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Stories tagged with “U.S. Postal Service

Economy

How Post Office Closings Could Increase Economic Inequality

Due to its ongoing financial woes, the United States Postal Service (USPS) has contemplated suspending Saturday mail service, as well as closing offices across the country. But a Reuters analysis shows that those office closing could increase economic inequality, hitting area that are already on the wrong end of economic disparity:

Some of America’s poorest communities – many of them with spotty broadband Internet coverage – stand to suffer most if the struggling agency moves ahead with plans to shutter thousands of post offices later this year, a Reuters analysis found. Nearly 80 percent of the 3,830 post offices under consideration are in sparsely populated rural areas where poverty rates are higher than the national average, demographic data analyzed by Reuters shows.

The Postal Service is not even exploring the economic effect that its office closings will have. And the closing under review would hardly save the USPS any money. In fact, “closing all of the post offices under consideration would save about $295 million a year — about four-tenths of 1 percent of the Postal Service’s annual expenses of $70 billion.” “That’s not even a drop in the bucket. The bucket won’t ripple,” said former Postmaster General William Henderson.

Adding insult to injury is the fact that the Post Office’s financial crisis is largely fictional, a relic of Congress’ decisions rather than any actual problems at USPS. As we’ve laid out before, “almost all of the postal service’s losses over the last four years can be traced back to a single, artificial restriction forced onto the Post Office by the Republican-led Congress in 2006,” which requires USPS to pre-fund pensions for employees that it hasn’t even hired yet. This is a requirement with which no other company has to grapple.

At the moment, “nearly 90 percent of the 24 million Americans without wired broadband access live in rural areas,” making them most susceptible to economic pain should USPS offices close. “The postmaster general doesn’t have a clue about what’s going on in rural America, and it shows,” said Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT).

Economy

A Manufactured ‘Crisis’: Congress Can Let The Post Office Save Itself Without Mass Layoffs Or Service Reductions

Both the news media and a number of politicians have claimed recently that the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) is in “crisis,” and that it is necessary to lay off thousands of workers or reduce service in order to make the post office fiscally stable. And the Post Office itself has proposed laying off as many as 120,000 employees and withdrawing from federal health care plans in order to navigate upcoming fiscal crunches.

It is true that USPS is facing fiscal challenges — it lost nearly $20 billion over the last four years and is at risk of not being able to meet a $5.5 billion mandated payment to the Treasury at the end of this month (which has been put off six weeks thanks to the last continuing resolution in Congress).

But what has been lost in the political debate over the Post Office is why it is losing this money. Major media coverage points to the rise of email or Internet services and the inefficiency of the post model as the major culprits. While these factors may cause some fiscal pain, almost all of the postal service’s losses over the last four years can be traced back to a single, artificial restriction forced onto the Post Office by the Republican-led Congress in 2006.

At the very end of that year, Congress passed the Postal Accountability and Enhancement Act of 2006 (PAEA). Under PAEA, USPS was forced to “prefund its future health care benefit payments to retirees for the next 75 years in an astonishing ten-year time span” — meaning that it had to put aside billions of dollars to pay for the health benefits of employees it hasn’t even hired yet, something “that no other government or private corporation is required to do.”

As consumer advocate Ralph Nader noted, if PAEA was never enacted, USPS would actually be facing a $1.5 billion surplus today:

By June 2011, the USPS saw a total net deficit of $19.5 billion, $12.7 billion of which was borrowed money from Treasury (leaving just $2.3 billion left until the USPS hits its statutory borrowing limit of $15 billion). This $19.5 billion deficit almost exactly matches the $20.95 billion the USPS made in prepayments to the fund for future retiree health care benefits by June 2011. If the prepayments required under PAEA were never enacted into law, the USPS would not have a net deficiency of nearly $20 billion, but instead be in the black by at least $1.5 billion.

In order to remedy this problem, Rep. Stephen Lynch (D-MA) has introduced bipartisan legislation (which has 193 co-sponsors) that would allow the USPS to spend more of its own money to pay down its deficits, including $6.9 billion in pension overpayments or other overpayments that may total as much as $25 billion to $50 billion. These are Post Office funds, not taxpayer dollars.

Meanwhile, Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA) has been pushing for legislation that would lead to widespread layoffs and break the back of the postal workers’ unions to defuse the “crisis” that Congress created. Yesterday, thousands postal workers and the Americans who value their contributions to our society held hundreds of rallies at congressional offices across the country to support Lynch’s bill and to protest against Issa’s. Here’s are some snapshots of the demonstrations:

It’s up to Congress to act to allow the Post Office to save itself, lest it become a victim of a crisis that Congress itself manufactured.

Update

Some more photos from the demonstrations in Madison, Wisconsin. (HT: @CityOfContempt)

Alyssa

Netflix’s New Business Model

When I’m not outsourcing my thoughts about entertainment technology to Tim Carmody, I’m outsourcing them to Tim Lee, who is baffled by what Netflix’s decision to split its DVD service and streaming video service:

The DVD-rental option gave Netflix a crucial fallback position at the negotiating table. Because Netflix has a complete catalog of movies available for rent by DVD, they don’t need any specific title in streaming format. So they could cut deals with the content creators that offered them reasonable terms, and stick with DVD rentals for the rest. That’s a little bit inconvenient for customers, but it’s better than agreeing to terms that would force Netflix to jack up its prices.

And, of course, the total size of Netflix’s user base strengthens its bargaining position as well. There are many customers like us who primarily subscribe to Netflix for the DVDs, but we’re willing to pay a bit extra for the streaming option. A Netflix with 20 million customers—DVD and streaming—is going to be able to make bigger bids for streaming content than a streaming-only company with 10 million customers.

The other Tim agrees. One thing I’d be very curious to see a discussion of is how the Postal Service’s current woes were impacting the Netflix business model. What happens if the Postal Service stops Saturday delivery? Losing 17 percent of your delivery days isn’t minor. Or what happens if delivery suddenly gets considerably more expensive in a way that would have forced Netflix to significantly increase the prices for DVD delivery, at a time when ISPs are complaining about the amount of bandwidth eaten up by Netflix users? I’m not saying this move makes sense for Netflix ability to negotiate better content deals, or that consumers ought to be happy about it, but is there a possibility that Netflix is heading off a bigger infrastructure problem by spinning off half of the business?

Economy

Issa’s Postal Service Reform Bill Includes Hidden Union Busting

Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA)

House Oversight Committee Chairman Darrell Issa (R-CA) — when he’s not busy trying to protect the nation’s biggest banks from consumer protection regulations — has issued legislation to “reform” the US Postal Service. “Congress can’t keep kicking the can down the road on out of control labor costs and excess infrastructure of USPS,” Issa has said.

But it seems like Issa is far more interested in attacking the Postal Service’s workers than he is in actually fixing USPS’ fiscal problems. As the Center for American Progress Action Fund’s David Madland and Zane Farr found, Issa’s bill includes a provision that would allow a “Solvency Authority” to unilaterally void USPS’ collective bargaining agreements (much like the “emergency managers” empowered by Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder (R) to nullify labor contracts):

Rep. Issa’s proposed Postal Reform Act isn’t the frontal assault on collective bargaining being pushed by Govs. Scott Walker in Wisconsin and John Kasich in Ohio but instead closely adheres to the strategy of Michigan’s Republican Gov. Rick Snyder to empower “emergency” managers to unilaterally modify collective bargaining agreements. Such powers effectively end any real ability for workers to bargain collectively.

Rep. Issa’s bill would create a Solvency Authority that can “after meeting and conferring with the appropriate bargaining representative … reject, modify, or terminate 1 or more terms or conditions of an existing collective bargaining agreement.” That’s virtually identical language to the Michigan law that allows the emergency manager to “after meeting and conferring with the appropriate bargaining representative … reject, modify, or terminate 1 or more terms and conditions of an existing collective bargaining agreement.”

Issa has expressed admiration for the union-busting efforts of Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI), saying Walker’s “actions to cut spending and address over-compensation of public employees are putting his state government in a stronger financial position.” Making it quite clear that Issa is more interested in busting labor than solving USPS’ problems, he “rejected the approach of the other prominent Republican bill on this topic — introduced in February by Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) — that addresses the Postal Service’s underlying financial issues without giving emergency managers the power to overturn collective bargaining.”

Yglesias

Swiss Post

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If you’ve been following the US Postal Service’s various travails, you’ll be interested in Sasha Issenberg’s profile of Swiss Post in Issue 30 of Monocle. Unfortunately, it’s a subscriber-only piece, but this is a flavor of it:

Facing diminishing demand for its core service, Swiss Post has emerged as a model for state-owned utilities looking to remain relevant. It is reimagining itself as a global media and technology company, both competing and collaborating with some of Switzerland’s largest publishers, banks and tech start-ups. Swiss Post executives see themselves on unique turf at the intersection of data networks and the old-fashioned letter routes, with the ability to carve out an unrivalled position in the digital age. “We believe we are in the communication business, not just in the physical letter-mail business,” says executive vice president Frank Marthaler. “The internet is a fantastic place, and we want to work with the internet and not against the internet.”

Swiss Post was created in 1997, when the government split the postal and telecom functions from the country’s PTT utility. Nine years later, the Swiss parliament abolished the company’s parcel monopoly, and is now considering a bill that would do the same in the domestic letter business. Yet instead of fearing private-sector competition, Swiss Post is moving into new spheres.

Basically, Swiss Post was given additional flexibility about its business model and has been able to adapt to a changing landscape even while remaining a state-owned postal service. This seems to be basically what Postmaster General Potter is looking to do, but the Post reports that “As for Postal Service plans to sell banking, insurance and cellphone services through post offices, the consultants point to the agency’s lack of start-up funds and inability to afford potential short-term losses.” I’m not sure how Swiss Post got around this. What’s needed, presumably, is some way to access private capital markets without changing the USPS’ underlying ownership structure—some kind of joint venture model perhaps.

It’s worth emphasizing that though the downward trajectory for the USPS’s core business is real enough, the multi-billion dollar losses you see in the news are largely a result of an accounting rule related to prepayment of retiree health benefits. I didn’t realize this during the round of “USPS budget disaster” stories a few months ago, but it’s a key piece of context.

Yglesias

America’s Largest Retailer

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Ezra Klein notes that in terms of number of outlets it’s the United States Postal Service:

Rep. Stephen F. Lynch (D-Mass.), chairman of the subcommittee on the federal workforce, Postal Service and the District of Columbia, noted that Postmaster General Jack Potter, who wasn’t at the hearing, likes to point out that the agency has more retail outlets than McDonald’s, Starbucks and Wal-Mart combined.

One approach you could take to the Postal Service’s problems, of course, would be to privatize it. Repeal their legislative monopoly on delivery of “ordinary” mail, repeal their legislative universal service obligation, and sell the thing to private investors. As run by the government, the USPS loses money, but I bet it would have significant value on the market. And the USPS’ massive real estate portfolio would be one of the key reasons. The politics of the situation make it basically impossible to manage these holdings in an economically rational way—nobody wants to see their local post office closed or relocated to someplace less convenient even if that’s what makes the most sense to do. And you see something similar with the controversy over halting Saturday delivery. Right now congress wants to make the USPS financially self-supporting, but doesn’t want to let USPS be managed the way an entity that’s actually financially self-supporting would be managed. Which is fine if you think that daily delivery of paper mail is a critical public service—critical public services shouldn’t be managed as profit-maximizing entities—but in 2009 does the delivery of paper mail really count as a critical public service?

Yglesias

Postal Service in Scandinavia

Postal van in Sundsvall, Sweden (wikimedia)

Postal van in Sundsvall, Sweden (wikimedia)

When considering a policy issue like the quality of mail delivery it’s often intriguing to ask oneself “how is this done in Scandinavia?” What appears to be the case is that the government of Denmark quasi-privatized its postal services, creating an independent corporation called Post Danmark that’s partially owned by a private equity firm, partially owned by the firm’s employees, and partially owned by the Danish state.

Meanwhile, Sweden has a state-run postal agency but a deregulated market in postal services. So the state-owned Posten AB needs to compete with a firm called Bring CityMail. Bring CityMail operates as a private company in Denmark and Sweden, but it’s actually a subsidiary of the Norwegian state postal service. Meanwhile, in order to better compete with this Norwegian juggernaut, Sweden’s publicly owned postal service and Denmark’s semi-public postal service are merging to form Posten Norden AB. This is going to be organized as a private firm, though a large share of the ownership will be in the hands of the Danish and Swedish governments.

International mergers of postal agencies seem to have a certain logic when you’re talking about very small countries that doesn’t necessarily apply to the United States. But I would say that one key thing here relates not so much to state ownership versus non-ownership, but to a regulatory climate that seems designed to promote meaningful competition between different mail delivery services regardless of ownership structure.

Of course part of the story with the USPS is that it’s a way of having the majority of Americans who live in metropolitan area subsidize the rural minority. I assume this same issue exists in Sweden and Norway which contain US-esque large sparsely populated hinterlands and I don’t know how they handle it. Providing subsidies for rural living doesn’t strike me as a particularly worthwhile policy objective, but given the strongly pro-rural bias of our political institutions it doesn’t seem avoidable either.

Yglesias

By Request: Five Days of Mail

Jack123 asks “Five days of mail delivery – Good or Bad?” The reference being to the idea of eliminating Saturday mail delivery as a cost-cutting measure. To which I say basically: Eh.

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When our country was founded, timely delivery of the mail was a critical piece of infrastructure and not something the private sector was ready to do. Modern conditions have led to the emergence of viable private sector parcel delivery firms, and have also led to a sharp decline in dependence on parcel delivery as a critical mode of communications. There’s the phone, fax, e-mail, etc along with UPS, DHL, FedEx, and the US Postal Service. The USPS is a useful entity in that mix, but modern-day conditions mean that postal policies don’t really matter in the way they once did.

One thing I do like about the idea of five-day delivery is that six-day delivery seemed like an odd form of established Christianity. Lots of things are open Monday-Friday, but to be open Monday-Saturday seemed to imply that we couldn’t deliver on Sundays because everyone’s at church.

Something I wonder about that’s perhaps more interesting is whether there isn’t a case for trying to privatize the Postal Service by selling it off to private investors. Presumably you wouldn’t want to do that in the middle of a financial panic, because you’d get low bids. But in general, though I understand why the USPS was established as a public agency in the past, it’s not obvious to me that if it didn’t exist today we’d be clamoring to create it.

Yglesias

Don’t Knock the Post Office

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This article from Bruce Bartlett about the case for an Investment Tax Credit is pretty interesting. But this is a pet peeve of mine:

Historically, government-directed investment has been very inefficient. That’s why Amtrak and the Post Office don’t work very well and why there was a privatization movement in the 1980s and 1990s, which led governments everywhere to sell their state-owned enterprises.

As for Amtrak, if you compare passenger rail in the US to passenger rail in Europe and Japan it’s pretty clear that the difference isn’t that government-directed investment doesn’t work, it’s that Europe and Japan have decided to invest a lot in passenger rail and we haven’t. As for the US Postal Service, at the end of the day it does a pretty darn good job. Want to send a letter somewhere? Put it in an envelop and stick it in a box, and it’ll go where you wanted it to go. They’ll pick the letter up from your house if you want it, and hand-deliver it to the destination. For not much money! Anywhere in the country!What you can say about the Postal Service is that in the modern day it’s not clearly necessary to have a public agency guaranteeing the availability of this service in the way that it was before phones and email. But for quite a long time this was a really mission-critical element in our communications infrastructure and it still works just fine.

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