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Health

Thanks To Debunked Anti-Vaccine Study, U.K. Sees Dramatic Surge In Measles Cases

(Credit: Pak Med)

U.K. public health officials are racing to contain a rash of measles outbreaks among older British children that threatens to spread the highly contagious disease throughout the country. The budding epidemic has been linked to a debunked 1998 anti-vaccine study that caused U.K. vaccination rates against measles to plummet.

In 1998, a team of British scientists led by Dr. Andrew Wakefield published a widely rebuked paper that incorrectly linked the measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine with autism. The study, which received widespread attention at the time, led many British parents to forgo their children’s MMR shots — something that is possible in the U.K. since schoolchildren aren’t subject to mandatory vaccination laws as they are in the United States.

The vaccine exodus led to a sharp decline in MMR immunization — from 90 percent of all children to just 54 percent in a year — and its consequences are now coming into full view, as unvaccinated British teenagers spread measles by the thousands:

This year, the U.K. has had more than 1,200 cases of measles, after a record number of nearly 2,000 cases last year. The country once recorded only several dozen cases every year. It now ranks second in Europe, behind only Romania.

The majority of those getting sick in the U.K. — including a significant number of older children and teens — had never been vaccinated. [...]

Across the U.K., about 90 percent of children under 5 are vaccinated against measles and have received the necessary two doses of the vaccine. But among children now aged 10 to 16, the vaccination rate is slightly below 50 percent in some regions.

To stop measles outbreaks, more than 95 percent of children need to be fully immunized. In some parts of the U.K., the rate is still below 80 percent.

By contrast, the U.S. — where measles immunization rates are above 90 percent — reported just 55 cases of measles last year.

Still, Americans tend not to get their vaccinations if they can help it. While U.S. school attendance is generally contingent on a variety of shots for highly contagious diseases, others such as the yearly influenza shot and HPV vaccine aren’t, leading the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) to call American immunization numbers “unacceptably low.” Politicians and public officials who parrot discredited conspiracy theories similar to the Wakefield study contribute to that trend.

Economy

UK Avoids A Triple-Dip Recession Thanks In Part To Government Spending

Fears that the United Kingdom would fall into a triple-dip recession eased today, as the country avoided another quarter of economic contraction. GDP data confirmed that the country’s economy did in fact grow, if very slowly, at the beginning of this year:

During the first quarter of this year the country recorded an increase of three-tenths of a percent in gross domestic product, compared with the previous three-month period when it contracted by a similar amount, the Office for National Statistics said. Gross domestic product had been broadly flat over the last 18 months, the agency added.

The growth was driven in large part by an increase in output form the service sector, which grew by 0.6 percent, and from mining and quarrying, which increased by 3.2 percent. These increases were offset by a 2.5 percent decline in construction.

But the jump in growth was also aided by a slight change in policy focus away from deficit reduction. As the country’s leaders have slowed the drive toward austerity, the public sector began to grow instead of shrink. In the first quarter of the year, that sector grew by 0.5 percent, compared to a 0.9 contraction the quarter before, adding 0.1 percent to overall GDP growth.

This news contrasts sharply with figures out of Spain today, a country still struggling with the demand for austerity. The country continues to experience a recession, now for seven consecutive quarters. Its unemployment figure has climbed above 27 percent, a number it hasn’t experienced since 1976, the year its dictator Francisco Franco died. The public sector in Spain has increased firings in education and health to reduce deficits, causing employment in those sectors to fall to 2.85 million from 2.92 million at the end of last year. Private sector employment also fell from 13.9 million to 13.6 million.

Spain’s prime minister is looking to convince investors and other European Union countries to ease its deficit targets next month. He may find a friendly ear, as a top EU official recently indicated that he’s in favor of shifting the focus away from austerity and giving countries more time to reduce their deficits, and the EU’s economic and monetary affairs commissioner has voiced a similar opinion.

Economy

IMF Warns U.S. Austerity Will Slow Growth

There was a period when the U.S. looked like it might avoid the mistakes of some of its European counterparts, who rushed to austerity and have found themselves saddled with stagnant growth. But the U.S. has gotten into the austerity game, most recently with the implementation of sequestration’s across-the-board spending cuts.

And just like its austere European neighbors, the U.K. in particular, it’s now getting a warning from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). In its latest report, the biannual World Economic Outlook, the New York Times reports that the organization had some stern words for those who think cutting government spending in the middle of a sluggish recovery is a good idea:

The fund lowered its estimate of United States growth this year to 1.9 percent, down 0.2 percentage point from its January forecast. While Washington had avoided falling over the “fiscal cliff,” the I.M.F. said that the United States had proved too aggressive in carrying out budget cuts, given its still-sluggish rates of growth and high unemployment levels. It said it anticipated that the across-the-board $85 billion in budget cuts known as sequestration would push down growth levels this year and beyond.

“The growth figure for the United States for 2013 may not seem very high, and indeed it is insufficient to make a large dent in the still-high unemployment rate,” Olivier Blanchard, the fund’s chief economist, said in the report. “But it will be achieved in the face of a very strong, indeed overly strong, fiscal consolidation of about 1.8 percent of G.D.P. Underlying private demand is actually strong, spurred in part by the anticipation of low policy rates under the Federal Reserve’s ‘forward guidance’ and by pent-up demand for housing and durables.”

The fund also lowered its projection of global growth to about 3.3 percent this year, a 0.2 percentage point reduction. And it didn’t just dole out harsh words for the U.S.: It lowered its forecasts for U.K. growth by 0.3 percentage points for this year and next, citing slashed spending.

Sequestration is already hurting the U.S. economy, but it’s not the only austerity measure that’s causing pain. Government spending overall has been lower during Obama’s administration than any point since the Eisenhower era. This is at a time of miserably high unemployment and incredibly low interest rates on U.S. borrowing. The U.S. could instead be spending money to rebuild crumbling infrastructure and put people back to work.

Economy

In The United Kingdom, Austerity Made It Harder To Reduce The Deficit

The United Kingdom’s breathless pursuit of austerity under Prime Minister David Cameron was aimed sparking economic growth and reducing deficits. Three years after the conservative government began its deficit reduction efforts, though, it has failed to do both. Britain is now on the brink of its third recession in four years and its economy is still smaller than it was when the Great Recession began.

Persistently high unemployment and that lack of economic growth — caused by fiscal contraction — have left the UK far short of its deficit reduction goals, as this chart from the Wall Street Journal shows:

In 2010, Cameron and finance minister George Osborne projected that their austerity package would by now have reduced deficits from 4.8 percent of the economy to just 1.9 percent. At the beginning of 2013, the deficit stood at 4.3 percent. Still, Osborne and Cameron remain committed to austerity, with Osborne telling the BBC last week, “You can’t get out of debt crisis by borrowing more and more.” But Britain doesn’t have a debt crisis — its borrowing costs are at historic lows. It has an unemployment and growth crisis that a growing number of economists are begging the conservative government to address.

That should be a lesson to lawmakers in the United States, which emerged from the Great Recession in better shape than its friends across the Atlantic because it chose to stimulate the economy instead of cutting spending. Congress is committed now to a similar path of deficit reduction, even though countries that have tried it have entered an austerity death spiral — as they attempt to reduce deficits, they instead reduce growth and inhibit their ability to reduce deficits. The U.S., like Britain, is nowhere near a debt crisis. Still, lawmakers are insistent on cutting spending, even though unemployment is still high, spending has plateaued, and fiscal contraction has already hampered America’s tepid economic recovery.

LGBT

Queen ‘Fights’ For Gay Rights Without Mentioning Them

Headlines this weekend praised The Queen for promoting gay rights in a new Commonwealth Charter, which includes this commitment to civil rights:

We are implacably opposed to all forms of  discrimination, whether rooted  in gender, race, colour, creed, political belief or other grounds.

The “other grounds” is meant to refer to sexuality, but was kept ambiguous because some of the commonwealth countries still have strict laws against homosexuality. Her live speech will add that rights must “include everyone,” apparently another nod at gay rights.

Though the public display of her signing and live speech is notable, British LGBT groups are not impressed by the allusion. Prominent activist Peter Tatchell had higher expectations:

TATCHELL: In her 61 years on the throne, the Queen has never publicly uttered the words lesbian or gay. She is a patron of hundreds of charities but none of them are gay ones. Never once has she visited or supported a gay charity. In truth, the Commonwealth Charter does not include any specific rejection of discrimination based on sexual orientation. This was vetoed by the homophobic majority of member states. [...]

While I doubt that Elizabeth II is a raging homophobe, she certainly doesn’t appear to be gay-friendly. Not once during her reign has she publicly acknowledged the existence of the LGBT community… Astonishingly, since she became Queen in 1952, the words ‘gay’ and ‘lesbian’ have never publicly passed her lips. There is no record of her ever speaking them. Even when she announced government plans for gay law reform in her Queen’s Speeches, she did not use the words lesbian or gay. Apparently, mentioning LGBT people is beneath the dignity of the monarch.

The Guardian’s Patrick Strudwick similarly notes that “to refrain from specification is to collude with silence, the Grand Pause that keeps lesbians and gay men invisible, suffocating in marriages of inconvenience or trapped in police cells.”

The charter is a worthwhile commitment to civil rights in commonwealth countries and also includes support for gender equality and women’s empowerment. Still, claims that The Queen is suddenly “fighting” for gay rights seems to be quite the overstatement.

Update

Watch The Queen not acknowledge LGBT rights in her address (HT: BuzzFeed):

Economy

British Prime Minister Won’t Back Away From Austerity Despite Continuing Economic Woes

British Prime Minister David Cameron will use a speech Thursday to reiterate his commitment to the austerity policies that have hampered the nation’s economic recovery since the Great Recession. Great Britain is on the brink of an unprecedented triple-dip recession, but Cameron and United Kingdom finance chief George Osborne have pledged to continue deficit reduction efforts.

Turning away from austerity now, Cameron will say, would send Britain “back into the abyss,” Reuters reports:

However, Cameron will tell his audience he has cut the country’s deficit by a quarter, interest rates are at a record low, exports are reviving, the number of people on welfare has fallen, and there are more people in work “than ever before in our history”.

Of course, these signs of progress are just the beginning of a long hard road to a better Britain,” he will say.

Britain’s deficit has fallen, but it has done so far more slowly than Osborne and Cameron projected when they began austerity three years ago. In 2010, the British government projected that austerity would reduce the deficit from 4.8 percent of the economy to just 1.9 percent by now. Anemic economic growth and a second recession brought on by those policies, however, have left the deficit at 4.3 percent. The country is now one quarter of contraction away from its third recession in four years.

Austerity has plagued the European Union, of which Britain is a member, since the recession, forcing unemployment to record highs. Britain, however, is not a member of the European currency union and maintains its own central bank, making the conservative government’s continued adherence to deficit reduction all the more confounding. The same could be said of the United States, which is now focused almost solely on deficit reduction even as unemployment remains high, the recovery remains tepid, and evidence exists that the stimulative policies it originally pursued put it on a faster pace of recovery than Europe has experienced.

LGBT

Resigned Scottish Cardinal Admits He Had Sex With Priests

Last week, the United Kingdom’s highest ranking Catholic official, Cardinal Keith O’Brien, resigned after accusations came out that he had inappropriate sexual relationships with several priests. At first, O’Brien contested the claims, but admitted in a statement this weekend that he is culpable for the allegations:

In recent days certain allegations which have been made against me have become public. Initially, their anonymous and non-specific nature led me to contest them.

However, I wish to take this opportunity to admit that there have been times that my sexual conduct has fallen below the standards expected of me as a priest, archbishop and cardinal.

To those I have offended, I apologise and ask forgiveness.

To the Catholic Church and people of Scotland, I also apologise.

I will now spend the rest of my life in retirement. I will play no furtherpart in the public life of the Catholic Church in Scotland.

One of the five priests that accused O’Brien of misdeeds has said that he’s felt a “cold disapproval of the church hierarchy for daring to break ranks,” adding, “I feel like if they could crush me, they would.”

The British gay rights group Stonewall had named O’Brien their “bigot of the year” in 2012 for his relentless condemnations of gay people and their families. In response to his statement, Stonewall noted that he “didn’t find it in him to apologize to gay people, their families and friends for the harm his vicious and cruel language caused.”

LGBT

STUDY: No Difference Among Same-Sex Parents In Britain

The British Association of Adoption and Fostering (BAAF) has released a new report showing that there is no difference between opposite-sex and same-sex parents in the United Kingdom. The study included 49 opposite-sex couples, 41 gay male couples, and 40 lesbian couples, all raising children. According to Professor Susan Golombok of the Centre for Family Research — not a conservative organization like its similarly named counterparts in the U.S. — stereotypes about gay parents are “unfounded”:

GOLOMBOK: Overall we found markedly more similarities than differences in experiences between family types. The anxieties about the potentially negative effects for children of being placed with gay fathers seem to be, from our study, unfounded.

This report just adds to the many studies that already show same-sex couples are just as capable of raising children as opposite-sex parents. Unfortunately, conservatives who believe kids benefit from the sex stereotypes of a mother and a father are often disinterested in such facts.

Economy

British Member Of Parliament Explains The Virtues Of A Financial Transactions Tax

British MP Chris Leslie

There is no evidence that a financial transactions tax, if instituted by the world’s largest financial centers at a modest rate, would have a negative impact on economic growth, according to Christopher Leslie, a member of the British Parliament. That such a tax would limit growth and investment is a common claim of its detractors, but the effect would actually be “quite the opposite” if instituted smartly, Leslie said after an event about the institution of a transactions tax at the Center for American Progress:

LESLIE: I don’t see any evidence that there would be a negative effect on economic growth. In fact, quite the opposite. I think if you did have a global financial transactions tax where all of the global financial centers were involved and it was also set at a rate that is pretty modest, it wasn’t going to have a distorting negative consequence, then you could raise revenues that would actually help promote growth and invest in job creation. And I think ultimately that’s one of the main arguments in favor of a financial transactions tax.

Watch it:

The United Kingdom already taxes stock, equity, and bond trades at a small rate, but it does not tax derivatives and swaps. Leslie said that the British Labour Party, of which he is a member, is interested in expanding the tax to derivatives and swaps but only if the United States does so as well. Eleven European countries announced plans to institute a financial transactions tax in January.

A plan introduced in Congress by Sen. Tom Harkin (D-IA) and Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-OR) would tax derivatives, stocks, and bond trades at a 0.03 percent rate, raising roughly $350 billion over the next decade. A plan outlined by the Center for American Progress’ Adam Hersh and Jennifer Erickson today would raise $50 billion a year through similarly modest rates. The tax would also add stability to financial markets while promoting investment that is better for growth and the economy, Hersh and Erickson argued.

Such a tax has been supported by business and financial leaders, including a high-frequency trading pioneer who has admitted that such trading, which would be greatly limited by a transactions tax, has “absolutely no social value.”

Economy

How Austerity Stifled The British Economy (And The Rest Of Europe) In Three Charts

Last week, the United Kingdom received its first ever credit downgrade, as continued austerity has dragged down the country’s economic growth. Britain’s conservative government, however, is forging ahead. Finance Minister George Osborne yesterday called for the UK to “stick to its course.”

The UK, though, is a prime example for why austerity should be avoided in a weak economy. As this chart from Reuters’ shows, the U.S., which embraced stimulus after the 2008 financial crisis, is in much better shape than the European countries that went for austerity:

As this chart shows, the UK has not at all lived up to the projections for economic growth that were made in 2010:

Austerity has actually had the opposite of its intended effect in the UK, killing growth while not bringing down debt. And that’s held true across Europe, as this chart from economists Paul De Grauwe and Yuemei Ji shows:

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