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NEWS FLASH

Cantor Plans To Replace Military Spending Cuts With Other Offsets | House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) said yesterday that he plans to replace the automatic $600 billion in military spending cuts that were triggered by the super committee’s failure last year with offsets elsewhere in the federal budget. Cantor said he wants to first find enough cuts to replace $60 billion in military spending cuts set for next year but acknowledged that finding cuts to replace the entire $600 billion spread out over 10 years would be difficult. “So if 10 years is a problem, then let’s go back and maybe we can find one year’s worth of pay-for that can at least stave off the sequester from being implemented Jan. 1, 2013, so that maybe we can have this election take place and be able to avoid it,” Canton said.

NEWS FLASH

Democrats Push Back Against GOP Senators’ Efforts To Shield Pentagon From Budget Cuts | Rep. Peter Welch (D-VT), along with 71 Democratic members of Congress, are urging President Obama to veto any bill that seeks to void any part of the $1.2 trillion in federal budget cuts that could be triggered if Congress fails to reach a budget agreement by the end of the year. Welch, in a letter to Obama, is pushing back against a group of senators — including John McCain (R-AZ), Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Kelly Ayotte (R-NH) — who plan to introduce an alternative deficit-reduction plan that would shield the Pentagon from further budget reductions .

NEWS FLASH

2012 Federal Deficit Shrinks To Less Than $1 Trillion | Under President Obama, the nation’s deficit will shrink to less than $1 trillion in 2012, the Treasury Department announced yesterday. The deficit in 2011 and 2010 was $1.3 trillion. Treasury projects that the budget deficit for fiscal year 2012 will come in at $996 billion. Additionally, as a result of the debt super committee’s failure to reach an agreement, an automatic $1.2 trillion in cuts will kick in over the next decade. Obama has pledged to veto any attempt to curb those cuts.

Security

Boehner Backtracks On Being ‘Bound’ To Military Spending Trigger Cuts

Now that the super committee has failed, Republicans in Congress led by Sens. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and John McCain (R-AZ) and Rep Howard “Buck” McKeon (R-CA) have said that they will “pursue all options” — including introducing legislation — to roll back the debt reduction sequestration, mainly to prevent any more military spending cuts. (Both McCain and McKeon voted for the mandatory military spending cuts back in August.)

President Obama has threatened to veto any legislation undoing the trigger cuts. And it seemed that House Speaker John Boehner had his back, Talking Points Memo reported last month:

But on November 3, at his weekly press availability, Boehner said he feels “bound” by the debt limit deal, even the automatic defense cuts. “Me, personally? Yes, I would feel bound. It was part of the agreement, and so either we succeed or we’re in the sequester. The sequester is ugly. Why? Because we didn’t want anybody to go there. That’s why we have to succeed.”

But now, Boehner is calling on Obama to stop the automatic military cuts, the Hill reports:

“I really believe that the president of the United States has a responsibility here as well,” Boehner told reporters [yesterday]. “He’s the commander in chief; he knows what those cuts will mean to the military, and so I frankly believe the Congress still must work with the president to find a solution to our long-term debt.”

Although it’s unclear why the Republicans turning back. The sequestration military cuts would bring defense spending back to 2007 levels.

Health

Democrats Introduce Bill To Protect Medicare From Sequestration

The Budget Control Act of 2011 includes a sequestration process that will make automatic cuts to domestic and defense spending in January 2013 unless Congress can agree on a proposal to lower the national deficit by at least $1.2 trillion over 10 years. Since the demise of the super committee, both parties have signaled their displeasure with the automatic mechanism and Republicans have promised to draft legislation that would eliminate or disperse the $600 billion of proposed reductions to military spending on to other federal agencies.

But today, a group of seven House Democrats led by Rep. Edolphus Towns (D-NY) beat the GOP to the punch and introduced H.R. 3519 in an effort to exempt Medicare from the $123 billion in cuts to provider reimbursements:

“Hospitals in New York are already slated to experience $15 billion in Medicare and Medicaid cuts under the Affordable Care Act over the next ten years,” Towns said. “If sequestration occurs, hospitals will lose another $2.6 billion — or over $116 million in my district alone.

“Cuts like these will severely harm patient access to care and undermine an employment base that supports over 700,000 jobs in New York State,” he said. “We simply cannot balance the nation’s budget on the backs of seniors, while simultaneously harming jobs.”

Meanwhile, a group of 40 other Democrats have penned a letter to President Obama urging him to maintain the sequestration cuts. Obama has threatened to veto any measures that reduce sequestration without making corresponding reductions to the deficit.

House Assistant Democratic Leader Rep. James Clybrun (R-SC), the House whip, is not an official sponsor of H.R. 3519, but has recently said, “I would love to see us do something that would not require that those triggers get pulled.” He added, “Because if those triggers get pulled, it’s across the board. It is going to be nasty. It would be a meat-ax approach, and I don’t think that’s the best way to do it. So there’s still time.”

Health

Debunking The ‘Democrats Are To Blame For The Super Committee’s Failure’ Argument, Part II

The Washington Posts’ Jennifer Rubin is attributing the failure of the super committee to Democrats’ refusal to accept partial Medicare privatization and any cuts to the Affordable Care Act. It’s a meme first advanced by super committee co-chairman Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) and echoed by conservatives like James Capretta:

In this regard, nearly all of the mainstream reporting has taken for granted that ObamaCare is off limits from budget cutters. Reporters and the left punditocracy have declined to even recognize that the real “intransigence” was not on the part of Republicans (who offered up more revenue) but on the part of Democrats who insisted that ObamaCare remain pristine (despite the serial revelations that the plan is not unfolding as anticipated) and who refused respond with a serious counteroffer on tax reform.

The second issue revolves around Medicare. The Republicans last spring presented Rep. Paul Ryan’s premium support plan. Then in the supercommittee they offered the Rivlin-Domenici plan that would have allowed seniors to opt for traditional Medicare. But, as Capretta points out, the Democrats’ answer is to keep traditional Medicare and simply limit fees to providers, a recipe for shortages and denial of care.

First, it’s unclear why unwinding the Affordable Care Act — which reduces the deficit by billions of dollars — would make for good policy if you’re truly interesting in lowering the federal debt. That kind of thing would only be of use to partisans seeking to squash the President Obama’s signature accomplishment during an election year. Anyone truly interested in reducing health care spending should be looking for ways to ratchet up the cost savings already included in the law, rather than tear them down. (As is, the ACA is “projected to reduce aggregate spending by 6 percent over the 10 year period.”)

And as for the Medicare privatization plan, if Rubin or Capretta can explain how the ever-depreciating premium support proposal isn’t a cost shift to beneficiaries, I’d like to hear it. For the time being, Democrats — who themselves offered billions in Medicare and Medicaid cuts — are fighting with Republicans to preserve the sequestration process in the the Budget Control Act. The triggers will apply to any mandatory spending not specifically exempted, meaning that health reform provisions like grants to states for establishing exchanges, the public health prevention fund, and mandatory funding for community health centers could all be vulnerable to reductions. How is that for “off limits”?

Economy

The Average Bush Tax Cut For The 1 Percent This Year Will Be Greater Than The Average Income Of The Other 99 Percent

As Occupy Wall Street protestors continue to demonstrate across the country, congress’ fiscal super committee failed to craft a deficit reduction package due to Republican refusal to consider tax increases on the super wealthy. In fact, the only package that the GOP officially submitted to the committee included lowering the top tax rate from 35 percent to 28 percent, even as new research shows that the optimal top tax rate is closer to 70 percent.

Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA), who co-chaired the super committee, explained that the major sticking point during negotiations with the GOP was what to do with the Bush tax cuts. With that in mind, the National Priorities Project points out that those tax cuts this year will give the richest 1 percent of Americans a bigger tax cut than the other 99 percent will receive in average income:

The average Bush tax cut in 2011 for a taxpayer in the richest one percent is greater than the average income of the other 99 percent ($66,384 compared to $58,506).

“The super committee failed to grapple with the extraordinarily costly Bush tax cuts for the richest—tax policies that, according to the Congressional Budget Office, cost more in added federal debt than they add in additional economic activity,” explained Jo Comerford, NPP’s Executive Director. Frank Knapp, vice chairman of the American Sustainable Business Council, added in a statement yesterday, “the high-end Bush tax cuts are a big part of the problem – not the solution…It’s obscene to keep slashing infrastructure and services for everybody on Main Street to keep up tax giveaways for millionaires and multinational corporations.”

The Bush tax cuts have done nothing but blow up the federal debt and hand billions in tax breaks to the Americans who needed them least. As a reminder, past grand bargains when it came to the budget included substantial new revenues, to balance the pain of getting the country’s budget in order. Instead of adopting that approach, the GOP wants to continue lavishing tax breaks onto the 1 percent, while asking everyone else to sacrifice.

Health

How Sequestration Will Reduce Health Care Spending

The Kaiser Family Foundation is out with this helpful brief explaining what the failure of the super committee could mean for health care spending. As a reminder, the Budget Control Act of 2011 includes a sequestration mechanism of cuts that go into effect if lawmakers fail to reduce the deficit by $1.2 trillion over 10 years — the reductions are in addition to the savings already included in the Affordable Care Act, which are “projected to reduce aggregate spending by 6 percent over the 10 year period.”

But if lawmakers don’t produce a proposal before January 15, 2012, “the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) would calculate the sequestered amounts that would be needed to ensure that savings total $1.2 trillion for FY2013 to FY2021,” including a 2 percent reduction every year from 2013 to 2021 to the provider side of Medicare spending. A report from Avalere estimates that hospitals will bear the brunt of the cuts and could face a 32 percent reduction to inpatient hospital care. Medicare Advantage plans, physicians, nursing homes, and home health agencies would could also be trimmed, though Medicare benefits, the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), and Medicaid will not be affected.

The sequestration will apply to any mandatory spending not specifically exempted, meaning that health reform provisions like grants to states for establishing exchanges, the public health prevention fund, and mandatory funding for community health centers could all be vulnerable to reductions. In August, Republicans claimed to have identified at least 15 ACA provisions that could be subject to cuts. And that’s not all. As the Washington Post’s Sarah Kliff explains, doctors participating in the Medicare program could also see an additional 27 percent reduction in reimbursement at the beginning of next year as a result of the Sustainable Growth Rate (SGR).

Health care lobbyists are already working over lawmakers to soften the effects of the trigger, to be sure, and if their past success in patching up the SGR is any indicator, the triggers may very well change before any of the cuts go into effect.

Security

Panetta Warns Against Repealing Trigger’s Military Spending Cuts, Previously Said They’d Be ‘Devastating’

Republicans in Congress are trying to walk back the nearly $600 billion in military and security spending cuts that are mandated to take effect now that the super committee has failed to reach an agreement on how to cut $1.2 trillion in federal spending. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) and Rep. Howard “Buck” McKeon (R-CA) are leading the charge, despite the fact that both voted for the debt ceiling agreement back in August that created the super committee and mandated the trigger cuts should it fail.

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has been speaking out forcefully against the trigger’s $600 billion in military spending cuts, saying they would be “devastating” and “hollow out” the military. He even said last week that spending reductions of this magnitude would invite an attack on the United States.

President Obama said yesterday that he would veto any bill that would void the $600 billion in security spending cuts. So, obviously, Panetta bucked his boss and got on board with what McCain and McKeon want to do right? Wrong. The AP reports Panetta’s reaction to the super committee failure:

“Despite the danger posed by sequestration, I join the president in his call for Congress to avoid an easy way out of this crisis. Congress cannot simply turn off the sequester mechanism, but instead must pass deficit reduction at least equal to the $1.2 trillion it was charged to pass under the Budget Control Act.”

But if the sequester mechanism’s $600 billion in cuts to security spending would basically, as Panetta has been saying for the last few months, reduce the United States military to a functionless institution incapable of protecting a small island, why isn’t the defense secretary doing everything he can to stop them?

The answer is because it’s not true, as CAP’s Larry Korb recently noted in the New York Times:

Adding $500 billion to the $450 billion already being cut would mean total reductions of $950 billion over the next decade, or about 15 percent.

Since the defense budget has grown by more than 50 percent over the past 10 years, it can easily absorb a 15 percent reduction — which would be about half the defense cuts of Presidents Eisenhower and Nixon and less than that of George H. W. Bush.

Cutting the military budget by that much would, as Korb also notes, “in real terms, allow the Pentagon to spend at its 2007 level for the next decade.”

Health

GOP Super Committee Co-Chair: Lawmakers Failed Because Democrats Refused To Privatize Medicare

Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) faults the Democrats’ refusal to accept partial Medicare privatization for the super committee’s inability to come up with a bipartisan plan to lower spending in today’s Wall Street Journal. He writes, “Democrats on the committee made it clear that the new spending called for in the president’s health law was off the table” and pretends that the spending in the Affordable Care Act added to the deficit (it actually reduces it). “Republicans offered to negotiate a plan on the other two health-care entitlements—Medicare and Medicaid—based upon the reforms included in the budget the House passed earlier this year,” he continues and lays out the premium support proposal offered by Alice Rivlin and Pete Domenici:

The Medicare reforms would make no changes for those in or near retirement. Beginning in 2022, beneficiaries would be guaranteed a choice of Medicare-approved private health coverage options and guaranteed a premium-support payment to help pay for the plan they choose….These seniors would be able to choose from a list of Medicare-guaranteed coverage options, similar to the House budget’s approach—except that Rivlin-Domenici would continue to include a traditional Medicare fee-for-service plan among the options.

This approach was also rejected by committee Democrats.

The Congressional Budget Office, the Medicare trustees, and the Government Accountability Office have each repeatedly said that our health-care entitlements are unsustainable. Committee Democrats offered modest adjustments to these programs, but they were far from sufficient to meet the challenge. And even their modest changes were made contingent upon a minimum of $1 trillion in higher taxes—a move sure to stifle job creation during the worst economy in recent memory.

Hensarling doesn’t mention that the Rivlin-Domenici premium-support proposal doesn’t so much lower national health care spending as it shifts it to the beneficiary. The plan reduces the federal contribution to Medicare by capping costs for each beneficiary and offering premium support credits that won’t keep up with actual health care spending. The federal government spends less, but seniors will pay more out of pocket for health care benefits every year. The proposal also breaks up the market clout of traditional Medicare and rather than ratcheting up some of efficiencies and payment reforms in the Affordable Care Act, it sets the nation on an untested path of private competition — leaving seniors vulnerable to the manipulations of for-profit health insurers.

Democrats, for their part, offered rather substantial concessions on Medicare spending. As the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities argued, the Democrats’ $3 trillion deficit proposal to the super committee “stands well to the right of plans by the co-chairs of the bipartisan Bowles-Simpson commission and the Senate’s ‘Gang of Six,’ and even further to the right of the plan by the bipartisan Rivlin-Domenici commission.” The plan contained “substantially smaller revenue increases than those bipartisan proposals while, for example, containing significantly deeper cuts in Medicare and Medicaid than the Bowles-Simpson plan.” For instance, Bowles-Simpson offered $383 billion in Medicare and Medicaid, while Democrats put $475 billion on the table.

President Obama introduced $320 billion in health care savings, mostly from the pharmaceutical industry and other providers, including rural hospitals, teaching hospitals, and biotechnology firms. But the plan even incorporated the GOP’s push for greater means testing in Medicare, asking some wealthier beneficiaries to pay more for coverage and sought to give beneficiaries “skin in the game” — as the GOP puts it — to discourage over treatment.

All of these are significant concessions — as are the health cuts included in the trigger mechanism — but Hensarling and Republicans aren’t interested in bipartisan agreement. They’re not accepting anything short of Medicare privatization.

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