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Climate Progress

2014 Is Looking To Be A 7,000 Megawatt Year For Wind Power Capacity And Innovation

GE's new Brilliant 2.5 megawatt turbine. (Credit: GE)

According to Bloomberg, Warren Buffet’s MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co. is gearing up to drop $1.9 billion on new wind farms in Iowa. The investment might build as many as 656 new turbines by 2015, which would add as much as 1,050 megawatts of wind power capacity to the 2,285 megawatts the company already operates in the state.

The project could also herald a revival in American wind power in general. The anticipated expiration of the production tax credit for wind energy drove a spike in installations in 2012, then a lull into 2013, and finally an anticipated ramp up now that the credit was extended for another year by the fiscal cliff deal.

And because the new extension merely requires projects to start construction by the end of the year to qualify — projects previously had to actually come online by the end of the year to benefit from the credit — GE now expects the full force of the revival to hit in 2014:

Wind-farm developers including NextEra Energy Inc. (NEE) and Invenergy LLC may install 3,000 megawatts to 4,000 megawatts of turbines in the U.S. this year and as much as 7,000 megawatts next year, Anne McEntee, GE’s vice president of renewable energy, said today in an interview.

The U.S. added a record 13,124 megawatts of turbines last year, outpacing natural gas installations for the first time, as wind developers raced to complete projects ahead of the Dec. 31 expiration of the production tax credit. Denmark’s Vestas Wind Systems A/S (VWS) andSpain’s Gamesa Corp Tecnologica SA (GAM) also expect new orders to pick up by the third quarter.…

GE has received orders this year for more than 1,000 megawatts of wind turbines, including one from NextEra for 100.3 megawatts announced today for a Michigan wind farm and Invenergy’s 215-megawatt deal announced last week for a project in Texas.

Also coming down the pike for wind power is the new version of GE’s Brilliant — a 2.5 megawatt wind turbine, featuring new smart systems and accompanying storage capacity. With both its own sensors and access to the internet, the Brilliant can take in weather forecast data, grid system information, and supply and demand patterns, and use all that top adjust everything from electronics operations to its blade positions. Combined with a new height and an increase of rotor length to 120 meters, these changes boost the new Brilliant’s efficiency by 25 percent over the last model.

The batteries will boast 50 kilowatt-hours of storage a pop, and be hooked up to the turbines from a nearby ground pad. The batteries will store up excess power generated when the wind is blowing the strongest and the turbines are operating at peak capacity, then distribute the power during off hours. This smooths out the power supply from the wind farms, thus avoiding a lot of the disruptions and reliability issues that came along with the fact that the wind does not always cooperate with the needs of us humans.

All told, this would continue the roll wind power has already been on in the United States: 2012 saw the installation of wind capacity outpace all other forms of energy production, and the U.S. and China led the boom in global installations that same year.

Climate Progress

Doubling Wind Power Could Save Mid-Atlantic Consumers $6.9 Billion A Year

Wind power had a banner year in 2012, accounting for more new generating capacity than any other resource. Despite the boom in cheap natural gas, 42 percent of all new capacity last year was actually from wind, which clocked in at 13,131 MW in new installations for the year.

The economics for wind power have only gotten more compelling, helped in no small part by the Production Tax Credit and the Investment Tax Credit creating strong investment incentives. This boom in wind power has begun to transform electricity markets across the country, creating significant net benefits for consumers and providing low carbon power to homes nationwide.

A new report from the consulting firm Synapse and Americans for a Clean Energy Grid found that increases in wind power in the PJM Interconnection could save consumers $6.9 billion per year out to 2026, along with 14 percent reductions in CO2.

The PJM Interconnection is the world’s largest competitive wholesale electricity market, serving 60 million customers across 13 states and the District of Columbia. Currently, wind provides about 1.5 percent of the electricity to PJM’s customers, and accounts for 3.4 percent of installed capacity. Based just on the Renewable Portfolio Standards in states within the PJM region, renewables must provide 14 percent of all electricity by 2026. It is likely that about 11 percent of this will come from new wind generation.

The report from Synapse uses the projections from meeting Renewable Portfolio Standards as a reference case, and then takes a look at the effects of doubling the amount of wind power required by statute in the PJM region out to 2026. By modeling the production costs and capital investments, the authors can ascertain what the difference is between these two cases for revenue requirements (and therefore, the impact on ratepayers). The big difference between these two cases is that in the reference scenario, natural gas composes the majority of new generation beyond what the state Renewable Portfolio Standard requires—and wind takes that market share in the other. This illustrates the shortsightedness of the “cheap natural gas” narrative that has become conventional wisdom in mainstream reporting. The cheaper bet, actually, is increasing deployment of wind.

The report finds that doubling capacity of installed wind, from 32.1 GW in the base case to 65.4 GW in the wind case, would create net savings of $6.9 billion per year. This is the result of savings from production costs amounting to $14.5 billion, and capital investment requirements of $7.6 billion. Remember that the capital investment numbers here represent the difference between what would be spent in the reference case ($17.4 billion) and what would be spent in the wind case ($25 billion).

The other benefit of more wind in PJM is lower wholesale prices. The report finds that the load-weighted average annual price for power drops from $80.27 per megawatt hour to $78.53 per megawatt hour.

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Economy

Democratic Senators Introduce Bill To Make Family Tax Credits Permanent

Sens. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) and Dick Durbin (D-IL) have introduced legislation that would make permanent two tax credits aimed at reducing poverty and helping low-income and working families. Two dozen other lawmakers have signed onto the legislation, which would also expand eligibility for the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and the Child Tax Credit, which were originally expanded by the 2009 stimulus law and were extended temporarily by the deal to avert the fiscal cliff in January.

The tax credits have received bipartisan support in the past, a point Brown and Durbin made in a release announcing the legislation, The Hill reports:

Enhancing the earned income tax credit should be a bipartisan goal, as President Reagan called EITC the most effective tool in fighting poverty,” Brown said in a statement. “We need to reward Americans who work hard and play by the rules and ensure that they can work and continue to take care of their families.”

This bill is pro-family, pro-work legislation that would permanently extend critical refundable tax credit provisions that have helped lift millions of working families out of poverty,” Durbin added.

Combined, the EITC and child credit kept 9.4 million people out of poverty in 2011, according to data from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Nearly 5 million of those were children, and the stimulus expansion kept 1.5 million more out of poverty than the original credits would have. Since then, though, Republicans in Congress have sought to roll back those extensions in different tax plans put forth in the House and Senate.

That would be a mistake, since the tax credits don’t just keep families out of poverty — they also increase future earnings for children who benefit from them, according to CBPP. Brown and Durbin’s legislation would ensure that more families — and more children — would be able to take advantage of those benefits in the future.

Economy

How A Low-Income Tax Credit Boosts Children’s Education And Future Earnings

President Obama’s latest budget doesn’t just take aim at the tax code by raising $580 billion in new revenues by closing loopholes, limiting deductions for the wealthy, and instituting the Buffett Rule. It also made the expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) included in the 2009 stimulus package permanent. This refundable credit is aimed at giving poor and working people more income. But research also shows that the benefits extend beyond the workers to their children.

The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities found that the children of EITC recipients do better in school, are likelier to go to college, and earn more when they enter the workforce:

As the graphic above illustrates, for every $3,000 in EITC income a family receives, a child goes on to work 135 more hours a year as an adult and to earn 17 percent more. Beyond educational and financial outcomes, the children who live in families that receive EITC credits are likely to avoid the early onset of disabilities and other illnesses that are associated with child poverty. The EITC may also help infants by reducing low-weight and premature births.

Interestingly, the EITC can have similar benefits for parents by boosting their employment rates. Overall, income from the EITC and the Child Tax Credit kept about 10 million people out of poverty in 2011. Many of those people, 1.5 million, owe their eligibility for the credit to the stimulus’ expansion, the one that Obama is seeking to make permanent. Republicans, for their part, have repeatedly tried to roll back that expansion, which could have serious impact on low-income parents and their kids.

Economy

Working Family Tax Credits Kept Nearly 10 Million People Out Of Poverty 2011

The combined punch of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and Child Tax Credit (CTC) lifted almost 10 million Americans out of poverty in 2011, according to the latest round up of the numbers by the Center On Budget and Policy Priorities. Last year, the two programs kept almost 5 million women alone out of poverty.

Both credits are built into the income tax code and both were expanded by the stimulus bill passed in 2009. The EITC is fully refundable — if the value of the credit exceeds an individual’s total income tax burden, the remaining balance is paid back to them — and the CTC is partially refundable. This means both credits work as added boosts to the paychecks of low-income and working class families. Put it all together, and CBPP found that 9.4 million people, including 4.9 million children, were kept out of poverty by the two programs in 2011.

As the chart shows, 1.5 million of those Americans owe their eligibility for the credits to the expansion that came with the stimulus — an important point, since the Republicans have made repeated attempts to roll those expansions back.

This is especially galling because both the EITC and CTC have features conservatives should applaud: first, because someone has to earn an income to qualify for them, the credits operate as an economic incentive to find work. Second, eligibility for both credits phases out gradually, minimizing any “welfare trap” effects. And third, because they’re credits rather than deductions, the money they provide is more focused on Americans in need, with less excess spending higher up the income ladder.

Beyond their poverty reducing effects, CBPP also found that families that benefitted from the credits saw their children go on to earn more as adults (when parents are stuck in low-wage work, it has damaging ripple effects for their children) and that the EITC specifically has done far more to increase employment amongst single mothers than either the GOP’s much touted welfare reform in the 1990s.

Economy

Maine Rejects Tax Cuts For The Rich, Approves A Break For The Poor

Bucking the national trend of asking the poor to pay more in taxes while giving breaks to the wealthiest Americans, Maine’s House of Representatives this week approved an expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit and rejected an attempt to cut capital gains taxes.

A handful of states have done the opposite recently. Arkansas, Ohio, Louisiana, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Kansas, Oklahoma, and North Carolina‘s legislatures have all backed efforts to lower taxes on the rich. But Maine’s legislature is looking to give more money to those who need it most instead of the rich:

Portland Democrat Rep. Peter Stuckey’s bill, LD 455, An Act to Increase the State Earned Income Credit, would double the state earned income tax credit for low-income individuals and families to 10 percent of the federal earned income tax credit and make it fully refundable at the state level.

Democrats said the bill would provide financial relief to those who need it most, people who are likely to spend the money locally on necessities such as rent and groceries.

“We heard over and over again that the people who are going to get this credit are going to buy groceries, gas for their cars, and pay their rent,” said Rep. Adam Goode, D-Bangor, who co-chairs the Legislature’s Taxation Committee. “These are people we are sure are going to spend the money right away.”

Those who backed the capital gains tax cut in Maine, the same people who oppose the EITC expansion, incorrectly believe that a capital gains cut will help boost the economy. In actuality, the Congressional Research Service has found no correlation between economic growth and lower capital gains taxes.

On the other hand, the federal version of the EITC helps boost both employment and education among the poor. In 2011, 4.9 million children, and 9.4 million people overall, were lifted out of poverty thanks to the federal EITC.

Alyssa

Bristol Palin’s Failed Reality Show Received $354,348 In Taxpayer Dollars From Alaska

The continuing move of the entire Palin family into reality television careers is an amusing downfall story, but it took a serious turn today with the news that the state of Alaska had provided $354,348 in subsidies to Bristol Palin’s most recent venture into the genre, her Lifetime show Bristol Palin: Life’s A Tripp, which had such dreadful ratings it was yanked from its slot after two episodes. It’s one thing for the entertainment industry to effectively subsidize the Palins’ careers, given the relatively limited appeal they have in the aftermath of Sarah Palin’s political career. But it’s another for Alaska to spend money to attract a show to the state that probably would have filmed there anyway.

If the purpose of film and television production credits is to keep jobs in-state or to convince companies that otherwise might not have produced shows in a state to consider filming there, it’s not remotely clear why Bristol Palin: Life’s a Tripp would have been a good candidate for those credits. Alaska is Palin’s childhood home. It’s where her parents continue to live, though Todd Palin’s stint in reality television this fall might mean that the family is gravitating more towards Los Angeles. And it’s where Levi Johnston, the father of Bristol’s child, continues to live. If she was retreating from an attempt at a career in California and reestablishing her life near her support system, Alaska was the most logical place for her to do it, even absent a subsidy program. That the show got tax credits from the state suggests more an eagerness to distribute them to whatever project came along than a real effort to attract new and unexpected business to the state.

It’s true that the show generated some revenue for the state, though it’s hard to tell if it was enough to justify spending those subsidies on this particular program, rather than attempting to attract another show to Alaska, or holding off on spending it at all. The Fairbanks Daily News-Miner, which broke the story of the tax subsidy, notes that the production reported spending $995,275 in Alaska, though not all of that money went to people who live in Alaska, and about $500,000 of that spending went to on-camera talent for the show. The benefits of the program were not exactly broad, or oriented towards creating a lot of new, long-term Alaska jobs.

I understand why states try to lure away productions from California, and to get some of those jobs for their own citizens. But with almost every state offering some form of incentives, it’s easy for productions to shop for the best deal and to pit those subsidy programs against each other in a way that could minimize the economic benefits the states receive from hosting those productions. And if one of the marks of a viable industry is that it can survive without being subsidized, some states are finding it difficult to get their film programs truly off the ground—after Michigan cut its incentives, a new and expensive studio in Pontiac is finding itself without clients. If states are going to pony up to attract film and television productions, they should be clear about what kind of benefits make the programs worth it for them, or they should consider orienting those credits programs to ends beyond economic ones, like improving the numbers of contracts going to women and minority-owned businesses or projects in the industry. The welfare of Bristol Palin and the future of Alaska’s film and television industry are not one and the same.

Health

After Cutting Tax Credit For Children, Michigan Republicans Consider One For Fetuses

State legislators in Michigan held a hearing on Tuesday to consider House Bills 5684 and 5685, which would allow taxpayers to receive tax relief for unborn fetuses past 12 weeks’ gestation. The proposed legislation is an odd push for Michigan Republicans, partly because Progress Michigan notes the state slashed tax credits for children last year — meaning that although parents living in Michigan do not qualify for additional tax breaks to offset the cost of caring for their own children, they could soon be able to claim a tax credit for an unborn fetus.

Progress Michigan’s executive director points out that the proposed legislation is a dangerous step toward endowing fetuses with the same rights as human beings while disregarding the real economic needs of Michigan’s children, 341,000 of whom currently live in high-poverty areas:

“It’s clear Lansing Republicans have the wrong priorities by wasting time on these extreme bills,” said Zack Pohl, Executive Director of Progress Michigan. “This is really a backdoor way of passing extreme personhood legislation, which has been rejected by voters in states across the country. Even worse, this would create a special new tax credit for unborn fetuses, after Lansing Republicans eliminated the tax credit for living, breathing children last year. It’s time for our elected leaders to get their priorities straight and start working together to create good jobs and improve education.”

The National Conference of State Legislatures believes this type of legislation could represent the first of its kind, although they acknowledged that the issue of states providing tax credits for fetuses has not been widely studied.

The nonpartisan House Fiscal Agency has estimated that allowing Michigan residents to claim a tax credit for unborn fetuses would cost the state between $5 million and $10 million annually in lost tax revenue.

(HT: Alison C)

Economy

New Measure Shows Government Assistance Kept More Than 25 Million Out Of Poverty In 2011

Last year, the Census Bureau began releasing the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) alongside the official measure its been using since the 1960s, in order to provide lawmakers with a more sophisticated picture of poverty in America. The Census Bureau today released its updated report on the SPM for 2012, which showed that about 16 percent of the country is living in poverty, roughly the same as last year.

Using that new data, the Center for American Progress determined that, all told, federal programs aimed at helping struggling Americans lifted more than 25 million people out of poverty in 2011:

Refundable tax credits for working families such as the earned income and child tax credits, for example, lifted 8.7 million people out of poverty in 2011, and the child poverty rate would have been 6.3 percentage points higher without them. Similarly, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program lifted 4.7 million people out of poverty in 2011. Without it, the child poverty rate would have been 2.9 percentage points higher.

The official poverty metric used in America since the 1960s takes the basic food diet for a household, accounts for various family compositions, multiplies that by three, and then looks at whether a family’s gross income before taxes and transfers meets that threshold. But that approach leaves out several important factors, including changes in family structures and circumstances since the 1960s, expenses such as clothing and medical costs, and geographic variation. And while it considers the effects of some government spending such as Social Security and welfare, it ignores others, as well as with the effects of many tax credits that help millions of American families.

Economy

GOP Priorities: Raising Taxes On 13 Million Low-Income Households, Cutting Them For 7,000 Wealthy Estates

A mere 7,450 of the wealthiest estates in the country could receive an average tax break of $1.1 million in 2013, while over 13 million low-income families could see their tax burden increase by $1,000 or more, if proposals by the GOP were to go into effect, according to the Center On Budget and Policy Priorities. The legislation, drawn up by Senate Republicans and already passed by House Republicans, would preserve through next year a cut to the estate tax that was enacted in the December 2010 tax deal. Meanwhile, it would allow expansions of the Earned Income Tax Credit and the Child Tax Credit passed in that same deal to expire.

As the CBPP noted today, the asymmetry in who would and would not benefit from these proposals, and by how much, is striking:

Relative to the 2009 estate-tax parameters, the estate-tax break enacted at the end of 2010 benefits only the heirs of estates that have assets in excess of $3.5 million for an individual and $7 million for a couple. 

For the estates that receive it, the estate-tax break enacted in 2010 is worth an average of $1.1 million per estate, relative to the 2009 parameters, according to the Tax Policy Center. […]

For many lower-income working families, the impact of losing the tax-credit improvements would be substantial. For instance, a married couple with three children that has earnings at the estimated poverty line for 2013 ($27,713 for a family of that size) will receive $1,934 less in combined CTC and EITC benefits next year if policymakers let the improvements expire.  Similarly, a single mother with two children working full time at the minimum wage — and earning about $14,000 — will receive a CTC of just $173 in 2013 instead of $1,725.

The cost of continuing the EITC and CTC through 2013 comes out to $3.4 billion and $7.6 billion respectively, for a total of $11 billion. The cost of the estate tax cut for its original two year period was $23 billion, suggesting an extension for another year would roughly equal the cost of extending the tax credits.

In short, the Republicans are proposing to recoup new revenue by raising taxes on 13 million American families, while losing roughly the same amount of revenue in order to give a minute, rarified group of the wealthiest Americans another year of enormous tax cuts.

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