its slide, the effects are sure to be felt in the United States, where the threat of a recession in 2012 is now greater than 50 percent. “It is not something that we would be insulated from,” Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said last week. “I don’t think we would be able to escape the consequences of a blow-up in Europe.”

But even with evidence that austerity is wreaking havoc on European economies, American policymakers remain intent on following that lead. But chasing Europe down the austerity hole is only ensuring that the U.S. will experience another “great recession,” according to economists surveyed by Politico:

To engage in austerity right now would be a great mistake,” insisted Desmond Lachman, an economist with the conservative American Enterprise Institute. “It would push the economy into a great recession.” [...]

We need to learn from the European recessions,” said David Walker, former comptroller general of the United States, “and structure our own program” accordingly. He, too, said he considers large, near-term budget cuts potentially disastrous. Walker and other experts said significant budget cuts are certainly necessary — eventually. But not now. [...]

Austerity brings a cyclical contraction,” said Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff, a German who is senior director for strategy at the German Marshall Fund in Washington. “You can’t just slash. You also have to invest and reform.” In his view, U.S. politicians don’t seem to appreciate this because they hold “a dangerous philosophy of American exceptionalism, as if they were exempt from the rules of finance.”

Despite these warnings, congressional leaders — particularly on the right — continue to push for massive spending cuts to a variety of programs, while opposing economic stimulus that could spark growth and recovery. The House will vote this week on a radical Balanced Budget Amendment that would force bigger spending cuts than even the fiscal super committee could ever dream of, drive up the unemployment rate, and ensure that future recessions will be even more painful.

The GOP, along with some moderate Democrats, has opposed the American Jobs Act, which would inject money into the economy in the form of infrastructure investment, aid to states to hire teachers and public safety officials, and other measures designed for job creation. Instead, they have focused on anti-regulatory, anti-spending policies that have little (if any) effect on job creation.

As these economists noted, clear evidence exists across the pond that widespread austerity measures will only stunt economic growth and push the U.S. closer to the brink of another recession. Unfortunately, Congressional leadership continues to ignore them.

NEWS FLASH

CHART: ‘Life Without Stimulus’ — The U.S. vs. The U.K. | At Tax.com, Martin Sullivan rebuts those who claim that the 2009 Recovery Act (i.e. the stimulus) did nothing to boost the economy. “Republicans constantly remind us that the Obama stimulus — the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 — did not work. They voted against it. In the United Kingdom the government is led by Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron. His government did not adopt stimulus,” Sullivan noted. “After three and a half years, U.S. GDP is just about returning to the pre-recession peak. That’s awful. But it’s far better than the U.K. where GDP is still five percent ($750 billion in US terms) below its pre-recession peak.”

(HT: Catherine Rampell)

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