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NEWS FLASH

Super Committee Collapse Leaves Big Oil Subsidies Untouched | The anticlimactic crumbling of the super committee means up to $21 billion in wasteful oil industry subsidies are unlikely to be rescinded anytime soon. During the super committee negotiations, 14 Senate and 38 House Democrats proposed to end tax breaks for the world’s largest, most profitable oil companies as part of any deficit-reduction deal, saving taxpayers $21 billion over 10 years. The big oil lobby already launched YouTube ads earlier this month to thank GOP super committee members for preserving its tax subsidies.

Economy

How Republican Tax Intransigence Sank The Super Committee: A Timeline

Our guest blogger is Sarah Ayres, a research associate at the Center for American Progress Action Fund.

By now we have all heard the latest in the months-long debate over reducing the nation’s deficit — barring a last-minute miracle, the congressional super committee tasked with finding at least $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction will fail to come to an agreement. Cue handwringing by pundits lamenting the inability of both Democrats and Republicans to compromise.

The notion that both sides share in the blame is an easy line for commentators to repeat, but it isn’t true. Time and time again, the only thing preventing an agreement on long-term deficit reduction has been the Republicans’ absolute refusal to consider any tax increases on high-income households as part of the solution. Michael Linden and I created a timeline of major events in the past six months of deficit talks:

February 14, 2011: President Barack Obama submits budget for 2012 with about $2 trillion in deficit reduction, half of which come from spending cuts.

April 15, 2011: House passes Rep. Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) budget, which includes $5.8 trillion in spending cuts along with tax cuts for the richest Americans.

May 5, 2011: Vice President Joe Biden begins debt talks.

May 11, 2011: Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) says he will not raise debt limit without spending cuts that match how much the limit is raised.

June 23, 2011: Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) walks away from debt ceiling talks with Biden after refusing to consider any tax increases. The administration had offered $2.4 trillion in spending cuts for $400 billion in taxes, an 83:17 split.

July 7, 2011: Obama and Boehner begin debt-ceiling negotiations.

July 9, 2011: Boehner walks away from Obama’s “grand bargain”: $4 trillion in debt reduction comprised of $1 trillion in revenue and $3 trillion in spending cuts, including entitlement reforms.

July 19, 2011: The Gang of Six proposes a $4 trillion deficit reduction plan, including $2 trillion in revenue.

July 22, 2011: Again, Boehner walks away from negotiations after Obama offers $1.2 trillion in revenues and $1.6 trillion in spending cuts, including entitlements.

July 31, 2011: Debt ceiling agreement is reached, cutting $1 trillion in spending immediately and establishing the super committee to reduce deficits by at least an additional $1.2 trillion.

October 26, 2011: Democrats first super committee offer is $3 trillion in deficit reduction comprised of about $1.3 trillion in revenues and $1.7 trillion in spending cuts, including cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Republicans immediately reject it. Republicans’ first super committee offer is $2.2 trillion in deficit reduction, which includes no new tax revenues.

November 8, 2011: Republicans’ second super committee offer is $1.5 trillion in deficit reduction. It does include $300 billion in new tax revenue, but in exchange for extending the Bush tax cuts and lowering the top tax rate. The plan would ultimately cut taxes for the wealthy and raise them for everyone else.

November 10, 2011: Democrats’ second offer is $2.3 trillion in deficit reduction, consisting of $1.3 trillion in spending cuts and $1 trillion in revenue. The revenue would be split between $350 billion in concrete measures and $650 billion in future tax reform. Republicans reject it.

November 11, 2011: Democrats agree to Republicans’ top lines including just $400 billion in revenues and $875 billion in spending cuts, but refuse to accept the GOP’s tax cut for the rich. Republicans reject it and make their final offer: $640 billion in spending cuts and $3 billion in revenues.

What this timeline shows is just how much Democrats have been willing to bend, only to have Republicans reject very generous offers. Back in June, Democrats reportedly offered a mere $400 billion in tax increases as part of a $2.4 trillion deficit reduction package — a 83:17 ratio of spending cuts to tax increases. Republicans said no.

And they haven’t budged an inch since then, stubbornly insisting that any deficit reduction package consist entirely of spending cuts. Even after Democrats on the super committee agreed to the Republican top line of $400 billion in revenues, Republicans refused to make a deal.

Looking at all the offers rejected by Republicans, it comes as no surprise that the super committee will not reach a deal. By rejecting any mix of spending cuts and tax increases, Republicans ensured that there would be no agreement a deficit reduction package.

Economy

Rand Paul: Extending Unemployment Benefits Would Be Borrowing From China ‘To Pay People Not To Work’

Unless unemployment benefits are extended in the next few months, six million Americans will lose their benefits in 2012, including one million in January alone. This will suck $57 billion out of the economy in the first quarter of next year.

Republicans have turned several extensions of unemployment benefits into political theater, refusing to extend them without offsetting cuts elsewhere in the budget. On CNN’s State of the Union yesterday, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) started this song-and-dance again, telling Candy Crowley that he would not support any plan that extended unemployment benefits without a way to pay for it, because to do otherwise is “to borrow money from China to pay people not to work”:

“If you want to extend unemployment benefits, they have to be paid for,” Paul said. “We have an unemployment program. We have a tax for it. It’s paid for for 26 weeks. So the question is, do we want to borrow money from China to pay people not to work?

Watch Paul’s comments:

But Paul’s assessment of unemployment benefits vastly underestimates their value. Research has proven that benefits for the long-term unemployed are not weakening job search efforts. And the extended benefits provide necessary support to those who are unemployed and help boost the economy. In fact, unemployment benefits provide some of the highest bang-for-the-buck of any government program.

Already, most jobless Americans are no longer eligible for unemployment benefits. At a time when there are still four job seekers for every opening and many Americans continue to struggle with unemployment, it belittles their struggle for Paul to say that the vital support from unemployment benefits is only paying them “not to work.”

Economy

FLASHBACK: Past ‘Grand Bargains’ Relied On Taxes To Reduce The Deficit

Both Reagan & Clinton signed "grand bargains" with tax increases

The congressional super committee tasked with cutting $1.5 trillion from the federal deficit over the next 10 years is likely to announce its failure today, and the main reason is that the committee’s six Republicans refused to budge on their support for massive tax cuts for the rich. Democrats would have even accepted the GOP’s paltry concession on revenues — $350 billion from ending deductions — had Republicans not included a permanent extension of the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) said this morning.

Twenty-four cents out of every dollar saved in Sen. Pat Toomey’s (R-PA) plan that became the primary Republican offer came from tax increases, an even smaller number than proposed in bipartisan plans from other commissions. But while taxes have become the major sticking point between the two parties in their attempts to reach multiple bargains this year, that hasn’t always been the case. Tax increases, in fact, made up large parts of the five “fiscal grand bargains” made during the Reagan, H.W. Bush, and Clinton administrations, the New York Times reports:

In the five fiscal grand bargains of the 1980s and early 1990s, tax increases accounted for an average of 61 cents of every dollar saved. In fact, in President Reagan’s 1982 and 1984 budget-trimming deals, more than 80 percent of deficit reductions came from tax increases. What’s more, the deals passed with majority support from both parties. Mr. Reagan may be remembered as an antitax hero, but he actually raised taxes 11 times over the course of his presidency, all in the name of fiscal responsibility.

Republicans used to rank deficit reduction ahead of curbing taxes, but now the reverse is true.

While Republicans claim to be focused on deficit reduction, their attachment to tax cuts continues to tell a different story. The Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, originally passed in 2003, blew a hole in the federal budget when the GOP offered no plan to pay for them, even though the party predicted at the time that it would pay off the nation’s debt in 10 years. And instead of asking the wealthiest Americans to sacrifice, the GOP has sought to take the knife to an array of programs that help the elderly, the poor, and women, infants, and children in the name of deficit reduction.

The super committee’s lack of a deal isn’t necessarily a “failure,” as economists have warned that forced austerity would only imperil the American economy. But the GOP’s intransigence, tied together by anti-tax activist Grover Norquist, has already led to the first credit downgrade in American history. Now, even as Republicans attempt to lay blame at the feet of Democrats, that anti-tax dogma has prevented the super committee from reaching a deal that Democrats were apparently itching to sign onto.

Health

Romney Calls On Obama To Undo Triggered Military Cuts, Reduce Funding To Medicaid

During a campaign appearance at BAE Systems this morning — a mega defense contractor — Mitt Romney accused President Obama of trapping the super committee into failure in order to reduce defense spending by $600 billion. The former Massachusetts governor criticized Obama for not personally involving himself in the committee’s negotiations and called on the president to introduce legislation that would undo the triggered cuts to military spending and instead target health care funding for the poor:

ROMNEY: In a setting like this, the idea that we’re going to devastate our military is simply unacceptable. I would call on the president and do call on the president to immediately introduce legislation which says we will not have a $600 billion cut to America’s military. We should not cut any funding from our base defense budget, that should not occur. And I would apply the $600 billion that were anticipated on being imposed upon the military, I would take those and apply them into other parts of the federal budget. And there are a number of candidates for that, one of course would be to take something like Medicaid, which is our health care program to the poor and return that program to the states…by doing that you more than compensate for the $600 billion that would be restored to the defense budget.

Watch it:

But Romney has it backwards: cuts to the military would likely have almost zero impact on national security — as they would target the many wasteful, costly weapons programs, many of which are barely even used. Defense contractors like BAE sometimes overcharge and bilk taxpayers, billing the government far more than the “fair and reasonable” price for parts and services. In 2010, BAE Systems pleaded “guilty to one charge of conspiring to make false statements to the U.S. government over regulatory filings.”

Reductions to Medicaid, on the other hand, would significantly increase costs for beneficiaries and the nation and undermine care for lower-income Americans who need it most. As the Congressional Budget Office concluded, if Romney implemented his proposal to “return” Medicaid “to the states” and significantly reduced federal funding, governors would have to cope with the shortfall by “cutting payment rates for doctors, hospitals or nursing homes; reducing the scope of benefits covered; or limiting eligibility,” the budget office concluded. As a result, enrollees could “face more limited access to care,” higher out-of-pocket costs, and “providers could face more uncompensated care as beneficiaries lost coverage for certain benefits or lost coverage altogether.”

Americans overwhelmingly oppose additional cuts to the Medicaid program — which states are already curtailing during a period of heightened eligibility — but 51 percent of voters support reducing the bloated military budget.

Politics

Kerry: What Republicans Are Telling You Is ‘Patently Not True’

As the deficit super committee nears its deadline with failure likely, Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) appeared on NBC’s Meet the Press today to slam Republicans for refusing to negotiate in good faith. Appearing after Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ), the number two Senate Republican, Kerry told host David Gregory that much of what Kyl said was “patently not true.”

He also took on the GOP’s proposal for being egregiously misguided. As ThinkProgress has noted, the super committee plan presented by Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) would result in a massive tax cut for the rich while enacting budget cuts and tax increases that primarily buden the working- and middle-classes. Today, Kerry called out the GOP’s plan on Meet The Press, calling the proposal the biggest tax cut since before the Great Depression — “we all know how that turned out,” he quipped — and noting that the super committee was formed to reduce the deficit, not to make it larger with huge tax cuts:

KERRY: This is the most important thing of all: The Toomey plan still results in the biggest tax cut since the Great Depression. It would be the biggest tax cut since Calvin Coolidge, and we all know how that turned out. Now, we didn’t come here to do another tax cut for the wealthiest people while we’re (asking) fixed-income seniors to ante up more, people on Medicaid, who are poor, to ante up more.

Watch it:

Politics

Super Committee Co-Chair Murray: Bush Tax Cuts Are The ‘Sticking Divide’

Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA), the Democratic co-chair of the congressional super committee, said this morning on CNN’s State of the Union that the super committee charged with crafting a deficit reduction plan remains stuck on the Bush tax cuts:

“There is one sticking divide, and that is the issue of what I call shared sacrifice, where everybody contributes in a very challenging time for our country,” Murray told CNN’s Candy Crowley on “State of the Union.”

“That’s the Bush tax cuts, and making sure that any kind of package includes everybody coming to the table and the wealthiest of Americans, those who earn over a million dollars every year, have to share, too. And that line in the sand, we haven’t seen any Republicans willing to cross yet,” Murray said.

The super committee has to approve a plan by Nov. 23. Despite the fact that most expect the super committee to fail, Murray said she is willing to talk to any Republican interested in making a deal. “I’ll be waiting all day…willing to talk to any Republican who says, ‘Look, my country is more important,’” said Murray. “I’m ready.” Watch Murray’s comments:

This is, of course, more of the same from Republican lawmakers, who have repeatedly taken the country to the brink to preserve the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans. One wonders about Republicans’ actual commitment to cutting the deficit when they’re preventing a committee tasked with doing just that from succeeding by demanding more tax cuts, which only grow the deficit.

Previously on Fox News, Murray’s Republican counterpart Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) attacked Democrats on the committee for failing to negotiate about the privatization of Medicare. But Rep. Xavier Becerra (D-CA), who is also on the super committee, said today that’s not true. Democrats are open to cutting entitlement social safety net program, Becerra said.

As Murray told Crowley, referring to Grover Norquist’s pledge against tax increases, “As long as we have some Republican lawmakers who feel more enthralled with a pledge they took to a Republican lobbyist than they do to a pledge to the country to solve the problems, this is going to be hard to do.”

NEWS FLASH

Poll: Tea Party Voters Oppose Cuts To Medicare, Social Security | A new McClatchy-Marist Institute for Public Opinion poll shows 81 percent of voters oppose major cuts to Social Security and Medicare. The poll, which tests voters’ opinions of deficit cutting policies being considered by the super committee, found overwhelming opposition to such cuts within each demographic. Even supposedly anti-government Tea Party supporters opposed the cuts by a 76-22 margin. The poll also found consensus behind increasing taxes on higher-earning Americans: 67 percent of respondents agreed with that suggestion, including 53 percent of Republicans.

Karl Singer

Health

Skin In The Game: Super Committee Cuts Could Lead To Worse Health For Gay And Transgender Americans

The ongoing budget and deficit reduction negotiations carry far-reaching consequences for every American. But further capping or cutting funding for vital health programs such as Medicare, community health centers, and Medicaid place communities that already face disparities in health and access to health care, including gay and transgender Americans, under even greater threat.

Heavy cuts to health care entitlement programs and health programs funded by nondefense discretionary spending would put these communities at serious risk of losing assistance essential to their well-being. Many gay and transgender people, like other Americans, rely on entitlement programs such as Medicare and stand to benefit substantially from the expansion of Medicaid and other promising provisions of the Affordable Care Act. Most importantly, further cuts to discretionary spending threaten to undermine the national health infrastructure that protects the health of all Americans and that is critical to closing the disparities that affect the lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender population.

Programs and initiatives at risk include:

Data collection by HHS on sexual orientation and gender identity that would allow gay and transgender disparities to be identified and effectively targeted

– Biomedical and behavioral research on HIV prevention and treatment at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Institutes of Health

– Primary, preventive, and other direct health care services through community health centers, which will serve an estimated 40 million Americans by 2015, including many gay and transgender people and their families

– Mental health services that help gay and transgender youth and adults cope with depression and other consequences of bullying and discrimination

– Substance abuse prevention and treatment programs, including tobacco cessation programs that work to reduce high rates of smoking among LGBT people

– Programs that support out-of-home gay and transgender youth, who comprise up to 40 percent of the homeless youth population in the United States

– Efforts by the Office of Minority Health to address the staggering disparities that affect gay and transgender communities of color

Though the funding for these programs may be discretionary, the programs themselves should not be.

The Center for American Progress recommends that cuts to both nondefense discretionary spending and entitlement programs be minimal and balanced by the kinds of revenue increases that will truly help eliminate the deficit and responsibly balance the budget. The committee must resist the urge to take a cuts-only approach without raising any significant additional revenue. Otherwise, it threatens to sacrifice our nation’s future health for short-term political gain.

Economy

A Day After Saying GOP Wouldn’t Accept ‘Any Penny’ In Revenue Increases, Hensarling Walks It Back

Super committee Republicans proposed a deal last week that includes only $300 billion in revenue increases, all in the form of deduction eliminations, a paltry concession that was vastly outweighed by the massive tax cut for the rich the plan also included. While the proposal was an attempt to make Republicans look like they were actually considering revenue increases as part of a deal, it was quickly dismissed by Democrats. Even anti-tax advocate Grover Norquist saw through the plan, dismissing it as nothing more than a “negotiating position.”

Super committee co-chair Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) made that clear yesterday, suggesting to CNBC’s Larry Kudlow that “any penny” in revenue increases would be a deal-breaker for the committee’s Republican members. “But listen, any penny of increased static revenue is a step in the wrong direction,” Hensarling said.

Now, however, with Democrats rebuking Hensarling’s comments as “unhelpful,” and even some Republicans agreeing that the party may need to concede on taxes, Hensarling has walked back those comments, suggesting the GOP would consider new revenues in exchange for deeper concessions — in the form of entitlement cuts — from Democrats, the Hill reports:

Republicans on Wednesday signaled they would consider higher tax revenues to win a supercommittee deal if Democrats offer deeper cuts to entitlement spending. [...]

Briefing reporters on Wednesday, Hensarling said Republicans would be “more than happy to negotiate” around a new offer from Democrats, pointedly declining to say whether $250 billion was the maximum in new revenue the GOP could accept.

I’m waiting for the Democrats to put fundamental reform on the table,” Hensarling said.

According to the Washington Post, the GOP is beginning to undergo an “identity crisis” when it comes to taxes, as members have realized that reaching a super committee deal and balancing the country’s budget is impossible without raising new revenue.

But while Hensarling’s new position may seem reasonable on its face, it’s unfortunate that he and his party continue to hold vital entitlement programs like Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security hostage while supporting massive tax cuts for the rich, even as a growing number of millionaires are begging the GOP to raise their taxes to help address the nation’s debt. Those actions are particularly troubling in the face of recent reports from economists who warned that such austerity measures will only push the country closer to the brink of another recession.

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