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Climate Progress

Tom Friedman Calls For Mass Keystone Protests, Labels Obama Presidency ‘A Net Setback For The Green Movement’

One of the only national journalists to write regularly about the story of the century is three-time Pulitzer Prize winner Tom Friedman.

The centrist columnist pulls no punches in his Sunday NY Times column, “No to Keystone. Yes to Crazy,” which opens:

I HOPE the president turns down the Keystone XL oil pipeline. (Who wants the U.S. to facilitate the dirtiest extraction of the dirtiest crude from tar sands in Canada’s far north?) But I don’t think he will. So I hope that Bill McKibben and his 350.org coalition go crazy. I’m talking chain-themselves-to-the-White-House-fence-stop-traffic-at-the-Capitol kind of crazy, because I think if we all make enough noise about this, we might be able to trade a lousy Keystone pipeline for some really good systemic responses to climate change.

He notes we’re at a unique time in our history:

We don’t get such an opportunity often — namely, a second-term Democratic president who is under heavy pressure to approve a pipeline to create some jobs but who also has a green base that he can’t ignore. So cue up the protests, and pay no attention to people counseling rational and mature behavior. We need the president to be able to say to the G.O.P. oil lobby, “I’m going to approve this, but it will kill me with my base. Sasha and Malia won’t even be talking to me, so I’ve got to get something really big in return.”

But while he praises Obama for some key individual climate policies, overall he sees back-sliding:

Face it: The last four years have been a net setback for the green movement. While President Obama deserves real praise for passing a historic increase in vehicle mileage efficiency and limits on the emissions of new coal-fired power plants, the president also chose to remove the term “climate change” from his public discourse and kept his talented team of environmentalists in a witness-protection program, banning them from the climate debate. This silence coincided with record numbers of extreme weather events — droughts and floods — and with a huge structural change in the energy marketplace.

I discussed the origins of this ‘strategy’ here (see “Team Obama Launched The Inane Strategy Of Downplaying Climate Change Back In March 2009“).

What is the structural change in the marketplace that Friedman refers to? Why none other than our new frenemy, hydraulic fracturing (aka fracking) — along with “horizontal drilling at much greater distances.”

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Security

Foreign Policy Heavyweights Discuss Climate Change’s Effects On Arab Spring

Former State Department Director of Policy Planning Anne-Marie Slaughter and New York Times columnist Tom Friedman engaged in an hour and a half discussion with CAP moderator Michael Werz on Thursday, heralding the release of a new series of essays related to the link between climate change and insecurity titled “The Arab Spring and Climate Change.”

A product of CAP, the Stimson Center, and the Center for Climate and Security, the report collects five essays that show how what were once local issues have become global, showing for example how a drought in China led to increased food prices in Egypt. In the preface to the report, Slaughter borrowed the concept of a “stressor” — a “sudden change in circumstances or environment” that interacts with various other factors that leads to sudden change — from criminal science to show how climate change acts to “ignite a volatile mix of underlying causes to erupt into revolution.” Those stressors include the way weather patterns effect the migration of peoples and shifting climates’ contribution to food insecurity, which serve as a multiplier of other factors blocking sustainable security.

Speaking before a packed house at CAP, Friedman implored the audience to think of the Middle East not by the current national borders, but instead envisioning as overlaid maps of culture and climate to understand the region. Slaughter took the concept a step further, adding in maps of political networks — government, corporate, NGOs, and others — and seeing where the larger “nodes” in those networks exist. Tracing where those nodes intersect, Slaughter said, shows where policy can be made.

Climate change overlaps with both a decentralization of foreign policy making and an increase in the technology that may be able to fix it, according to Slaughter and Friedman. Decision-making is spreading away from solely being governments interacting with each other and into a more dispersed framework, Slaughter said, citing the reporting of air quality by the U.S. Embassy in Beijing, China, which is then picked up by Chinese nationals. Referring to the interconnected networks that the Internet facilitates, Slaughter said she wants to “see the world like the Millennials see it.”

As the population of people in the world having the same standard of living as the United States increases, Friedman said, so too will the dangers associated with climate change. Modern technology is showing the ability to help fight that, Friedman said. He provided the example of how the combination of a new ID law, advancing IT infrastructure, and emerging energy technology can allow villagers in India to refrain from moving into larger cities, lowering carbon emissions in the process.

Speaking to ThinkProgress after the event, Slaughter advised those seeking to help prevent further climate change, and the insecurity it brings, to “consider where they are in the network they’re trying to influence.” Global cities and states topped the list of those networks whose combined influence would be able to affect change on the global stage. “Then think, ‘Where am I placed?’ and my point is, you want to be in or be able to influence the central node,” Slaughter continued. That might mean cooperation between individual actors or linking between networks, through reaching out to corporations or local governments.

Watch the full event HERE.

Security

Romney Reverses Again: ‘Culture Does Matter,’ But Still Ignores Israeli Occupation Of Palestinians

Palestinians line up at an Israeli military checkpoint in the West Bank

Mitt Romney took a lot of flak for his comment that the disparity between Israeli and Palestinian economic prosperity could be chalked up to “culture” (and God and a “few other things” that went unspecified). Perhaps chastened, Romney initially denied he was talking about Palestinian culture, though he plainly was. Then, true to form, he reversed himself.

Romney doubled down and, before long, penned an article in the National Review titled “Culture Does Matter.” The presumptive GOP presidential nominee placed his comments about Israel squarely into his flawed Freedom Agenda. He wrote:

Like the United States, the state of Israel has a culture that is based upon individual freedom and the rule of law. It is a democracy that has embraced liberty, both political and economic. [...] Israelis, Palestinians, Poles, Russians, Iranians, Americans, all human beings deserve to enjoy the blessings of a culture of freedom and opportunity.

Leaving aside that modern Israel was founded in part by collectivist farmers (Romney cancelled a meeting with their political descendants), the trope stems from Romney’s apparent interest in two books he’s read — but didn’t read very carefully.

But what Romney left out almost entirely on his trip to the Mideast — unlike his father, who visited Israel in 1967 — was the Palestinians. Tom Friedman wrote in the New York Times that, “Much of what is wrong with the U.S.-Israel relationship today can be found in that Romney trip.” Were Romney to bother, he would have seen he was wrong:

[H]ad Romney gone to Ramallah he would have seen a Palestinian beehive of entrepreneurship, too, albeit small, but not bad for a people living under occupation.… In short, Romney didn’t know what he was talking about.

Indeed, as many commentators have noted, the World Bank blames Palestinian economic woes in large part on the Israeli military occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.

As for “freedom” as a stand-in for cultural traits that lead to prosperity, Altantic writer Robert Wright noted that, “I’m sure many Palestinians agree they could use more freedom, and that this would have economic benefits”:

I mean, leave aside the left-right argument about whether Israeli or Palestinian leaders are more responsible for the failure to reach a two-state solution back when that was still possible. Do you have any idea how offensive Romney sounds to the vast majority of Palestinians who definitely can’t be blamed for this failure to seize past moments?

Romney did find some support for his statement, though. Former House Speaker and failed Republican presidential hopeful Newt Gingrich seemed to accept that Romney was indeed ripping Palestinian culturedespite belonging to a non-existant people — as inferior to Israel’s. It’s no surprise that they would find synergy on this. In a December debate, Gingrich said of the Palestinians, “These people are terrorists.” Romney responded: “I happen to agree with most of what the Speaker said.”

Climate Progress

Cleantech Executives Post-Solyndra: We’re in a “Multi-Decade Energy Transformation” So the Industry Will Keep Growing

Anyone who follows the clean energy industry knows it isn’t a fad. The macro environmental and economic drivers like climate change, limited fossil energies, and the growing global demand for reliable, clean energy sources are simply too strong.

No one should pretend the transition is easy. But it’s inevitable.

That’s why it makes me shudder when I read words like “green energy isn’t going to be the solution” from Congressional political leaders like Cliff Stearns, who recently criticized the industry as “not viable.”

Well, guess what Mr. Stearns? The private-sector executives who actually know something about this industry don’t agree with you. A new survey of 128 cleantech executives released yesterday by the law firm Cooley LLP finds that 74% see strong growth in this industry over the next five years — even with federal heel-dragging under a business as usual scenario.

“Our survey confirms there is an overwhelming belief by clean tech investors and entrepreneurs that private sector investment in clean tech will continue to rise. I believe that this studied enthusiasm is based on the fact that we are still just at the beginning of a multi-decade energy transformation,” said Tom Amis, co-chair of Cooley’s Clean Energy & Technologies practice and based in the firm’s Washington, D.C. office. “Yet, the near term certainly presents some challenges for both investors and entrepreneurs.”

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Climate Progress

Is Occupy Wall Street a Sign of “The Great Disruption”?

GildingYou may remember Paul Gilding, former executive director of Greenpeace International.  Tom Friedman has been writing columns about him since his 2009 piece on how the global economy is a Ponzi scheme.  I was quoted in that column, too, and as a result, have gotten to know him (see video, “Paul Gilding on The Great Disruption:  “You can’t just have an adaptation strategy. There’s no chance of that working”).

Well, Friedman has a new column today, “Something’s Happening Here,” which asks:

When you see spontaneous social protests erupting from Tunisia to Tel Aviv to Wall Street, it’s clear that something is happening globally that needs defining. There are two unified theories out there that intrigue me. One says this is the start of “The Great Disruption.” The other says that this is all part of “The Big Shift.” You decide.

The Big Shift is “the merging of globalization and the Information Technology Revolution” to create a “huge global flow of ideas, innovations, new collaborative possibilities and new market opportunities.”  It basically means anyone, anywhere can make a contribution, get noticed, and rise to the top.

The Great Disruption ain’t so pretty:

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Climate Progress

Tom Friedman on Climate: The Obama Administration “Fundamentally Failed to Speak Out in Favor of the Science”

In Greenbuild speech, NY Times columnist slams White House: “There are endangered species I’ve seen more of in the last two years than that climate team speaking out in defense of climate science and scientists.”

The last three years have been the most politically and economically turbulent that Americans have ever seen. And that has helped pushed environmental issues — particularly climate change — onto the back burner.

Author and New York Times Columnist Tom Friedman had a fantastic speech this week at the Greenbuild Conference in Toronto, in which he briefly summarized the recent history of our rising and falling hopes on U.S. climate action.  He also made clear the Obama White House shares some of the culpability for climate change  being put on a back burner.

We’ve edited the 30-minute speech down to an 8-minute segment featuring all his best quotes. It’s worth listening to the whole thing:

Here are some of the most quotable quotes, including his discussion of the powerful impact of the “totally bogus” Climategate affair:

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Politics

Friedman Against Prop 23: ‘This Is A Fight Worth Having’

New York Times op-ed columnist Tom Friedman has joined the fight against Proposition 23, the Tea Party effort to kill AB 32, California’s climate law that he describes as “the best thing we have going to stimulate clean-tech in America.” Saying that “this is a fight worth having,” Friedman cites ThinkProgress coverage of how oil giants like Koch Industries are bankrolling the Proposition 23 campaign. Noting that Republicans Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and George Schultz are leading the charge against Prop 23 and for the clean-tech investment spurred by AB 32, Friedman concludes that the “real joke is thinking that if California suspends its climate laws that Mother Nature will also take a timeout”:

The real joke is thinking that if California suspends its climate laws that Mother Nature will also take a timeout. “We can wait to solve this problem as long as we want,” says Nate Lewis, an energy chemist at the California Institute of Technology: “But Nature is balancing its books every day. It was a record 113 degrees in Los Angeles the other day. There are laws of politics and laws of physics. Only the latter can’t be repealed.”

Watch Countdown’s coverage of Schwarzenegger fighting against the “black oil hearts” of Koch, Tesoro, and Valero:

To join the fight, go to www.stopdirtyenergyprop.com, join on Facebook, or contribute to the Stop Prop 23 campaign.

Yglesias

The Friedman Method

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I have to say it’s really remarkable that we live in a world where talking to the CEO of a large company reporting that the CEO wants tax breaks and subsidies for his firm counts as serious political commentary. Read today’s Tom Friedman piece and watch in amazement as he doesn’t even consider the possibility that Paul Otellini’s ideas might be motivated by anything other than a disinterested concern for the welfare of the American people. Has Friedman surveyed a lot of CEO’s who don’t think that shifting public policy to be more favorable to the firm they run would be a good idea?

Meanwhile, it just can’t be said often enough that the “competitiveness” frame is bunk. If the government of China makes some horrible policy error and 8 percent growth turns into 1 percent contraction, leading to widespread political protests, a violent crackdown, capital flight, and a decade of economic stagnation that will make the United States more “competitive.” But it would be bad for China, bad for commodity exporters, and ultimately bad for the United States.

Climate Progress

Chris Bowers: The Progressive Failure To Engage The Grassroots on Climate Change

Our guest blogger is Open Left‘s Chris Bowers.

In explaining why he voted against climate change legislation in the House, freshman Democratic Representative Eric Massa said Monday that calls to his office against the bill outnumbered calls in favor of the bill by 19-1:

My final reason for opposing this bill was you, the constituents of New York’s 29th Congressional District. In the week leading up to the vote, our offices received hundreds of phone calls urging a ‘no’ vote. In fact, after we tallied the responses, the “vote no” calls outnumbered the “vote yes” calls by a ratio of 19 to 1. My job is to represent you, and that’s exactly what I did in casting my vote.

Even though conservatives pretty much always win the congressional office phone call battle through their enormous lobbying operations, a 19-1 margin is still pretty shocking. The margin is even more shocking considering that the vast majority of green groups in the United States put out high level action alerts to their membership urging them to call members of Congress in support of climate change legislation.

How could the progressive grassroots get so utterly trounced in activism on the climate change bill? One solid bet is because the messaging from those supporting the bill was patronizing, not entirely forthcoming, and full of cognitive dissonance. Supporters of the bill consistently had the following four activism-depressing messages:

  1. The climate change bill sucks, but we should pass it anyway;
  2. We are probably lying to you about actually trying to strengthen the bill;
  3. Strengthening the bill is not possible because it will probably lead to the defeat of the bill. Anyone who thinks otherwise is naïve.
  4. It is your fault that the climate change bill sucks.

Man, I want to get up off my ass and work hard based on that message. And this really was the message. Take self-styled climate change expert Thomas Friedman:

There is much in the House cap-and-trade energy bill that just passed that I absolutely hate. It is too weak in key areas and way too complicated in others. A simple, straightforward carbon tax would have made much more sense than this Rube Goldberg contraption. It is pathetic that we couldn’t do better. It is appalling that so much had to be given away to polluters. It stinks. It’s a mess. I detest it.

Now let’s get it passed in the Senate and make it law.

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Yglesias

Fantasies of Bipartisanship

Thomas Friedman has a crazy dream:

Which is why I wake up every morning hoping to read this story: “President Obama announced today that he had invited the country’s 20 leading bankers, 20 leading industrialists, 20 top market economists and the Democratic and Republican leaders in the House and Senate to join him and his team at Camp David. ‘We will not come down from the mountain until we have forged a common, transparent strategy for getting us out of this banking crisis,’ the president said, as he boarded his helicopter.”

Brendan Nyhan responds:

From a practical perspective, it’s not clear that a banking policy exists that “20 leading bankers, 20 leading industrialists, 20 top market economists and the Democratic and Republican leaders in the House and Senate” would unanimously prefer to the status quo. More importantly, why would we assume that such a policy is best? There’s no reason (beyond wishful thinking) to imagine that bipartisan compromises are always optimal, particularly on technical issues like banking policy.

Beyond the bipartisanship, in the real world this would be in practice a recipe for rule-by-CEO. A key constraint on the decision-making would need to be that it served the personal financial interests of the 20 “leading bankers” and “leading industrialists” (whatever that might mean) and there’s no reason to think that would serve the public interest. It would be interesting to speculate about what would happen if you held a meeting with all those people and gave them some kind of truth serum that made them speak honestly and bargain in good faith, but that’s not going to happen. Instead, the way the system works is that Obama and has team will need to craft a response and will need to take responsibility for its success or failure.

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